Preliminary results
Laura Menicacci
2023-12-07
- Time series: 1995:2019
- Sample: 21 countries
- Function: levels, logs, growth rates
- p-val: 0.01, 0.05
- AR(0,1)
Climate change mitigation technologies
with IIS
Count
0
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 10:45:33 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 598
Sample: 1 to 598
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp 4.3189e-12 1.1104e-13 38.8940 < 2.2e-16 ***
pop -2.5399e-07 3.1105e-07 -0.8165 0.4145721
idAUT 3.2108e+01 5.5422e+01 0.5793 0.5626106
idBEL -6.1810e+01 5.5373e+01 -1.1163 0.2648298
idBRA -1.0310e+02 7.6147e+01 -1.3540 0.1763384
idCAN 2.4978e+02 5.5399e+01 4.5088 8.081e-06 ***
idCHE 1.2936e+01 5.5436e+01 0.2333 0.8155878
idCHN 5.0287e+02 3.9783e+02 1.2640 0.2067928
idDEU 1.6357e+03 7.2470e+01 22.5710 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDNK 3.8606e+01 5.5493e+01 0.6957 0.4869287
idESP -1.2937e+01 5.5730e+01 -0.2321 0.8165191
idFIN -5.0183e+01 5.5497e+01 -0.9043 0.3662847
idFRA 7.3185e+02 5.6832e+01 12.8774 < 2.2e-16 ***
idGBR 4.9436e+02 5.6696e+01 8.7195 < 2.2e-16 ***
idIND 1.2201e+01 3.6556e+02 0.0334 0.9733870
idISR -5.7286e+01 5.6720e+01 -1.0100 0.3129803
idITA 1.6466e+02 5.6483e+01 2.9152 0.0037098 **
idJPN 1.5039e+03 1.6006e+02 9.3962 < 2.2e-16 ***
idKOR -3.3280e+03 1.5031e+02 -22.1410 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 1.0512e+02 5.5297e+01 1.9010 0.0578575 .
idNOR -1.2601e+02 5.5513e+01 -2.2699 0.0236259 *
idRUS -3.5818e+02 6.7590e+01 -5.2993 1.726e-07 ***
idSGP -1.2981e+02 5.5515e+01 -2.3383 0.0197509 *
idSWE 3.1810e+01 5.5402e+01 0.5742 0.5661037
idUSA 3.2161e+03 1.2874e+02 24.9803 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1995 3.6767e+00 5.7395e+01 0.0641 0.9489468
time1996 1.5265e+01 5.7392e+01 0.2660 0.7903655
time1997 2.3062e+01 5.6700e+01 0.4067 0.6843759
time1998 3.2589e+01 5.6402e+01 0.5778 0.5636570
time1999 6.7880e+01 5.6407e+01 1.2034 0.2293773
time2000 1.0097e+01 5.5659e+01 0.1814 0.8561123
time2001 3.7258e+01 5.5686e+01 0.6691 0.5037508
time2002 4.0390e+01 5.5713e+01 0.7250 0.4687996
time2003 7.2748e+01 5.5748e+01 1.3049 0.1924968
time2004 1.2211e+02 5.5784e+01 2.1889 0.0290534 *
time2005 1.3430e+02 5.6004e+01 2.3981 0.0168354 *
time2006 2.0107e+02 5.6049e+01 3.5875 0.0003657 ***
time2007 1.9945e+02 5.7031e+01 3.4972 0.0005109 ***
time2008 2.1146e+02 5.6479e+01 3.7440 0.0002015 ***
time2009 3.4142e+02 5.6531e+01 6.0395 2.963e-09 ***
time2010 3.9728e+02 5.6634e+01 7.0150 7.270e-12 ***
time2011 3.5187e+02 5.7232e+01 6.1482 1.573e-09 ***
time2012 3.5351e+02 5.7299e+01 6.1695 1.387e-09 ***
time2013 3.3264e+02 5.6792e+01 5.8573 8.395e-09 ***
time2014 3.1559e+02 5.6865e+01 5.5498 4.583e-08 ***
time2015 2.7431e+02 5.6941e+01 4.8174 1.915e-06 ***
time2016 2.6996e+02 5.7500e+01 4.6950 3.423e-06 ***
time2017 2.7558e+02 5.7566e+01 4.7873 2.213e-06 ***
time2018 2.9071e+02 5.7631e+01 5.0444 6.315e-07 ***
time2019 1.8060e+02 5.7689e+01 3.1306 0.0018437 **
iis172 1.4730e+03 2.1902e+02 6.7256 4.662e-11 ***
iis173 2.2636e+03 2.1911e+02 10.3312 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis174 2.8233e+03 2.1919e+02 12.8808 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis175 3.3196e+03 2.1926e+02 15.1402 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis399 -9.9213e+02 2.4492e+02 -4.0509 5.888e-05 ***
iis400 -8.6630e+02 2.4491e+02 -3.5372 0.0004410 ***
iis401 -6.8350e+02 2.4473e+02 -2.7928 0.0054195 **
iis415 1.3022e+03 2.1199e+02 6.1428 1.624e-09 ***
iis416 9.2353e+02 2.1198e+02 4.3567 1.594e-05 ***
iis574 -1.7067e+03 2.1910e+02 -7.7895 3.733e-14 ***
iis575 -1.5655e+03 2.1909e+02 -7.1452 3.088e-12 ***
iis576 -1.3858e+03 2.1889e+02 -6.3309 5.311e-10 ***
iis577 -1.2142e+03 2.1880e+02 -5.5493 4.596e-08 ***
iis578 -9.6132e+02 2.1880e+02 -4.3937 1.354e-05 ***
iis586 1.1832e+03 2.4467e+02 4.8359 1.753e-06 ***
iis587 1.6614e+03 2.4453e+02 6.7944 3.014e-11 ***
iis588 2.0238e+03 2.4453e+02 8.2762 1.098e-15 ***
iis589 2.5651e+03 2.4457e+02 10.4882 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis590 2.9586e+03 2.4477e+02 12.0870 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis591 3.8336e+03 2.4478e+02 15.6616 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis592 4.3793e+03 2.4465e+02 17.9004 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis593 3.4797e+03 2.4465e+02 14.2232 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis594 3.4384e+03 2.4466e+02 14.0535 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis595 3.5043e+03 2.4480e+02 14.3147 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis596 3.0829e+03 2.4481e+02 12.5928 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis597 2.6864e+03 2.4482e+02 10.9727 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis598 2.0951e+03 2.4483e+02 8.5574 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisCHN.2011 1.4238e+03 1.0488e+02 13.5755 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2007 1.0757e+03 2.0803e+02 5.1710 3.339e-07 ***
fesisDEU.2008 6.7724e+02 2.0805e+02 3.2552 0.0012076 **
fesisJPN.2000 1.7319e+03 1.5481e+02 11.1873 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2010 2.2383e+03 9.4968e+01 23.5693 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2005 1.1070e+03 1.6704e+02 6.6273 8.640e-11 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 190.74 1 < 2.2e-16 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 101.92 1 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 195.43128
R-squared 0.98992
Log-lik.(n=598) -3961.60012 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 10:45:28 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 598
Sample: 1 to 598
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp 4.8309e-12 1.2520e-13 38.5850 < 2.2e-16 ***
pop 4.8577e-06 8.5164e-07 5.7039 2.041e-08 ***
idAUT -8.4852e+00 5.4139e+01 -0.1567 0.8755234
idBEL -2.5903e+01 6.1057e+01 -0.4243 0.6715715
idBRA -9.1213e+02 1.4817e+02 -6.1562 1.566e-09 ***
idCAN 8.1831e+01 5.4022e+01 1.5148 0.1304817
idCHE -2.4547e+01 5.4249e+01 -0.4525 0.6511193
idCHN -6.0284e+03 1.0743e+03 -5.6115 3.382e-08 ***
idDEU 1.2406e+03 8.2226e+01 15.0880 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDNK 1.1615e+01 5.4666e+01 0.2125 0.8318258
idESP -2.3640e+02 5.6538e+01 -4.1812 3.442e-05 ***
idFIN -7.5362e+01 5.4709e+01 -1.3775 0.1689922
idFRA 4.0736e+02 6.4279e+01 6.3374 5.355e-10 ***
idGBR 1.7988e+02 6.3368e+01 2.8387 0.0047205 **
idIND -6.6177e+03 1.0677e+03 -6.1981 1.225e-09 ***
idISR -9.6067e+01 5.5330e+01 -1.7363 0.0831537 .
idITA -1.3350e+02 6.1923e+01 -2.1559 0.0315805 *
idJPN 1.6474e+03 1.3647e+02 12.0715 < 2.2e-16 ***
idKOR -3.5998e+03 1.2685e+02 -28.3782 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 2.2991e+01 5.3189e+01 0.4322 0.6657527
idNOR -4.0178e+01 6.0757e+01 -0.6613 0.5087478
idRUS -9.4222e+02 1.2483e+02 -7.5479 2.215e-13 ***
idSGP -5.2546e+01 6.0831e+01 -0.8638 0.3881251
idSWE -1.5515e+01 5.3968e+01 -0.2875 0.7738643
idUSA 1.7393e+03 2.4243e+02 7.1745 2.740e-12 ***
time1995 -2.5804e+01 5.5421e+01 -0.4656 0.6417181
time1996 -1.9516e+01 5.5589e+01 -0.3511 0.7256866
time1997 -1.4777e+01 5.5321e+01 -0.2671 0.7894975
time1998 8.0016e+00 5.5485e+01 0.1442 0.8853938
time1999 -2.0533e+01 5.5265e+01 -0.3715 0.7103980
time2000 2.7141e+01 5.5056e+01 0.4930 0.6222532
time2001 5.0982e+01 5.5226e+01 0.9231 0.3563918
time2002 4.8015e+01 5.5390e+01 0.8668 0.3864559
time2003 7.7255e+01 5.5558e+01 1.3905 0.1650061
time2004 7.7760e+01 5.5748e+01 1.3948 0.1637034
time2005 9.7567e+01 5.6202e+01 1.7360 0.0832007 .
time2006 1.3633e+02 5.6353e+01 2.4193 0.0159200 *
time2007 1.5894e+02 5.7175e+01 2.7798 0.0056504 **
time2008 1.7581e+02 5.7123e+01 3.0777 0.0022041 **
time2009 3.6743e+02 5.7972e+01 6.3380 5.336e-10 ***
time2010 4.1430e+02 5.8791e+01 7.0471 6.323e-12 ***
time2011 4.0152e+02 5.8364e+01 6.8795 1.865e-11 ***
time2012 3.9486e+02 5.8743e+01 6.7218 5.064e-11 ***
time2013 3.5141e+02 5.9149e+01 5.9412 5.413e-09 ***
time2014 3.3247e+02 5.9566e+01 5.5815 3.976e-08 ***
time2015 2.9799e+02 5.9982e+01 4.9681 9.396e-07 ***
time2016 3.1055e+02 5.9294e+01 5.2374 2.434e-07 ***
time2017 2.9690e+02 5.9581e+01 4.9831 8.725e-07 ***
time2018 3.0554e+02 5.9868e+01 5.1036 4.797e-07 ***
time2019 2.5314e+02 6.0139e+01 4.2091 3.056e-05 ***
iis172 1.3280e+03 1.7771e+02 7.4731 3.693e-13 ***
iis173 2.0922e+03 1.7861e+02 11.7136 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis174 2.6222e+03 1.7944e+02 14.6132 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis175 3.0328e+03 1.8013e+02 16.8366 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis326 1.8113e+03 3.0903e+02 5.8612 8.508e-09 ***
iis327 1.7092e+03 2.9633e+02 5.7679 1.433e-08 ***
iis328 1.6118e+03 2.8387e+02 5.6778 2.355e-08 ***
iis329 1.4811e+03 2.7163e+02 5.4526 7.928e-08 ***
iis330 1.4018e+03 2.5968e+02 5.3984 1.055e-07 ***
iis331 1.2747e+03 2.4801e+02 5.1399 3.996e-07 ***
iis332 1.1436e+03 2.3685e+02 4.8283 1.850e-06 ***
iis333 1.0688e+03 2.2623e+02 4.7243 3.030e-06 ***
iis334 9.4297e+02 2.1636e+02 4.3583 1.602e-05 ***
iis335 8.4926e+02 2.0737e+02 4.0954 4.940e-05 ***
iis336 7.5290e+02 1.9932e+02 3.7773 0.0001783 ***
iis337 6.2889e+02 1.9237e+02 3.2692 0.0011552 **
iis338 5.0906e+02 1.8670e+02 2.7266 0.0066304 **
iis339 4.7327e+02 1.8158e+02 2.6065 0.0094300 **
iis399 -1.9821e+03 1.7652e+02 -11.2285 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis400 -1.8598e+03 1.7649e+02 -10.5378 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis401 -1.6778e+03 1.7630e+02 -9.5169 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis402 -1.3264e+03 1.7630e+02 -7.5236 2.616e-13 ***
iis414 1.5688e+03 2.2751e+02 6.8956 1.682e-11 ***
iis415 2.4427e+03 2.2756e+02 10.7342 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis416 2.0698e+03 2.2753e+02 9.0967 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis417 1.4725e+03 2.2751e+02 6.4722 2.372e-10 ***
iis418 1.3302e+03 2.2750e+02 5.8472 9.205e-09 ***
iis419 9.9457e+02 2.2750e+02 4.3718 1.510e-05 ***
iis420 1.0876e+03 2.2756e+02 4.7795 2.334e-06 ***
iis421 1.3721e+03 2.2755e+02 6.0298 3.260e-09 ***
iis422 1.3837e+03 2.2754e+02 6.0811 2.424e-09 ***
iis574 -1.5672e+03 1.7698e+02 -8.8553 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis575 -1.4369e+03 1.7685e+02 -8.1247 3.768e-15 ***
iis576 -1.2711e+03 1.7656e+02 -7.1989 2.332e-12 ***
iis577 -1.1293e+03 1.7646e+02 -6.4001 3.672e-10 ***
iis578 -8.2924e+02 1.7621e+02 -4.7059 3.303e-06 ***
iis584 8.1518e+02 1.7619e+02 4.6268 4.774e-06 ***
iis585 1.4019e+03 1.7626e+02 7.9535 1.292e-14 ***
iis586 2.2593e+03 1.7653e+02 12.7988 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis587 2.7181e+03 1.7653e+02 15.3973 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis588 3.0053e+03 1.7689e+02 16.9894 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis589 3.5423e+03 1.7715e+02 19.9963 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis590 3.8915e+03 1.7762e+02 21.9086 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis591 4.7629e+03 1.7772e+02 26.8005 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis592 5.3198e+03 1.7780e+02 29.9196 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis593 4.4101e+03 1.7791e+02 24.7878 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis594 4.3496e+03 1.7804e+02 24.4311 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis595 4.3866e+03 1.7894e+02 24.5142 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis596 3.9738e+03 1.7910e+02 22.1870 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis597 3.5747e+03 1.7923e+02 19.9450 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis598 2.9179e+03 1.7933e+02 16.2710 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisAUS.2009 -2.4359e+02 6.5728e+01 -3.7060 0.0002349 ***
fesisBEL.2008 -1.8508e+02 6.5329e+01 -2.8330 0.0048034 **
fesisBRA.2009 -3.6336e+02 6.8087e+01 -5.3368 1.456e-07 ***
fesisCHN.2011 9.2788e+02 1.0721e+02 8.6551 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2007 1.0894e+03 1.6758e+02 6.5006 1.994e-10 ***
fesisDEU.2008 6.1378e+02 1.6773e+02 3.6595 0.0002805 ***
fesisIND.2016 -5.1759e+02 1.2506e+02 -4.1388 4.117e-05 ***
fesisJPN.2004 1.0537e+03 9.7495e+01 10.8074 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2010 6.6803e+02 1.7403e+02 3.8385 0.0001402 ***
fesisKOR.2000 -7.7597e+02 1.1236e+02 -6.9064 1.570e-11 ***
fesisNOR.2009 -2.4925e+02 6.5779e+01 -3.7893 0.0001701 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -3.6372e+02 6.5382e+01 -5.5630 4.394e-08 ***
fesisSGP.2009 -2.2569e+02 6.5760e+01 -3.4320 0.0006504 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 186.48 1 < 2.2e-16 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 120.16 1 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 157.19555
R-squared 0.99387
Log-lik.(n=598) -3815.90460 1
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 10:45:19 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 574
Sample: 1 to 574
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 9.5750e-01 8.9463e-03 107.0268 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp -3.0451e-13 1.2934e-13 -2.3543 0.0189498 *
pop 1.8448e-07 1.1472e-07 1.6081 0.1084540
idAUT 8.7528e+00 1.8634e+01 0.4697 0.6387602
idBEL -8.4834e-01 1.8622e+01 -0.0456 0.9636834
idBRA -3.8253e+01 2.6833e+01 -1.4256 0.1546202
idCAN 2.1139e+01 1.8756e+01 1.1271 0.2602521
idCHE 3.6534e+00 1.8639e+01 0.1960 0.8446837
idCHN -1.7625e+02 1.4543e+02 -1.2119 0.2261280
idDEU 2.1838e+02 2.9692e+01 7.3547 8.035e-13 ***
idDNK 1.3658e+01 1.8668e+01 0.7316 0.4647467
idESP -3.6836e+00 1.8762e+01 -0.1963 0.8444289
idFIN 2.0803e-01 1.8669e+01 0.0111 0.9911138
idFRA 6.1813e+01 2.0257e+01 3.0514 0.0024002 **
idGBR 3.5889e+01 1.9645e+01 1.8269 0.0683169 .
idIND -1.7901e+02 1.3334e+02 -1.3425 0.1800568
idISR -1.0657e+00 1.9100e+01 -0.0558 0.9555261
idITA 9.8262e+00 1.9117e+01 0.5140 0.6074879
idJPN 5.1270e+02 7.1769e+01 7.1438 3.281e-12 ***
idKOR 3.2827e+02 1.1251e+02 2.9178 0.0036863 **
idNLD 1.1765e+01 1.8605e+01 0.6324 0.5274446
idNOR -2.8672e+00 1.8712e+01 -0.1532 0.8782802
idRUS -8.0326e+00 2.3614e+01 -0.3402 0.7338757
idSGP -4.8885e+00 1.8708e+01 -0.2613 0.7939613
idSWE 9.0842e+00 1.8636e+01 0.4875 0.6261528
idUSA 2.9699e+02 4.5581e+01 6.5157 1.789e-10 ***
time1996 -9.7703e+00 1.8759e+01 -0.5208 0.6027221
time1997 -1.3726e+01 1.8731e+01 -0.7328 0.4640466
time1998 -4.8478e+00 1.8539e+01 -0.2615 0.7938254
time1999 5.8527e+00 1.8681e+01 0.3133 0.7541942
time2000 1.5005e+01 1.8681e+01 0.8032 0.4222465
time2001 3.9889e+00 1.8518e+01 0.2154 0.8295378
time2002 -1.2786e+01 1.8541e+01 -0.6896 0.4907542
time2003 -1.2225e+01 1.8796e+01 -0.6504 0.5157467
time2004 2.4513e+01 1.8627e+01 1.3160 0.1887920
time2005 2.0116e+01 1.8605e+01 1.0812 0.2801386
time2006 3.4841e+01 1.8640e+01 1.8692 0.0621935 .
time2007 5.3194e+01 1.8913e+01 2.8126 0.0051099 **
time2008 4.1833e+01 1.8880e+01 2.2157 0.0271682 *
time2009 4.9794e+01 1.9052e+01 2.6136 0.0092333 **
time2010 5.8025e+01 1.9196e+01 3.0228 0.0026348 **
time2011 2.2075e+01 1.9310e+01 1.1432 0.2535215
time2012 -1.3117e+01 1.9372e+01 -0.6771 0.4986435
time2013 -2.0664e+01 1.9618e+01 -1.0533 0.2927109
time2014 -1.4480e+01 1.9273e+01 -0.7513 0.4528268
time2015 -1.5823e+01 1.9321e+01 -0.8190 0.4132103
time2016 1.0781e+01 1.9271e+01 0.5594 0.5761267
time2017 2.6103e+01 1.9610e+01 1.3311 0.1837679
time2018 1.2459e+01 1.9473e+01 0.6398 0.5225872
time2019 -4.5403e+01 1.9673e+01 -2.3079 0.0214189 *
iis165 8.6288e+02 7.0448e+01 12.2484 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis166 6.5130e+02 7.2388e+01 8.9974 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis167 4.8000e+02 7.4420e+01 6.4499 2.676e-10 ***
iis168 3.7420e+02 7.6388e+01 4.8986 1.311e-06 ***
iis186 -5.1682e+02 6.8113e+01 -7.5876 1.639e-13 ***
iis386 4.0678e+02 7.0029e+01 5.8088 1.130e-08 ***
iis387 5.0092e+02 6.9444e+01 7.2133 2.071e-12 ***
iis390 2.9622e+02 6.9330e+01 4.2726 2.319e-05 ***
iis395 -2.4225e+02 7.8461e+01 -3.0875 0.0021322 **
iis396 7.6661e+02 7.9421e+01 9.6525 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis397 2.0089e+03 7.8112e+01 25.7176 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis398 1.0880e+03 7.5966e+01 14.3223 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis400 -2.9409e+02 7.6104e+01 -3.8643 0.0001263 ***
iis406 -1.5312e+03 7.6089e+01 -20.1241 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis426 -5.7014e+02 7.0447e+01 -8.0932 4.571e-15 ***
iis428 -5.1282e+02 7.1901e+01 -7.1322 3.542e-12 ***
iis562 3.3465e+02 7.1383e+01 4.6881 3.575e-06 ***
iis567 8.7985e+02 8.0708e+01 10.9017 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis568 5.7227e+02 8.0732e+01 7.0884 4.722e-12 ***
iis569 -8.5294e+02 8.0949e+01 -10.5368 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis572 -4.3315e+02 8.0651e+01 -5.3706 1.211e-07 ***
iis573 -4.0218e+02 8.0681e+01 -4.9848 8.605e-07 ***
iis574 -6.8101e+02 8.0974e+01 -8.4102 4.441e-16 ***
fesisCHN.2008 2.3590e+02 3.2369e+01 7.2877 1.261e-12 ***
fesisJPN.2008 -2.7151e+02 5.5536e+01 -4.8890 1.374e-06 ***
fesisJPN.2016 3.8762e+02 5.4010e+01 7.1768 2.638e-12 ***
fesisKOR.2003 2.8913e+02 5.6340e+01 5.1318 4.135e-07 ***
fesisKOR.2009 6.3796e+02 5.9163e+01 10.7831 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2011 -3.5758e+02 6.3249e+01 -5.6535 2.665e-08 ***
fesisUSA.2005 3.6426e+02 4.3496e+01 8.3744 5.797e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2012 -3.7884e+02 5.7808e+01 -6.5535 1.418e-10 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 5.1493 1 0.02326 *
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 15.8638 1 6.807e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 64.34689
R-squared 0.99894
Log-lik.(n=574) -3164.27237 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 10:45:21 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 574
Sample: 1 to 574
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 9.4867e-01 8.4378e-03 112.4312 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp -1.5172e-13 1.3055e-13 -1.1622 0.2457288
pop 1.4420e-07 8.8871e-08 1.6226 0.1053365
idAUT 8.6414e+00 1.3960e+01 0.6190 0.5362040
idBEL -1.6681e+00 1.3953e+01 -0.1196 0.9048840
idBRA -3.2942e+01 2.0462e+01 -1.6099 0.1080688
idCAN 2.3729e+01 1.4103e+01 1.6825 0.0931151 .
idCHE 3.3381e+00 1.3964e+01 0.2391 0.8111655
idCHN -1.2835e+02 1.1216e+02 -1.1443 0.2530473
idDEU 1.8258e+02 2.3134e+01 7.8925 2.009e-14 ***
idDNK 1.3308e+01 1.3990e+01 0.9512 0.3419573
idESP -2.8699e+00 1.4065e+01 -0.2040 0.8384074
idFIN -6.9792e-01 1.3988e+01 -0.0499 0.9602262
idFRA 6.9678e+01 1.5600e+01 4.4664 9.919e-06 ***
idGBR 4.1688e+01 1.4926e+01 2.7930 0.0054299 **
idIND -1.4313e+02 1.0197e+02 -1.4037 0.1610437
idISR -1.7595e+00 1.4310e+01 -0.1230 0.9021966
idITA 1.2639e+01 1.4360e+01 0.8801 0.3792199
idJPN 4.2739e+02 6.7561e+01 6.3259 5.755e-10 ***
idKOR 1.9915e+02 1.1202e+02 1.7779 0.0760534 .
idNLD 1.2585e+01 1.3946e+01 0.9024 0.3672941
idNOR -4.7589e+00 1.4036e+01 -0.3391 0.7347185
idRUS -1.4375e+01 1.8084e+01 -0.7949 0.4270562
idSGP -6.5245e+00 1.4029e+01 -0.4651 0.6420819
idSWE 8.6337e+00 1.3968e+01 0.6181 0.5367961
idUSA 3.5414e+02 3.6112e+01 9.8065 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1996 -6.0344e+00 1.4078e+01 -0.4286 0.6683833
time1997 -9.9645e+00 1.4050e+01 -0.7092 0.4785216
time1998 -5.9292e-01 1.3919e+01 -0.0426 0.9660393
time1999 8.0379e+00 1.4016e+01 0.5735 0.5666001
time2000 1.7010e+01 1.4014e+01 1.2138 0.2254341
time2001 8.3945e+00 1.3914e+01 0.6033 0.5465785
time2002 -8.5108e+00 1.3942e+01 -0.6104 0.5418694
time2003 3.1757e+00 1.4273e+01 0.2225 0.8240189
time2004 2.0791e+01 1.4148e+01 1.4696 0.1423261
time2005 2.5713e+01 1.3977e+01 1.8397 0.0664338 .
time2006 2.9263e+01 1.3996e+01 2.0908 0.0370702 *
time2007 3.6756e+01 1.4310e+01 2.5685 0.0105152 *
time2008 3.4702e+01 1.4186e+01 2.4463 0.0147911 *
time2009 4.0323e+01 1.4425e+01 2.7953 0.0053919 **
time2010 5.6399e+01 1.4552e+01 3.8756 0.0001211 ***
time2011 1.8957e+01 1.4607e+01 1.2977 0.1949944
time2012 4.7735e+00 1.4714e+01 0.3244 0.7457647
time2013 -1.5288e+01 1.4806e+01 -1.0326 0.3023195
time2014 -1.0379e+01 1.4531e+01 -0.7143 0.4753845
time2015 -2.1834e+01 1.4635e+01 -1.4919 0.1363815
time2016 1.5336e-01 1.4644e+01 0.0105 0.9916482
time2017 2.8068e+01 1.4749e+01 1.9030 0.0576334 .
time2018 2.0545e+01 1.4722e+01 1.3956 0.1634751
time2019 -1.1018e+01 1.4990e+01 -0.7350 0.4626867
iis164 2.0772e+02 5.3172e+01 3.9066 0.0001070 ***
iis165 9.0671e+02 5.3647e+01 16.9014 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis166 6.9143e+02 5.5889e+01 12.3715 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis167 5.2066e+02 5.8318e+01 8.9280 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis168 3.9326e+02 6.0695e+01 6.4793 2.280e-10 ***
iis186 -2.4239e+02 6.9765e+01 -3.4744 0.0005582 ***
iis192 -5.4698e+02 5.4286e+01 -10.0759 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis386 4.5167e+02 5.3140e+01 8.4996 2.395e-16 ***
iis387 5.4992e+02 5.2680e+01 10.4389 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis390 3.3758e+02 5.2903e+01 6.3812 4.131e-10 ***
iis391 2.2528e+02 5.3265e+01 4.2294 2.805e-05 ***
iis394 2.5908e+02 5.4430e+01 4.7598 2.565e-06 ***
iis395 -2.4972e+02 5.9968e+01 -4.1642 3.702e-05 ***
iis396 7.6284e+02 6.1149e+01 12.4752 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis397 2.0002e+03 5.9518e+01 33.6066 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis398 1.0976e+03 5.6957e+01 19.2700 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis400 -2.9117e+02 5.7025e+01 -5.1059 4.748e-07 ***
iis406 -1.5638e+03 5.7088e+01 -27.3917 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis420 1.7153e+02 7.0817e+01 2.4222 0.0157958 *
iis426 -8.3161e+02 7.0137e+01 -11.8570 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis428 -3.7265e+02 6.1284e+01 -6.0807 2.437e-09 ***
iis558 -2.7326e+02 5.3012e+01 -5.1546 3.715e-07 ***
iis562 3.4025e+02 5.3597e+01 6.3484 5.030e-10 ***
iis567 8.4958e+02 6.0593e+01 14.0210 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis568 5.6229e+02 6.0525e+01 9.2903 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis569 -8.5697e+02 6.0832e+01 -14.0874 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis572 -4.4320e+02 6.0428e+01 -7.3343 9.505e-13 ***
iis573 -4.2202e+02 6.0516e+01 -6.9737 1.022e-11 ***
iis574 -7.3051e+02 6.0882e+01 -11.9987 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisCHN.2008 2.2219e+02 2.5472e+01 8.7231 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2006 2.7178e+02 2.7922e+01 9.7337 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -4.7801e+02 5.3872e+01 -8.8730 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2014 2.8824e+02 5.4267e+01 5.3115 1.664e-07 ***
fesisJPN.2008 -1.9103e+02 4.8969e+01 -3.9012 0.0001093 ***
fesisJPN.2016 3.8502e+02 4.0675e+01 9.4658 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2003 2.5141e+02 5.1204e+01 4.9099 1.250e-06 ***
fesisKOR.2009 5.3708e+02 6.1588e+01 8.7206 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2011 -3.0775e+02 5.7375e+01 -5.3638 1.267e-07 ***
fesisKOR.2015 2.7447e+02 5.9062e+01 4.6471 4.351e-06 ***
fesisKOR.2017 -4.2434e+02 6.2513e+01 -6.7880 3.350e-11 ***
fesisUSA.2005 3.6997e+02 3.7314e+01 9.9151 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2012 -3.5198e+02 4.5211e+01 -7.7852 4.289e-14 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.3037 1 0.253531
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 7.0262 1 0.008033 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 48.19845
R-squared 0.99942
Log-lik.(n=574) -2992.90839 Count Ma
0
0.01
Formula: count_ma~ gdp_ma + pop_ma
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 10:47:38 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 598
Sample: 1 to 598
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp_ma -0.17513 0.27753 -0.6310 0.5282963
pop_ma 5.89936 1.08037 5.4605 7.258e-08 ***
idAUT 7.12345 2.60097 2.7388 0.0063712 **
idBEL 8.53469 2.57539 3.3139 0.0009817 ***
idBRA 16.39926 2.39263 6.8541 1.969e-11 ***
idCAN 4.87331 2.40159 2.0292 0.0429288 *
idCHE 2.39194 2.46833 0.9691 0.3329545
idCHN 27.66991 2.99370 9.2427 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDEU 9.20272 2.80012 3.2865 0.0010803 **
idDNK 14.37296 2.61037 5.5061 5.685e-08 ***
idESP 9.95394 2.49724 3.9860 7.646e-05 ***
idFIN 7.16883 2.64345 2.7119 0.0069031 **
idFRA 7.90892 2.58624 3.0581 0.0023383 **
idGBR 6.58894 2.54617 2.5878 0.0099199 **
idIND 17.14274 2.52602 6.7865 3.037e-11 ***
idISR 2.53353 2.50845 1.0100 0.3129495
idITA 8.93907 2.77711 3.2188 0.0013646 **
idJPN 8.68452 2.84837 3.0489 0.0024092 **
idKOR 17.93266 2.55189 7.0272 6.392e-12 ***
idNLD 8.32082 2.58112 3.2237 0.0013419 **
idNOR 9.40108 2.45393 3.8310 0.0001426 ***
idRUS 13.82379 2.87966 4.8005 2.053e-06 ***
idSGP 6.93917 2.77949 2.4966 0.0128376 *
idSWE 5.51819 2.51067 2.1979 0.0283814 *
idUSA 5.21740 2.43099 2.1462 0.0323027 *
time1995 0.29398 3.03967 0.0967 0.9229883
time1996 -0.36595 3.02718 -0.1209 0.9038255
time1997 5.71603 2.97539 1.9211 0.0552459 .
time1998 1.56435 2.99876 0.5217 0.6021179
time1999 4.06988 3.04112 1.3383 0.1813693
time2000 0.76600 3.01228 0.2543 0.7993660
time2001 -1.96329 2.99122 -0.6564 0.5118782
time2002 -2.88477 2.87261 -1.0042 0.3157167
time2003 -2.12711 2.96402 -0.7176 0.4732875
time2004 2.84116 2.99353 0.9491 0.3429960
time2005 5.05737 3.05550 1.6552 0.0984724 .
time2006 6.79787 3.08176 2.2058 0.0278163 *
time2007 3.92404 3.09326 1.2686 0.2051395
time2008 0.89079 2.96589 0.3003 0.7640289
time2009 -0.95312 2.93144 -0.3251 0.7452032
time2010 -2.40609 2.88417 -0.8342 0.4045159
time2011 -6.22073 2.94222 -2.1143 0.0349484 *
time2012 -13.03103 2.88514 -4.5166 7.726e-06 ***
time2013 -16.27928 2.88438 -5.6439 2.689e-08 ***
time2014 -17.17446 2.88812 -5.9466 4.925e-09 ***
time2015 -13.05177 2.89749 -4.5045 8.162e-06 ***
time2016 -11.37172 2.89136 -3.9330 9.485e-05 ***
time2017 -8.85165 2.88036 -3.0731 0.0022256 **
time2018 -12.49336 2.84152 -4.3967 1.324e-05 ***
time2019 -10.32336 2.70952 -3.8100 0.0001550 ***
iis524 -28.77111 8.97886 -3.2043 0.0014339 **
iis525 -43.20423 8.98553 -4.8082 1.979e-06 ***
iis526 942.71489 9.00747 104.6593 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis527 1000.70537 8.83586 113.2550 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis528 1023.22526 8.80386 116.2246 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis530 -32.18049 8.79299 -3.6598 0.0002773 ***
iis532 37.35010 8.96078 4.1682 3.577e-05 ***
iis533 37.40513 8.87905 4.2127 2.957e-05 ***
iis535 -24.02121 8.91786 -2.6936 0.0072885 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 111.410 1 < 2.2e-16 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 70.322 1 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 8.33843
R-squared 0.98796
Log-lik.(n=598) -2087.30856 0.05
Formula: count_ma~ gdp_ma + pop_ma
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 10:47:40 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 598
Sample: 1 to 598
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp_ma -0.17513 0.27753 -0.6310 0.5282963
pop_ma 5.89936 1.08037 5.4605 7.258e-08 ***
idAUT 7.12345 2.60097 2.7388 0.0063712 **
idBEL 8.53469 2.57539 3.3139 0.0009817 ***
idBRA 16.39926 2.39263 6.8541 1.969e-11 ***
idCAN 4.87331 2.40159 2.0292 0.0429288 *
idCHE 2.39194 2.46833 0.9691 0.3329545
idCHN 27.66991 2.99370 9.2427 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDEU 9.20272 2.80012 3.2865 0.0010803 **
idDNK 14.37296 2.61037 5.5061 5.685e-08 ***
idESP 9.95394 2.49724 3.9860 7.646e-05 ***
idFIN 7.16883 2.64345 2.7119 0.0069031 **
idFRA 7.90892 2.58624 3.0581 0.0023383 **
idGBR 6.58894 2.54617 2.5878 0.0099199 **
idIND 17.14274 2.52602 6.7865 3.037e-11 ***
idISR 2.53353 2.50845 1.0100 0.3129495
idITA 8.93907 2.77711 3.2188 0.0013646 **
idJPN 8.68452 2.84837 3.0489 0.0024092 **
idKOR 17.93266 2.55189 7.0272 6.392e-12 ***
idNLD 8.32082 2.58112 3.2237 0.0013419 **
idNOR 9.40108 2.45393 3.8310 0.0001426 ***
idRUS 13.82379 2.87966 4.8005 2.053e-06 ***
idSGP 6.93917 2.77949 2.4966 0.0128376 *
idSWE 5.51819 2.51067 2.1979 0.0283814 *
idUSA 5.21740 2.43099 2.1462 0.0323027 *
time1995 0.29398 3.03967 0.0967 0.9229883
time1996 -0.36595 3.02718 -0.1209 0.9038255
time1997 5.71603 2.97539 1.9211 0.0552459 .
time1998 1.56435 2.99876 0.5217 0.6021179
time1999 4.06988 3.04112 1.3383 0.1813693
time2000 0.76600 3.01228 0.2543 0.7993660
time2001 -1.96329 2.99122 -0.6564 0.5118782
time2002 -2.88477 2.87261 -1.0042 0.3157167
time2003 -2.12711 2.96402 -0.7176 0.4732875
time2004 2.84116 2.99353 0.9491 0.3429960
time2005 5.05737 3.05550 1.6552 0.0984724 .
time2006 6.79787 3.08176 2.2058 0.0278163 *
time2007 3.92404 3.09326 1.2686 0.2051395
time2008 0.89079 2.96589 0.3003 0.7640289
time2009 -0.95312 2.93144 -0.3251 0.7452032
time2010 -2.40609 2.88417 -0.8342 0.4045159
time2011 -6.22073 2.94222 -2.1143 0.0349484 *
time2012 -13.03103 2.88514 -4.5166 7.726e-06 ***
time2013 -16.27928 2.88438 -5.6439 2.689e-08 ***
time2014 -17.17446 2.88812 -5.9466 4.925e-09 ***
time2015 -13.05177 2.89749 -4.5045 8.162e-06 ***
time2016 -11.37172 2.89136 -3.9330 9.485e-05 ***
time2017 -8.85165 2.88036 -3.0731 0.0022256 **
time2018 -12.49336 2.84152 -4.3967 1.324e-05 ***
time2019 -10.32336 2.70952 -3.8100 0.0001550 ***
iis524 -28.77111 8.97886 -3.2043 0.0014339 **
iis525 -43.20423 8.98553 -4.8082 1.979e-06 ***
iis526 942.71489 9.00747 104.6593 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis527 1000.70537 8.83586 113.2550 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis528 1023.22526 8.80386 116.2246 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis530 -32.18049 8.79299 -3.6598 0.0002773 ***
iis532 37.35010 8.96078 4.1682 3.577e-05 ***
iis533 37.40513 8.87905 4.2127 2.957e-05 ***
iis535 -24.02121 8.91786 -2.6936 0.0072885 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 111.410 1 < 2.2e-16 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 70.322 1 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 8.33843
R-squared 0.98796
Log-lik.(n=598) -2087.30856 1
0.01
Formula: count_ma~ gdp_ma + pop_ma
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 10:47:35 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 574
Sample: 1 to 574
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.436022 0.037575 11.6040 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp_ma -0.097228 0.270592 -0.3593 0.7195059
pop_ma 4.091174 0.989345 4.1352 4.139e-05 ***
idAUT 4.370465 2.389522 1.8290 0.0679748 .
idBEL 5.088900 2.372224 2.1452 0.0324028 *
idBRA 8.356241 2.278960 3.6667 0.0002712 ***
idCAN 2.565155 2.204904 1.1634 0.2452107
idCHE 1.491230 2.257645 0.6605 0.5092119
idCHN 15.542429 2.934514 5.2964 1.751e-07 ***
idDEU 5.884179 2.586214 2.2752 0.0233027 *
idDNK 8.592322 2.446428 3.5122 0.0004834 ***
idESP 5.475382 2.310960 2.3693 0.0181884 *
idFIN 4.721218 2.430959 1.9421 0.0526662 .
idFRA 4.765138 2.381820 2.0006 0.0459558 *
idGBR 4.011793 2.337127 1.7165 0.0866617 .
idIND 8.149818 2.410795 3.3806 0.0007782 ***
idISR 0.711997 2.291000 0.3108 0.7560932
idITA 5.648556 2.568209 2.1994 0.0282913 *
idJPN 5.251185 2.636663 1.9916 0.0469414 *
idKOR 9.644351 2.415829 3.9921 7.498e-05 ***
idNLD 4.525750 2.379966 1.9016 0.0577798 .
idNOR 4.847535 2.269069 2.1364 0.0331204 *
idRUS 8.029899 2.664130 3.0141 0.0027044 **
idSGP -23.273581 4.368161 -5.3280 1.486e-07 ***
idSWE 3.162826 2.301243 1.3744 0.1699144
idUSA 2.902366 2.235902 1.2981 0.1948418
time1996 -1.320701 2.783560 -0.4745 0.6353692
time1997 5.904566 2.735901 2.1582 0.0313744 *
time1998 -1.481789 2.766915 -0.5355 0.5925085
time1999 2.882165 2.800489 1.0292 0.3038844
time2000 -1.652666 2.803503 -0.5895 0.5557838
time2001 -2.960909 2.700276 -1.0965 0.2733622
time2002 -3.083029 2.673507 -1.1532 0.2493712
time2003 -1.170865 2.715153 -0.4312 0.6664786
time2004 3.206083 2.746129 1.1675 0.2435510
time2005 3.828130 2.801357 1.3665 0.1723688
time2006 4.275427 2.846302 1.5021 0.1336833
time2007 1.032618 2.849778 0.3624 0.7172385
time2008 -1.236744 2.707755 -0.4567 0.6480493
time2009 -2.088580 2.670307 -0.7821 0.4344853
time2010 -2.832933 2.627577 -1.0782 0.2814687
time2011 -5.880664 2.692443 -2.1841 0.0294016 *
time2012 -10.772283 2.637125 -4.0849 5.112e-05 ***
time2013 -11.063141 2.662940 -4.1545 3.816e-05 ***
time2014 -10.642431 2.688967 -3.9578 8.624e-05 ***
time2015 -6.098132 2.706932 -2.2528 0.0246921 *
time2016 -6.278455 2.674323 -2.3477 0.0192675 *
time2017 -4.466863 2.657369 -1.6809 0.0933808 .
time2018 -9.185290 2.609516 -3.5199 0.0004699 ***
time2019 -5.231819 2.489442 -2.1016 0.0360723 *
iis504 986.454511 8.739466 112.8735 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis505 612.618190 36.789338 16.6521 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis506 611.605122 38.765904 15.7769 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis507 -415.521068 39.507588 -10.5175 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis509 53.191851 8.849120 6.0110 3.490e-09 ***
iis510 56.947425 8.884828 6.4095 3.297e-10 ***
iis511 49.469844 8.832267 5.6010 3.469e-08 ***
fesisSGP.2007 26.019765 4.434554 5.8675 7.916e-09 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.26083 1 0.609551
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 7.91417 1 0.004905 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 7.46494
R-squared 0.99075
Log-lik.(n=574) -1939.33521 0.05
Formula: count_ma~ gdp_ma + pop_ma
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 10:47:36 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 574
Sample: 1 to 574
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.444902 0.037316 11.9224 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp_ma -0.154545 0.270290 -0.5718 0.5677249
pop_ma 1.945869 0.972456 2.0010 0.0459183 *
idAUT 2.201090 2.380048 0.9248 0.3554984
idBEL 3.031468 2.363605 1.2826 0.2002228
idBRA 7.429237 2.273382 3.2679 0.0011557 **
idCAN 1.655570 2.198255 0.7531 0.4517166
idCHE 0.137872 2.249995 0.0613 0.9511628
idCHN 13.999370 2.908247 4.8137 1.950e-06 ***
idDEU 2.850613 2.573648 1.1076 0.2685449
idDNK 6.295987 2.438782 2.5816 0.0101093 *
idESP 3.819744 2.303798 1.6580 0.0979223 .
idFIN 2.287788 2.419052 0.9457 0.3447260
idFRA 2.688475 2.373496 1.1327 0.2578643
idGBR 2.118883 2.328453 0.9100 0.3632503
idIND 8.360395 2.398363 3.4859 0.0005324 ***
idISR 1.953874 2.281366 0.8564 0.3921476
idITA 2.873296 2.559574 1.1226 0.2621441
idJPN 2.111427 2.625294 0.8043 0.4216161
idKOR 7.757109 2.402224 3.2291 0.0013209 **
idNLD 2.392666 2.370494 1.0094 0.3132793
idNOR 3.494811 2.262631 1.5446 0.1230625
idRUS 4.667147 2.645041 1.7645 0.0782424 .
idSGP 23.998754 3.801423 6.3131 5.909e-10 ***
idSWE 1.416459 2.291745 0.6181 0.5368025
idUSA 1.665074 2.228499 0.7472 0.4553003
time1996 2.086773 2.766654 0.7543 0.4510387
time1997 8.998949 2.724157 3.3034 0.0010217 **
time1998 1.591872 2.752688 0.5783 0.5633163
time1999 6.025446 2.789259 2.1602 0.0312153 *
time2000 1.512523 2.790522 0.5420 0.5880382
time2001 0.572584 2.731228 0.2096 0.8340289
time2002 0.293325 2.611943 0.1123 0.9106283
time2003 2.344622 2.655117 0.8831 0.3776171
time2004 6.443844 2.700336 2.3863 0.0173785 *
time2005 6.768397 2.802188 2.4154 0.0160652 *
time2006 7.253938 2.832138 2.5613 0.0107120 *
time2007 3.727434 2.833445 1.3155 0.1889229
time2008 1.410662 2.687218 0.5250 0.5998421
time2009 1.411695 2.660297 0.5307 0.5958878
time2010 0.480791 2.620160 0.1835 0.8544805
time2011 -2.561037 2.688790 -0.9525 0.3412970
time2012 -7.461185 2.633703 -2.8330 0.0047926 **
time2013 -7.664065 2.661481 -2.8796 0.0041472 **
time2014 -7.232311 2.689244 -2.6893 0.0073914 **
time2015 -2.673379 2.708069 -0.9872 0.3240130
time2016 -2.954525 2.674763 -1.1046 0.2698517
time2017 -1.232092 2.657831 -0.4636 0.6431513
time2018 -6.097090 2.609007 -2.3369 0.0198247 *
time2019 -2.379946 2.484517 -0.9579 0.3385572
iis503 -47.707559 8.534801 -5.5898 3.692e-08 ***
iis504 944.377871 8.631226 109.4141 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis505 559.315746 36.511811 15.3188 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis506 556.633972 38.473084 14.4681 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis507 -471.201420 39.206574 -12.0184 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis508 -54.572557 8.348421 -6.5369 1.514e-10 ***
iis512 -39.009918 8.423915 -4.6309 4.617e-06 ***
iis513 -36.412088 8.434656 -4.3170 1.898e-05 ***
fesisSGP.2009 -22.640214 4.126523 -5.4865 6.439e-08 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.020141 1 0.88714
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 9.486560 1 0.00207 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 7.44197
R-squared 0.99083
Log-lik.(n=574) -1937.06617 Log Count
0
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 10:45:33 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 598
Sample: 1 to 598
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
lgdp 1.430875 0.091646 15.6130 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop 0.185181 0.266814 0.6940 0.4879650
idAUT 2.108948 0.200256 10.5313 < 2.2e-16 ***
idBEL 1.197072 0.148963 8.0360 6.274e-15 ***
idBRA -3.970953 0.561358 -7.0738 4.891e-12 ***
idCAN 0.103659 0.135153 0.7670 0.4434444
idCHE 1.501962 0.234354 6.4089 3.289e-10 ***
idCHN -5.152648 1.006600 -5.1189 4.334e-07 ***
idDEU 1.086877 0.350081 3.1046 0.0020089 **
idDNK -0.904046 0.364939 -2.4772 0.0135567 *
idESP -0.636644 0.229923 -2.7689 0.0058245 **
idFIN 2.362342 0.297981 7.9278 1.370e-14 ***
idFRA 0.452056 0.296450 1.5249 0.1278915
idGBR 0.419839 0.295896 1.4189 0.1565357
idIND -7.592278 0.926046 -8.1986 1.912e-15 ***
idISR 0.150960 0.264094 0.5716 0.5678315
idITA -0.344800 0.282654 -1.2199 0.2230697
idJPN -5.624306 0.494939 -11.3636 < 2.2e-16 ***
idKOR -8.598328 0.516454 -16.6488 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 1.239007 0.078630 15.7575 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNOR -2.099707 0.423099 -4.9627 9.437e-07 ***
idRUS -6.699073 0.462868 -14.4730 < 2.2e-16 ***
idSGP 0.372547 0.402648 0.9252 0.3552689
idSWE -0.955203 0.267118 -3.5760 0.0003815 ***
idUSA -1.017002 0.629889 -1.6146 0.1070101
time1995 -38.285402 3.716110 -10.3025 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1996 -38.117662 3.717331 -10.2540 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1997 -38.123709 3.717341 -10.2556 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1998 -38.033891 3.717644 -10.2306 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1999 -37.975134 3.719111 -10.2108 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2000 -37.961369 3.720276 -10.2039 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2001 -37.872215 3.722008 -10.1752 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2002 -37.886588 3.723579 -10.1748 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2003 -37.755586 3.725176 -10.1353 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2004 -37.774751 3.725482 -10.1396 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2005 -37.685484 3.726357 -10.1132 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2006 -37.614800 3.728277 -10.0891 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2007 -37.525062 3.731173 -10.0572 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2008 -37.407798 3.733265 -10.0201 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2009 -37.249631 3.734465 -9.9746 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2010 -37.204443 3.736271 -9.9576 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2011 -37.171594 3.737837 -9.9447 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2012 -37.212776 3.739882 -9.9503 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2013 -37.294503 3.738750 -9.9751 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2014 -37.342188 3.740432 -9.9834 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2015 -37.411689 3.742069 -9.9976 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2016 -37.423489 3.743754 -9.9962 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2017 -37.440163 3.745215 -9.9968 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2018 -37.446423 3.746604 -9.9948 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2019 -37.545750 3.747912 -10.0178 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis76 -0.668991 0.151242 -4.4233 1.184e-05 ***
iis77 -0.681655 0.151071 -4.5122 7.941e-06 ***
iis78 -0.509863 0.150420 -3.3896 0.0007531 ***
iis87 0.677182 0.143811 4.7088 3.200e-06 ***
iis88 0.546570 0.143715 3.8032 0.0001598 ***
iis202 -0.428097 0.145388 -2.9445 0.0033793 **
iis504 0.459926 0.148359 3.1001 0.0020394 **
iis525 -0.630526 0.196825 -3.2035 0.0014410 **
iis526 -2.272402 0.145694 -15.5971 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -0.311594 0.083116 -3.7489 0.0001975 ***
fesisAUS.2009 -0.478345 0.082990 -5.7639 1.410e-08 ***
fesisBRA.2004 0.491060 0.069283 7.0877 4.464e-12 ***
fesisCHE.2003 -0.474822 0.060626 -7.8321 2.717e-14 ***
fesisCHN.2004 0.766295 0.094705 8.0914 4.195e-15 ***
fesisCHN.2016 0.556427 0.092198 6.0351 3.021e-09 ***
fesisDNK.2007 0.726306 0.057943 12.5349 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisESP.2005 0.551610 0.058495 9.4301 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisIND.2000 0.540276 0.094145 5.7388 1.621e-08 ***
fesisIND.2004 0.292510 0.086668 3.3751 0.0007931 ***
fesisISR.2013 -0.318982 0.071459 -4.4639 9.877e-06 ***
fesisITA.2012 0.319052 0.062477 5.1067 4.609e-07 ***
fesisKOR.2004 0.627954 0.076388 8.2206 1.626e-15 ***
fesisKOR.2010 0.264574 0.073209 3.6140 0.0003308 ***
fesisRUS.2003 -0.250401 0.091876 -2.7254 0.0066383 **
fesisRUS.2007 -0.348350 0.082850 -4.2046 3.080e-05 ***
fesisSGP.1997 0.493078 0.149255 3.3036 0.0010203 **
fesisSGP.2013 -0.253456 0.073401 -3.4531 0.0005995 ***
fesisSWE.2001 -0.504688 0.065979 -7.6492 9.865e-14 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 65.064 1 7.772e-16 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 44.528 1 2.508e-11 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.13578
R-squared 0.99327
Log-lik.(n=598) 384.50294 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 10:45:28 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 598
Sample: 1 to 598
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
lgdp 1.625315 0.076026 21.3784 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop 0.385616 0.229522 1.6801 0.0935783 .
idAUT 3.075023 0.191535 16.0546 < 2.2e-16 ***
idBEL 1.875594 0.144809 12.9522 < 2.2e-16 ***
idBRA -4.281755 0.482685 -8.8707 < 2.2e-16 ***
idCAN 0.405639 0.115147 3.5228 0.0004669 ***
idCHE 2.098018 0.217675 9.6383 < 2.2e-16 ***
idCHN -6.209937 0.878177 -7.0714 5.305e-12 ***
idDEU 0.966378 0.302029 3.1996 0.0014651 **
idDNK -0.371666 0.319658 -1.1627 0.2455175
idESP -0.360781 0.194269 -1.8571 0.0638927 .
idFIN 3.697083 0.283922 13.0215 < 2.2e-16 ***
idFRA 0.443629 0.254393 1.7439 0.0818077 .
idGBR 0.451202 0.252943 1.7838 0.0750715 .
idIND -8.582428 0.814675 -10.5348 < 2.2e-16 ***
idISR 0.765170 0.238859 3.2034 0.0014462 **
idITA -0.300509 0.241592 -1.2439 0.2141413
idJPN -6.848033 0.442084 -15.4903 < 2.2e-16 ***
idKOR -9.680748 0.443341 -21.8359 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 1.728160 0.080943 21.3504 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNOR -1.553801 0.370491 -4.1939 3.254e-05 ***
idRUS -7.752840 0.409234 -18.9448 < 2.2e-16 ***
idSGP 1.426167 0.366569 3.8906 0.0001138 ***
idSWE -0.643516 0.231974 -2.7741 0.0057465 **
idUSA -1.734144 0.552577 -3.1383 0.0018016 **
time1995 -47.360652 3.366319 -14.0690 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1996 -47.243339 3.366299 -14.0342 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1997 -47.169589 3.366285 -14.0124 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1998 -47.120721 3.366697 -13.9961 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1999 -47.082252 3.368828 -13.9759 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2000 -47.056969 3.369356 -13.9662 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2001 -46.978998 3.371038 -13.9361 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2002 -46.978737 3.372386 -13.9304 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2003 -46.893123 3.372933 -13.9028 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2004 -46.865711 3.373817 -13.8910 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2005 -46.779203 3.374956 -13.8607 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2006 -46.723576 3.376794 -13.8367 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2007 -46.625371 3.379133 -13.7980 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2008 -46.509233 3.381051 -13.7559 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2009 -46.344470 3.381890 -13.7037 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2010 -46.306401 3.383559 -13.6857 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2011 -46.280399 3.385037 -13.6721 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2012 -46.313236 3.386451 -13.6760 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2013 -46.391870 3.385426 -13.7034 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2014 -46.431872 3.386415 -13.7112 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2015 -46.506828 3.387925 -13.7272 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2016 -46.535277 3.389184 -13.7305 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2017 -46.544802 3.390733 -13.7271 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2018 -46.568779 3.391858 -13.7296 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2019 -46.658830 3.392644 -13.7529 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis1 0.605434 0.129237 4.6847 3.635e-06 ***
iis2 0.271024 0.129041 2.1003 0.0362130 *
iis4 0.391021 0.127994 3.0550 0.0023731 **
iis5 0.371283 0.128111 2.8981 0.0039218 **
iis6 0.307469 0.127781 2.4062 0.0164872 *
iis7 0.387468 0.127717 3.0338 0.0025429 **
iis8 0.296037 0.127644 2.3192 0.0207918 *
iis9 0.263888 0.127447 2.0706 0.0389210 *
iis10 0.344694 0.127397 2.7057 0.0070537 **
iis76 -0.619167 0.129227 -4.7913 2.198e-06 ***
iis77 -0.588719 0.128866 -4.5685 6.222e-06 ***
iis78 -0.506222 0.127962 -3.9560 8.743e-05 ***
iis87 0.801652 0.121178 6.6155 9.704e-11 ***
iis88 0.649045 0.121078 5.3606 1.279e-07 ***
iis97 0.335041 0.121189 2.7646 0.0059135 **
iis99 0.279651 0.121292 2.3056 0.0215492 *
iis100 0.286130 0.121466 2.3556 0.0188829 *
iis126 0.416799 0.126614 3.2919 0.0010669 **
iis127 0.383234 0.126581 3.0276 0.0025949 **
iis154 -0.264903 0.125881 -2.1044 0.0358516 *
iis202 -0.396929 0.122989 -3.2273 0.0013329 **
iis203 -0.275159 0.122265 -2.2505 0.0248575 *
iis233 -0.321420 0.122826 -2.6169 0.0091479 **
iis326 -0.437260 0.135430 -3.2287 0.0013268 **
iis330 -0.299811 0.134831 -2.2236 0.0266291 *
iis373 -0.346426 0.126013 -2.7491 0.0061958 **
iis424 -0.387140 0.124547 -3.1084 0.0019902 **
iis500 0.429260 0.126558 3.3918 0.0007504 ***
iis502 0.516009 0.126688 4.0731 5.409e-05 ***
iis503 0.357930 0.126261 2.8348 0.0047739 **
iis504 0.711560 0.125292 5.6792 2.319e-08 ***
iis505 0.361176 0.124859 2.8927 0.0039895 **
iis525 -0.602255 0.165858 -3.6311 0.0003118 ***
iis526 -2.192769 0.123081 -17.8156 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis528 0.479102 0.122357 3.9156 0.0001029 ***
fesisAUS.2009 -0.574169 0.065722 -8.7364 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisAUT.2002 -0.283197 0.052741 -5.3695 1.220e-07 ***
fesisBRA.2003 0.365136 0.063350 5.7638 1.455e-08 ***
fesisCAN.2007 -0.281083 0.048613 -5.7820 1.314e-08 ***
fesisCHE.2003 -0.430099 0.056373 -7.6295 1.234e-13 ***
fesisCHN.2002 0.566061 0.080783 7.0071 8.064e-12 ***
fesisCHN.2016 0.478669 0.079664 6.0086 3.650e-09 ***
fesisDNK.2007 0.672290 0.049996 13.4468 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisESP.2005 0.452461 0.051082 8.8575 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisFIN.1997 -0.426439 0.087293 -4.8851 1.401e-06 ***
fesisIND.2000 0.348546 0.090033 3.8713 0.0001229 ***
fesisIND.2004 0.249890 0.072324 3.4551 0.0005977 ***
fesisIND.2014 -0.325129 0.066117 -4.9175 1.198e-06 ***
fesisISR.2013 -0.391863 0.063644 -6.1571 1.542e-09 ***
fesisITA.2012 0.314774 0.052628 5.9812 4.271e-09 ***
fesisKOR.2004 0.504421 0.064902 7.7720 4.561e-14 ***
fesisKOR.2010 0.207719 0.061451 3.3802 0.0007820 ***
fesisNOR.2012 -0.302520 0.052126 -5.8036 1.165e-08 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -0.440171 0.061151 -7.1981 2.304e-12 ***
fesisSGP.1997 0.339657 0.127539 2.6632 0.0079953 **
fesisSGP.2013 -0.374686 0.063456 -5.9047 6.601e-09 ***
fesisSWE.2001 -0.565412 0.055538 -10.1807 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 36.962 1 1.205e-09 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 26.399 1 2.776e-07 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.11376
R-squared 0.99554
Log-lik.(n=598) 504.82045 1
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 10:47:25 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 574
Sample: 1 to 574
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.7285939 0.0230355 31.6292 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.2980342 0.0683368 4.3613 1.568e-05 ***
lpop 0.0761221 0.1822695 0.4176 0.6763912
idAUT 0.4562613 0.1647072 2.7701 0.0058093 **
idBEL 0.2328069 0.1226953 1.8974 0.0583390 .
idBRA -0.9503815 0.4064800 -2.3381 0.0197719 *
idCAN 0.0322640 0.1001337 0.3222 0.7474272
idCHE 0.2388312 0.1703781 1.4018 0.1615964
idCHN -1.1465861 0.7331361 -1.5639 0.1184551
idDEU 0.3199504 0.2489650 1.2851 0.1993376
idDNK -0.1934750 0.2489908 -0.7770 0.4375002
idESP -0.1220563 0.1605909 -0.7600 0.4475816
idFIN 0.4856857 0.2350416 2.0664 0.0393007 *
idFRA 0.1330004 0.2092050 0.6357 0.5252322
idGBR 0.0986029 0.2069620 0.4764 0.6339736
idIND -1.4799894 0.7025122 -2.1067 0.0356344 *
idISR 0.0047409 0.1801541 0.0263 0.9790157
idITA -0.0728478 0.1978941 -0.3681 0.7129415
idJPN -1.0508699 0.4028706 -2.6085 0.0093641 **
idKOR -1.5306885 0.4196493 -3.6475 0.0002922 ***
idNLD 0.2711801 0.0729526 3.7172 0.0002239 ***
idNOR -0.4599391 0.2864316 -1.6058 0.1089516
idRUS -1.6549795 0.3865006 -4.2820 2.217e-05 ***
idSGP -0.1270969 0.2698027 -0.4711 0.6377913
idSWE -0.2700093 0.1785881 -1.5119 0.1311808
idUSA -0.1238285 0.4592444 -0.2696 0.7875508
time1996 -8.1792516 2.9911098 -2.7345 0.0064662 **
time1997 -8.2521751 2.9911413 -2.7589 0.0060102 **
time1998 -8.1349306 2.9901896 -2.7205 0.0067419 **
time1999 -8.1676294 2.9910367 -2.7307 0.0065405 **
time2000 -8.1535243 2.9911243 -2.7259 0.0066348 **
time2001 -8.1581991 2.9919010 -2.7268 0.0066179 **
time2002 -8.2056679 2.9927326 -2.7419 0.0063255 **
time2003 -8.1152214 2.9938803 -2.7106 0.0069442 **
time2004 -8.0955347 2.9946316 -2.7033 0.0070954 **
time2005 -8.0364259 2.9939224 -2.6842 0.0075077 **
time2006 -8.0295281 2.9947178 -2.6812 0.0075747 **
time2007 -7.9815537 2.9953605 -2.6646 0.0079532 **
time2008 -7.9897668 2.9964254 -2.6664 0.0079114 **
time2009 -7.9441375 2.9961126 -2.6515 0.0082653 **
time2010 -7.9190816 2.9971845 -2.6422 0.0084927 **
time2011 -7.9384368 2.9978495 -2.6480 0.0083486 **
time2012 -8.0027262 2.9987005 -2.6687 0.0078583 **
time2013 -8.0834246 3.0002047 -2.6943 0.0072883 **
time2014 -8.0476654 3.0023640 -2.6804 0.0075923 **
time2015 -8.0922588 3.0040320 -2.6938 0.0072989 **
time2016 -8.0259724 3.0058865 -2.6701 0.0078271 **
time2017 -8.0428436 3.0070388 -2.6747 0.0077223 **
time2018 -8.0385808 3.0082357 -2.6722 0.0077788 **
time2019 -8.1377704 3.0092327 -2.7043 0.0070761 **
iis83 0.7539418 0.1262222 5.9731 4.390e-09 ***
iis147 -0.4114758 0.1384218 -2.9726 0.0030934 **
iis204 0.3852969 0.1284506 2.9996 0.0028368 **
iis481 0.4460212 0.1298119 3.4359 0.0006392 ***
iis483 0.5604581 0.1284600 4.3629 1.556e-05 ***
iis503 -0.4276107 0.1442466 -2.9644 0.0031753 **
iis504 -1.1587948 0.1457594 -7.9501 1.224e-14 ***
iis505 1.6364943 0.1515595 10.7977 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis506 0.7568039 0.1428339 5.2985 1.746e-07 ***
iis515 0.4858389 0.1281445 3.7913 0.0001679 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -0.2054091 0.0569122 -3.6092 0.0003377 ***
fesisCHN.2001 0.2365641 0.0807436 2.9298 0.0035447 **
fesisCHN.2015 0.2272697 0.0743871 3.0552 0.0023675 **
fesisDNK.2005 0.1971556 0.0556086 3.5454 0.0004284 ***
fesisIND.1998 -0.5252744 0.1239908 -4.2364 2.699e-05 ***
fesisIND.2000 0.4862001 0.0955275 5.0896 5.067e-07 ***
fesisSGP.2003 0.5717368 0.1129916 5.0600 5.877e-07 ***
fesisSGP.2005 -0.3599260 0.0974590 -3.6931 0.0002456 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 12.162 1 0.0004878 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 47.773 1 4.785e-12 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.12086
R-squared 0.99442
Log-lik.(n=574) 432.47748 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 10:47:21 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 574
Sample: 1 to 574
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.732819 0.021737 33.7122 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.387579 0.063811 6.0738 2.512e-09 ***
lpop 0.102959 0.187329 0.5496 0.5828330
idAUT 0.609103 0.167071 3.6458 0.0002952 ***
idBEL 0.366345 0.122953 2.9795 0.0030303 **
idBRA -1.086339 0.418828 -2.5938 0.0097780 **
idCAN -0.284741 0.142995 -1.9913 0.0470071 *
idCHE 0.338861 0.174517 1.9417 0.0527460 .
idCHN -1.489437 0.758403 -1.9639 0.0501062 .
idDEU 0.205853 0.257963 0.7980 0.4252621
idDNK -0.124155 0.253486 -0.4898 0.6245017
idESP -0.235651 0.159573 -1.4768 0.1403838
idFIN 0.693889 0.241462 2.8737 0.0042335 **
idFRA 0.058432 0.215837 0.2707 0.7867201
idGBR 0.041351 0.212888 0.1942 0.8460684
idIND -1.897304 0.725290 -2.6159 0.0091737 **
idISR 0.166729 0.198233 0.8411 0.4007185
idITA -0.124683 0.203341 -0.6132 0.5400470
idJPN -1.647651 0.402696 -4.0916 5.011e-05 ***
idKOR -2.174936 0.397509 -5.4714 7.140e-08 ***
idNLD 0.341495 0.068210 5.0065 7.750e-07 ***
idNOR -0.501330 0.288950 -1.7350 0.0833697 .
idRUS -2.060774 0.392677 -5.2480 2.296e-07 ***
idSGP 0.090425 0.278465 0.3247 0.7455280
idSWE -0.339135 0.176190 -1.9248 0.0548305 .
idUSA -0.431255 0.478942 -0.9004 0.3683336
time1996 -11.108023 3.081988 -3.6042 0.0003452 ***
time1997 -11.208583 3.082677 -3.6360 0.0003063 ***
time1998 -11.106833 3.081988 -3.6038 0.0003457 ***
time1999 -11.110077 3.082945 -3.6037 0.0003458 ***
time2000 -11.125168 3.083391 -3.6081 0.0003402 ***
time2001 -11.113289 3.083799 -3.6038 0.0003458 ***
time2002 -11.176887 3.085206 -3.6227 0.0003220 ***
time2003 -11.066078 3.085611 -3.5863 0.0003691 ***
time2004 -11.076761 3.086328 -3.5890 0.0003654 ***
time2005 -11.013964 3.085313 -3.5698 0.0003925 ***
time2006 -10.991737 3.086369 -3.5614 0.0004050 ***
time2007 -10.960815 3.087455 -3.5501 0.0004223 ***
time2008 -10.972805 3.088805 -3.5524 0.0004187 ***
time2009 -10.918270 3.087690 -3.5361 0.0004448 ***
time2010 -10.897546 3.088837 -3.5280 0.0004581 ***
time2011 -10.920092 3.089621 -3.5344 0.0004475 ***
time2012 -10.986237 3.090591 -3.5547 0.0004151 ***
time2013 -11.056244 3.092275 -3.5754 0.0003844 ***
time2014 -11.034842 3.094187 -3.5663 0.0003977 ***
time2015 -11.062966 3.096103 -3.5732 0.0003876 ***
time2016 -11.014455 3.097655 -3.5557 0.0004136 ***
time2017 -11.034233 3.098838 -3.5608 0.0004059 ***
time2018 -11.032469 3.100050 -3.5588 0.0004089 ***
time2019 -11.133658 3.101082 -3.5902 0.0003637 ***
iis83 0.746435 0.112680 6.6244 9.216e-11 ***
iis98 0.298546 0.113424 2.6321 0.0087534 **
iis147 -0.390383 0.123618 -3.1580 0.0016869 **
iis193 -0.341805 0.118290 -2.8895 0.0040294 **
iis196 -0.259527 0.118004 -2.1993 0.0283231 *
iis204 0.380320 0.115490 3.2931 0.0010626 **
iis317 0.360869 0.117353 3.0751 0.0022221 **
iis319 0.325346 0.115424 2.8187 0.0050172 **
iis342 -0.445172 0.116229 -3.8301 0.0001448 ***
iis343 0.309191 0.116462 2.6549 0.0081929 **
iis352 -0.299467 0.115590 -2.5908 0.0098621 **
iis457 0.448257 0.113090 3.9637 8.480e-05 ***
iis479 0.402254 0.116139 3.4636 0.0005799 ***
iis481 0.496329 0.116571 4.2577 2.477e-05 ***
iis483 0.594468 0.115247 5.1582 3.629e-07 ***
iis498 -0.376733 0.113349 -3.3236 0.0009551 ***
iis503 -0.438196 0.129180 -3.3921 0.0007497 ***
iis504 -1.148311 0.130519 -8.7980 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis505 1.667914 0.136127 12.2526 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis506 0.744472 0.127505 5.8388 9.594e-09 ***
iis510 0.469682 0.118282 3.9709 8.238e-05 ***
iis511 0.337743 0.117805 2.8670 0.0043231 **
iis515 0.511017 0.114403 4.4668 9.872e-06 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -0.223166 0.052142 -4.2800 2.250e-05 ***
fesisCAN.1997 0.276722 0.113709 2.4336 0.0153067 *
fesisCHN.2001 0.168984 0.073140 2.3104 0.0212811 *
fesisCHN.2015 0.161384 0.067139 2.4037 0.0165999 *
fesisDNK.2005 0.320273 0.117804 2.7187 0.0067868 **
fesisDNK.2006 -0.472346 0.156041 -3.0271 0.0025996 **
fesisDNK.2007 0.291353 0.115314 2.5266 0.0118317 *
fesisESP.2003 0.169039 0.051481 3.2835 0.0010987 **
fesisIND.1998 -0.525045 0.110824 -4.7377 2.838e-06 ***
fesisIND.2000 0.397326 0.087462 4.5428 7.000e-06 ***
fesisISR.2009 -0.158229 0.056831 -2.7842 0.0055737 **
fesisSGP.2003 0.157720 0.076505 2.0616 0.0397785 *
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.56615 1 0.451792
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 10.40264 1 0.001258 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.10777
R-squared 0.99571
Log-lik.(n=574) 506.73698 without IIS
Count
0
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 10:54:32 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 598
Sample: 1 to 598
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp 4.3238e-12 1.3039e-13 33.1606 < 2.2e-16 ***
pop -2.2533e-07 3.6513e-07 -0.6171 0.5374077
idAUT 3.2484e+01 6.5082e+01 0.4991 0.6179002
idBEL -6.1504e+01 6.5025e+01 -0.9459 0.3446470
idBRA -1.0793e+02 8.9403e+01 -1.2073 0.2278547
idCAN 2.4944e+02 6.5056e+01 3.8342 0.0001409 ***
idCHE 1.3328e+01 6.5100e+01 0.2047 0.8378563
idCHN 4.7041e+02 4.6701e+02 1.0073 0.3142527
idDEU 1.6376e+03 8.5098e+01 19.2436 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDNK 3.9055e+01 6.5165e+01 0.5993 0.5492118
idESP -1.3588e+01 6.5444e+01 -0.2076 0.8355968
idFIN -4.9721e+01 6.5171e+01 -0.7629 0.4458372
idFRA 7.3063e+02 6.6737e+01 10.9479 < 2.2e-16 ***
idGBR 4.9320e+02 6.6577e+01 7.4079 5.008e-13 ***
idIND -2.1463e+01 4.2911e+02 -0.0500 0.9601280
idISR -5.9479e+01 6.6604e+01 -0.8930 0.3722430
idITA 1.6359e+02 6.6328e+01 2.4663 0.0139615 *
idJPN 9.9059e+02 1.3751e+02 7.2039 1.990e-12 ***
idKOR -3.3349e+03 1.7650e+02 -18.8948 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 1.0526e+02 6.4936e+01 1.6210 0.1055997
idNOR -1.2554e+02 6.5189e+01 -1.9258 0.0546519 .
idRUS -3.6205e+02 7.9362e+01 -4.5620 6.284e-06 ***
idSGP -1.2933e+02 6.5192e+01 -1.9839 0.0477762 *
idSWE 3.2141e+01 6.5059e+01 0.4940 0.6214847
idUSA 1.8425e+03 1.4960e+02 12.3157 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1995 -3.2516e+01 6.6093e+01 -0.4920 0.6229403
time1996 -9.3808e+00 6.6087e+01 -0.1419 0.8871750
time1997 1.4573e+01 6.5371e+01 0.2229 0.8236747
time1998 5.9691e+01 6.5414e+01 0.9125 0.3619093
time1999 1.0546e+02 6.5422e+01 1.6119 0.1075670
time2000 9.5864e+00 6.5361e+01 0.1467 0.8834490
time2001 3.6693e+01 6.5393e+01 0.5611 0.5749493
time2002 3.9767e+01 6.5424e+01 0.6078 0.5435529
time2003 7.2074e+01 6.5465e+01 1.1009 0.2714143
time2004 1.2138e+02 6.5508e+01 1.8528 0.0644544 .
time2005 1.4599e+02 6.6129e+01 2.2077 0.0276895 *
time2006 1.4642e+02 6.5628e+01 2.2310 0.0260924 *
time2007 1.9398e+02 6.6385e+01 2.9221 0.0036233 **
time2008 2.2624e+02 6.5780e+01 3.4393 0.0006285 ***
time2009 3.7127e+02 6.5845e+01 5.6385 2.776e-08 ***
time2010 3.3967e+02 6.5917e+01 5.1530 3.607e-07 ***
time2011 3.6597e+02 6.5952e+01 5.5490 4.517e-08 ***
time2012 3.8824e+02 6.6031e+01 5.8797 7.229e-09 ***
time2013 3.5158e+02 6.6118e+01 5.3175 1.546e-07 ***
time2014 3.3222e+02 6.6154e+01 5.0219 6.972e-07 ***
time2015 2.8916e+02 6.6245e+01 4.3650 1.525e-05 ***
time2016 2.4472e+02 6.6301e+01 3.6910 0.0002461 ***
time2017 2.6567e+02 6.6402e+01 4.0010 7.194e-05 ***
time2018 2.8756e+02 6.6497e+01 4.3243 1.824e-05 ***
time2019 1.7345e+02 6.6581e+01 2.6050 0.0094414 **
fesisCHN.2011 1.3970e+03 1.2310e+02 11.3485 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisCHN.2016 2.5000e+03 1.5773e+02 15.8501 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2007 1.0770e+03 2.4412e+02 4.4115 1.241e-05 ***
fesisDEU.2008 6.6839e+02 2.4414e+02 2.7378 0.0063907 **
fesisJPN.2000 2.2399e+03 1.2863e+02 17.4128 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2010 2.9677e+03 1.3890e+02 21.3655 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2014 -8.4535e+02 1.5141e+02 -5.5834 3.750e-08 ***
fesisUSA.2000 1.3659e+03 1.4844e+02 9.2022 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2005 8.0767e+02 2.5682e+02 3.1450 0.0017530 **
fesisUSA.2006 1.5909e+03 2.6214e+02 6.0691 2.431e-09 ***
fesisUSA.2010 1.9095e+03 1.3894e+02 13.7438 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 98.153 1 < 2.2e-16 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 65.376 1 6.661e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 229.49773
R-squared 0.98551
Log-lik.(n=598) -4068.68935 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 10:54:31 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 598
Sample: 1 to 598
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp 4.8220e-12 1.5668e-13 30.7770 < 2.2e-16 ***
pop 3.2024e-06 8.5642e-07 3.7393 0.0002048 ***
idAUT -3.1848e+01 6.7323e+01 -0.4731 0.6363720
idBEL -3.9438e+01 7.6221e+01 -0.5174 0.6050811
idBRA -6.4830e+02 1.5544e+02 -4.1707 3.553e-05 ***
idCAN 9.9490e+01 6.7155e+01 1.4815 0.1390775
idCHE -4.8959e+01 6.7414e+01 -0.7262 0.4680174
idCHN -3.9411e+03 1.0809e+03 -3.6461 0.0002928 ***
idDEU 1.3462e+03 9.4830e+01 14.1960 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDNK -1.6399e+01 6.7758e+01 -0.2420 0.8088539
idESP -2.0065e+02 6.9189e+01 -2.9001 0.0038873 **
idFIN -1.0370e+02 6.7796e+01 -1.5296 0.1267304
idFRA 4.7566e+02 7.5663e+01 6.2865 6.834e-10 ***
idGBR 2.4499e+02 7.4888e+01 3.2714 0.0011405 **
idIND -3.5029e+03 8.7231e+02 -4.0156 6.794e-05 ***
idISR -1.2280e+02 6.8746e+01 -1.7862 0.0746376 .
idITA -7.3674e+01 7.3664e+01 -1.0001 0.3177059
idJPN 1.1873e+02 1.6317e+02 0.7277 0.4671521
idKOR -3.5506e+03 1.5792e+02 -22.4834 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 1.3028e+01 6.6530e+01 0.1958 0.8448197
idNOR -6.4845e+01 7.5474e+01 -0.8592 0.3906391
idRUS -7.3056e+02 1.3394e+02 -5.4544 7.580e-08 ***
idSGP -7.7932e+01 7.5533e+01 -1.0318 0.3026613
idSWE -3.7214e+01 6.7177e+01 -0.5540 0.5798367
idUSA 9.1053e+02 2.4372e+02 3.7360 0.0002075 ***
time1995 -1.4479e+01 6.6827e+01 -0.2167 0.8285535
time1996 1.2287e+00 6.7062e+01 0.0183 0.9853892
time1997 1.9783e+01 6.6871e+01 0.2958 0.7674743
time1998 6.0306e+01 6.7148e+01 0.8981 0.3695400
time1999 2.7582e+01 6.7449e+01 0.4089 0.6827608
time2000 5.3747e+01 6.7730e+01 0.7935 0.4278175
time2001 7.4626e+01 6.8053e+01 1.0966 0.2733299
time2002 7.1004e+01 6.8387e+01 1.0383 0.2996248
time2003 1.2165e+02 6.7458e+01 1.8033 0.0719100 .
time2004 1.2064e+02 6.7763e+01 1.7804 0.0755941 .
time2005 1.3858e+02 6.8420e+01 2.0254 0.0433334 *
time2006 1.3426e+02 6.8333e+01 1.9648 0.0499639 *
time2007 1.9060e+02 6.9387e+01 2.7469 0.0062229 **
time2008 2.2841e+02 6.9494e+01 3.2867 0.0010815 **
time2009 4.1419e+02 7.1890e+01 5.7614 1.423e-08 ***
time2010 4.1008e+02 7.1259e+01 5.7548 1.476e-08 ***
time2011 4.4569e+02 7.1047e+01 6.2732 7.402e-10 ***
time2012 4.6210e+02 7.1361e+01 6.4755 2.174e-10 ***
time2013 4.1927e+02 7.1700e+01 5.8476 8.775e-09 ***
time2014 3.9458e+02 7.2027e+01 5.4783 6.673e-08 ***
time2015 3.4575e+02 7.2381e+01 4.7769 2.313e-06 ***
time2016 3.1566e+02 7.1632e+01 4.4067 1.273e-05 ***
time2017 3.3063e+02 7.1966e+01 4.5943 5.443e-06 ***
time2018 3.9209e+02 7.2404e+01 5.4153 9.330e-08 ***
time2019 2.7345e+02 7.2685e+01 3.7621 0.0001874 ***
fesisAUS.2009 -2.4810e+02 8.2248e+01 -3.0165 0.0026809 **
fesisBEL.2008 -1.9725e+02 8.1740e+01 -2.4131 0.0161570 *
fesisBRA.2009 -3.3399e+02 8.4057e+01 -3.9734 8.078e-05 ***
fesisCHN.2011 1.0391e+03 1.2438e+02 8.3536 5.938e-16 ***
fesisCHN.2016 2.3496e+03 1.3833e+02 16.9859 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2007 1.0883e+03 2.0947e+02 5.1957 2.923e-07 ***
fesisDEU.2008 6.0040e+02 2.0963e+02 2.8640 0.0043503 **
fesisIND.2003 -5.8237e+02 1.5572e+02 -3.7399 0.0002043 ***
fesisIND.2010 -4.9814e+02 1.4694e+02 -3.3902 0.0007510 ***
fesisIND.2016 -3.3395e+02 1.4608e+02 -2.2861 0.0226478 *
fesisJPN.1999 1.7103e+03 1.3515e+02 12.6545 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2004 1.0529e+03 1.2198e+02 8.6312 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2010 2.5480e+03 1.3037e+02 19.5438 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2014 -8.6027e+02 1.2995e+02 -6.6200 8.891e-11 ***
fesisKOR.2000 -7.6910e+02 1.4059e+02 -5.4704 6.959e-08 ***
fesisNOR.2009 -2.5949e+02 8.2307e+01 -3.1527 0.0017099 **
fesisRUS.2007 -3.8019e+02 8.1754e+01 -4.6504 4.198e-06 ***
fesisSGP.2009 -2.3474e+02 8.2289e+01 -2.8527 0.0045062 **
fesisUSA.2000 1.2727e+03 1.2762e+02 9.9726 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2005 8.1950e+02 2.2037e+02 3.7187 0.0002218 ***
fesisUSA.2006 1.5515e+03 2.2485e+02 6.9001 1.502e-11 ***
fesisUSA.2010 1.9995e+03 1.2446e+02 16.0657 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2018 -1.0792e+03 1.5925e+02 -6.7766 3.313e-11 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 42.380 1 7.516e-11 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 54.842 1 1.307e-13 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 196.80147
R-squared 0.98958
Log-lik.(n=598) -3970.77812 1
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 10:54:27 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 574
Sample: 1 to 574
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 9.1945e-01 1.1497e-02 79.9703 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp -3.9875e-13 1.7818e-13 -2.2379 0.0256561 *
pop 2.1784e-07 1.6082e-07 1.3546 0.1761446
idAUT 1.0067e+01 2.6176e+01 0.3846 0.7007061
idBEL -3.0455e+00 2.6158e+01 -0.1164 0.9073610
idBRA -4.8970e+01 3.7650e+01 -1.3007 0.1939659
idCAN 3.0009e+01 2.6319e+01 1.1402 0.2547357
idCHE 4.4204e+00 2.6184e+01 0.1688 0.8660043
idCHN -2.1202e+02 2.0392e+02 -1.0397 0.2989557
idDEU 2.8920e+02 4.0033e+01 7.2242 1.852e-12 ***
idDNK 1.5726e+01 2.6223e+01 0.5997 0.5489670
idESP -5.2867e+00 2.6355e+01 -0.2006 0.8410972
idFIN -1.3679e+00 2.6224e+01 -0.0522 0.9584197
idFRA 8.7314e+01 2.8226e+01 3.0934 0.0020875 **
idGBR 5.2646e+01 2.7487e+01 1.9153 0.0560160 .
idIND -2.0990e+02 1.8706e+02 -1.1221 0.2623453
idISR -3.7264e+00 2.6828e+01 -0.1389 0.8895867
idITA 1.4360e+01 2.6842e+01 0.5350 0.5928837
idJPN 8.1663e+02 9.5246e+01 8.5739 < 2.2e-16 ***
idKOR 4.1906e+02 1.5519e+02 2.7003 0.0071574 **
idNLD 1.5658e+01 2.6131e+01 0.5992 0.5493022
idNOR -6.6349e+00 2.6278e+01 -0.2525 0.8007665
idRUS -9.4253e+00 3.3138e+01 -0.2844 0.7761966
idSGP -9.4134e+00 2.6272e+01 -0.3583 0.7202619
idSWE 1.1238e+01 2.6178e+01 0.4293 0.6678866
idUSA 3.8064e+02 6.2783e+01 6.0628 2.609e-09 ***
time1996 -2.1074e+01 2.6322e+01 -0.8006 0.4237120
time1997 -2.3489e+01 2.6289e+01 -0.8935 0.3720134
time1998 -1.3162e+01 2.6025e+01 -0.5058 0.6132455
time1999 1.6198e+01 2.5996e+01 0.6231 0.5335016
time2000 3.1962e+01 2.5983e+01 1.2301 0.2192197
time2001 2.9499e+00 2.6004e+01 0.1134 0.9097287
time2002 -1.2184e+01 2.6035e+01 -0.4680 0.6399969
time2003 -1.0811e+00 2.6138e+01 -0.0414 0.9670231
time2004 2.5130e+01 2.6151e+01 0.9610 0.3370235
time2005 1.6837e+01 2.6121e+01 0.6446 0.5194891
time2006 3.4521e+01 2.6167e+01 1.3193 0.1876766
time2007 7.0240e+01 2.6255e+01 2.6753 0.0077073 **
time2008 4.8501e+01 2.6499e+01 1.8303 0.0677911 .
time2009 3.4062e+01 2.6495e+01 1.2856 0.1991679
time2010 9.9897e+01 2.6678e+01 3.7446 0.0002013 ***
time2011 3.4157e+01 2.6971e+01 1.2664 0.2059329
time2012 1.5330e+01 2.6901e+01 0.5699 0.5690109
time2013 -3.7374e+01 2.6959e+01 -1.3863 0.1662631
time2014 7.4362e+00 2.6962e+01 0.2758 0.7828140
time2015 -1.7978e+01 2.6816e+01 -0.6704 0.5029004
time2016 3.7311e+01 2.6704e+01 1.3972 0.1629633
time2017 2.8935e+01 2.6812e+01 1.0791 0.2810348
time2018 3.2386e+01 2.6902e+01 1.2039 0.2292025
time2019 -4.0984e+01 2.7169e+01 -1.5085 0.1320533
fesisCHN.2008 2.8218e+02 4.5106e+01 6.2559 8.390e-10 ***
fesisCHN.2016 6.7862e+02 6.2973e+01 10.7764 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2008 -5.4298e+02 9.8125e+01 -5.5335 5.029e-08 ***
fesisJPN.2009 1.5502e+03 1.0690e+02 14.5019 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2012 -1.2872e+03 7.3218e+01 -17.5806 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2016 4.3017e+02 7.0995e+01 6.0592 2.663e-09 ***
fesisJPN.2019 -1.5080e+03 1.0666e+02 -14.1380 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2003 3.5156e+02 7.8160e+01 4.4980 8.504e-06 ***
fesisKOR.2009 6.9303e+02 8.2736e+01 8.3764 5.339e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2011 -3.8096e+02 8.7777e+01 -4.3401 1.719e-05 ***
fesisUSA.2005 5.2061e+02 5.6749e+01 9.1738 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2012 3.9934e+02 7.8991e+01 5.0556 5.997e-07 ***
fesisUSA.2014 -1.5584e+03 1.1371e+02 -13.7054 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2015 8.2624e+02 1.1357e+02 7.2751 1.317e-12 ***
fesisUSA.2017 -5.1688e+02 8.4476e+01 -6.1186 1.885e-09 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 3.6475 1 0.05615 .
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 114.4684 1 < 2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 90.39420
R-squared 0.99785
Log-lik.(n=574) -3367.37010 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 10:54:25 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 574
Sample: 1 to 574
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 9.2269e-01 1.1203e-02 82.3628 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 1.9678e-14 1.5874e-13 0.1240 0.9013935
pop 1.1907e-07 1.1046e-07 1.0780 0.2815561
idAUT 9.1973e+00 1.7410e+01 0.5283 0.5975405
idBEL -3.4077e+00 1.7400e+01 -0.1958 0.8448117
idBRA -3.2598e+01 2.5510e+01 -1.2779 0.2018967
idCAN 3.0303e+01 1.7607e+01 1.7211 0.0858543 .
idCHE 3.4268e+00 1.7414e+01 0.1968 0.8440740
idCHN -9.8279e+01 1.3944e+02 -0.7048 0.4812684
idDEU 2.2328e+02 2.9299e+01 7.6209 1.286e-13 ***
idDNK 1.3869e+01 1.7448e+01 0.7949 0.4270539
idESP -2.7505e+00 1.7540e+01 -0.1568 0.8754555
idFIN -2.2323e+00 1.7443e+01 -0.1280 0.8982155
idFRA 8.9005e+01 1.9590e+01 4.5433 6.960e-06 ***
idGBR 5.5026e+01 1.8666e+01 2.9478 0.0033505 **
idIND -1.2593e+02 1.2693e+02 -0.9921 0.3216291
idISR -3.4827e+00 1.7844e+01 -0.1952 0.8453408
idITA 1.7481e+01 1.7904e+01 0.9764 0.3293400
idJPN 4.3855e+02 8.2369e+01 5.3242 1.538e-07 ***
idKOR 6.1452e+01 1.3632e+02 0.4508 0.6523306
idNLD 1.5215e+01 1.7397e+01 0.8746 0.3822375
idNOR -8.4258e+00 1.7505e+01 -0.4813 0.6304839
idRUS -2.5536e+01 2.2549e+01 -1.1325 0.2579828
idSGP -1.0125e+01 1.7497e+01 -0.5786 0.5630912
idSWE 9.0255e+00 1.7419e+01 0.5181 0.6045969
idUSA 3.8974e+02 4.5522e+01 8.5615 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1996 -5.9353e+00 1.7560e+01 -0.3380 0.7355020
time1997 -9.2908e+00 1.7535e+01 -0.5299 0.5964493
time1998 1.2767e+00 1.7379e+01 0.0735 0.9414651
time1999 8.1956e+00 1.7381e+01 0.4715 0.6374656
time2000 2.2218e+01 1.7382e+01 1.2783 0.2017536
time2001 6.9989e+00 1.7324e+01 0.4040 0.6863853
time2002 -9.4996e+00 1.7351e+01 -0.5475 0.5842811
time2003 6.5389e+00 1.7465e+01 0.3744 0.7082618
time2004 3.1408e+01 1.7468e+01 1.7980 0.0727836 .
time2005 2.1610e+01 1.7410e+01 1.2412 0.2151124
time2006 2.4949e+01 1.7432e+01 1.4312 0.1530009
time2007 5.8883e+01 1.7503e+01 3.3642 0.0008271 ***
time2008 3.5587e+01 1.7686e+01 2.0122 0.0447361 *
time2009 4.7180e+01 1.7885e+01 2.6380 0.0086019 **
time2010 5.8103e+01 1.8088e+01 3.2123 0.0014021 **
time2011 2.6655e+01 1.8251e+01 1.4605 0.1447851
time2012 2.6796e+01 1.8124e+01 1.4785 0.1399052
time2013 -2.7109e+01 1.8193e+01 -1.4901 0.1368298
time2014 -2.7449e-02 1.8114e+01 -0.0015 0.9987915
time2015 -2.3779e+00 1.8128e+01 -0.1312 0.8956938
time2016 1.5546e+01 1.8069e+01 0.8604 0.3899843
time2017 2.9013e+01 1.8084e+01 1.6044 0.1092705
time2018 3.1206e+01 1.8153e+01 1.7191 0.0862190 .
time2019 -8.1719e+00 1.8469e+01 -0.4425 0.6583421
fesisCHN.2008 2.7672e+02 3.1319e+01 8.8358 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisCHN.2016 7.2658e+02 4.7203e+01 15.3927 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisCHN.2019 -2.6953e+02 7.2982e+01 -3.6931 0.0002461 ***
fesisDEU.2006 3.0736e+02 3.5254e+01 8.7185 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -5.7319e+02 5.1119e+01 -11.2130 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2014 3.8807e+02 5.1791e+01 7.4930 3.104e-13 ***
fesisDEU.2019 -5.2556e+02 6.7677e+01 -7.7657 4.676e-14 ***
fesisJPN.1999 5.0086e+02 5.6830e+01 8.8133 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2001 -3.5490e+02 5.2276e+01 -6.7890 3.228e-11 ***
fesisJPN.2008 -5.2313e+02 6.6455e+01 -7.8719 2.205e-14 ***
fesisJPN.2009 1.0024e+03 8.7009e+01 11.5201 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2010 1.2568e+03 8.7066e+01 14.4352 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2011 -8.5935e+02 8.9252e+01 -9.6283 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2012 -1.1688e+03 6.8803e+01 -16.9875 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2016 4.3857e+02 4.7682e+01 9.1977 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2019 -1.5507e+03 7.1127e+01 -21.8016 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2003 2.1426e+02 6.2737e+01 3.4153 0.0006893 ***
fesisKOR.2009 6.2132e+02 5.8649e+01 10.5939 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2011 -3.8437e+02 5.9977e+01 -6.4087 3.413e-10 ***
fesisKOR.2015 -5.7341e+02 7.1120e+01 -8.0627 5.615e-15 ***
fesisKOR.2016 8.1748e+02 8.7356e+01 9.3580 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2017 -5.4759e+02 7.2672e+01 -7.5350 2.326e-13 ***
fesisUSA.2005 5.2623e+02 4.4842e+01 11.7351 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2012 3.7151e+02 5.6241e+01 6.6057 1.020e-10 ***
fesisUSA.2014 -1.5431e+03 7.6067e+01 -20.2861 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2015 8.2504e+02 7.5909e+01 10.8688 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2017 -5.2927e+02 5.6340e+01 -9.3941 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 2.8036 1 0.09405 .
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 51.1971 1 8.354e-13 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 60.10629
R-squared 0.99907
Log-lik.(n=574) -3127.14044 Count Ma
0
0.01
Formula: count_ma~ gdp_ma + pop_ma
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 10:55:35 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 598
Sample: 1 to 598
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp_ma -9.7132e-02 2.7953e-01 -0.3475 0.7283683
pop_ma 5.5937e+00 1.0858e+00 5.1515 3.624e-07 ***
idAUT 6.9377e+00 2.6228e+00 2.6452 0.0084020 **
idBEL 8.3626e+00 2.5971e+00 3.2200 0.0013587 **
idBRA 1.6368e+01 2.4132e+00 6.7827 3.095e-11 ***
idCAN 4.8188e+00 2.4222e+00 1.9895 0.0471516 *
idCHE 2.3127e+00 2.4895e+00 0.9290 0.3533177
idCHN 2.6984e+01 3.0144e+00 8.9515 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDEU 8.9339e+00 2.8231e+00 3.1645 0.0016406 **
idDNK 1.4190e+01 2.6323e+00 5.3907 1.049e-07 ***
idESP 9.8245e+00 2.5184e+00 3.9010 0.0001078 ***
idFIN 6.9083e+00 2.6650e+00 2.5922 0.0097937 **
idFRA 7.7573e+00 2.6082e+00 2.9742 0.0030681 **
idGBR 6.4283e+00 2.5676e+00 2.5036 0.0125876 *
idIND 1.6926e+01 2.5475e+00 6.6439 7.450e-11 ***
idISR 2.6706e+00 2.5297e+00 1.0557 0.2915744
idITA 8.7712e+00 2.8008e+00 3.1317 0.0018320 **
idJPN 8.4485e+00 2.8722e+00 2.9415 0.0034062 **
idKOR 1.7579e+01 2.5718e+00 6.8352 2.211e-11 ***
idNLD 8.1252e+00 2.6027e+00 3.1219 0.0018929 **
idNOR 9.3085e+00 2.4749e+00 3.7611 0.0001875 ***
idRUS 1.3399e+01 2.9016e+00 4.6176 4.853e-06 ***
idSGP -2.8735e+01 6.7887e+00 -4.2328 2.711e-05 ***
idSWE 5.3291e+00 2.5316e+00 2.1050 0.0357501 *
idUSA 5.1151e+00 2.4517e+00 2.0864 0.0374126 *
time1995 7.4076e-01 3.0555e+00 0.2424 0.8085339
time1996 -5.5976e-01 3.0414e+00 -0.1840 0.8540443
time1997 5.8496e+00 3.0013e+00 1.9490 0.0518079 .
time1998 1.2000e+00 3.0209e+00 0.3972 0.6913467
time1999 4.6081e+00 3.0513e+00 1.5102 0.1315721
time2000 6.4572e-01 3.0682e+00 0.2105 0.8333898
time2001 -1.8210e+00 3.0172e+00 -0.6035 0.5464001
time2002 -3.9072e+00 2.9333e+00 -1.3320 0.1834103
time2003 -1.6520e+00 2.9706e+00 -0.5561 0.5783667
time2004 3.2901e+00 3.0153e+00 1.0911 0.2756976
time2005 5.2650e+00 3.0769e+00 1.7111 0.0876284 .
time2006 6.0193e+00 3.1240e+00 1.9268 0.0545302 .
time2007 4.2207e+00 3.1143e+00 1.3553 0.1758982
time2008 1.3665e+00 2.9844e+00 0.4579 0.6472177
time2009 -4.8673e-01 2.9498e+00 -0.1650 0.8690033
time2010 -2.0002e+00 2.9028e+00 -0.6890 0.4910904
time2011 -5.9221e+00 2.9622e+00 -1.9993 0.0460790 *
time2012 -1.2670e+01 2.9042e+00 -4.3626 1.539e-05 ***
time2013 -1.5897e+01 2.9033e+00 -5.4757 6.676e-08 ***
time2014 -1.6811e+01 2.9072e+00 -5.7826 1.243e-08 ***
time2015 -1.2702e+01 2.9167e+00 -4.3548 1.593e-05 ***
time2016 -1.1048e+01 2.9108e+00 -3.7957 0.0001639 ***
time2017 -8.5515e+00 2.8999e+00 -2.9489 0.0033268 **
time2018 -1.2200e+01 2.8609e+00 -4.2645 2.364e-05 ***
time2019 -9.8699e+00 2.7270e+00 -3.6193 0.0003231 ***
fesisSGP.1997 9.7902e+02 1.0570e+01 92.6229 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisSGP.1998 6.8907e+01 1.0630e+01 6.4824 2.033e-10 ***
fesisSGP.2000 -1.0072e+03 1.0539e+01 -95.5650 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisSGP.2001 -3.7180e+01 1.2149e+01 -3.0603 0.0023207 **
fesisSGP.2002 6.1499e+01 1.0024e+01 6.1354 1.641e-09 ***
fesisSGP.2005 -3.2325e+01 5.6677e+00 -5.7033 1.934e-08 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 104.655 1 < 2.2e-16 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 69.312 1 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 8.40998
R-squared 0.98769
Log-lik.(n=598) -2093.91812 0.05
Formula: count_ma~ gdp_ma + pop_ma
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 10:55:36 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 598
Sample: 1 to 598
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp_ma -4.2660e-02 2.7954e-01 -0.1526 0.8787642
pop_ma 5.9238e+00 1.0917e+00 5.4264 8.691e-08 ***
idAUT 7.3316e+00 2.6189e+00 2.7995 0.0053004 **
idBEL 8.7348e+00 2.5926e+00 3.3691 0.0008079 ***
idBRA 1.6517e+01 2.4051e+00 6.8674 1.801e-11 ***
idCAN 4.9854e+00 2.4143e+00 2.0650 0.0394031 *
idCHE 2.5810e+00 2.4831e+00 1.0394 0.2990666
idCHN 2.6911e+01 3.0033e+00 8.9605 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDEU 9.4725e+00 2.8228e+00 3.3557 0.0008471 ***
idDNK 1.4593e+01 2.6286e+00 5.5518 4.436e-08 ***
idESP 1.0121e+01 2.5125e+00 4.0284 6.419e-05 ***
idFIN 7.3178e+00 2.6613e+00 2.7497 0.0061643 **
idFRA 8.1441e+00 2.6041e+00 3.1274 0.0018583 **
idGBR 6.7733e+00 2.5626e+00 2.6431 0.0084536 **
idIND 1.6710e+01 2.5398e+00 6.5792 1.118e-10 ***
idISR 2.4284e+00 2.5225e+00 0.9627 0.3361286
idITA 9.3108e+00 2.8006e+00 3.3246 0.0009456 ***
idJPN 9.0293e+00 2.8731e+00 3.1427 0.0017655 **
idKOR 1.7780e+01 2.5637e+00 6.9352 1.161e-11 ***
idNLD 8.4969e+00 2.5982e+00 3.2703 0.0011427 **
idNOR 9.5562e+00 2.4681e+00 3.8719 0.0001212 ***
idRUS 1.3932e+01 2.9005e+00 4.8034 2.022e-06 ***
idSGP -2.9657e+01 6.7757e+00 -4.3769 1.445e-05 ***
idSWE 5.6238e+00 2.5255e+00 2.2268 0.0263743 *
idUSA 5.3261e+00 2.4443e+00 2.1790 0.0297644 *
time1995 5.7010e-02 3.0592e+00 0.0186 0.9851387
time1996 -1.2346e+00 3.0448e+00 -0.4055 0.6852820
time1997 5.1921e+00 3.0043e+00 1.7282 0.0845190 .
time1998 5.2562e-01 3.0245e+00 0.1738 0.8620968
time1999 3.9191e+00 3.0553e+00 1.2827 0.2001314
time2000 -4.8929e-02 3.0722e+00 -0.0159 0.9872992
time2001 -2.4883e+00 3.0205e+00 -0.8238 0.4104149
time2002 -4.5269e+00 2.9353e+00 -1.5422 0.1236023
time2003 -2.2994e+00 2.9734e+00 -0.7733 0.4396763
time2004 2.6156e+00 3.0189e+00 0.8664 0.3866484
time2005 5.0900e+00 3.0664e+00 1.6599 0.0975106 .
time2006 5.8165e+00 3.1137e+00 1.8681 0.0622946 .
time2007 3.4027e+00 3.1238e+00 1.0893 0.2765251
time2008 6.5678e-01 2.9899e+00 0.2197 0.8262131
time2009 -1.1756e+00 2.9547e+00 -0.3979 0.6908755
time2010 -2.6740e+00 2.9074e+00 -0.9197 0.3581357
time2011 -6.6498e+00 2.9687e+00 -2.2399 0.0255002 *
time2012 -1.3354e+01 2.9093e+00 -4.5901 5.513e-06 ***
time2013 -1.6577e+01 2.9081e+00 -5.7002 1.969e-08 ***
time2014 -1.7497e+01 2.9123e+00 -6.0079 3.453e-09 ***
time2015 -1.3396e+01 2.9221e+00 -4.5843 5.664e-06 ***
time2016 -1.1741e+01 2.9162e+00 -4.0263 6.475e-05 ***
time2017 -9.2395e+00 2.9052e+00 -3.1803 0.0015553 **
time2018 -1.2863e+01 2.8653e+00 -4.4891 8.746e-06 ***
time2019 -1.0385e+01 2.7265e+00 -3.8091 0.0001555 ***
fesisSGP.1997 9.7914e+02 1.0531e+01 92.9803 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisSGP.1998 6.9417e+01 1.0593e+01 6.5533 1.314e-10 ***
fesisSGP.2000 -1.0070e+03 1.0500e+01 -95.9062 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisSGP.2001 -3.7188e+01 1.2104e+01 -3.0724 0.0022306 **
fesisSGP.2002 6.1814e+01 9.9872e+00 6.1893 1.195e-09 ***
fesisSGP.2005 -4.5692e+01 8.1929e+00 -5.5770 3.868e-08 ***
fesisSGP.2007 1.4832e+01 6.5869e+00 2.2518 0.0247338 *
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 105.225 1 < 2.2e-16 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 70.922 1 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 8.37858
R-squared 0.98780
Log-lik.(n=598) -2091.18087 1
0.01
Formula: count_ma~ gdp_ma + pop_ma
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 10:55:32 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 574
Sample: 1 to 574
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 4.2909e-01 3.6402e-02 11.7873 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp_ma -1.4115e-01 2.7014e-01 -0.5225 0.6015431
pop_ma 4.0372e+00 9.9573e-01 4.0545 5.797e-05 ***
idAUT 4.2697e+00 2.3879e+00 1.7881 0.0743503 .
idBEL 5.0079e+00 2.3699e+00 2.1131 0.0350667 *
idBRA 8.4033e+00 2.2692e+00 3.7032 0.0002358 ***
idCAN 2.5324e+00 2.1984e+00 1.1519 0.2498921
idCHE 1.3991e+00 2.2528e+00 0.6210 0.5348574
idCHN 1.5913e+01 2.9028e+00 5.4819 6.588e-08 ***
idDEU 5.7466e+00 2.5889e+00 2.2197 0.0268751 *
idDNK 8.5346e+00 2.4444e+00 3.4915 0.0005213 ***
idESP 5.4322e+00 2.3064e+00 2.3553 0.0188822 *
idFIN 4.6281e+00 2.4295e+00 1.9050 0.0573345 .
idFRA 4.6659e+00 2.3801e+00 1.9603 0.0504922 .
idGBR 3.9259e+00 2.3342e+00 1.6819 0.0931879 .
idIND 8.4191e+00 2.3935e+00 3.5175 0.0004741 ***
idISR 8.3079e-01 2.2839e+00 0.3638 0.7161897
idITA 5.4855e+00 2.5716e+00 2.1331 0.0333846 *
idJPN 5.0828e+00 2.6413e+00 1.9244 0.0548568 .
idKOR 9.7416e+00 2.4034e+00 4.0532 5.829e-05 ***
idNLD 4.4450e+00 2.3776e+00 1.8695 0.0621201 .
idNOR 4.8083e+00 2.2638e+00 2.1240 0.0341426 *
idRUS 7.9775e+00 2.6630e+00 2.9957 0.0028698 **
idSGP -2.8402e+01 8.1236e+00 -3.4962 0.0005125 ***
idSWE 3.1007e+00 2.2968e+00 1.3500 0.1776137
idUSA 2.8601e+00 2.2301e+00 1.2825 0.2002430
time1996 -7.8538e-01 2.7839e+00 -0.2821 0.7779701
time1997 6.1883e+00 2.7407e+00 2.2579 0.0243700 *
time1998 -1.1264e+00 2.7633e+00 -0.4076 0.6837044
time1999 3.1961e+00 2.7922e+00 1.1447 0.2528826
time2000 -1.3108e+00 2.8078e+00 -0.4669 0.6407940
time2001 -2.3355e+00 2.7492e+00 -0.8495 0.3959779
time2002 -2.8578e+00 2.6633e+00 -1.0730 0.2837542
time2003 -7.5924e-01 2.7047e+00 -0.2807 0.7790439
time2004 3.3394e+00 2.7498e+00 1.2144 0.2251326
time2005 3.8938e+00 2.8034e+00 1.3889 0.1654463
time2006 4.3552e+00 2.8487e+00 1.5289 0.1269113
time2007 1.3860e+00 2.8549e+00 0.4855 0.6275416
time2008 -9.8579e-01 2.7104e+00 -0.3637 0.7162235
time2009 -1.8609e+00 2.6732e+00 -0.6961 0.4866629
time2010 -2.6098e+00 2.6308e+00 -0.9920 0.3216564
time2011 -5.6207e+00 2.6982e+00 -2.0831 0.0377342 *
time2012 -1.0577e+01 2.6423e+00 -4.0029 7.173e-05 ***
time2013 -1.0922e+01 2.6680e+00 -4.0936 4.928e-05 ***
time2014 -1.0515e+01 2.6940e+00 -3.9030 0.0001076 ***
time2015 -5.9705e+00 2.7123e+00 -2.2013 0.0281592 *
time2016 -6.1155e+00 2.6804e+00 -2.2816 0.0229206 *
time2017 -4.2898e+00 2.6634e+00 -1.6106 0.1078692
time2018 -9.0012e+00 2.6146e+00 -3.4427 0.0006226 ***
time2019 -5.1800e+00 2.4875e+00 -2.0824 0.0377968 *
fesisSGP.1997 9.9158e+02 1.0795e+01 91.8532 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisSGP.1998 -3.6744e+02 3.8270e+01 -9.6012 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisSGP.2000 -1.0273e+03 9.4783e+00 -108.3877 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisSGP.2001 4.0046e+02 3.8652e+01 10.3606 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisSGP.2002 6.1177e+01 8.8704e+00 6.8968 1.558e-11 ***
fesisSGP.2005 -4.6249e+01 7.2894e+00 -6.3448 4.871e-10 ***
fesisSGP.2007 1.9128e+01 5.8659e+00 3.2609 0.0011839 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.35448 1 0.551587
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 8.31661 1 0.003928 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 7.43822
R-squared 0.99080
Log-lik.(n=574) -1937.77729 0.05
Formula: count_ma~ gdp_ma + pop_ma
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 10:55:32 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 574
Sample: 1 to 574
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 4.3558e-01 3.6414e-02 11.9621 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp_ma -1.4768e-01 2.6927e-01 -0.5484 0.5836215
pop_ma 2.9726e+00 1.1140e+00 2.6684 0.0078608 **
idAUT 3.2199e+00 2.4317e+00 1.3241 0.1860565
idBEL 4.0081e+00 2.4094e+00 1.6635 0.0968104 .
idBRA 7.9310e+00 2.2728e+00 3.4895 0.0005253 ***
idCAN 2.0912e+00 2.2012e+00 0.9500 0.3425400
idCHE 7.5623e-01 2.2661e+00 0.3337 0.7387306
idCHN 1.4973e+01 2.9276e+00 5.1143 4.446e-07 ***
idDEU 4.2759e+00 2.6734e+00 1.5994 0.1103416
idDNK 7.4097e+00 2.4943e+00 2.9707 0.0031100 **
idESP 4.6218e+00 2.3309e+00 1.9829 0.0479133 *
idFIN 3.4390e+00 2.4865e+00 1.3831 0.1672449
idFRA 3.6642e+00 2.4196e+00 1.5144 0.1305346
idGBR 3.0095e+00 2.3669e+00 1.2715 0.2041221
idIND 8.4157e+00 2.3856e+00 3.5277 0.0004566 ***
idISR 1.4129e+00 2.2931e+00 0.6161 0.5380709
idITA 4.1604e+00 2.6393e+00 1.5763 0.1155702
idJPN 3.5734e+00 2.7286e+00 1.3096 0.1909004
idKOR 8.7518e+00 2.4412e+00 3.5850 0.0003691 ***
idNLD 3.4055e+00 2.4208e+00 1.4068 0.1600867
idNOR 4.1494e+00 2.2779e+00 1.8216 0.0690991 .
idRUS 6.3004e+00 2.7714e+00 2.2734 0.0234115 *
idSGP -2.6030e+01 8.1749e+00 -3.1841 0.0015396 **
idSWE 2.2455e+00 2.3251e+00 0.9658 0.3346002
idUSA 2.2564e+00 2.2412e+00 1.0068 0.3145169
time1996 6.8763e-01 2.8617e+00 0.2403 0.8102054
time1997 7.6287e+00 2.8162e+00 2.7089 0.0069760 **
time1998 3.0299e-01 2.8367e+00 0.1068 0.9149822
time1999 4.6217e+00 2.8643e+00 1.6135 0.1072382
time2000 1.4233e-01 2.8825e+00 0.0494 0.9606380
time2001 -8.4425e-01 2.8303e+00 -0.2983 0.7656029
time2002 -1.3352e+00 2.7514e+00 -0.4853 0.6276763
time2003 7.3963e-01 2.7883e+00 0.2653 0.7909167
time2004 4.8417e+00 2.8322e+00 1.7095 0.0879553 .
time2005 5.3452e+00 2.8781e+00 1.8572 0.0638477 .
time2006 5.8755e+00 2.9298e+00 2.0054 0.0454381 *
time2007 2.5395e+00 2.8978e+00 0.8763 0.3812515
time2008 1.9442e-01 2.7591e+00 0.0705 0.9438510
time2009 -1.4581e-01 2.7863e+00 -0.0523 0.9582853
time2010 -9.9077e-01 2.7327e+00 -0.3626 0.7170828
time2011 -4.0211e+00 2.7948e+00 -1.4388 0.1508132
time2012 -8.9552e+00 2.7441e+00 -3.2634 0.0011737 **
time2013 -9.2380e+00 2.7770e+00 -3.3266 0.0009418 ***
time2014 -8.8234e+00 2.8029e+00 -3.1479 0.0017395 **
time2015 -4.2732e+00 2.8212e+00 -1.5147 0.1304614
time2016 -4.4813e+00 2.7822e+00 -1.6107 0.1078612
time2017 -2.7059e+00 2.7593e+00 -0.9806 0.3272287
time2018 -7.4920e+00 2.7029e+00 -2.7718 0.0057754 **
time2019 -3.7292e+00 2.5734e+00 -1.4491 0.1479135
fesisSGP.1997 9.9182e+02 1.0760e+01 92.1741 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisSGP.1998 -3.7552e+02 3.8336e+01 -9.7953 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisSGP.2000 -1.0282e+03 9.4561e+00 -108.7344 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisSGP.2001 4.0710e+02 3.8654e+01 10.5320 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisSGP.2002 5.9895e+01 8.8621e+00 6.7586 3.776e-11 ***
fesisSGP.2005 -4.3972e+01 7.3456e+00 -5.9862 4.025e-09 ***
fesisSGP.2007 2.9967e+01 7.7926e+00 3.8456 0.0001353 ***
fesisSGP.2009 -1.3750e+01 6.5352e+00 -2.1039 0.0358682 *
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.090372 1 0.76370
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 9.133363 1 0.00251 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 7.41369
R-squared 0.99088
Log-lik.(n=574) -1935.38143 Log Count
0
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 10:54:32 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 598
Sample: 1 to 598
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
lgdp 1.409709 0.096283 14.6413 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop 0.150570 0.280196 0.5374 0.5912357
idAUT 2.047217 0.210270 9.7361 < 2.2e-16 ***
idBEL 1.147697 0.156428 7.3369 8.313e-13 ***
idBRA -4.489457 0.578095 -7.7660 4.253e-14 ***
idCAN 0.125576 0.141950 0.8847 0.3767484
idCHE 1.450998 0.246097 5.8960 6.655e-09 ***
idCHN -4.951752 1.056966 -4.6849 3.570e-06 ***
idDEU 1.150515 0.367616 3.1297 0.0018470 **
idDNK -0.977875 0.383078 -2.5527 0.0109707 *
idESP -0.616615 0.241494 -2.5533 0.0109501 *
idFIN 2.275258 0.312868 7.2723 1.286e-12 ***
idFRA 0.500252 0.311311 1.6069 0.1086709
idGBR 0.463307 0.310738 1.4910 0.1365635
idIND -7.375306 0.972327 -7.5852 1.512e-13 ***
idISR 0.100498 0.277339 0.3624 0.7172241
idITA -0.303229 0.296833 -1.0215 0.3074646
idJPN -5.434958 0.519726 -10.4573 < 2.2e-16 ***
idKOR -8.427241 0.542520 -15.5335 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 1.215693 0.082624 14.7136 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNOR -2.134430 0.444367 -4.8033 2.037e-06 ***
idRUS -6.491350 0.485318 -13.3754 < 2.2e-16 ***
idSGP -0.026718 0.405960 -0.0658 0.9475507
idSWE -0.960806 0.280585 -3.4243 0.0006644 ***
idUSA -0.871847 0.661377 -1.3182 0.1879994
time1995 -37.111053 3.901240 -9.5126 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1996 -36.988983 3.903009 -9.4770 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1997 -36.953827 3.902966 -9.4681 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1998 -36.867695 3.903151 -9.4456 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1999 -36.807857 3.904691 -9.4266 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2000 -36.773384 3.905816 -9.4150 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2001 -36.702628 3.907731 -9.3923 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2002 -36.716276 3.909381 -9.3918 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2003 -36.581877 3.911044 -9.3535 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2004 -36.604636 3.911382 -9.3585 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2005 -36.514027 3.912297 -9.3331 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2006 -36.413951 3.914194 -9.3031 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2007 -36.330322 3.917216 -9.2745 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2008 -36.235117 3.919555 -9.2447 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2009 -36.077940 3.920818 -9.2016 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2010 -36.032190 3.922716 -9.1855 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2011 -35.998508 3.924361 -9.1731 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2012 -36.039105 3.926508 -9.1784 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2013 -36.121807 3.925323 -9.2023 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2014 -36.168757 3.927088 -9.2101 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2015 -36.237572 3.928807 -9.2236 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2016 -36.249308 3.930577 -9.2224 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2017 -36.265159 3.932112 -9.2228 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2018 -36.270680 3.933570 -9.2208 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2019 -36.369400 3.934943 -9.2427 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -0.320543 0.087390 -3.6679 0.0002693 ***
fesisAUS.2009 -0.458649 0.087219 -5.2586 2.114e-07 ***
fesisBRA.1998 0.609277 0.104526 5.8289 9.726e-09 ***
fesisBRA.2004 0.574725 0.071414 8.0478 5.626e-15 ***
fesisCHE.2003 -0.475578 0.063751 -7.4600 3.592e-13 ***
fesisCHN.2004 0.780563 0.099544 7.8414 2.489e-14 ***
fesisCHN.2016 0.572680 0.096912 5.9093 6.172e-09 ***
fesisDNK.2007 0.762485 0.059636 12.7855 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisESP.2005 0.552202 0.061510 8.9774 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisIND.2000 0.534198 0.098975 5.3973 1.024e-07 ***
fesisIND.2004 0.310698 0.091109 3.4102 0.0006990 ***
fesisISR.2013 -0.301275 0.075102 -4.0116 6.905e-05 ***
fesisITA.2012 0.318957 0.065702 4.8546 1.592e-06 ***
fesisKOR.2004 0.624711 0.080328 7.7770 3.934e-14 ***
fesisKOR.2010 0.278193 0.076951 3.6152 0.0003290 ***
fesisRUS.2003 -0.314167 0.094549 -3.3228 0.0009531 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -0.339014 0.087087 -3.8928 0.0001118 ***
fesisSGP.1997 -1.478111 0.179103 -8.2529 1.248e-15 ***
fesisSGP.1998 2.279904 0.153145 14.8872 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisSGP.2013 -0.232398 0.077128 -3.0131 0.0027100 **
fesisSWE.2001 -0.505527 0.069377 -7.2866 1.168e-12 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 62.533 1 2.665e-15 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 48.999 1 2.561e-12 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.14279
R-squared 0.99246
Log-lik.(n=598) 350.89595 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 10:54:31 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 598
Sample: 1 to 598
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
lgdp 1.583919 0.085631 18.4970 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop 0.290233 0.257646 1.1265 0.2604828
idAUT 2.593243 0.199512 12.9979 < 2.2e-16 ***
idBEL 1.425446 0.147256 9.6801 < 2.2e-16 ***
idBRA -4.935958 0.535933 -9.2100 < 2.2e-16 ***
idCAN 0.122207 0.128284 0.9526 0.3412185
idCHE 1.734350 0.229641 7.5524 1.934e-13 ***
idCHN -6.081703 0.986511 -6.1649 1.417e-09 ***
idDEU 0.793617 0.342197 2.3192 0.0207717 *
idDNK -0.871438 0.349903 -2.4905 0.0130668 *
idESP -0.670014 0.220044 -3.0449 0.0024454 **
idFIN 3.154938 0.302484 10.4301 < 2.2e-16 ***
idFRA 0.233647 0.288836 0.8089 0.4189283
idGBR 0.231117 0.287463 0.8040 0.4217715
idIND -8.541132 0.911212 -9.3734 < 2.2e-16 ***
idISR 0.308392 0.256651 1.2016 0.2300661
idITA -0.521381 0.274466 -1.8996 0.0580359 .
idJPN -6.762776 0.489658 -13.8112 < 2.2e-16 ***
idKOR -9.700978 0.492431 -19.7002 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 1.340775 0.075640 17.7258 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNOR -1.998233 0.408838 -4.8876 1.362e-06 ***
idRUS -7.424710 0.460615 -16.1191 < 2.2e-16 ***
idSGP 0.552795 0.380632 1.4523 0.1470191
idSWE -1.016333 0.252541 -4.0244 6.560e-05 ***
idUSA -1.711610 0.620637 -2.7578 0.0060234 **
time1995 -44.281766 3.702010 -11.9615 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1996 -44.166082 3.703728 -11.9248 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1997 -44.116106 3.704003 -11.9104 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1998 -44.030371 3.704245 -11.8865 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1999 -43.978509 3.705769 -11.8676 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2000 -43.952469 3.706916 -11.8569 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2001 -43.884291 3.708717 -11.8327 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2002 -43.917818 3.710299 -11.8367 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2003 -43.798904 3.711630 -11.8004 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2004 -43.768657 3.712635 -11.7891 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2005 -43.680613 3.713516 -11.7626 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2006 -43.620414 3.715279 -11.7408 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2007 -43.530046 3.717615 -11.7091 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2008 -43.412755 3.719632 -11.6712 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2009 -43.250061 3.720699 -11.6242 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2010 -43.209854 3.722486 -11.6078 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2011 -43.182029 3.724082 -11.5953 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2012 -43.213018 3.725617 -11.5989 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2013 -43.288964 3.724359 -11.6232 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2014 -43.328104 3.725453 -11.6303 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2015 -43.401513 3.727101 -11.6448 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2016 -43.415043 3.728697 -11.6435 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2017 -43.436739 3.730190 -11.6446 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2018 -43.447449 3.731604 -11.6431 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2019 -43.550318 3.732927 -11.6665 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -0.366210 0.077994 -4.6954 3.409e-06 ***
fesisAUS.2009 -0.526663 0.078268 -6.7290 4.522e-11 ***
fesisAUT.2002 -0.282598 0.058925 -4.7959 2.118e-06 ***
fesisBRA.1998 0.558915 0.095888 5.8288 9.805e-09 ***
fesisBRA.2003 0.346055 0.095286 3.6317 0.0003094 ***
fesisBRA.2006 0.752354 0.118658 6.3405 4.976e-10 ***
fesisBRA.2008 -0.636457 0.099629 -6.3883 3.728e-10 ***
fesisCAN.2007 -0.273636 0.054340 -5.0356 6.578e-07 ***
fesisCHE.2003 -0.529906 0.057236 -9.2582 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisCHN.2002 0.640992 0.088279 7.2610 1.410e-12 ***
fesisCHN.2016 0.495376 0.089355 5.5439 4.711e-08 ***
fesisDNK.2007 0.723632 0.053405 13.5500 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisESP.2005 0.488700 0.055421 8.8179 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisFIN.1997 -0.427741 0.097143 -4.4032 1.295e-05 ***
fesisIND.2000 0.506140 0.088327 5.7303 1.700e-08 ***
fesisIND.2004 0.269884 0.080784 3.3408 0.0008953 ***
fesisIND.2014 -0.306386 0.073851 -4.1487 3.905e-05 ***
fesisISR.2013 -0.419616 0.068845 -6.0951 2.133e-09 ***
fesisITA.2012 0.300929 0.058755 5.1217 4.272e-07 ***
fesisKOR.2004 0.553846 0.071223 7.7762 4.037e-14 ***
fesisKOR.2010 0.214401 0.068728 3.1196 0.0019117 **
fesisNOR.2012 -0.300661 0.058251 -5.1614 3.494e-07 ***
fesisRUS.2003 -0.353851 0.084300 -4.1975 3.174e-05 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -0.399761 0.077395 -5.1652 3.427e-07 ***
fesisSGP.1997 -1.517458 0.159554 -9.5106 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisSGP.1998 2.213447 0.136716 16.1902 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisSGP.2013 -0.376407 0.070815 -5.3154 1.582e-07 ***
fesisSWE.2001 -0.561353 0.062025 -9.0505 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 26.422 1 2.745e-07 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 14.529 1 0.000138 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.12714
R-squared 0.99410
Log-lik.(n=598) 423.83239 1
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 10:55:24 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 574
Sample: 1 to 574
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.6954754 0.0251729 27.6280 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.3847172 0.0760837 5.0565 5.976e-07 ***
lpop -0.0755695 0.2076435 -0.3639 0.7160554
idAUT 0.4468965 0.1788737 2.4984 0.0127914 *
idBEL 0.2270633 0.1325149 1.7135 0.0872333 .
idBRA -0.8012960 0.4508266 -1.7774 0.0761030 .
idCAN 0.1078926 0.1117479 0.9655 0.3347547
idCHE 0.1622107 0.1890717 0.8579 0.3913353
idCHN -0.8445526 0.8198252 -1.0302 0.3034253
idDEU 0.5526943 0.2848484 1.9403 0.0528961 .
idDNK -0.4408042 0.2850738 -1.5463 0.1226607
idESP 0.0062951 0.1809031 0.0348 0.9722542
idFIN 0.4321573 0.2580489 1.6747 0.0946076 .
idFRA 0.3170269 0.2382578 1.3306 0.1839172
idGBR 0.2833876 0.2357891 1.2019 0.2299754
idIND -1.2392885 0.7771593 -1.5946 0.1114162
idISR -0.1348520 0.2039008 -0.6614 0.5086816
idITA 0.0823284 0.2238527 0.3678 0.7131912
idJPN -1.1757472 0.4327717 -2.7168 0.0068173 **
idKOR -1.9253285 0.4544445 -4.2367 2.695e-05 ***
idNLD 0.3128674 0.0768076 4.0734 5.376e-05 ***
idNOR -0.7814075 0.3308669 -2.3617 0.0185686 *
idRUS -1.4539909 0.4260313 -3.4129 0.0006942 ***
idSGP -0.7195949 0.3335438 -2.1574 0.0314419 *
idSWE -0.4718656 0.2049197 -2.3027 0.0217006 *
idUSA 0.1756304 0.5175986 0.3393 0.7345109
time1996 -7.9012823 3.2680620 -2.4177 0.0159694 *
time1997 -7.9702361 3.2682931 -2.4387 0.0150842 *
time1998 -7.8512322 3.2677049 -2.4027 0.0166341 *
time1999 -7.8826820 3.2683313 -2.4118 0.0162267 *
time2000 -7.8447862 3.2687146 -2.4000 0.0167565 *
time2001 -7.8603627 3.2699832 -2.4038 0.0165839 *
time2002 -7.9060333 3.2709774 -2.4170 0.0159999 *
time2003 -7.8158123 3.2722249 -2.3885 0.0172807 *
time2004 -7.7941235 3.2731366 -2.3812 0.0176227 *
time2005 -7.7334380 3.2732820 -2.3626 0.0185242 *
time2006 -7.7263761 3.2741942 -2.3598 0.0186638 *
time2007 -7.6607061 3.2752482 -2.3390 0.0197245 *
time2008 -7.6760545 3.2754784 -2.3435 0.0194896 *
time2009 -7.6433658 3.2757846 -2.3333 0.0200229 *
time2010 -7.6014795 3.2764656 -2.3200 0.0207357 *
time2011 -7.6183656 3.2773106 -2.3246 0.0204886 *
time2012 -7.6803226 3.2783557 -2.3427 0.0195287 *
time2013 -7.7616057 3.2799601 -2.3664 0.0183384 *
time2014 -7.7292559 3.2821299 -2.3550 0.0189053 *
time2015 -7.7747983 3.2838851 -2.3676 0.0182802 *
time2016 -7.7106398 3.2857893 -2.3467 0.0193264 *
time2017 -7.7274938 3.2870377 -2.3509 0.0191102 *
time2018 -7.7236248 3.2883146 -2.3488 0.0192165 *
time2019 -7.8225848 3.2894077 -2.3781 0.0177711 *
fesisAUS.2005 -0.2141236 0.0586964 -3.6480 0.0002917 ***
fesisBRA.2006 0.8098272 0.1338568 6.0499 2.817e-09 ***
fesisBRA.2007 -0.7225886 0.1315957 -5.4910 6.330e-08 ***
fesisCHN.2001 0.3136327 0.0790074 3.9697 8.237e-05 ***
fesisCHN.2015 0.2226717 0.0771590 2.8859 0.0040695 **
fesisDNK.2005 0.2448636 0.0565488 4.3301 1.797e-05 ***
fesisIND.1998 -0.5157219 0.1271549 -4.0559 5.782e-05 ***
fesisIND.2000 0.4965391 0.0985373 5.0391 6.518e-07 ***
fesisRUS.2001 -0.2924836 0.0731881 -3.9963 7.388e-05 ***
fesisSGP.1997 -0.7486485 0.1800041 -4.1591 3.753e-05 ***
fesisSGP.1998 2.7663481 0.1812810 15.2600 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisSGP.1999 -0.8131798 0.1858519 -4.3754 1.472e-05 ***
fesisSGP.2000 -0.7610382 0.1465361 -5.1935 2.994e-07 ***
fesisSGP.2003 0.5643925 0.1159824 4.8662 1.521e-06 ***
fesisSGP.2005 -0.3779635 0.1162675 -3.2508 0.0012273 **
fesisSGP.2008 0.4022648 0.1168755 3.4418 0.0006256 ***
fesisSGP.2010 -0.3763188 0.0992433 -3.7919 0.0001675 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 11.001 1 0.0009107 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 38.747 1 4.824e-10 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.12399
R-squared 0.99412
Log-lik.(n=574) 417.30345 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 10:55:22 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 574
Sample: 1 to 574
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.6966517 0.0249540 27.9174 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.4182960 0.0736240 5.6815 2.281e-08 ***
lpop -0.0023955 0.2328888 -0.0103 0.9917971
idAUT 0.5654466 0.1978663 2.8577 0.0044467 **
idBEL 0.3220613 0.1443718 2.2308 0.0261432 *
idBRA -0.9870868 0.5059684 -1.9509 0.0516344 .
idCAN -0.2032322 0.1624772 -1.2508 0.2115855
idCHE 0.2659383 0.2119797 1.2545 0.2102356
idCHN -1.2365942 0.9292955 -1.3307 0.1839072
idDEU 0.4278032 0.3238682 1.3209 0.1871392
idDNK -0.3598359 0.3145739 -1.1439 0.2532247
idESP -0.1792783 0.1933524 -0.9272 0.3542694
idFIN 0.5995661 0.2903206 2.0652 0.0394254 *
idFRA 0.2223271 0.2694795 0.8250 0.4097552
idGBR 0.1970350 0.2655786 0.7419 0.4584948
idIND -1.6478983 0.8790011 -1.8747 0.0614171 .
idISR -0.0126376 0.2564214 -0.0493 0.9607126
idITA 0.0011124 0.2518474 0.0044 0.9964776
idJPN -1.5090351 0.4655014 -3.2417 0.0012681 **
idKOR -2.2166099 0.4469900 -4.9590 9.755e-07 ***
idNLD 0.3576320 0.0755973 4.7308 2.922e-06 ***
idNOR -0.6944114 0.3621858 -1.9173 0.0557777 .
idRUS -1.5787590 0.4876867 -3.2372 0.0012878 **
idSGP -0.5423574 0.3726009 -1.4556 0.1461375
idSWE -0.4435894 0.2173705 -2.0407 0.0418100 *
idUSA -0.1035477 0.5935842 -0.1744 0.8615872
time1996 -10.0524812 3.6876773 -2.7260 0.0066386 **
time1997 -10.1344707 3.6882747 -2.7478 0.0062195 **
time1998 -10.0048238 3.6882095 -2.7127 0.0069072 **
time1999 -10.0382669 3.6891172 -2.7210 0.0067367 **
time2000 -10.0337494 3.6902231 -2.7190 0.0067777 **
time2001 -10.0252031 3.6910677 -2.7161 0.0068373 **
time2002 -10.0722467 3.6923161 -2.7279 0.0066005 **
time2003 -9.9754741 3.6929190 -2.7012 0.0071450 **
time2004 -9.9791532 3.6937325 -2.7016 0.0071365 **
time2005 -9.9267898 3.6935119 -2.6876 0.0074384 **
time2006 -9.9027849 3.6947150 -2.6803 0.0076018 **
time2007 -9.8671449 3.6960808 -2.6696 0.0078432 **
time2008 -9.8681262 3.6969087 -2.6693 0.0078508 **
time2009 -9.8239072 3.6968700 -2.6574 0.0081301 **
time2010 -9.7833075 3.6977076 -2.6458 0.0084097 **
time2011 -9.8017796 3.6988338 -2.6500 0.0083076 **
time2012 -9.8648865 3.7001753 -2.6661 0.0079256 **
time2013 -9.9473161 3.7019332 -2.6871 0.0074509 **
time2014 -9.9161755 3.7041211 -2.6771 0.0076735 **
time2015 -9.9618914 3.7059959 -2.6880 0.0074293 **
time2016 -9.8989993 3.7079782 -2.6696 0.0078426 **
time2017 -9.9173309 3.7093795 -2.6736 0.0077525 **
time2018 -9.9147751 3.7107830 -2.6719 0.0077913 **
time2019 -10.0148393 3.7120258 -2.6979 0.0072151 **
fesisAUS.2005 -0.2174749 0.0568654 -3.8244 0.0001478 ***
fesisBRA.2006 0.8061765 0.1250430 6.4472 2.710e-10 ***
fesisBRA.2007 -0.7228872 0.1226453 -5.8941 6.974e-09 ***
fesisCAN.1997 0.5507468 0.1673651 3.2907 0.0010707 **
fesisCAN.1998 -0.2805395 0.1216201 -2.3067 0.0214843 *
fesisCHN.2001 0.2955494 0.0742061 3.9828 7.833e-05 ***
fesisCHN.2015 0.1978731 0.0722206 2.7398 0.0063688 **
fesisDNK.2005 0.3958574 0.1244279 3.1814 0.0015576 **
fesisDNK.2006 -0.4554570 0.1671047 -2.7256 0.0066463 **
fesisDNK.2007 0.6657049 0.1667969 3.9911 7.572e-05 ***
fesisDNK.2008 -0.3634520 0.1237841 -2.9362 0.0034775 **
fesisESP.2003 0.2028475 0.0561103 3.6152 0.0003309 ***
fesisIND.1998 -0.5263826 0.1185346 -4.4408 1.107e-05 ***
fesisIND.2000 0.7526016 0.1447303 5.2000 2.921e-07 ***
fesisIND.2001 -0.2784363 0.1259958 -2.2099 0.0275700 *
fesisISR.2003 -0.3849292 0.1298079 -2.9654 0.0031691 **
fesisISR.2004 0.5597327 0.1294842 4.3228 1.864e-05 ***
fesisISR.2009 -0.2775278 0.0673930 -4.1180 4.477e-05 ***
fesisRUS.1997 -0.3050201 0.1366812 -2.2316 0.0260872 *
fesisRUS.2000 0.4781293 0.1364400 3.5043 0.0004993 ***
fesisRUS.2001 -0.6096924 0.1250510 -4.8755 1.464e-06 ***
fesisSGP.1997 -0.7403378 0.1679040 -4.4093 1.273e-05 ***
fesisSGP.1998 2.7551797 0.1689742 16.3053 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisSGP.1999 -0.8161734 0.1737635 -4.6970 3.424e-06 ***
fesisSGP.2000 -0.7497201 0.1364386 -5.4949 6.265e-08 ***
fesisSGP.2003 0.5590960 0.1079976 5.1769 3.286e-07 ***
fesisSGP.2005 -0.3706918 0.1085128 -3.4161 0.0006875 ***
fesisSGP.2008 0.3846397 0.1094808 3.5133 0.0004831 ***
fesisSGP.2010 -0.3947698 0.0927535 -4.2561 2.489e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 6.3383 1 0.01182 *
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 26.3537 1 2.843e-07 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.11537
R-squared 0.99503
Log-lik.(n=574) 464.65632 Energy
with IIS
Count
0
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:03:59 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 598
Sample: 1 to 598
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp 2.9652e-12 7.9130e-14 37.4718 < 2.2e-16 ***
pop -6.0530e-07 1.6039e-07 -3.7740 0.0001797 ***
idAUT -2.3508e+00 2.8370e+01 -0.0829 0.9339936
idBEL -3.5724e+01 2.8344e+01 -1.2604 0.2081156
idBRA 3.8764e+01 3.9106e+01 0.9913 0.3220335
idCAN 1.1352e+02 2.8358e+01 4.0030 7.192e-05 ***
idCHE 5.8095e+00 2.8377e+01 0.2047 0.8378699
idCHN 8.2723e+02 2.0500e+02 4.0354 6.297e-05 ***
idDEU 5.8699e+02 3.7151e+01 15.8001 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDNK 7.9761e+01 2.8407e+01 2.8078 0.0051813 **
idESP 3.1345e+01 2.8530e+01 1.0987 0.2724389
idFIN -3.7955e+01 2.8409e+01 -1.3360 0.1821450
idFRA 2.8155e+02 2.9102e+01 9.6747 < 2.2e-16 ***
idGBR 2.0620e+02 2.9031e+01 7.1025 4.187e-12 ***
idIND 4.8239e+02 1.8812e+02 2.5642 0.0106285 *
idISR -2.2515e+01 2.9037e+01 -0.7754 0.4384719
idITA 6.7950e+01 2.8921e+01 2.3495 0.0191844 *
idJPN 5.9714e+02 6.8877e+01 8.6696 < 2.2e-16 ***
idKOR -2.1191e+03 7.7839e+01 -27.2242 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 2.5684e+01 2.8305e+01 0.9074 0.3646348
idNOR -5.3150e+01 2.8418e+01 -1.8703 0.0620239 .
idRUS -5.7911e+01 4.1473e+01 -1.3964 0.1632202
idSGP -5.3215e+01 2.8418e+01 -1.8726 0.0617020 .
idSWE -1.7758e+01 2.8361e+01 -0.6262 0.5314925
idUSA 1.3165e+03 6.6081e+01 19.9231 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1995 -1.0041e+01 2.9415e+01 -0.3414 0.7329738
time1996 -1.0003e+01 2.9418e+01 -0.3400 0.7339786
time1997 -9.2935e+00 2.9063e+01 -0.3198 0.7492709
time1998 4.4965e+00 2.9076e+01 0.1546 0.8771604
time1999 -1.0106e+01 2.8826e+01 -0.3506 0.7260437
time2000 1.5947e+01 2.8605e+01 0.5575 0.5774426
time2001 3.2217e+01 2.8612e+01 1.1260 0.2607055
time2002 3.4087e+01 2.8616e+01 1.1912 0.2341383
time2003 1.6034e+01 2.8599e+01 0.5607 0.5752834
time2004 3.8885e+01 2.8609e+01 1.3592 0.1747004
time2005 5.5212e+01 2.8875e+01 1.9121 0.0564292 .
time2006 6.5902e+01 2.8889e+01 2.2812 0.0229531 *
time2007 8.0276e+01 2.8931e+01 2.7747 0.0057301 **
time2008 1.1811e+02 2.8957e+01 4.0788 5.259e-05 ***
time2009 2.1047e+02 2.8986e+01 7.2611 1.461e-12 ***
time2010 2.2015e+02 2.9312e+01 7.5107 2.687e-13 ***
time2011 2.1846e+02 2.9323e+01 7.4500 4.073e-13 ***
time2012 1.9755e+02 2.9357e+01 6.7294 4.636e-11 ***
time2013 1.6503e+02 2.9394e+01 5.6144 3.259e-08 ***
time2014 1.3275e+02 2.9434e+01 4.5101 8.064e-06 ***
time2015 1.0411e+02 2.9474e+01 3.5323 0.0004497 ***
time2016 1.0417e+02 2.9782e+01 3.4977 0.0005108 ***
time2017 1.0686e+02 2.9818e+01 3.5838 0.0003714 ***
time2018 1.0675e+02 2.9855e+01 3.5757 0.0003829 ***
time2019 7.6545e+01 2.9889e+01 2.5609 0.0107284 *
iis172 6.6243e+02 1.1222e+02 5.9030 6.554e-09 ***
iis173 1.1126e+03 1.1226e+02 9.9110 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis174 1.5390e+03 1.1230e+02 13.7041 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis175 1.6622e+03 1.1234e+02 14.7961 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis399 -9.6203e+02 1.1450e+02 -8.4019 4.486e-16 ***
iis400 -9.3348e+02 1.1448e+02 -8.1539 2.805e-15 ***
iis401 -8.7692e+02 1.1438e+02 -7.6670 9.104e-14 ***
iis402 -6.9928e+02 1.1438e+02 -6.1137 1.950e-09 ***
iis414 1.2943e+03 1.4475e+02 8.9419 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis415 1.7338e+03 1.4476e+02 11.9769 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis416 1.2605e+03 1.4475e+02 8.7077 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis417 7.4550e+02 1.4475e+02 5.1503 3.734e-07 ***
iis418 7.8434e+02 1.4475e+02 5.4187 9.311e-08 ***
iis419 5.4901e+02 1.4474e+02 3.7930 0.0001669 ***
iis420 6.1764e+02 1.4480e+02 4.2654 2.383e-05 ***
iis421 7.8662e+02 1.4480e+02 5.4324 8.661e-08 ***
iis422 7.5854e+02 1.4480e+02 5.2384 2.382e-07 ***
iis574 -6.7559e+02 1.1218e+02 -6.0224 3.312e-09 ***
iis575 -7.1707e+02 1.1218e+02 -6.3922 3.724e-10 ***
iis576 -6.1083e+02 1.1208e+02 -5.4501 7.884e-08 ***
iis577 -5.2964e+02 1.1207e+02 -4.7258 2.976e-06 ***
iis578 -4.0180e+02 1.1198e+02 -3.5881 0.0003655 ***
iis585 3.9456e+02 1.4452e+02 2.7302 0.0065507 **
iis586 8.8310e+02 1.4454e+02 6.1097 1.995e-09 ***
iis587 1.3347e+03 1.4454e+02 9.2341 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis588 1.6296e+03 1.4454e+02 11.2741 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis589 1.8182e+03 1.4463e+02 12.5720 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis590 1.7506e+03 1.4466e+02 12.1016 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis591 1.6682e+03 1.4466e+02 11.5316 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis592 1.7100e+03 1.4466e+02 11.8208 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis593 1.1671e+03 1.4467e+02 8.0677 5.256e-15 ***
iis594 1.1364e+03 1.4467e+02 7.8552 2.418e-14 ***
iis595 1.0265e+03 1.4474e+02 7.0923 4.477e-12 ***
iis596 8.4593e+02 1.4475e+02 5.8442 9.138e-09 ***
iis597 8.1024e+02 1.4475e+02 5.5974 3.576e-08 ***
iis598 7.1942e+02 1.4476e+02 4.9697 9.195e-07 ***
fesisCHN.2011 5.6336e+02 5.3707e+01 10.4895 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2007 8.8793e+02 4.1188e+01 21.5581 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2003 6.8862e+02 6.4130e+01 10.7378 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2010 5.9790e+02 1.0949e+02 5.4609 7.444e-08 ***
fesisKOR.2000 -5.0446e+02 7.1415e+01 -7.0638 5.399e-12 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -1.8937e+02 4.1192e+01 -4.5972 5.417e-06 ***
fesisUSA.2005 3.5442e+02 1.1196e+02 3.1657 0.0016407 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 190.641 1 < 2.2e-16 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 86.568 1 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 100.03629
R-squared 0.98842
Log-lik.(n=598) -3556.13400 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:03:59 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 598
Sample: 1 to 598
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp 2.8973e-12 7.2791e-14 39.8023 < 2.2e-16 ***
pop -2.0792e-07 2.5283e-07 -0.8224 0.4112629
idAUT 2.6985e+00 2.6025e+01 0.1037 0.9174568
idBEL 2.3649e+01 3.1667e+01 0.7468 0.4555271
idBRA 4.0062e+01 5.1354e+01 0.7801 0.4357002
idCAN 1.0882e+02 2.5993e+01 4.1864 3.356e-05 ***
idCHE 1.1129e+01 2.6045e+01 0.4273 0.6693395
idCHN 3.4069e+02 3.1986e+02 1.0651 0.2873369
idDEU 5.8307e+02 3.6471e+01 15.9872 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDNK 8.6037e+01 2.6124e+01 3.2934 0.0010609 **
idESP 2.2252e+01 2.6456e+01 0.8411 0.4006999
idFIN 2.9516e+01 3.2638e+01 0.9044 0.3662465
idFRA 2.6471e+02 2.7962e+01 9.4669 < 2.2e-16 ***
idGBR 1.9010e+02 2.7779e+01 6.8434 2.298e-11 ***
idIND 9.2353e+01 2.7389e+02 0.3372 0.7361124
idISR -1.8654e+01 2.6673e+01 -0.6994 0.4846488
idITA 5.3122e+01 2.7492e+01 1.9323 0.0538938 .
idJPN 6.9822e+02 7.2553e+01 9.6236 < 2.2e-16 ***
idKOR -2.0614e+03 7.2038e+01 -28.6161 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 2.7538e+01 2.5848e+01 1.0654 0.2872269
idNOR 1.9206e+01 3.1793e+01 0.6041 0.5460675
idRUS -8.3797e+01 4.6193e+01 -1.8141 0.0702711 .
idSGP 1.5490e+01 3.2666e+01 0.4742 0.6355649
idSWE 4.7941e+01 3.1698e+01 1.5125 0.1310564
idUSA 1.2972e+03 8.4349e+01 15.3786 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1995 -3.6535e+01 2.7109e+01 -1.3477 0.1783719
time1996 -3.6998e+01 2.7137e+01 -1.3634 0.1733803
time1997 -3.5834e+01 2.6835e+01 -1.3354 0.1823763
time1998 -2.2796e+01 2.6884e+01 -0.8479 0.3968766
time1999 -2.5808e+01 2.6927e+01 -0.9584 0.3383134
time2000 -6.4007e+00 2.6811e+01 -0.2387 0.8114062
time2001 -3.5116e+00 2.6637e+01 -0.1318 0.8951710
time2002 -1.9991e+00 2.6685e+01 -0.0749 0.9403126
time2003 -1.6309e+01 2.6694e+01 -0.6110 0.5415013
time2004 6.2003e+00 2.6753e+01 0.2318 0.8168204
time2005 2.4952e+01 2.7022e+01 0.9234 0.3562502
time2006 3.5371e+01 2.7085e+01 1.3059 0.1921858
time2007 7.3377e+01 2.7468e+01 2.6714 0.0078033 **
time2008 1.2421e+02 2.7309e+01 4.5484 6.809e-06 ***
time2009 2.1603e+02 2.7395e+01 7.8856 2.021e-14 ***
time2010 2.3423e+02 2.7210e+01 8.6081 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2011 2.1114e+02 2.7470e+01 7.6862 8.238e-14 ***
time2012 2.1374e+02 2.7245e+01 7.8450 2.697e-14 ***
time2013 1.8084e+02 2.7323e+01 6.6187 9.456e-11 ***
time2014 1.4821e+02 2.7404e+01 5.4084 9.925e-08 ***
time2015 1.1923e+02 2.7487e+01 4.3378 1.745e-05 ***
time2016 1.1957e+02 2.7776e+01 4.3050 2.015e-05 ***
time2017 1.2210e+02 2.7845e+01 4.3850 1.418e-05 ***
time2018 1.2183e+02 2.7914e+01 4.3644 1.554e-05 ***
time2019 9.1441e+01 2.7980e+01 3.2681 0.0011581 **
iis172 6.4907e+02 1.0251e+02 6.3320 5.442e-10 ***
iis173 1.0964e+03 1.0263e+02 10.6840 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis174 1.5207e+03 1.0274e+02 14.8022 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis175 1.6424e+03 1.0283e+02 15.9718 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis192 5.2614e+02 9.7609e+01 5.3902 1.092e-07 ***
iis399 -1.0554e+03 1.0794e+02 -9.7771 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis400 -1.0255e+03 1.0792e+02 -9.5023 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis401 -9.6916e+02 1.0782e+02 -8.9889 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis402 -7.9131e+02 1.0782e+02 -7.3393 8.894e-13 ***
iis403 -3.6594e+02 1.0783e+02 -3.3939 0.0007446 ***
iis414 1.2917e+03 1.3209e+02 9.7787 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis415 1.7527e+03 1.3219e+02 13.2588 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis416 1.2564e+03 1.3210e+02 9.5109 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis417 7.4261e+02 1.3209e+02 5.6218 3.164e-08 ***
iis418 7.8197e+02 1.3209e+02 5.9200 6.031e-09 ***
iis419 5.4760e+02 1.3209e+02 4.1458 3.985e-05 ***
iis420 6.1625e+02 1.3214e+02 4.6636 4.004e-06 ***
iis421 7.8606e+02 1.3214e+02 5.9487 5.121e-09 ***
iis422 7.5844e+02 1.3214e+02 5.7397 1.656e-08 ***
iis574 -7.3478e+02 1.0449e+02 -7.0318 6.821e-12 ***
iis575 -7.7697e+02 1.0449e+02 -7.4360 4.619e-13 ***
iis576 -6.7244e+02 1.0439e+02 -6.4416 2.809e-10 ***
iis577 -5.9173e+02 1.0438e+02 -5.6689 2.447e-08 ***
iis578 -4.7671e+02 1.0438e+02 -4.5670 6.255e-06 ***
iis579 -3.1038e+02 1.0427e+02 -2.9767 0.0030570 **
iis585 3.9372e+02 1.3188e+02 2.9855 0.0029713 **
iis586 8.5752e+02 1.3198e+02 6.4971 2.002e-10 ***
iis587 1.2950e+03 1.3201e+02 9.8099 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis588 1.5893e+03 1.3201e+02 12.0393 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis589 1.7685e+03 1.3217e+02 13.3804 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis590 1.7213e+03 1.3231e+02 13.0100 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis591 1.6145e+03 1.3225e+02 12.2078 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis592 1.6559e+03 1.3226e+02 12.5198 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis593 1.1125e+03 1.3228e+02 8.4102 4.423e-16 ***
iis594 1.0812e+03 1.3229e+02 8.1729 2.549e-15 ***
iis595 9.7013e+02 1.3237e+02 7.3287 9.550e-13 ***
iis596 7.8890e+02 1.3239e+02 5.9588 4.836e-09 ***
iis597 7.5272e+02 1.3241e+02 5.6849 2.241e-08 ***
iis598 6.6152e+02 1.3242e+02 4.9956 8.152e-07 ***
fesisBEL.2008 -1.1516e+02 3.8045e+01 -3.0270 0.0025990 **
fesisBRA.2008 -1.4184e+02 3.8255e+01 -3.7078 0.0002327 ***
fesisCHN.2011 5.0136e+02 5.2258e+01 9.5939 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2007 6.1230e+02 9.7267e+01 6.2950 6.791e-10 ***
fesisDEU.2008 2.1280e+02 9.7633e+01 2.1796 0.0297614 *
fesisFIN.2007 -1.1776e+02 3.8040e+01 -3.0957 0.0020750 **
fesisIND.2010 -1.6711e+02 6.5988e+01 -2.5324 0.0116375 *
fesisJPN.2003 5.8856e+02 6.4446e+01 9.1326 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2010 5.6916e+02 9.9999e+01 5.6917 2.159e-08 ***
fesisKOR.2000 -4.8336e+02 6.5242e+01 -7.4086 5.565e-13 ***
fesisNOR.2008 -1.3696e+02 3.8046e+01 -3.5998 0.0003506 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -2.2520e+02 3.8025e+01 -5.9223 5.950e-09 ***
fesisSGP.2007 -1.1964e+02 3.8026e+01 -3.1464 0.0017528 **
fesisSWE.2008 -1.2671e+02 3.8042e+01 -3.3307 0.0009311 ***
fesisUSA.2005 2.8768e+02 1.0427e+02 2.7590 0.0060130 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 162.135 1 < 2.2e-16 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 65.135 1 6.661e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 91.28674
R-squared 0.99057
Log-lik.(n=598) -3495.90057 1
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:03:49 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 574
Sample: 1 to 574
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 9.6759e-01 6.7391e-03 143.5786 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp -1.1855e-13 1.0629e-13 -1.1154 0.2652266
pop 1.3171e-07 7.1410e-08 1.8444 0.0657245 .
idAUT 3.9822e+00 1.1548e+01 0.3448 0.7303564
idBEL -1.6896e+00 1.1538e+01 -0.1464 0.8836355
idBRA -2.6233e+01 1.6636e+01 -1.5769 0.1154547
idCAN 4.3994e+00 1.1569e+01 0.3803 0.7039075
idCHE 1.4179e+00 1.1552e+01 0.1227 0.9023626
idCHN -1.0832e+02 9.1405e+01 -1.1850 0.2365703
idDEU 6.2315e+01 1.5939e+01 3.9097 0.0001053 ***
idDNK 1.1907e+01 1.1582e+01 1.0281 0.3044121
idESP -2.8523e+00 1.1633e+01 -0.2452 0.8064017
idFIN -1.0729e+00 1.1568e+01 -0.0927 0.9261462
idFRA 1.5260e+01 1.2043e+01 1.2671 0.2057180
idGBR 8.8844e+00 1.1946e+01 0.7437 0.4573908
idIND -1.4396e+02 8.1876e+01 -1.7582 0.0793279 .
idISR -7.7672e-01 1.1832e+01 -0.0656 0.9476857
idITA -2.0604e+00 1.1823e+01 -0.1743 0.8617229
idJPN 2.1847e+02 5.2289e+01 4.1782 3.475e-05 ***
idKOR 1.2364e+02 9.1371e+01 1.3532 0.1766124
idNLD 2.0313e+00 1.1519e+01 0.1763 0.8601011
idNOR -4.2498e-02 1.1585e+01 -0.0037 0.9970745
idRUS -1.0775e+01 1.4724e+01 -0.7318 0.4646291
idSGP -1.5498e+00 1.1575e+01 -0.1339 0.8935441
idSWE 2.4309e-01 1.1554e+01 0.0210 0.9832223
idUSA 9.6546e+01 2.5994e+01 3.7141 0.0002272 ***
time1996 -1.2692e+01 1.1630e+01 -1.0913 0.2756644
time1997 -8.3358e+00 1.1616e+01 -0.7176 0.4733181
time1998 -1.0489e+00 1.1508e+01 -0.0911 0.9274147
time1999 3.7811e-01 1.1577e+01 0.0327 0.9739578
time2000 6.0036e+00 1.1569e+01 0.5189 0.6040440
time2001 5.8447e+00 1.1458e+01 0.5101 0.6102226
time2002 -4.2195e+00 1.1462e+01 -0.3681 0.7129423
time2003 -5.6176e+00 1.1534e+01 -0.4870 0.6264474
time2004 1.0701e+01 1.1516e+01 0.9292 0.3532461
time2005 1.9120e+01 1.1510e+01 1.6611 0.0973357 .
time2006 5.1362e+00 1.1629e+01 0.4417 0.6589200
time2007 3.3125e+01 1.1650e+01 2.8433 0.0046496 **
time2008 2.1342e+01 1.1675e+01 1.8280 0.0681512 .
time2009 2.6572e+01 1.1962e+01 2.2213 0.0267816 *
time2010 3.3348e+01 1.1825e+01 2.8201 0.0049940 **
time2011 4.7464e+00 1.1873e+01 0.3998 0.6895066
time2012 -2.9718e+01 1.1898e+01 -2.4976 0.0128270 *
time2013 -1.8122e+01 1.1983e+01 -1.5124 0.1310808
time2014 -1.2424e+01 1.1940e+01 -1.0405 0.2986219
time2015 -8.8470e+00 1.1932e+01 -0.7414 0.4587786
time2016 3.8079e-02 1.1914e+01 0.0032 0.9974511
time2017 1.9782e+01 1.1921e+01 1.6594 0.0976732 .
time2018 8.1890e+00 1.1876e+01 0.6896 0.4907927
time2019 -2.3456e+01 1.1992e+01 -1.9560 0.0510293 .
iis165 4.4776e+02 4.2267e+01 10.5937 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis166 4.2670e+02 4.2727e+01 9.9866 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis167 4.2816e+02 4.3337e+01 9.8797 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis168 1.4063e+02 4.4284e+01 3.1757 0.0015882 **
iis186 -3.8531e+02 4.3686e+01 -8.8201 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis386 2.7752e+02 4.3002e+01 6.4537 2.610e-10 ***
iis387 2.3353e+02 4.2534e+01 5.4904 6.423e-08 ***
iis396 5.4368e+02 4.2241e+01 12.8710 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis397 1.2374e+03 4.2358e+01 29.2131 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis398 4.1547e+02 4.4151e+01 9.4102 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis399 -4.4657e+02 4.5024e+01 -9.9186 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis400 -5.1557e+02 4.4064e+01 -11.7006 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis402 -2.6278e+02 4.3366e+01 -6.0597 2.707e-09 ***
iis406 -8.0155e+02 4.3516e+01 -18.4199 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis420 2.1674e+02 4.8572e+01 4.4622 1.006e-05 ***
iis425 -6.7321e+02 5.8753e+01 -11.4584 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis426 -6.3737e+02 5.7963e+01 -10.9961 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis428 -1.4261e+02 5.0545e+01 -2.8214 0.0049738 **
iis561 3.1736e+02 4.2183e+01 7.5234 2.542e-13 ***
iis562 3.9950e+02 4.2269e+01 9.4513 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis563 4.1280e+02 4.2567e+01 9.6978 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis564 3.1956e+02 4.3132e+01 7.4090 5.551e-13 ***
iis569 -4.3760e+02 4.4931e+01 -9.7393 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2007 1.9816e+02 2.2597e+01 8.7693 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -2.5918e+02 2.3913e+01 -10.8386 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2003 1.6577e+02 4.1907e+01 3.9556 8.750e-05 ***
fesisKOR.2009 2.2407e+02 4.1029e+01 5.4613 7.499e-08 ***
fesisKOR.2014 1.5161e+02 5.0627e+01 2.9947 0.0028848 **
fesisKOR.2017 -3.6402e+02 5.1605e+01 -7.0541 5.898e-12 ***
fesisUSA.2014 -1.5138e+02 2.2188e+01 -6.8229 2.619e-11 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 2.4762 1 0.1156
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 32.7150 1 1.067e-08 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 39.88288
R-squared 0.99819
Log-lik.(n=574) -2890.20445 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:03:45 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 574
Sample: 1 to 574
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 8.9964e-01 1.5111e-02 59.5369 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp -7.2234e-14 9.8515e-14 -0.7332 0.4637741
pop 5.1985e-08 6.5725e-08 0.7909 0.4293601
idAUT 2.9727e+00 1.0290e+01 0.2889 0.7727852
idBEL -4.6326e+00 1.0291e+01 -0.4502 0.6527933
idBRA -1.6690e+01 1.5065e+01 -1.1079 0.2684407
idCAN 1.2662e+01 1.0423e+01 1.2148 0.2250367
idCHE 1.1530e+00 1.0295e+01 0.1120 0.9108670
idCHN -4.3687e+01 8.2949e+01 -0.5267 0.5986632
idDEU 1.0084e+02 1.5948e+01 6.3231 5.814e-10 ***
idDNK 1.6563e+01 1.0384e+01 1.5950 0.1113558
idESP 1.8001e-01 1.0376e+01 0.0173 0.9861651
idFIN -4.4356e+00 1.0320e+01 -0.4298 0.6675367
idFRA 3.5831e+01 1.1361e+01 3.1538 0.0017115 **
idGBR 2.4294e+01 1.0986e+01 2.2113 0.0274778 *
idIND -5.4292e+01 7.5260e+01 -0.7214 0.4710155
idISR -2.6239e+00 1.0547e+01 -0.2488 0.8036291
idITA 4.0444e+00 1.0580e+01 0.3823 0.7024196
idJPN 2.0068e+02 5.1126e+01 3.9251 9.920e-05 ***
idKOR 9.2818e+01 8.4279e+01 1.1013 0.2713014
idNLD 3.4631e+00 1.0269e+01 0.3372 0.7360869
idNOR -4.1014e+00 1.0344e+01 -0.3965 0.6919155
idRUS -6.1957e+00 1.3314e+01 -0.4654 0.6418736
idSGP -5.9357e+00 1.0338e+01 -0.5742 0.5661235
idSWE -1.0785e+00 1.0297e+01 -0.1047 0.9166256
idUSA 1.8145e+02 2.6223e+01 6.9194 1.437e-11 ***
time1996 -9.7789e+00 1.0400e+01 -0.9403 0.3475491
time1997 -4.8795e+00 1.0387e+01 -0.4698 0.6387395
time1998 -2.1075e+00 1.0286e+01 -0.2049 0.8377375
time1999 2.3443e+00 1.0327e+01 0.2270 0.8205108
time2000 8.8408e+00 1.0322e+01 0.8565 0.3921314
time2001 1.0208e+01 1.0237e+01 0.9972 0.3191653
time2002 1.5897e+00 1.0254e+01 0.1550 0.8768616
time2003 -7.0387e+00 1.0424e+01 -0.6752 0.4998434
time2004 1.7708e+01 1.0328e+01 1.7145 0.0870787 .
time2005 2.8248e+01 1.0367e+01 2.7248 0.0066660 **
time2006 1.5339e+01 1.0480e+01 1.4637 0.1439233
time2007 3.4593e+01 1.0537e+01 3.2831 0.0011006 **
time2008 3.4014e+01 1.0562e+01 3.2204 0.0013657 **
time2009 3.2798e+01 1.0766e+01 3.0465 0.0024414 **
time2010 4.1547e+01 1.0659e+01 3.8979 0.0001107 ***
time2011 1.6871e+01 1.0840e+01 1.5563 0.1202830
time2012 -1.5865e+01 1.0936e+01 -1.4507 0.1474951
time2013 -6.7585e+00 1.0890e+01 -0.6206 0.5351330
time2014 -4.8730e+00 1.0811e+01 -0.4507 0.6523840
time2015 -2.6240e-01 1.0791e+01 -0.0243 0.9806100
time2016 7.1266e+00 1.0717e+01 0.6650 0.5063692
time2017 2.6684e+01 1.0717e+01 2.4898 0.0131138 *
time2018 1.3159e+01 1.0760e+01 1.2229 0.2219708
time2019 -1.0840e+01 1.0860e+01 -0.9982 0.3186802
iis165 4.2266e+02 3.9080e+01 10.8154 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis166 4.3479e+02 4.0839e+01 10.6463 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis167 4.6992e+02 4.3475e+01 10.8090 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis168 2.0468e+02 4.6890e+01 4.3651 1.553e-05 ***
iis186 -3.5813e+02 3.9330e+01 -9.1056 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis386 2.3323e+02 4.1162e+01 5.6660 2.507e-08 ***
iis387 2.1616e+02 3.9761e+01 5.4366 8.612e-08 ***
iis390 1.7715e+02 3.9209e+01 4.5181 7.843e-06 ***
iis394 1.7159e+02 4.0090e+01 4.2801 2.251e-05 ***
iis396 4.2470e+02 4.5206e+01 9.3949 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis397 1.1601e+03 4.1947e+01 27.6554 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis398 4.2467e+02 4.1796e+01 10.1607 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis399 -4.0965e+02 4.3516e+01 -9.4139 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis400 -5.0882e+02 4.1592e+01 -12.2335 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis402 -2.8807e+02 4.0652e+01 -7.0862 4.874e-12 ***
iis406 -8.3005e+02 4.0700e+01 -20.3943 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis420 1.5783e+02 4.4690e+01 3.5316 0.0004524 ***
iis425 -6.3236e+02 5.3099e+01 -11.9089 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis426 -6.1960e+02 5.1796e+01 -11.9624 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis428 -4.8187e+02 5.1838e+01 -9.2958 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis429 -2.7882e+02 5.2338e+01 -5.3272 1.528e-07 ***
iis430 -4.1872e+02 5.3249e+01 -7.8635 2.433e-14 ***
iis561 2.0339e+02 4.8807e+01 4.1673 3.649e-05 ***
iis562 3.2199e+02 4.5409e+01 7.0908 4.727e-12 ***
iis563 3.5843e+02 4.2666e+01 8.4009 4.912e-16 ***
iis564 3.0502e+02 4.1135e+01 7.4151 5.447e-13 ***
iis569 -3.8543e+02 4.1320e+01 -9.3279 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisCHN.2008 1.3237e+02 1.8529e+01 7.1440 3.335e-12 ***
fesisDEU.2007 2.5753e+02 2.3438e+01 10.9877 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -2.5546e+02 2.1329e+01 -11.9771 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.1998 1.3157e+02 3.3925e+01 3.8782 0.0001197 ***
fesisJPN.2008 -1.3031e+02 4.0849e+01 -3.1899 0.0015149 **
fesisJPN.2009 3.1027e+02 4.4507e+01 6.9712 1.030e-11 ***
fesisKOR.2003 1.8025e+02 3.7912e+01 4.7545 2.625e-06 ***
fesisKOR.2009 3.0945e+02 3.9641e+01 7.8062 3.647e-14 ***
fesisKOR.2014 1.5011e+02 4.5427e+01 3.3044 0.0010222 **
fesisUSA.2006 1.5019e+02 4.2243e+01 3.5555 0.0004142 ***
fesisUSA.2014 -1.9019e+02 2.6958e+01 -7.0550 5.974e-12 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.5355 1 0.2153
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 26.5062 1 2.627e-07 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 35.53204
R-squared 0.99858
Log-lik.(n=574) -2819.90034 Log Count
0
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:04:05 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 598
Sample: 1 to 598
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
lgdp 1.464873 0.114764 12.7642 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop 0.062853 0.381703 0.1647 0.8692716
idAUT 2.031811 0.305895 6.6422 7.714e-11 ***
idBEL 1.122614 0.226321 4.9603 9.512e-07 ***
idBRA -3.718293 0.806579 -4.6100 5.059e-06 ***
idCAN 0.621089 0.187749 3.3081 0.0010035 **
idCHE 1.737034 0.352710 4.9248 1.132e-06 ***
idCHN -4.486761 1.482841 -3.0258 0.0026010 **
idDEU 1.398292 0.509662 2.7436 0.0062846 **
idDNK -0.431501 0.517854 -0.8332 0.4050817
idESP -0.318024 0.318260 -0.9993 0.3181272
idFIN 2.128619 0.455060 4.6777 3.692e-06 ***
idFRA 0.635447 0.427498 1.4864 0.1377631
idGBR 0.668144 0.423758 1.5767 0.1154618
idIND -7.284294 1.379713 -5.2796 1.896e-07 ***
idISR 0.413758 0.395761 1.0455 0.2962826
idITA -0.318738 0.407802 -0.7816 0.4348000
idJPN -5.215317 0.717976 -7.2639 1.361e-12 ***
idKOR -8.397825 0.675135 -12.4387 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 1.281825 0.110706 11.5787 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNOR -1.871784 0.592705 -3.1580 0.0016794 **
idRUS -6.109829 0.691771 -8.8322 < 2.2e-16 ***
idSGP 0.349770 0.548397 0.6378 0.5238776
idSWE -0.751063 0.365866 -2.0528 0.0405819 *
idUSA -0.616628 0.937266 -0.6579 0.5108892
time1995 -38.662702 5.657762 -6.8336 2.295e-11 ***
time1996 -38.497357 5.660829 -6.8007 2.833e-11 ***
time1997 -38.375720 5.662003 -6.7778 3.278e-11 ***
time1998 -38.270124 5.664366 -6.7563 3.757e-11 ***
time1999 -38.157060 5.666650 -6.7336 4.338e-11 ***
time2000 -38.093259 5.669189 -6.7193 4.747e-11 ***
time2001 -38.036262 5.669968 -6.7084 5.088e-11 ***
time2002 -38.037880 5.672183 -6.7060 5.164e-11 ***
time2003 -37.928163 5.671978 -6.6869 5.824e-11 ***
time2004 -37.845145 5.674414 -6.6694 6.502e-11 ***
time2005 -37.745019 5.675724 -6.6503 7.334e-11 ***
time2006 -37.639503 5.679002 -6.6278 8.439e-11 ***
time2007 -37.406472 5.683055 -6.5821 1.122e-10 ***
time2008 -37.204809 5.686447 -6.5427 1.433e-10 ***
time2009 -36.982819 5.687382 -6.5026 1.835e-10 ***
time2010 -36.955801 5.687966 -6.4972 1.897e-10 ***
time2011 -36.937536 5.690378 -6.4912 1.968e-10 ***
time2012 -37.034503 5.692981 -6.5053 1.805e-10 ***
time2013 -37.200039 5.693823 -6.5334 1.518e-10 ***
time2014 -37.296685 5.696399 -6.5474 1.392e-10 ***
time2015 -37.411680 5.698904 -6.5647 1.250e-10 ***
time2016 -37.423591 5.701452 -6.5639 1.257e-10 ***
time2017 -37.410482 5.703705 -6.5590 1.295e-10 ***
time2018 -37.419599 5.705843 -6.5581 1.302e-10 ***
time2019 -37.576926 5.707849 -6.5834 1.113e-10 ***
iis203 -0.997328 0.215524 -4.6274 4.666e-06 ***
iis251 0.987314 0.211618 4.6655 3.908e-06 ***
iis526 -0.818193 0.220708 -3.7071 0.0002318 ***
fesisAUS.2009 -0.551472 0.092556 -5.9582 4.667e-09 ***
fesisBRA.2005 1.043397 0.123489 8.4493 2.871e-16 ***
fesisBRA.2009 -0.561166 0.120999 -4.6378 4.447e-06 ***
fesisCAN.2007 -0.431693 0.085829 -5.0297 6.747e-07 ***
fesisCHE.2003 -0.561157 0.090556 -6.1968 1.163e-09 ***
fesisCHN.2002 0.633347 0.128419 4.9319 1.093e-06 ***
fesisCHN.2016 0.715988 0.134605 5.3192 1.544e-07 ***
fesisDNK.2007 0.802066 0.086349 9.2886 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisESP.2005 0.807390 0.087563 9.2206 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisIND.2001 0.758263 0.112563 6.7364 4.263e-11 ***
fesisISR.2010 -0.373228 0.101625 -3.6726 0.0002646 ***
fesisITA.2006 0.355056 0.087204 4.0716 5.387e-05 ***
fesisKOR.2004 0.691904 0.111529 6.2038 1.116e-09 ***
fesisKOR.2010 0.345097 0.108291 3.1867 0.0015241 **
fesisRUS.2007 -0.748902 0.098841 -7.5768 1.602e-13 ***
fesisSGP.2003 0.839007 0.111842 7.5017 2.695e-13 ***
fesisSGP.2013 -0.416089 0.110303 -3.7722 0.0001801 ***
fesisSWE.2002 -0.997419 0.093265 -10.6945 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 40.597 1 1.871e-10 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 22.889 1 1.717e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.20174
R-squared 0.98670
Log-lik.(n=598) 144.23759 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:03:55 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 598
Sample: 1 to 598
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
lgdp 1.588201 0.113165 14.0344 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -0.199521 0.370478 -0.5386 0.5904354
idAUT 1.984518 0.307425 6.4553 2.546e-10 ***
idBEL 1.156108 0.228243 5.0652 5.736e-07 ***
idBRA -3.185188 0.789972 -4.0320 6.387e-05 ***
idCAN 0.717239 0.179992 3.9848 7.752e-05 ***
idCHE 1.579215 0.347004 4.5510 6.702e-06 ***
idCHN -3.708188 1.460171 -2.5396 0.0113992 *
idDEU 1.682837 0.500682 3.3611 0.0008354 ***
idDNK -0.770118 0.499414 -1.5420 0.1236919
idESP -0.033999 0.305254 -0.1114 0.9113607
idFIN 2.021931 0.456768 4.4266 1.175e-05 ***
idFRA 0.803790 0.417942 1.9232 0.0550181 .
idGBR 0.938212 0.412989 2.2718 0.0235224 *
idIND -6.221547 1.377214 -4.5175 7.806e-06 ***
idISR 0.202490 0.386509 0.5239 0.6005831
idITA -0.075825 0.396441 -0.1913 0.8483953
idJPN -5.459481 0.749081 -7.2882 1.224e-12 ***
idKOR -8.931270 0.692685 -12.8937 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 1.326194 0.107335 12.3556 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNOR -2.216591 0.576158 -3.8472 0.0001348 ***
idRUS -6.095079 0.704776 -8.6483 < 2.2e-16 ***
idSGP 0.292592 0.546149 0.5357 0.5923771
idSWE -1.946853 0.355575 -5.4752 6.909e-08 ***
idUSA -0.206021 0.931620 -0.2211 0.8250711
time1995 -37.645796 5.748850 -6.5484 1.438e-10 ***
time1996 -37.478560 5.749462 -6.5186 1.728e-10 ***
time1997 -37.440719 5.750868 -6.5104 1.817e-10 ***
time1998 -37.351536 5.753175 -6.4923 2.030e-10 ***
time1999 -37.182225 5.756254 -6.4594 2.482e-10 ***
time2000 -37.106921 5.759123 -6.4432 2.742e-10 ***
time2001 -37.054851 5.762033 -6.4309 2.954e-10 ***
time2002 -37.032725 5.763436 -6.4255 3.053e-10 ***
time2003 -36.952601 5.764869 -6.4100 3.354e-10 ***
time2004 -36.887537 5.765886 -6.3975 3.616e-10 ***
time2005 -36.785914 5.767407 -6.3782 4.064e-10 ***
time2006 -36.684629 5.770966 -6.3568 4.626e-10 ***
time2007 -36.454062 5.774819 -6.3126 6.032e-10 ***
time2008 -36.270277 5.776279 -6.2792 7.365e-10 ***
time2009 -36.040379 5.776613 -6.2390 9.352e-10 ***
time2010 -36.006118 5.776784 -6.2329 9.697e-10 ***
time2011 -35.989500 5.779394 -6.2272 1.003e-09 ***
time2012 -36.098652 5.781148 -6.2442 9.068e-10 ***
time2013 -36.238319 5.783133 -6.2662 7.956e-10 ***
time2014 -36.335767 5.785847 -6.2801 7.324e-10 ***
time2015 -36.482935 5.788446 -6.3027 6.399e-10 ***
time2016 -36.442636 5.789833 -6.2942 6.731e-10 ***
time2017 -36.431342 5.792292 -6.2896 6.920e-10 ***
time2018 -36.441919 5.794605 -6.2889 6.948e-10 ***
time2019 -36.600085 5.796734 -6.3139 5.984e-10 ***
iis52 -0.872196 0.181710 -4.7999 2.096e-06 ***
iis77 -0.603476 0.187852 -3.2125 0.0014001 **
iis96 0.757401 0.185581 4.0812 5.209e-05 ***
iis202 -0.554596 0.186489 -2.9739 0.0030817 **
iis203 -0.999246 0.186019 -5.3717 1.194e-07 ***
iis233 -0.501776 0.186829 -2.6857 0.0074760 **
iis243 0.383653 0.183529 2.0904 0.0370815 *
iis251 0.966648 0.182490 5.2970 1.764e-07 ***
iis326 -0.797796 0.193466 -4.1237 4.362e-05 ***
iis330 -0.702562 0.191317 -3.6722 0.0002662 ***
iis331 -0.888158 0.191332 -4.6420 4.409e-06 ***
iis424 -0.468821 0.189127 -2.4789 0.0135070 *
iis502 0.596737 0.186748 3.1954 0.0014840 **
iis524 -0.479725 0.197548 -2.4284 0.0155150 *
iis526 -0.911305 0.194505 -4.6852 3.604e-06 ***
iis531 -0.493510 0.194521 -2.5370 0.0114802 *
iis549 1.071263 0.189365 5.6571 2.586e-08 ***
iis550 1.249131 0.189168 6.6033 1.024e-10 ***
iis551 1.189835 0.188658 6.3068 6.243e-10 ***
iis552 0.865611 0.188366 4.5954 5.469e-06 ***
iis553 0.734903 0.188200 3.9049 0.0001071 ***
iis554 0.542370 0.188160 2.8825 0.0041142 **
iis555 0.513700 0.187999 2.7325 0.0065074 **
fesisAUS.2009 -0.537068 0.083913 -6.4003 3.557e-10 ***
fesisBRA.2005 1.004402 0.107841 9.3138 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisBRA.2009 -0.643278 0.105899 -6.0745 2.456e-09 ***
fesisCAN.2007 -0.414072 0.075347 -5.4955 6.200e-08 ***
fesisCHE.2003 -0.541727 0.078437 -6.9065 1.505e-11 ***
fesisCHN.2002 0.551687 0.117895 4.6795 3.703e-06 ***
fesisCHN.2016 0.615858 0.120858 5.0957 4.924e-07 ***
fesisDNK.2007 0.768550 0.076306 10.0719 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisESP.2005 0.753578 0.079480 9.4813 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisFRA.2012 0.276722 0.077383 3.5760 0.0003826 ***
fesisIND.2004 0.411514 0.101883 4.0391 6.204e-05 ***
fesisIND.2016 -0.415947 0.111325 -3.7363 0.0002081 ***
fesisISR.2010 -0.368669 0.093677 -3.9355 9.469e-05 ***
fesisITA.2006 0.380272 0.075793 5.0172 7.283e-07 ***
fesisKOR.2004 0.633535 0.098472 6.4337 2.904e-10 ***
fesisKOR.2010 0.312192 0.093678 3.3326 0.0009238 ***
fesisNOR.2012 -0.363723 0.080138 -4.5387 7.088e-06 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -0.745627 0.087252 -8.5457 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisSGP.2003 0.500865 0.114735 4.3654 1.541e-05 ***
fesisSGP.2008 0.440689 0.122078 3.6099 0.0003370 ***
fesisSGP.2013 -0.659084 0.106457 -6.1911 1.242e-09 ***
fesisSWE.2010 -0.219572 0.085336 -2.5730 0.0103669 *
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 6.4036 1 0.01139 *
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 15.3238 1 9.057e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.17317
R-squared 0.99065
Log-lik.(n=598) 247.54958 1
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:06:09 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 574
Sample: 1 to 574
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.609980 0.028142 21.6751 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.849496 0.088901 9.5556 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -1.429585 0.280919 -5.0890 5.094e-07 ***
idAUT -0.028060 0.248608 -0.1129 0.9101790
idBEL -0.043935 0.186919 -0.2350 0.8142682
idBRA 1.775365 0.585481 3.0323 0.0025521 **
idCAN 0.850208 0.137421 6.1869 1.273e-09 ***
idCHE -0.617497 0.268267 -2.3018 0.0217543 *
idCHN 3.804786 1.082691 3.5142 0.0004809 ***
idDEU 2.435530 0.382689 6.3642 4.422e-10 ***
idDNK -2.568810 0.410530 -6.2573 8.389e-10 ***
idESP 1.128135 0.222950 5.0600 5.887e-07 ***
idFIN -0.542708 0.360126 -1.5070 0.1324399
idFRA 1.865227 0.313115 5.9570 4.831e-09 ***
idGBR 1.870874 0.308796 6.0586 2.693e-09 ***
idIND 2.478294 1.022896 2.4228 0.0157525 *
idISR -1.214732 0.289457 -4.1966 3.204e-05 ***
idITA 1.499291 0.288102 5.2040 2.845e-07 ***
idJPN -0.963526 0.526769 -1.8291 0.0679729 .
idKOR -3.528411 0.511094 -6.9036 1.534e-11 ***
idNLD 0.458784 0.098938 4.6371 4.510e-06 ***
idNOR -2.946545 0.453759 -6.4936 2.014e-10 ***
idRUS -0.488275 0.524919 -0.9302 0.3527180
idSGP -1.221405 0.437641 -2.7909 0.0054561 **
idSWE -1.418885 0.291184 -4.8728 1.477e-06 ***
idUSA 3.049832 0.700675 4.3527 1.630e-05 ***
time1996 1.724578 4.356023 0.3959 0.6923419
time1997 1.646845 4.357171 0.3780 0.7056184
time1998 1.739828 4.356223 0.3994 0.6897761
time1999 1.828595 4.358111 0.4196 0.6749684
time2000 1.827803 4.359807 0.4192 0.6752201
time2001 1.863919 4.360008 0.4275 0.6691955
time2002 1.818994 4.361471 0.4171 0.6768126
time2003 1.897237 4.362419 0.4349 0.6638181
time2004 1.923811 4.364070 0.4408 0.6595258
time2005 2.012225 4.366145 0.4609 0.6450911
time2006 2.074907 4.368047 0.4750 0.6349793
time2007 2.196318 4.370765 0.5025 0.6155344
time2008 2.252033 4.372547 0.5150 0.6067519
time2009 2.288045 4.373795 0.5231 0.6011170
time2010 2.277549 4.374234 0.5207 0.6028231
time2011 2.270688 4.375955 0.5189 0.6040578
time2012 2.157866 4.377801 0.4929 0.6222906
time2013 2.042780 4.380022 0.4664 0.6411414
time2014 2.053047 4.382258 0.4685 0.6396367
time2015 2.000191 4.384426 0.4562 0.6484405
time2016 2.094818 4.386721 0.4775 0.6331878
time2017 2.143428 4.388476 0.4884 0.6254640
time2018 2.085130 4.390010 0.4750 0.6350133
time2019 1.931361 4.391538 0.4398 0.6602770
iis49 -0.674871 0.187475 -3.5998 0.0003500 ***
iis50 0.835758 0.188791 4.4269 1.173e-05 ***
iis56 -0.607720 0.186954 -3.2506 0.0012286 **
iis73 -0.823244 0.189214 -4.3509 1.643e-05 ***
iis94 -0.960361 0.199642 -4.8104 1.994e-06 ***
iis195 0.999354 0.199302 5.0143 7.391e-07 ***
iis223 -0.514022 0.196832 -2.6115 0.0092846 **
iis481 0.770856 0.191843 4.0182 6.762e-05 ***
iis504 -1.164766 0.204342 -5.7001 2.043e-08 ***
iis513 -1.054784 0.197206 -5.3487 1.348e-07 ***
fesisBRA.2014 0.319316 0.093464 3.4165 0.0006858 ***
fesisDNK.1998 0.402722 0.150038 2.6841 0.0075116 **
fesisDNK.2005 0.388272 0.090102 4.3093 1.971e-05 ***
fesisESP.2003 0.353057 0.090835 3.8868 0.0001152 ***
fesisIND.1998 -0.678543 0.167292 -4.0561 5.784e-05 ***
fesisIND.2001 0.609219 0.118136 5.1569 3.616e-07 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -0.473997 0.088653 -5.3467 1.362e-07 ***
fesisSGP.2001 -0.751834 0.159286 -4.7200 3.061e-06 ***
fesisSGP.2003 1.088337 0.149368 7.2863 1.240e-12 ***
fesisSGP.2010 -0.349288 0.100728 -3.4676 0.0005701 ***
fesisSWE.1998 -0.588271 0.139146 -4.2277 2.804e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 3.215 1 0.07297 .
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 21.944 1 2.808e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.17819
R-squared 0.98929
Log-lik.(n=574) 211.13632 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:06:06 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 574
Sample: 1 to 574
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.618349 0.025249 24.4899 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.643548 0.088404 7.2796 1.382e-12 ***
lpop -1.184915 0.285171 -4.1551 3.851e-05 ***
idAUT -0.096022 0.247266 -0.3883 0.6979397
idBEL -0.306130 0.201427 -1.5198 0.1292200
idBRA 1.443106 0.597143 2.4167 0.0160353 *
idCAN 0.763626 0.134367 5.6831 2.300e-08 ***
idCHE -0.465298 0.279704 -1.6635 0.0968589 .
idCHN 3.429044 1.093462 3.1360 0.0018183 **
idDEU 2.210818 0.380123 5.8161 1.102e-08 ***
idDNK -2.175041 0.410747 -5.2953 1.814e-07 ***
idESP 0.924918 0.225070 4.1095 4.665e-05 ***
idFIN -0.613727 0.359457 -1.7074 0.0884010 .
idFRA 1.647969 0.312727 5.2697 2.070e-07 ***
idGBR 1.627920 0.308962 5.2690 2.078e-07 ***
idIND 2.242950 1.030148 2.1773 0.0299450 *
idISR -1.123323 0.318756 -3.5241 0.0004657 ***
idITA 1.273553 0.290034 4.3910 1.389e-05 ***
idJPN -0.229925 0.523701 -0.4390 0.6608311
idKOR -2.366349 0.509955 -4.6403 4.497e-06 ***
idNLD 0.344168 0.093763 3.6706 0.0002692 ***
idNOR -2.443680 0.457851 -5.3373 1.459e-07 ***
idRUS -0.203617 0.520482 -0.3912 0.6958175
idSGP -1.213061 0.435174 -2.7875 0.0055222 **
idSWE -1.055543 0.290469 -3.6339 0.0003093 ***
idUSA 2.860394 0.700899 4.0810 5.252e-05 ***
time1996 3.303289 4.352262 0.7590 0.4482365
time1997 3.233899 4.352703 0.7430 0.4578681
time1998 3.369791 4.352479 0.7742 0.4391807
time1999 3.439180 4.354932 0.7897 0.4300816
time2000 3.425616 4.356035 0.7864 0.4320180
time2001 3.482679 4.356530 0.7994 0.4244455
time2002 3.396935 4.357566 0.7795 0.4360414
time2003 3.522030 4.358542 0.8081 0.4194483
time2004 3.528688 4.359740 0.8094 0.4186983
time2005 3.640378 4.361053 0.8347 0.4042760
time2006 3.644462 4.362568 0.8354 0.4039125
time2007 3.792774 4.365258 0.8689 0.3853618
time2008 3.832000 4.366302 0.8776 0.3805841
time2009 3.890679 4.367424 0.8908 0.3734619
time2010 3.880189 4.367638 0.8884 0.3747741
time2011 3.876693 4.369308 0.8873 0.3753866
time2012 3.764563 4.371144 0.8612 0.3895420
time2013 3.671107 4.373113 0.8395 0.4016230
time2014 3.679625 4.375822 0.8409 0.4008240
time2015 3.609482 4.378017 0.8245 0.4100910
time2016 3.717631 4.380324 0.8487 0.3964659
time2017 3.757589 4.381781 0.8575 0.3915708
time2018 3.693236 4.383198 0.8426 0.3998786
time2019 3.608580 4.384946 0.8229 0.4109473
iis27 -0.538129 0.161581 -3.3304 0.0009342 ***
iis49 -0.518824 0.183105 -2.8335 0.0047988 **
iis50 0.993616 0.184142 5.3959 1.074e-07 ***
iis56 -0.724295 0.163097 -4.4409 1.113e-05 ***
iis58 -0.583570 0.162544 -3.5902 0.0003645 ***
iis72 -0.630623 0.162581 -3.8788 0.0001196 ***
iis73 -0.828267 0.164896 -5.0230 7.193e-07 ***
iis76 -0.474923 0.162829 -2.9167 0.0037037 **
iis78 -0.550245 0.162633 -3.3833 0.0007748 ***
iis82 0.495932 0.162605 3.0499 0.0024158 **
iis83 0.521032 0.163223 3.1922 0.0015050 **
iis92 0.628354 0.162748 3.8609 0.0001285 ***
iis94 -0.660532 0.163129 -4.0492 5.994e-05 ***
iis95 0.521051 0.162609 3.2043 0.0014441 **
iis145 -0.630234 0.169053 -3.7280 0.0002161 ***
iis147 -0.420111 0.167181 -2.5129 0.0123012 *
iis195 0.975211 0.172772 5.6445 2.841e-08 ***
iis218 -0.349091 0.173264 -2.0148 0.0444850 *
iis223 -0.530064 0.172709 -3.0691 0.0022688 **
iis455 0.387637 0.162663 2.3831 0.0175582 *
iis472 -0.459610 0.161126 -2.8525 0.0045253 **
iis481 0.693494 0.166716 4.1597 3.776e-05 ***
iis498 -0.389638 0.164105 -2.3743 0.0179743 *
iis504 -1.145304 0.176988 -6.4711 2.409e-10 ***
iis508 -0.492617 0.224009 -2.1991 0.0283483 *
iis513 -0.950253 0.173208 -5.4862 6.663e-08 ***
iis515 0.366378 0.173576 2.1108 0.0353106 *
iis526 -0.452019 0.166116 -2.7211 0.0067432 **
fesisBEL.2001 0.242168 0.099711 2.4287 0.0155199 *
fesisCHE.2003 -0.601948 0.168610 -3.5701 0.0003929 ***
fesisCHE.2004 0.492018 0.163409 3.0110 0.0027417 **
fesisCHN.2015 0.247407 0.096392 2.5667 0.0105708 *
fesisDNK.1998 0.389464 0.129988 2.9962 0.0028758 **
fesisDNK.2005 0.383284 0.078033 4.9118 1.240e-06 ***
fesisESP.2003 0.295395 0.084558 3.4934 0.0005212 ***
fesisIND.1998 -0.695052 0.145006 -4.7933 2.193e-06 ***
fesisIND.2001 0.691568 0.104304 6.6303 9.054e-11 ***
fesisISR.2005 -0.371371 0.169502 -2.1910 0.0289361 *
fesisISR.2006 0.811417 0.182080 4.4564 1.039e-05 ***
fesisISR.2009 -0.386279 0.105126 -3.6744 0.0002653 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -0.369279 0.080079 -4.6114 5.139e-06 ***
fesisSGP.2001 -0.499754 0.176803 -2.8266 0.0049010 **
fesisSGP.2003 0.804126 0.173612 4.6317 4.678e-06 ***
fesisSGP.2010 -0.219512 0.096361 -2.2780 0.0231648 *
fesisSWE.1998 -0.565441 0.120865 -4.6783 3.769e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 4.4709 1 0.034478 *
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 9.9244 1 0.001631 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.15400
R-squared 0.99238
Log-lik.(n=574) 306.86261 without IIS
Count
0
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:07:39 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 598
Sample: 1 to 598
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp 2.9650e-12 8.8433e-14 33.5288 < 2.2e-16 ***
pop -5.6194e-07 1.7914e-07 -3.1369 0.0018017 **
idAUT -1.7912e+00 3.1711e+01 -0.0565 0.9549767
idBEL -3.5269e+01 3.1682e+01 -1.1132 0.2661178
idBRA 3.1462e+01 4.3696e+01 0.7200 0.4718217
idCAN 1.1300e+02 3.1698e+01 3.5650 0.0003965 ***
idCHE 6.3967e+00 3.1719e+01 0.2017 0.8402542
idCHN 7.7340e+02 2.2897e+02 3.3777 0.0007843 ***
idDEU 5.8503e+02 4.1523e+01 14.0895 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDNK 8.0443e+01 3.1752e+01 2.5334 0.0115798 *
idESP 3.0357e+01 3.1890e+01 0.9519 0.3415718
idFIN -3.7265e+01 3.1754e+01 -1.1735 0.2411058
idFRA 2.7971e+02 3.2528e+01 8.5991 < 2.2e-16 ***
idGBR 2.0444e+02 3.2449e+01 6.3002 6.219e-10 ***
idIND 4.3199e+02 2.1012e+02 2.0559 0.0402768 *
idISR -2.2588e+01 3.2454e+01 -0.6960 0.4867434
idITA 6.6330e+01 3.2326e+01 2.0519 0.0406671 *
idJPN -2.7360e+02 7.6232e+01 -3.5891 0.0003624 ***
idKOR -2.1204e+03 8.6997e+01 -24.3729 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 2.5892e+01 3.1639e+01 0.8184 0.4135070
idNOR -5.2437e+01 3.1765e+01 -1.6508 0.0993692 .
idRUS -6.2631e+01 4.6348e+01 -1.3513 0.1771620
idSGP -5.2498e+01 3.1765e+01 -1.6527 0.0989737 .
idSWE -1.7241e+01 3.1701e+01 -0.5439 0.5867550
idUSA 7.1837e+02 7.3202e+01 9.8135 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1995 -1.8383e+01 3.2262e+01 -0.5698 0.5690598
time1996 -1.8981e+01 3.2264e+01 -0.5883 0.5565936
time1997 -1.1192e+01 3.1914e+01 -0.3507 0.7259484
time1998 1.3313e+01 3.1928e+01 0.4170 0.6768776
time1999 -2.8911e+00 3.1933e+01 -0.0905 0.9278963
time2000 1.5391e+01 3.1973e+01 0.4814 0.6304493
time2001 3.1596e+01 3.1981e+01 0.9880 0.3236216
time2002 3.3403e+01 3.1986e+01 1.0443 0.2968138
time2003 1.5106e+01 3.1966e+01 0.4725 0.6367330
time2004 3.7895e+01 3.1978e+01 1.1850 0.2365279
time2005 5.4165e+01 3.2275e+01 1.6782 0.0938888 .
time2006 5.4625e+01 3.2112e+01 1.7011 0.0895142 .
time2007 8.9402e+01 3.2160e+01 2.7799 0.0056297 **
time2008 1.0375e+02 3.2065e+01 3.2357 0.0012885 **
time2009 2.0835e+02 3.2100e+01 6.4906 1.955e-10 ***
time2010 2.2033e+02 3.2209e+01 6.8405 2.167e-11 ***
time2011 2.2997e+02 3.2207e+01 7.1403 3.060e-12 ***
time2012 1.8585e+02 3.2245e+01 5.7638 1.392e-08 ***
time2013 1.6789e+02 3.2221e+01 5.2108 2.691e-07 ***
time2014 1.4388e+02 3.2260e+01 4.4601 9.994e-06 ***
time2015 1.0410e+02 3.2305e+01 3.2225 0.0013483 **
time2016 1.2999e+02 3.2354e+01 4.0176 6.723e-05 ***
time2017 9.4873e+01 3.2427e+01 2.9257 0.0035828 **
time2018 1.0982e+02 3.2477e+01 3.3815 0.0007736 ***
time2019 4.9314e+01 3.2521e+01 1.5164 0.1300170
fesisCHN.2011 6.6172e+02 5.6375e+01 11.7379 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisCHN.2017 1.3447e+03 8.0979e+01 16.6051 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2007 8.8663e+02 4.6035e+01 19.2601 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.1999 8.6394e+02 8.0882e+01 10.6815 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2003 6.9301e+02 7.1669e+01 9.6696 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2010 2.0243e+03 7.8894e+01 25.6590 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2013 -8.2406e+02 7.8892e+01 -10.4454 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2000 -5.0419e+02 7.9818e+01 -6.3168 5.629e-10 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -1.9058e+02 4.6039e+01 -4.1395 4.044e-05 ***
fesisUSA.2000 5.8646e+02 7.2365e+01 8.1042 3.642e-15 ***
fesisUSA.2005 3.5436e+02 1.2514e+02 2.8317 0.0048052 **
fesisUSA.2006 6.3867e+02 1.3990e+02 4.5651 6.202e-06 ***
fesisUSA.2008 1.0138e+03 9.3315e+01 10.8642 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2014 -7.0392e+02 6.6034e+01 -10.6600 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 68.175 1 < 2.2e-16 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 74.550 1 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 111.81792
R-squared 0.98471
Log-lik.(n=598) -3637.21459 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:07:37 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 598
Sample: 1 to 598
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp 2.9005e-12 8.5105e-14 34.0812 < 2.2e-16 ***
pop 5.9346e-07 4.0622e-07 1.4609 0.1446355
idAUT 1.3046e+01 3.0651e+01 0.4256 0.6705442
idBEL 3.1335e+01 3.7131e+01 0.8439 0.3991107
idBRA -8.6443e+01 7.4472e+01 -1.1607 0.2462796
idCAN 9.9308e+01 3.0582e+01 3.2472 0.0012399 **
idCHE 2.1986e+01 3.0697e+01 0.7162 0.4741709
idCHN -6.6745e+02 5.1286e+02 -1.3014 0.1936868
idDEU 5.3389e+02 4.6076e+01 11.5872 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDNK 9.8639e+01 3.0869e+01 3.1954 0.0014803 **
idESP 3.9839e+00 3.1589e+01 0.1261 0.8996872
idFIN 4.2085e+01 3.8386e+01 1.0964 0.2734180
idFRA 2.3068e+02 3.4778e+01 6.6331 8.207e-11 ***
idGBR 1.5762e+02 3.4397e+01 4.5824 5.753e-06 ***
idIND -6.9189e+02 4.1769e+02 -1.6565 0.0982221 .
idISR -7.8266e+00 3.1453e+01 -0.2488 0.8035840
idITA 2.3195e+01 3.3796e+01 0.6863 0.4928040
idJPN -3.4919e+02 8.3761e+01 -4.1689 3.581e-05 ***
idKOR -2.0842e+03 8.4535e+01 -24.6550 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 3.1399e+01 3.0263e+01 1.0375 0.2999674
idNOR 3.1537e+01 3.7426e+01 0.8427 0.3998044
idRUS -1.8428e+02 6.4445e+01 -2.8594 0.0044133 **
idSGP 2.8997e+01 3.8454e+01 0.7541 0.4511474
idSWE 5.6733e+01 3.7196e+01 1.5252 0.1278001
idUSA 4.4455e+02 1.1775e+02 3.7755 0.0001780 ***
time1995 -5.5609e+01 3.1371e+01 -1.7726 0.0768701 .
time1996 -5.7991e+01 3.1465e+01 -1.8431 0.0658850 .
time1997 -5.1219e+01 3.1236e+01 -1.6398 0.1016567
time1998 -2.8690e+01 3.1367e+01 -0.9146 0.3608010
time1999 -4.6693e+01 3.1507e+01 -1.4820 0.1389421
time2000 -3.0154e+01 3.1663e+01 -0.9523 0.3413605
time2001 -1.5542e+01 3.1803e+01 -0.4887 0.6252698
time2002 -1.5218e+01 3.1945e+01 -0.4764 0.6340077
time2003 -3.4496e+01 3.2064e+01 -1.0758 0.2824928
time2004 -5.0649e+00 3.1589e+01 -0.1603 0.8726763
time2005 1.0289e+01 3.1947e+01 0.3221 0.7475311
time2006 1.0028e+01 3.1904e+01 0.3143 0.7534042
time2007 6.6584e+01 3.2417e+01 2.0540 0.0404758 *
time2008 9.2278e+01 3.2128e+01 2.8723 0.0042407 **
time2009 1.9532e+02 3.2297e+01 6.0476 2.797e-09 ***
time2010 2.1701e+02 3.1854e+01 6.8127 2.637e-11 ***
time2011 2.4111e+02 3.2049e+01 7.5231 2.344e-13 ***
time2012 1.8330e+02 3.1826e+01 5.7595 1.439e-08 ***
time2013 1.6350e+02 3.1942e+01 5.1185 4.332e-07 ***
time2014 1.3864e+02 3.2065e+01 4.3237 1.837e-05 ***
time2015 9.7551e+01 3.2230e+01 3.0267 0.0025937 **
time2016 1.2213e+02 3.2405e+01 3.7688 0.0001827 ***
time2017 8.9274e+01 3.2481e+01 2.7485 0.0061938 **
time2018 1.0310e+02 3.2648e+01 3.1581 0.0016798 **
time2019 4.1571e+01 3.2798e+01 1.2675 0.2055437
fesisBEL.2008 -1.1363e+02 4.4504e+01 -2.5534 0.0109510 *
fesisBRA.2008 -1.5944e+02 4.5143e+01 -3.5319 0.0004490 ***
fesisCHN.2011 2.8478e+02 1.1569e+02 2.4615 0.0141570 *
fesisCHN.2012 2.9397e+02 1.1990e+02 2.4519 0.0145361 *
fesisCHN.2017 1.2604e+03 8.0422e+01 15.6730 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2007 6.0233e+02 1.1371e+02 5.2973 1.734e-07 ***
fesisDEU.2008 2.6842e+02 1.1376e+02 2.3596 0.0186594 *
fesisFIN.2007 -1.1740e+02 4.4495e+01 -2.6385 0.0085739 **
fesisIND.2004 -1.9348e+02 7.9399e+01 -2.4368 0.0151479 *
fesisIND.2010 -2.2614e+02 7.7969e+01 -2.9005 0.0038827 **
fesisJPN.1999 8.7006e+02 7.7259e+01 11.2616 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2003 6.8020e+02 6.8502e+01 9.9297 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2010 1.9903e+03 7.5536e+01 26.3488 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2013 -8.1320e+02 7.5375e+01 -10.7887 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2000 -4.8755e+02 7.6271e+01 -6.3923 3.616e-10 ***
fesisNOR.2008 -1.3522e+02 4.4506e+01 -3.0384 0.0024973 **
fesisRUS.2007 -2.2277e+02 4.4498e+01 -5.0063 7.591e-07 ***
fesisSGP.2007 -1.2013e+02 4.4475e+01 -2.7010 0.0071361 **
fesisSWE.2008 -1.2513e+02 4.4500e+01 -2.8120 0.0051082 **
fesisUSA.2000 5.7575e+02 6.9173e+01 8.3234 7.469e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2005 3.4233e+02 1.1956e+02 2.8632 0.0043625 **
fesisUSA.2006 6.2359e+02 1.3362e+02 4.6668 3.890e-06 ***
fesisUSA.2008 9.7194e+02 8.9442e+01 10.8667 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2014 -7.1665e+02 6.3195e+01 -11.3402 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 61.724 1 3.997e-15 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 67.276 1 2.220e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 106.77351
R-squared 0.98632
Log-lik.(n=598) -3604.60975 1
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:07:34 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 574
Sample: 1 to 574
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 8.5070e-01 1.5134e-02 56.2096 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 1.3575e-14 1.3619e-13 0.0997 0.9206450
pop 7.4761e-07 1.8521e-07 4.0366 6.264e-05 ***
idAUT 1.2118e+01 1.5490e+01 0.7823 0.4343957
idBEL 1.2971e+00 1.5425e+01 0.0841 0.9330216
idBRA -1.3744e+02 3.4986e+01 -3.9285 9.736e-05 ***
idCAN 9.6474e+00 1.5514e+01 0.6218 0.5343248
idCHE 1.1291e+01 1.5515e+01 0.7278 0.4671024
idCHN -8.7357e+02 2.3722e+02 -3.6826 0.0002558 ***
idDEU 8.5072e+01 2.3620e+01 3.6017 0.0003474 ***
idDNK 3.1833e+01 1.5674e+01 2.0310 0.0427806 *
idESP -1.4811e+01 1.5874e+01 -0.9330 0.3512407
idFIN 5.2883e+00 1.5579e+01 0.3395 0.7344104
idFRA 1.8617e+01 1.7385e+01 1.0709 0.2847180
idGBR 4.8425e+00 1.7096e+01 0.2833 0.7770999
idIND -7.6658e+02 1.9181e+02 -3.9965 7.387e-05 ***
idISR 5.7662e+00 1.5892e+01 0.3628 0.7168742
idITA -1.9642e+01 1.6763e+01 -1.1717 0.2418516
idJPN 3.4229e+02 6.6290e+01 5.1636 3.491e-07 ***
idKOR 9.2396e+00 1.1723e+02 0.0788 0.9372109
idNLD 8.2370e+00 1.5340e+01 0.5370 0.5915262
idNOR 5.3685e+00 1.5611e+01 0.3439 0.7310720
idRUS -9.9299e+01 2.8069e+01 -3.5376 0.0004410 ***
idSGP 3.4861e+00 1.5601e+01 0.2234 0.8232757
idSWE 6.9208e+00 1.5474e+01 0.4473 0.6548738
idUSA 4.2904e+01 5.2807e+01 0.8125 0.4169023
time1996 -3.1679e+01 1.5627e+01 -2.0272 0.0431712 *
time1997 -2.7801e+01 1.5651e+01 -1.7763 0.0762915 .
time1998 -1.9495e+01 1.5545e+01 -1.2541 0.2103880
time1999 -5.8449e+00 1.5555e+01 -0.3758 0.7072529
time2000 1.9590e-02 1.5570e+01 0.0013 0.9989966
time2001 -7.2435e+00 1.5607e+01 -0.4641 0.6427649
time2002 -1.6102e+01 1.5662e+01 -1.0281 0.3043988
time2003 -1.7581e+01 1.5801e+01 -1.1126 0.2663924
time2004 3.4557e+00 1.5634e+01 0.2210 0.8251491
time2005 1.4328e+01 1.5682e+01 0.9136 0.3613409
time2006 -3.3605e+00 1.5736e+01 -0.2136 0.8309799
time2007 2.7062e+01 1.5819e+01 1.7107 0.0877489 .
time2008 2.3508e+01 1.5939e+01 1.4748 0.1408811
time2009 4.3541e+01 1.5869e+01 2.7438 0.0062886 **
time2010 4.8636e+01 1.5846e+01 3.0693 0.0022607 **
time2011 -2.3286e+00 1.6095e+01 -0.1447 0.8850195
time2012 -1.7290e+01 1.6146e+01 -1.0709 0.2847338
time2013 -3.0308e+01 1.6098e+01 -1.8827 0.0603177 .
time2014 -7.4991e+00 1.6260e+01 -0.4612 0.6448517
time2015 -1.6334e+01 1.6141e+01 -1.0120 0.3120196
time2016 -3.7729e-01 1.6092e+01 -0.0234 0.9813038
time2017 1.5995e+01 1.6068e+01 0.9954 0.3199968
time2018 1.2814e+01 1.6132e+01 0.7943 0.4274019
time2019 -3.0917e+01 1.6334e+01 -1.8928 0.0589521 .
fesisCHN.2016 4.6099e+02 3.7964e+01 12.1428 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2007 2.9190e+02 3.1777e+01 9.1860 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -2.8813e+02 3.1008e+01 -9.2924 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisIND.2004 -9.9548e+01 3.7824e+01 -2.6319 0.0087508 **
fesisIND.2009 -9.3350e+01 3.7827e+01 -2.4678 0.0139256 *
fesisJPN.2009 5.9209e+02 5.7665e+01 10.2676 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2010 4.4746e+02 6.8716e+01 6.5118 1.796e-10 ***
fesisJPN.2012 -1.2035e+03 5.5560e+01 -21.6606 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2014 3.5526e+02 4.6909e+01 7.5734 1.745e-13 ***
fesisJPN.2019 -7.5560e+02 5.9356e+01 -12.7300 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2003 1.7045e+02 5.3582e+01 3.1812 0.0015570 **
fesisKOR.2009 3.7403e+02 4.8931e+01 7.6440 1.069e-13 ***
fesisKOR.2014 -4.8623e+02 5.0658e+01 -9.5982 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2016 5.9831e+02 6.7443e+01 8.8713 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2017 -3.8182e+02 6.3890e+01 -5.9762 4.317e-09 ***
fesisUSA.2006 4.8404e+02 3.8909e+01 12.4404 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2009 -1.8242e+02 4.3813e+01 -4.1636 3.684e-05 ***
fesisUSA.2014 -6.4216e+02 5.9391e+01 -10.8124 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2015 3.5160e+02 6.0373e+01 5.8238 1.025e-08 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.30302 1 0.582
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 75.97059 1 <2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 53.01517
R-squared 0.99672
Log-lik.(n=574) -3059.08252 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:07:34 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 574
Sample: 1 to 574
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 8.1315e-01 1.6041e-02 50.6903 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 4.2102e-14 1.2429e-13 0.3387 0.7349430
pop 3.3344e-08 8.8217e-08 0.3780 0.7056032
idAUT 2.8333e+00 1.3961e+01 0.2029 0.8392598
idBEL -7.4367e+00 1.3956e+01 -0.5329 0.5943678
idBRA -1.8678e+01 2.0324e+01 -0.9190 0.3585385
idCAN 2.2182e+01 1.4072e+01 1.5763 0.1155944
idCHE 1.9982e+00 1.3966e+01 0.1431 0.8862909
idCHN -1.7781e+01 1.1149e+02 -0.1595 0.8733521
idDEU 1.4751e+02 2.0603e+01 7.1595 2.887e-12 ***
idDNK 2.3781e+01 1.4045e+01 1.6932 0.0910322 .
idESP 2.1758e+00 1.4072e+01 0.1546 0.8771830
idFIN -7.3147e+00 1.3996e+01 -0.5226 0.6014499
idFRA 5.8467e+01 1.5051e+01 3.8845 0.0001162 ***
idGBR 4.0538e+01 1.4711e+01 2.7555 0.0060720 **
idIND -4.1373e+01 1.0145e+02 -0.4078 0.6835741
idISR -4.2023e+00 1.4307e+01 -0.2937 0.7690957
idITA 8.7177e+00 1.4332e+01 0.6083 0.5432879
idJPN 2.3262e+02 6.5386e+01 3.5577 0.0004096 ***
idKOR 7.1292e+00 1.0664e+02 0.0669 0.9467234
idNLD 5.7409e+00 1.3929e+01 0.4122 0.6803999
idNOR -7.9682e+00 1.4022e+01 -0.5683 0.5701042
idRUS -1.4362e+01 1.7958e+01 -0.7998 0.4242247
idSGP -1.0075e+01 1.4013e+01 -0.7190 0.4725044
idSWE -1.8817e+00 1.3968e+01 -0.1347 0.8928850
idUSA 2.6251e+02 3.3528e+01 7.8294 2.924e-14 ***
time1996 -1.2290e+01 1.4097e+01 -0.8718 0.3837302
time1997 -6.9726e+00 1.4084e+01 -0.4951 0.6207760
time1998 -9.7932e+00 1.3914e+01 -0.7038 0.4818687
time1999 5.5364e+00 1.3886e+01 0.3987 0.6902795
time2000 1.3509e+01 1.3869e+01 0.9741 0.3304814
time2001 8.4889e+00 1.3878e+01 0.6117 0.5410181
time2002 1.4047e+00 1.3896e+01 0.1011 0.9195225
time2003 9.9871e-01 1.3989e+01 0.0714 0.9431118
time2004 1.9401e+01 1.3985e+01 1.3873 0.1659588
time2005 3.2367e+01 1.4018e+01 2.3089 0.0213529 *
time2006 1.4852e+01 1.4030e+01 1.0586 0.2902859
time2007 4.6091e+01 1.4055e+01 3.2793 0.0011129 **
time2008 4.5079e+01 1.4221e+01 3.1699 0.0016178 **
time2009 5.4975e+01 1.4245e+01 3.8591 0.0001286 ***
time2010 6.2829e+01 1.4227e+01 4.4161 1.231e-05 ***
time2011 1.6847e+01 1.4556e+01 1.1574 0.2476536
time2012 8.3930e+00 1.4563e+01 0.5763 0.5646543
time2013 -5.1579e+00 1.4435e+01 -0.3573 0.7209962
time2014 1.0093e+01 1.4510e+01 0.6956 0.4870013
time2015 1.4664e+00 1.4338e+01 0.1023 0.9185787
time2016 1.7159e+01 1.4319e+01 1.1984 0.2313312
time2017 3.5301e+01 1.4280e+01 2.4721 0.0137612 *
time2018 3.3972e+01 1.4336e+01 2.3698 0.0181741 *
time2019 -8.1867e+00 1.4512e+01 -0.5641 0.5729113
fesisCHN.2008 1.7278e+02 2.4368e+01 7.0902 4.561e-12 ***
fesisCHN.2016 4.7488e+02 3.4973e+01 13.5784 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2007 3.2570e+02 2.9839e+01 10.9152 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -4.0529e+02 4.2079e+01 -9.6317 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2014 1.5728e+02 4.1287e+01 3.8094 0.0001565 ***
fesisJPN.1998 2.9979e+02 4.1483e+01 7.2268 1.846e-12 ***
fesisJPN.2008 -1.4455e+02 5.3211e+01 -2.7166 0.0068237 **
fesisJPN.2009 7.1948e+02 6.9707e+01 10.3215 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2010 4.9118e+02 6.3239e+01 7.7671 4.541e-14 ***
fesisJPN.2012 -1.1803e+03 5.1030e+01 -23.1286 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2014 3.3045e+02 4.3304e+01 7.6308 1.179e-13 ***
fesisJPN.2019 -7.5660e+02 5.3974e+01 -14.0178 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2003 1.7751e+02 4.8733e+01 3.6425 0.0002980 ***
fesisKOR.2009 4.1646e+02 4.5034e+01 9.2476 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2014 -4.6402e+02 4.6175e+01 -10.0492 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2016 5.8175e+02 6.1438e+01 9.4689 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2017 -3.7464e+02 5.8108e+01 -6.4473 2.674e-10 ***
fesisUSA.2006 5.3579e+02 3.6701e+01 14.5991 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2009 -1.2447e+02 4.1324e+01 -3.0121 0.0027250 **
fesisUSA.2014 -6.3424e+02 5.4016e+01 -11.7419 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2015 3.2523e+02 5.5211e+01 5.8907 7.044e-09 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 6.5133 1 0.01071 *
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 81.7395 1 < 2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 48.2090
R-squared 0.9973
Log-lik.(n=574) -3003.5343 Log Count
0
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:07:38 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 598
Sample: 1 to 598
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
lgdp 1.452455 0.118112 12.2973 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop 0.095706 0.392668 0.2437 0.8075324
idAUT 2.041883 0.314798 6.4863 2.022e-10 ***
idBEL 1.126429 0.232937 4.8358 1.742e-06 ***
idBRA -3.779451 0.829791 -4.5547 6.518e-06 ***
idCAN 0.608288 0.193180 3.1488 0.0017319 **
idCHE 1.760982 0.362914 4.8523 1.608e-06 ***
idCHN -4.588462 1.525571 -3.0077 0.0027575 **
idDEU 1.360222 0.524344 2.5941 0.0097456 **
idDNK -0.467679 0.532215 -0.8787 0.3799413
idESP -0.345784 0.327410 -1.0561 0.2913958
idFIN 3.125942 0.501501 6.2332 9.347e-10 ***
idFRA 0.601791 0.439805 1.3683 0.1717947
idGBR 0.633361 0.435949 1.4528 0.1468627
idIND -7.365762 1.419553 -5.1888 3.021e-07 ***
idISR 0.443792 0.407162 1.0900 0.2762255
idITA -0.349956 0.419543 -0.8341 0.4045799
idJPN -5.202974 0.739110 -7.0395 6.015e-12 ***
idKOR -8.343538 0.695035 -12.0045 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 1.278292 0.113975 11.2156 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNOR -1.816477 0.609718 -2.9792 0.0030227 **
idRUS -6.129436 0.711929 -8.6096 < 2.2e-16 ***
idSGP 0.278632 0.564472 0.4936 0.6217834
idSWE -0.710872 0.376381 -1.8887 0.0594781 .
idUSA -0.675725 0.964333 -0.7007 0.4837869
time1995 -38.861655 5.822285 -6.6746 6.272e-11 ***
time1996 -38.696583 5.825442 -6.6427 7.665e-11 ***
time1997 -38.650583 5.826502 -6.6336 8.114e-11 ***
time1998 -38.469276 5.829084 -6.5995 1.004e-10 ***
time1999 -38.355917 5.831438 -6.5774 1.152e-10 ***
time2000 -38.291734 5.834054 -6.5635 1.256e-10 ***
time2001 -38.234481 5.834855 -6.5528 1.342e-10 ***
time2002 -38.235968 5.837132 -6.5505 1.361e-10 ***
time2003 -38.129974 5.836888 -6.5326 1.521e-10 ***
time2004 -38.046601 5.839397 -6.5155 1.690e-10 ***
time2005 -37.945914 5.840747 -6.4968 1.897e-10 ***
time2006 -37.839985 5.844124 -6.4749 2.169e-10 ***
time2007 -37.610193 5.848306 -6.4310 2.838e-10 ***
time2008 -37.408643 5.851797 -6.3927 3.583e-10 ***
time2009 -37.187179 5.852757 -6.3538 4.535e-10 ***
time2010 -37.159873 5.853360 -6.3485 4.683e-10 ***
time2011 -37.141487 5.855843 -6.3426 4.851e-10 ***
time2012 -37.238520 5.858523 -6.3563 4.467e-10 ***
time2013 -37.404117 5.859390 -6.3836 3.786e-10 ***
time2014 -37.500730 5.862041 -6.3972 3.486e-10 ***
time2015 -37.615710 5.864621 -6.4140 3.147e-10 ***
time2016 -37.627948 5.867241 -6.4132 3.162e-10 ***
time2017 -37.614698 5.869561 -6.4084 3.256e-10 ***
time2018 -37.623708 5.871762 -6.4076 3.273e-10 ***
time2019 -37.780987 5.873828 -6.4321 2.819e-10 ***
fesisAUS.2009 -0.554484 0.095285 -5.8192 1.025e-08 ***
fesisBRA.2005 1.038722 0.127139 8.1699 2.286e-15 ***
fesisBRA.2009 -0.559208 0.124578 -4.4888 8.795e-06 ***
fesisCAN.2007 -0.434320 0.088365 -4.9151 1.186e-06 ***
fesisCHE.2003 -0.566387 0.093231 -6.0751 2.370e-09 ***
fesisCHN.2002 0.636359 0.132199 4.8137 1.937e-06 ***
fesisCHN.2016 0.724746 0.138572 5.2301 2.445e-07 ***
fesisDNK.2007 0.883510 0.087033 10.1515 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisESP.2005 0.803194 0.090150 8.9096 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisFIN.1996 -0.977930 0.217869 -4.4886 8.804e-06 ***
fesisIND.2001 0.752642 0.115888 6.4945 1.923e-10 ***
fesisISR.2010 -0.377512 0.104614 -3.6086 0.0003371 ***
fesisITA.2006 0.351635 0.089782 3.9165 0.0001016 ***
fesisKOR.2004 0.690125 0.114824 6.0103 3.452e-09 ***
fesisKOR.2010 0.348781 0.111493 3.1283 0.0018552 **
fesisRUS.2007 -0.744150 0.101741 -7.3142 9.650e-13 ***
fesisSGP.2003 0.936061 0.111866 8.3677 5.264e-16 ***
fesisSGP.2013 -0.415229 0.113559 -3.6565 0.0002812 ***
fesisSWE.2002 -1.002276 0.096018 -10.4384 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 36.987 1 1.189e-09 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 25.704 1 3.980e-07 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.20771
R-squared 0.98585
Log-lik.(n=598) 125.80176 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:07:37 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 598
Sample: 1 to 598
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
lgdp 1.489367 0.121580 12.2501 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop 0.121074 0.393989 0.3073 0.7587359
idAUT 2.120236 0.330289 6.4193 3.087e-10 ***
idBEL 0.625129 0.274582 2.2767 0.0232119 *
idBRA -3.873212 0.839902 -4.6115 5.038e-06 ***
idCAN 0.585637 0.192341 3.0448 0.0024465 **
idCHE 1.806617 0.370949 4.8703 1.481e-06 ***
idCHN -4.802487 1.557130 -3.0842 0.0021496 **
idDEU 1.300043 0.533675 2.4360 0.0151846 *
idDNK -0.931415 0.535513 -1.7393 0.0825750 .
idESP -0.360201 0.323734 -1.1126 0.2663740
idFIN 3.196610 0.515366 6.2026 1.134e-09 ***
idFRA 0.473416 0.445284 1.0632 0.2881950
idGBR 0.598405 0.439658 1.3611 0.1740815
idIND -7.610552 1.462407 -5.2041 2.810e-07 ***
idISR 0.498301 0.412328 1.2085 0.2274022
idITA -0.394456 0.422365 -0.9339 0.3507782
idJPN -5.467017 0.810229 -6.7475 4.022e-11 ***
idKOR -8.619186 0.747897 -11.5246 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 1.313439 0.116433 11.2806 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNOR -1.681451 0.612157 -2.7468 0.0062273 **
idRUS -6.322968 0.758009 -8.3415 6.626e-16 ***
idSGP 0.377473 0.586035 0.6441 0.5197860
idSWE -0.442570 0.374393 -1.1821 0.2377058
idUSA -0.832743 0.995095 -0.8368 0.4030629
time1995 -40.270895 6.168460 -6.5285 1.581e-10 ***
time1996 -40.108784 6.171946 -6.4986 1.902e-10 ***
time1997 -40.091634 6.173689 -6.4940 1.956e-10 ***
time1998 -39.916448 6.177093 -6.4620 2.379e-10 ***
time1999 -39.804753 6.179970 -6.4409 2.707e-10 ***
time2000 -39.742574 6.183222 -6.4275 2.938e-10 ***
time2001 -39.678983 6.185338 -6.4150 3.170e-10 ***
time2002 -39.696831 6.187470 -6.4157 3.157e-10 ***
time2003 -39.584501 6.188332 -6.3966 3.544e-10 ***
time2004 -39.516396 6.189895 -6.3840 3.826e-10 ***
time2005 -39.418687 6.191546 -6.3665 4.253e-10 ***
time2006 -39.315355 6.195460 -6.3458 4.819e-10 ***
time2007 -39.081638 6.199656 -6.3038 6.203e-10 ***
time2008 -38.898295 6.201232 -6.2727 7.475e-10 ***
time2009 -38.675181 6.201505 -6.2364 9.277e-10 ***
time2010 -38.638016 6.201746 -6.2302 9.627e-10 ***
time2011 -38.620842 6.204589 -6.2246 9.954e-10 ***
time2012 -38.713821 6.206730 -6.2374 9.223e-10 ***
time2013 -38.870073 6.208637 -6.2606 8.031e-10 ***
time2014 -38.967704 6.211575 -6.2734 7.442e-10 ***
time2015 -39.083628 6.214415 -6.2892 6.772e-10 ***
time2016 -39.078728 6.215805 -6.2870 6.861e-10 ***
time2017 -39.066689 6.218489 -6.2823 7.055e-10 ***
time2018 -39.076773 6.221008 -6.2814 7.094e-10 ***
time2019 -39.234907 6.223318 -6.3045 6.178e-10 ***
fesisAUS.2009 -0.560023 0.090890 -6.1615 1.445e-09 ***
fesisBEL.1997 0.616298 0.142928 4.3119 1.937e-05 ***
fesisBRA.2005 1.061688 0.115731 9.1737 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisBRA.2009 -0.578706 0.113730 -5.0884 5.052e-07 ***
fesisCAN.2007 -0.427810 0.081833 -5.2278 2.489e-07 ***
fesisCHE.2003 -0.548734 0.085305 -6.4326 2.847e-10 ***
fesisCHN.2002 0.634712 0.127466 4.9795 8.688e-07 ***
fesisCHN.2016 0.676456 0.130971 5.1649 3.432e-07 ***
fesisDNK.1998 0.639131 0.128900 4.9583 9.640e-07 ***
fesisDNK.2007 0.736577 0.085363 8.6288 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisESP.2005 0.816254 0.083134 9.8186 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisFIN.1996 -0.940202 0.197984 -4.7489 2.649e-06 ***
fesisFRA.2012 0.269556 0.084179 3.2022 0.0014475 **
fesisIND.2001 0.576374 0.137911 4.1793 3.430e-05 ***
fesisIND.2004 0.304063 0.131898 2.3053 0.0215432 *
fesisIND.2016 -0.387751 0.121004 -3.2044 0.0014363 **
fesisISR.2010 -0.397520 0.101457 -3.9181 0.0001012 ***
fesisITA.2006 0.371410 0.082457 4.5043 8.229e-06 ***
fesisKOR.2004 0.711938 0.104953 6.7834 3.202e-11 ***
fesisKOR.2010 0.323863 0.101885 3.1787 0.0015673 **
fesisNOR.2012 -0.384741 0.087010 -4.4218 1.193e-05 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -0.741838 0.094052 -7.8876 1.829e-14 ***
fesisSGP.2003 0.741599 0.113542 6.5315 1.553e-10 ***
fesisSGP.2008 0.415429 0.132460 3.1363 0.0018080 **
fesisSGP.2013 -0.659967 0.115769 -5.7007 2.002e-08 ***
fesisSWE.1998 -0.518246 0.147508 -3.5133 0.0004811 ***
fesisSWE.2002 -0.632414 0.118554 -5.3344 1.433e-07 ***
fesisSWE.2010 -0.232642 0.092802 -2.5069 0.0124848 *
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 13.8262 1 0.0002005 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 9.2298 1 0.0023810 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.18840
R-squared 0.98856
Log-lik.(n=598) 188.65449 1
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:08:21 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 574
Sample: 1 to 574
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.614885 0.029144 21.0981 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.816549 0.091581 8.9161 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -1.419386 0.293440 -4.8371 1.757e-06 ***
idAUT -0.069371 0.258181 -0.2687 0.7882786
idBEL -0.757084 0.263262 -2.8758 0.0042018 **
idBRA 0.961938 0.617772 1.5571 0.1200759
idCAN 0.846059 0.143483 5.8966 6.829e-09 ***
idCHE -0.638917 0.279385 -2.2869 0.0226194 *
idCHN 3.861524 1.130091 3.4170 0.0006847 ***
idDEU 2.429225 0.400748 6.0617 2.651e-09 ***
idDNK -2.546027 0.428263 -5.9450 5.186e-09 ***
idESP 1.037142 0.230412 4.5013 8.409e-06 ***
idFIN -0.591942 0.374881 -1.5790 0.1149647
idFRA 1.857296 0.327521 5.6708 2.405e-08 ***
idGBR 1.858716 0.322924 5.7559 1.503e-08 ***
idIND 2.558106 1.064752 2.4025 0.0166446 *
idISR -1.218394 0.302112 -4.0329 6.368e-05 ***
idITA 1.491162 0.300915 4.9554 9.890e-07 ***
idJPN -0.807608 0.544762 -1.4825 0.1388371
idKOR -3.326521 0.524486 -6.3424 5.058e-10 ***
idNLD 0.432053 0.101651 4.2503 2.546e-05 ***
idNOR -2.906757 0.474179 -6.1301 1.781e-09 ***
idRUS -0.314943 0.544748 -0.5781 0.5634266
idSGP -1.366773 0.499593 -2.7358 0.0064442 **
idSWE -1.390005 0.302531 -4.5946 5.494e-06 ***
idUSA 3.084624 0.732575 4.2107 3.019e-05 ***
time1996 2.458714 4.528886 0.5429 0.5874428
time1997 2.376013 4.529504 0.5246 0.6001187
time1998 2.499866 4.528593 0.5520 0.5811820
time1999 2.555469 4.530268 0.5641 0.5729469
time2000 2.555386 4.532094 0.5638 0.5731137
time2001 2.591384 4.532539 0.5717 0.5677621
time2002 2.525125 4.534230 0.5569 0.5778426
time2003 2.627908 4.535768 0.5794 0.5625970
time2004 2.655320 4.537576 0.5852 0.5586870
time2005 2.744380 4.539800 0.6045 0.5457745
time2006 2.803672 4.541327 0.6174 0.5372723
time2007 2.924337 4.543762 0.6436 0.5201334
time2008 2.979144 4.545805 0.6554 0.5125362
time2009 3.013208 4.547311 0.6626 0.5078690
time2010 3.006772 4.548360 0.6611 0.5088730
time2011 3.000342 4.550182 0.6594 0.5099488
time2012 2.887639 4.552138 0.6343 0.5261434
time2013 2.773433 4.554388 0.6090 0.5428280
time2014 2.777952 4.556581 0.6097 0.5423654
time2015 2.726007 4.558778 0.5980 0.5501309
time2016 2.856973 4.561156 0.6264 0.5313573
time2017 2.866184 4.562937 0.6281 0.5301955
time2018 2.819771 4.564494 0.6178 0.5370129
time2019 2.666438 4.566086 0.5840 0.5595062
fesisBEL.1997 1.518604 0.264099 5.7501 1.552e-08 ***
fesisBEL.1998 -0.809348 0.206121 -3.9266 9.823e-05 ***
fesisBEL.2003 -0.641213 0.204342 -3.1379 0.0018016 **
fesisBEL.2004 0.599923 0.192411 3.1179 0.0019260 **
fesisBRA.1997 0.827668 0.193654 4.2740 2.299e-05 ***
fesisBRA.2014 0.491574 0.139312 3.5286 0.0004562 ***
fesisBRA.2016 -0.845990 0.187309 -4.5165 7.846e-06 ***
fesisBRA.2018 0.686829 0.187115 3.6706 0.0002679 ***
fesisDNK.1998 1.376790 0.229046 6.0110 3.554e-09 ***
fesisDNK.1999 -0.969270 0.203443 -4.7643 2.485e-06 ***
fesisDNK.2005 0.378264 0.092167 4.1041 4.738e-05 ***
fesisESP.2003 0.423162 0.088340 4.7902 2.198e-06 ***
fesisIND.1998 -0.684031 0.171133 -3.9971 7.378e-05 ***
fesisIND.2001 0.627174 0.120821 5.1909 3.047e-07 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -0.533646 0.089701 -5.9492 5.064e-09 ***
fesisSGP.1997 -1.054226 0.264225 -3.9899 7.598e-05 ***
fesisSGP.1998 1.192212 0.215857 5.5231 5.357e-08 ***
fesisSGP.2001 -0.767489 0.170725 -4.4955 8.632e-06 ***
fesisSGP.2003 0.992235 0.169984 5.8372 9.544e-09 ***
fesisSGP.2006 -0.968578 0.216195 -4.4801 9.250e-06 ***
fesisSGP.2007 1.142853 0.215622 5.3003 1.736e-07 ***
fesisSGP.2010 -0.432984 0.124561 -3.4761 0.0005530 ***
fesisSWE.1998 -0.578895 0.142285 -4.0686 5.494e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 4.0773 1 0.04346 *
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 16.1382 1 5.889e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.18204
R-squared 0.98887
Log-lik.(n=574) 199.86876 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:08:19 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 574
Sample: 1 to 574
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.619616 0.028213 21.9621 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.631299 0.095918 6.5817 1.205e-10 ***
lpop -1.208080 0.323909 -3.7297 0.0002143 ***
idAUT 0.092668 0.320906 0.2888 0.7728794
idBEL -0.850308 0.264785 -3.2113 0.0014087 **
idBRA 0.682032 0.672118 1.0148 0.3107285
idCAN 0.774588 0.153305 5.0526 6.175e-07 ***
idCHE -0.497761 0.315432 -1.5780 0.1152080
idCHN 2.929982 1.257483 2.3300 0.0202119 *
idDEU 2.246361 0.435640 5.1565 3.667e-07 ***
idDNK -2.198196 0.466011 -4.7170 3.130e-06 ***
idESP 0.814945 0.249886 3.2613 0.0011869 **
idFIN -0.669721 0.405586 -1.6512 0.0993341 .
idFRA 1.675451 0.357186 4.6907 3.542e-06 ***
idGBR 1.652867 0.352547 4.6884 3.581e-06 ***
idIND 2.381243 1.162136 2.0490 0.0409952 *
idISR -1.154524 0.362119 -3.1882 0.0015235 **
idITA 1.298111 0.329795 3.9361 9.487e-05 ***
idJPN -0.121628 0.577854 -0.2105 0.8333797
idKOR -2.267558 0.547259 -4.1435 4.034e-05 ***
idNLD 0.327471 0.102291 3.2014 0.0014571 **
idNOR -2.076094 0.560529 -3.7038 0.0002367 ***
idRUS -0.048914 0.581630 -0.0841 0.9330134
idSGP -1.348357 0.533885 -2.5256 0.0118676 *
idSWE -1.061874 0.326330 -3.2540 0.0012171 **
idUSA 2.946598 0.799630 3.6850 0.0002544 ***
time1996 4.023315 4.890680 0.8226 0.4111100
time1997 3.958718 4.891251 0.8093 0.4187110
time1998 4.098703 4.891547 0.8379 0.4024892
time1999 4.166431 4.893337 0.8514 0.3949379
time2000 4.173206 4.895280 0.8525 0.3943580
time2001 4.187604 4.895754 0.8554 0.3927757
time2002 4.104421 4.897173 0.8381 0.4023741
time2003 4.247959 4.898422 0.8672 0.3862542
time2004 4.258027 4.899983 0.8690 0.3852817
time2005 4.366723 4.901622 0.8909 0.3734372
time2006 4.396346 4.903031 0.8967 0.3703441
time2007 4.519543 4.905691 0.9213 0.3573574
time2008 4.574125 4.908218 0.9319 0.3518335
time2009 4.616510 4.909263 0.9404 0.3474953
time2010 4.614884 4.910365 0.9398 0.3477733
time2011 4.611782 4.912331 0.9388 0.3482898
time2012 4.499937 4.914496 0.9156 0.3603059
time2013 4.387820 4.916805 0.8924 0.3726124
time2014 4.398188 4.919028 0.8941 0.3717008
time2015 4.337259 4.921367 0.8813 0.3785837
time2016 4.471882 4.923724 0.9082 0.3642050
time2017 4.484749 4.925597 0.9105 0.3630101
time2018 4.441903 4.927284 0.9015 0.3677728
time2019 4.313089 4.929082 0.8750 0.3819896
fesisAUT.1997 -0.582638 0.211739 -2.7517 0.0061501 **
fesisAUT.1999 0.350392 0.128121 2.7349 0.0064681 **
fesisBEL.1997 1.508625 0.244578 6.1683 1.453e-09 ***
fesisBEL.1998 -1.004177 0.200978 -4.9965 8.155e-07 ***
fesisBEL.2001 0.458377 0.157058 2.9185 0.0036796 **
fesisBEL.2003 -0.931524 0.211217 -4.4103 1.272e-05 ***
fesisBEL.2004 0.655489 0.178385 3.6746 0.0002647 ***
fesisBEL.2019 -0.535880 0.177690 -3.0158 0.0026968 **
fesisBRA.1997 0.936329 0.212038 4.4159 1.240e-05 ***
fesisBRA.1999 -0.516265 0.158701 -3.2531 0.0012209 **
fesisBRA.2002 0.458207 0.112131 4.0863 5.124e-05 ***
fesisBRA.2014 0.430704 0.131327 3.2796 0.0011139 **
fesisBRA.2016 -0.860671 0.173054 -4.9734 9.134e-07 ***
fesisBRA.2018 0.674481 0.172898 3.9010 0.0001092 ***
fesisCHE.2003 -0.604128 0.184104 -3.2814 0.0011069 **
fesisCHE.2004 0.490138 0.178358 2.7481 0.0062175 **
fesisCHN.1997 0.607434 0.183788 3.3051 0.0010195 **
fesisCHN.2015 0.276998 0.104930 2.6398 0.0085607 **
fesisDNK.1998 1.359276 0.211803 6.4176 3.286e-10 ***
fesisDNK.1999 -0.970754 0.188388 -5.1529 3.733e-07 ***
fesisDNK.2005 0.375862 0.085253 4.4088 1.280e-05 ***
fesisESP.2003 0.416204 0.083007 5.0141 7.475e-07 ***
fesisIND.1998 -0.705183 0.158486 -4.4495 1.068e-05 ***
fesisIND.2001 0.706950 0.114182 6.1914 1.268e-09 ***
fesisISR.2005 -0.370604 0.184774 -2.0057 0.0454390 *
fesisISR.2006 0.799122 0.198441 4.0270 6.551e-05 ***
fesisISR.2009 -0.370263 0.114831 -3.2244 0.0013470 **
fesisNOR.1997 -0.413580 0.178078 -2.3225 0.0206195 *
fesisRUS.2007 -0.461855 0.085917 -5.3756 1.186e-07 ***
fesisSGP.1997 -1.067906 0.244718 -4.3638 1.562e-05 ***
fesisSGP.1998 1.164198 0.199544 5.8343 9.860e-09 ***
fesisSGP.2001 -0.743669 0.158025 -4.7060 3.297e-06 ***
fesisSGP.2003 0.989939 0.157141 6.2997 6.677e-10 ***
fesisSGP.2006 -0.932246 0.199953 -4.6623 4.043e-06 ***
fesisSGP.2007 1.136714 0.199419 5.7001 2.077e-08 ***
fesisSGP.2010 -0.420336 0.115991 -3.6239 0.0003207 ***
fesisSWE.1998 -0.567573 0.132186 -4.2938 2.121e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 4.1749 1 0.0410262 *
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 11.4947 1 0.0006979 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.16807
R-squared 0.99078
Log-lik.(n=574) 252.68269 Solar
with IIS
Count
AR 0
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:35:31 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 567
Sample: 1 to 567
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp 2.4584e-13 3.7426e-14 6.5686 1.339e-10 ***
pop 9.3580e-09 6.3562e-08 0.1472 0.8830151
idAUT -1.4405e+01 9.6360e+00 -1.4949 0.1355973
idBEL -1.8901e+01 9.6243e+00 -1.9639 0.0501233 .
idBRA -5.1149e+01 1.6111e+01 -3.1748 0.0015971 **
idCAN -1.1174e+00 9.6310e+00 -0.1160 0.9076829
idCHE 1.2939e+00 9.6396e+00 0.1342 0.8932787
idCHN -2.0470e+01 8.0854e+01 -0.2532 0.8002421
idDEU 6.7269e+01 1.5388e+01 4.3715 1.518e-05 ***
idDNK -3.3488e+01 1.0438e+01 -3.2083 0.0014259 **
idESP 4.3034e-02 9.7106e+00 0.0044 0.9964659
idFIN -2.8598e+01 9.6540e+00 -2.9623 0.0032069 **
idFRA 4.9527e+01 9.9729e+00 4.9662 9.547e-07 ***
idGBR 1.9047e+01 9.9409e+00 1.9160 0.0559677 .
idIND -4.6128e+01 7.5316e+01 -0.6125 0.5405235
idISR -2.7995e+00 9.8618e+00 -0.2839 0.7766350
idITA 1.3604e+01 9.8903e+00 1.3755 0.1696200
idJPN 2.2126e+02 2.3094e+01 9.5809 < 2.2e-16 ***
idKOR -1.9018e+02 3.8430e+01 -4.9489 1.039e-06 ***
idNLD -2.3167e+00 9.6063e+00 -0.2412 0.8095276
idNOR -3.0311e+01 9.6590e+00 -3.1381 0.0018063 **
idRUS -4.9552e+01 1.2585e+01 -3.9374 9.474e-05 ***
idSGP -3.4596e+01 1.0611e+01 -3.2605 0.0011921 **
idSWE -2.4242e+01 9.6325e+00 -2.5167 0.0121758 *
idUSA 6.5774e+02 3.1081e+01 21.1619 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1995 6.0052e+00 1.1081e+01 0.5420 0.5881043
time1996 7.8472e+00 1.1071e+01 0.7088 0.4787972
time1997 1.0829e+01 1.0275e+01 1.0539 0.2924632
time1998 1.2863e+01 1.0286e+01 1.2505 0.2117288
time1999 1.2080e+01 1.0018e+01 1.2059 0.2284767
time2000 1.4709e+01 1.0018e+01 1.4684 0.1426673
time2001 1.4363e+01 1.0022e+01 1.4331 0.1524788
time2002 8.1691e+00 1.0039e+01 0.8138 0.4161839
time2003 1.4104e+01 1.0047e+01 1.4038 0.1610209
time2004 2.1576e+01 9.8216e+00 2.1968 0.0285176 *
time2005 2.9280e+01 9.9466e+00 2.9437 0.0034021 **
time2006 2.6343e+01 9.8760e+00 2.6674 0.0079065 **
time2007 4.3468e+01 9.9095e+00 4.3865 1.420e-05 ***
time2008 6.6904e+01 9.9767e+00 6.7061 5.705e-11 ***
time2009 6.7787e+01 1.0087e+01 6.7202 5.223e-11 ***
time2010 7.5252e+01 1.0090e+01 7.4578 4.224e-13 ***
time2011 7.8422e+01 1.0100e+01 7.7646 5.096e-14 ***
time2012 7.7403e+01 9.9370e+00 7.7894 4.283e-14 ***
time2013 6.6072e+01 9.9341e+00 6.6510 8.043e-11 ***
time2014 4.5628e+01 9.9495e+00 4.5860 5.789e-06 ***
time2015 4.6460e+01 9.9657e+00 4.6620 4.076e-06 ***
time2016 5.3849e+01 1.0066e+01 5.3496 1.374e-07 ***
time2017 4.1856e+01 1.0005e+01 4.1836 3.420e-05 ***
time2018 3.6818e+01 1.0019e+01 3.6747 0.0002653 ***
time2019 1.4081e+01 1.0032e+01 1.4036 0.1610992
iis159 2.4328e+02 4.9073e+01 4.9574 9.964e-07 ***
iis160 3.8677e+02 4.9078e+01 7.8808 2.250e-14 ***
iis161 1.5315e+02 4.9083e+01 3.1202 0.0019177 **
iis176 2.0438e+02 4.0128e+01 5.0932 5.091e-07 ***
iis177 1.9445e+02 4.0125e+01 4.8461 1.709e-06 ***
iis178 2.1896e+02 4.0124e+01 5.4570 7.818e-08 ***
iis377 -1.4559e+02 3.6952e+01 -3.9399 9.377e-05 ***
iis378 -1.4346e+02 3.6948e+01 -3.8828 0.0001179 ***
iis379 -1.6609e+02 3.6718e+01 -4.5233 7.704e-06 ***
iis380 -1.3330e+02 3.6718e+01 -3.6304 0.0003138 ***
iis391 4.3826e+02 4.9125e+01 8.9214 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis392 1.0662e+03 4.0139e+01 26.5630 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis393 1.0067e+03 4.0140e+01 25.0793 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis394 6.7421e+02 4.0093e+01 16.8162 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis395 5.4695e+02 4.0072e+01 13.6492 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis396 3.9748e+02 4.0072e+01 9.9191 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis397 2.8875e+02 4.0069e+01 7.2062 2.282e-12 ***
iis398 2.6287e+02 4.0080e+01 6.5586 1.424e-10 ***
iis543 -6.1497e+02 4.2901e+01 -14.3346 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis544 -6.3778e+02 4.2888e+01 -14.8708 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis545 -6.1692e+02 4.2655e+01 -14.4630 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis546 -6.0050e+02 4.2655e+01 -14.0780 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis547 -5.8018e+02 4.2575e+01 -13.6272 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis548 -5.5139e+02 4.2570e+01 -12.9525 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis549 -5.0135e+02 4.2567e+01 -11.7779 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis550 -4.8807e+02 4.2559e+01 -11.4681 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis551 -5.0019e+02 4.2557e+01 -11.7534 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis552 -4.5961e+02 4.2498e+01 -10.8149 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis553 -3.5847e+02 4.2522e+01 -8.4301 4.179e-16 ***
iis556 2.2097e+02 3.8825e+01 5.6915 2.209e-08 ***
iis557 3.9734e+02 3.8846e+01 10.2285 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis558 4.3197e+02 3.8844e+01 11.1207 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis559 3.0321e+02 3.8843e+01 7.8062 3.807e-14 ***
fesisCHN.2006 1.6362e+02 1.6488e+01 9.9232 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisCHN.2016 3.0621e+02 3.6502e+01 8.3888 5.679e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2002 9.7156e+01 2.0407e+01 4.7608 2.565e-06 ***
fesisDEU.2007 3.0282e+02 2.5382e+01 11.9307 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2013 -2.4143e+02 2.3983e+01 -10.0666 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2008 3.3163e+02 3.6615e+01 9.0571 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2010 -2.2372e+02 4.0143e+01 -5.5730 4.207e-08 ***
fesisKOR.2009 4.1595e+02 2.7184e+01 15.3010 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2008 2.1388e+02 3.0087e+01 7.1087 4.334e-12 ***
fesisUSA.2016 -3.3610e+02 2.4568e+01 -13.6802 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 64.581 1 8.882e-16 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 22.866 1 1.737e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 33.94633
R-squared 0.98285
Log-lik.(n=567) -2756.58880 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:35:30 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 567
Sample: 1 to 567
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp 2.4229e-13 3.4390e-14 7.0453 6.673e-12 ***
pop -5.4000e-08 5.8850e-08 -0.9176 0.3593104
idAUT -1.5227e+01 8.8286e+00 -1.7248 0.0852309 .
idBEL -1.9571e+01 8.8176e+00 -2.2195 0.0269326 *
idBRA -4.2328e+01 1.4805e+01 -2.8590 0.0044396 **
idCAN -3.6478e-01 8.8238e+00 -0.0413 0.9670419
idCHE 4.3260e-01 8.8319e+00 0.0490 0.9609546
idCHN 6.2804e+01 7.4924e+01 0.8382 0.4023270
idDEU 7.5277e+01 1.4151e+01 5.3197 1.616e-07 ***
idDNK -3.5791e+01 9.5693e+00 -3.7402 0.0002067 ***
idESP 1.4857e+00 8.8983e+00 0.1670 0.8674720
idFIN -1.0214e+01 1.1065e+01 -0.9232 0.3564004
idFRA 5.2219e+01 9.1436e+00 5.7110 2.001e-08 ***
idGBR 2.1615e+01 9.1137e+00 2.3718 0.0181082 *
idIND 2.8655e+01 6.9720e+01 0.4110 0.6812589
idISR -3.9665e+00 9.0363e+00 -0.4390 0.6608973
idITA 1.5971e+01 9.0664e+00 1.7616 0.0787987 .
idJPN 2.3202e+02 2.1232e+01 10.9277 < 2.2e-16 ***
idKOR -1.8255e+02 3.5304e+01 -5.1709 3.462e-07 ***
idNLD -2.6248e+00 8.8007e+00 -0.2983 0.7656442
idNOR -1.0276e+01 1.1069e+01 -0.9284 0.3536630
idRUS -1.5701e+01 1.4138e+01 -1.1105 0.2673498
idSGP -3.7204e+01 9.7295e+00 -3.8238 0.0001492 ***
idSWE -2.4990e+01 8.8253e+00 -2.8316 0.0048314 **
idUSA 6.7209e+02 2.8561e+01 23.5318 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1995 4.0278e+00 1.0173e+01 0.3959 0.6923360
time1996 5.8908e+00 1.0164e+01 0.5796 0.5624795
time1997 7.2348e+00 9.4416e+00 0.7663 0.4439036
time1998 9.3689e+00 9.4502e+00 0.9914 0.3220067
time1999 9.1141e+00 9.1999e+00 0.9907 0.3223553
time2000 1.1853e+01 9.1991e+00 1.2885 0.1982033
time2001 1.1598e+01 9.2031e+00 1.2603 0.2081995
time2002 5.5638e+00 9.2174e+00 0.6036 0.5463914
time2003 1.1597e+01 9.2245e+00 1.2572 0.2093213
time2004 1.9629e+01 9.0122e+00 2.1780 0.0299023 *
time2005 2.7206e+01 9.1293e+00 2.9801 0.0030318 **
time2006 2.7342e+01 9.0735e+00 3.0134 0.0027242 **
time2007 5.1872e+01 9.1331e+00 5.6796 2.377e-08 ***
time2008 7.0304e+01 9.2595e+00 7.5927 1.720e-13 ***
time2009 7.5276e+01 9.2892e+00 8.1036 4.710e-15 ***
time2010 8.2844e+01 9.2933e+00 8.9143 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2011 8.6112e+01 9.3033e+00 9.2561 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2012 7.2971e+01 9.2441e+00 7.8938 2.107e-14 ***
time2013 6.2219e+01 9.2210e+00 6.7476 4.464e-11 ***
time2014 4.8574e+01 9.1825e+00 5.2899 1.885e-07 ***
time2015 4.9500e+01 9.1974e+00 5.3820 1.168e-07 ***
time2016 6.6734e+01 9.1848e+00 7.2657 1.568e-12 ***
time2017 4.3210e+01 9.2759e+00 4.6583 4.163e-06 ***
time2018 4.4275e+01 9.2387e+00 4.7924 2.218e-06 ***
time2019 2.1599e+01 9.2514e+00 2.3347 0.0199832 *
iis159 4.2221e+02 3.4867e+01 12.1093 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis160 5.6004e+02 3.4867e+01 16.0623 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis161 3.2669e+02 3.4879e+01 9.3664 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis175 1.1980e+02 3.8989e+01 3.0726 0.0022459 **
iis176 2.3930e+02 3.8992e+01 6.1371 1.796e-09 ***
iis177 2.2926e+02 3.8990e+01 5.8799 7.825e-09 ***
iis178 2.5357e+02 3.8990e+01 6.5036 2.021e-10 ***
iis377 -1.4480e+02 3.3855e+01 -4.2770 2.298e-05 ***
iis378 -1.4262e+02 3.3852e+01 -4.2132 3.023e-05 ***
iis379 -1.6358e+02 3.3640e+01 -4.8625 1.586e-06 ***
iis380 -1.3089e+02 3.3640e+01 -3.8909 0.0001144 ***
iis390 1.3317e+02 4.5035e+01 2.9570 0.0032634 **
iis391 5.6724e+02 4.5030e+01 12.5970 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis392 9.7145e+02 4.5016e+01 21.5800 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis393 9.1180e+02 4.5017e+01 20.2545 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis394 5.9146e+02 4.5003e+01 13.1427 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis395 4.6365e+02 4.4983e+01 10.3072 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis396 3.0737e+02 4.4972e+01 6.8347 2.577e-11 ***
iis397 1.9857e+02 4.4970e+01 4.4156 1.253e-05 ***
iis398 1.6285e+02 4.4953e+01 3.6226 0.0003236 ***
iis543 -6.1044e+02 3.9310e+01 -15.5289 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis544 -6.3306e+02 3.9298e+01 -16.1095 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis545 -6.1036e+02 3.9085e+01 -15.6162 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis546 -5.9383e+02 3.9085e+01 -15.1932 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis547 -5.7384e+02 3.9011e+01 -14.7095 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis548 -5.4495e+02 3.9007e+01 -13.9708 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis549 -4.9483e+02 3.9004e+01 -12.6866 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis550 -4.8154e+02 3.8997e+01 -12.3482 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis551 -4.9360e+02 3.8995e+01 -12.6580 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis552 -4.5341e+02 3.8940e+01 -11.6438 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis553 -3.5197e+02 3.8963e+01 -9.0333 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis556 3.0544e+02 3.8996e+01 7.8327 3.243e-14 ***
iis557 4.7789e+02 3.8992e+01 12.2560 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis558 5.1258e+02 3.8989e+01 13.1465 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis559 3.8387e+02 3.8988e+01 9.8457 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis560 2.0305e+02 3.8963e+01 5.2115 2.818e-07 ***
iis561 1.5408e+02 3.8945e+01 3.9562 8.797e-05 ***
fesisCHN.2006 1.0168e+02 1.7067e+01 5.9578 5.037e-09 ***
fesisCHN.2012 1.9332e+02 1.9417e+01 9.9563 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2002 9.6010e+01 1.8697e+01 5.1350 4.149e-07 ***
fesisDEU.2007 2.5875e+02 2.6668e+01 9.7027 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2013 -2.0349e+02 2.5529e+01 -7.9707 1.221e-14 ***
fesisFIN.2007 -3.7301e+01 1.2901e+01 -2.8914 0.0040147 **
fesisJPN.2008 1.9425e+02 3.3630e+01 5.7761 1.397e-08 ***
fesisJPN.2018 -1.3883e+02 3.8945e+01 -3.5648 0.0004017 ***
fesisKOR.2009 4.1273e+02 2.5003e+01 16.5074 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisNOR.2007 -4.0521e+01 1.2899e+01 -3.1414 0.0017882 **
fesisRUS.2007 -4.6152e+01 1.3568e+01 -3.4014 0.0007279 ***
fesisUSA.2008 1.3099e+02 3.1847e+01 4.1130 4.616e-05 ***
fesisUSA.2016 -2.5414e+02 2.7552e+01 -9.2243 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 58.1292 1 2.454e-14 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 6.8969 1 0.008635 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 31.09933
R-squared 0.98582
Log-lik.(n=567) -2703.42285 AR 1
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:35:25 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 543
Sample: 1 to 543
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 8.9153e-01 9.7327e-03 91.6018 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 2.2065e-14 3.3754e-14 0.6537 0.513619
pop 3.5684e-08 4.2242e-08 0.8447 0.398690
idAUT -1.5105e+00 6.1180e+00 -0.2469 0.805092
idBEL -2.5378e+00 6.1108e+00 -0.4153 0.678118
idBRA -1.1276e+01 1.0590e+01 -1.0648 0.287506
idCAN -8.0818e-01 6.1139e+00 -0.1322 0.894894
idCHE 4.2314e-01 6.1201e+00 0.0691 0.944909
idCHN -2.6796e+01 5.4631e+01 -0.4905 0.624019
idDEU 2.7030e+01 8.3215e+00 3.2482 0.001245 **
idDNK -4.9236e+00 6.6633e+00 -0.7389 0.460337
idESP -7.1328e-01 6.1699e+00 -0.1156 0.908014
idFIN -3.1261e+00 6.1337e+00 -0.5097 0.610528
idFRA 6.2741e+00 6.3568e+00 0.9870 0.324152
idGBR 7.3523e-01 6.3272e+00 0.1162 0.907542
idIND -4.6494e+01 5.0140e+01 -0.9273 0.354263
idISR 6.3474e-01 6.2665e+00 0.1013 0.919363
idITA 4.7739e-01 6.2915e+00 0.0759 0.939548
idJPN 2.9586e+01 1.8187e+01 1.6268 0.104461
idKOR -1.3756e+01 3.2922e+01 -0.4178 0.676269
idNLD 5.6708e-01 6.0967e+00 0.0930 0.925932
idNOR -3.5777e+00 6.1385e+00 -0.5828 0.560288
idRUS -1.0815e+01 8.1554e+00 -1.3261 0.185464
idSGP -5.0578e+00 6.7830e+00 -0.7457 0.456246
idSWE -2.6327e+00 6.1190e+00 -0.4302 0.667213
idUSA 2.7760e+01 1.3835e+01 2.0065 0.045377 *
time1996 -3.2530e+00 6.7044e+00 -0.4852 0.627755
time1997 -3.1347e+00 6.6968e+00 -0.4681 0.639941
time1998 -2.6532e-02 6.2875e+00 -0.0042 0.996635
time1999 -1.4630e+00 6.3527e+00 -0.2303 0.817960
time2000 2.3120e+00 6.1996e+00 0.3729 0.709373
time2001 8.2592e-02 6.2742e+00 0.0132 0.989503
time2002 -2.4137e+00 6.2027e+00 -0.3891 0.697347
time2003 3.6792e+00 6.2076e+00 0.5927 0.553671
time2004 6.4185e+00 6.1460e+00 1.0443 0.296871
time2005 1.3353e+01 6.1539e+00 2.1699 0.030519 *
time2006 1.0105e+01 6.2381e+00 1.6199 0.105936
time2007 1.5015e+01 6.2639e+00 2.3971 0.016918 *
time2008 1.9439e+01 6.3359e+00 3.0680 0.002280 **
time2009 2.5800e+01 6.3020e+00 4.0939 4.999e-05 ***
time2010 1.3930e+01 6.3174e+00 2.2050 0.027942 *
time2011 4.5317e+00 6.3422e+00 0.7145 0.475255
time2012 -1.5345e+00 6.3832e+00 -0.2404 0.810133
time2013 -1.1550e+00 6.3312e+00 -0.1824 0.855330
time2014 -9.3905e+00 6.2595e+00 -1.5002 0.134237
time2015 4.0407e+00 6.2260e+00 0.6490 0.516659
time2016 1.5480e+00 6.2917e+00 0.2460 0.805757
time2017 5.3398e+00 6.4765e+00 0.8245 0.410076
time2018 7.4102e+00 6.2507e+00 1.1855 0.236423
time2019 -7.5137e+00 6.3550e+00 -1.1823 0.237678
iis152 1.0151e+02 2.4976e+01 4.0642 5.653e-05 ***
iis154 -3.3358e+02 2.5327e+01 -13.1710 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis167 1.1062e+02 2.4191e+01 4.5728 6.173e-06 ***
iis171 -1.1074e+02 2.3670e+01 -4.6784 3.792e-06 ***
iis172 -1.2660e+02 2.3395e+01 -5.4114 1.001e-07 ***
iis364 9.1791e+01 2.2615e+01 4.0588 5.781e-05 ***
iis373 1.9260e+02 3.2132e+01 5.9940 4.099e-09 ***
iis374 3.7534e+02 3.1434e+01 11.9406 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis375 4.1840e+02 3.0751e+01 13.6060 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis377 -1.5242e+02 2.4160e+01 -6.3089 6.530e-10 ***
iis382 -9.4916e+01 2.3366e+01 -4.0621 5.703e-05 ***
iis405 2.6023e+02 2.3352e+01 11.1439 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis406 -1.1190e+02 2.3599e+01 -4.7418 2.817e-06 ***
iis530 2.5837e+02 2.2261e+01 11.6066 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis531 1.9864e+02 2.2209e+01 8.9441 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis532 4.0113e+02 2.2350e+01 17.9474 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis533 2.3882e+02 2.2966e+01 10.3992 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis541 -1.3945e+02 2.2312e+01 -6.2502 9.250e-10 ***
iis543 -1.1275e+02 2.2213e+01 -5.0758 5.581e-07 ***
fesisCHN.2015 1.5896e+02 1.4166e+01 11.2214 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2007 9.0310e+01 1.3220e+01 6.8316 2.628e-11 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -1.2401e+02 1.4211e+01 -8.7263 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2008 6.6971e+01 2.5184e+01 2.6593 0.008100 **
fesisJPN.2012 -1.2320e+02 2.4275e+01 -5.0753 5.597e-07 ***
fesisKOR.2007 1.4996e+02 1.8374e+01 8.1612 3.106e-15 ***
fesisKOR.2012 -1.4812e+02 1.6672e+01 -8.8843 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 16.811 1 4.128e-05 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 28.021 1 1.200e-07 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 21.10806
R-squared 0.99341
Log-lik.(n=543) -2388.44624 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:35:22 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 543
Sample: 1 to 543
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 9.3428e-01 1.0692e-02 87.3802 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 5.6601e-14 2.9285e-14 1.9328 0.0538825 .
pop 1.0479e-08 3.2650e-08 0.3209 0.7484019
idAUT -1.1594e+00 4.6995e+00 -0.2467 0.8052463
idBEL -1.9540e+00 4.6948e+00 -0.4162 0.6774556
idBRA -4.5412e+00 8.1526e+00 -0.5570 0.5777888
idCAN -4.9665e-01 4.6946e+00 -0.1058 0.9157948
idCHE 6.6999e-02 4.6993e+00 0.0143 0.9886310
idCHN 1.7256e+00 4.2201e+01 0.0409 0.9674019
idDEU 2.4463e+01 6.4415e+00 3.7977 0.0001658 ***
idDNK -3.5961e+00 5.1239e+00 -0.7018 0.4831475
idESP -1.2834e-01 4.7383e+00 -0.0271 0.9784026
idFIN -2.2238e+00 4.7164e+00 -0.4715 0.6375035
idFRA 5.1946e+00 4.9041e+00 1.0592 0.2900500
idGBR 8.9053e-01 4.8652e+00 0.1830 0.8548478
idIND -1.8439e+01 3.8633e+01 -0.4773 0.6333782
idISR 5.8642e-01 4.8118e+00 0.1219 0.9030562
idITA 7.8492e-01 4.8356e+00 0.1623 0.8711247
idJPN 3.6819e+00 1.5410e+01 0.2389 0.8112672
idKOR -4.6451e+01 2.8378e+01 -1.6368 0.1023543
idNLD 6.1105e-01 4.6813e+00 0.1305 0.8962043
idNOR -2.7433e+00 4.7213e+00 -0.5811 0.5614935
idRUS -8.6991e+00 6.2798e+00 -1.3852 0.1666575
idSGP -3.6331e+00 5.2156e+00 -0.6966 0.4864213
idSWE -1.9777e+00 4.7036e+00 -0.4205 0.6743533
idUSA 2.1815e+01 1.0807e+01 2.0185 0.0441221 *
time1996 -1.6595e+00 5.1566e+00 -0.3218 0.7477332
time1997 -1.7069e+00 5.1491e+00 -0.3315 0.7404277
time1998 1.0970e+00 4.8350e+00 0.2269 0.8206148
time1999 -7.5074e-01 4.8847e+00 -0.1537 0.8779195
time2000 2.6806e+00 4.7654e+00 0.5625 0.5740388
time2001 2.6511e-01 4.8234e+00 0.0550 0.9561914
time2002 -2.4988e+00 4.7686e+00 -0.5240 0.6005270
time2003 3.5642e+00 4.7719e+00 0.7469 0.4555050
time2004 5.9223e+00 4.7265e+00 1.2530 0.2108485
time2005 8.5594e+00 4.7822e+00 1.7899 0.0741421 .
time2006 8.5022e+00 4.7956e+00 1.7729 0.0769123 .
time2007 1.4670e+01 4.8675e+00 3.0138 0.0027241 **
time2008 1.5853e+01 4.9312e+00 3.2149 0.0013979 **
time2009 2.2377e+01 4.9089e+00 4.5585 6.631e-06 ***
time2010 6.3881e+00 4.9190e+00 1.2987 0.1947181
time2011 5.2280e+00 4.9998e+00 1.0456 0.2962792
time2012 -2.9876e+00 4.9407e+00 -0.6047 0.5456871
time2013 -2.6876e+00 4.9004e+00 -0.5484 0.5836606
time2014 -6.3282e+00 4.8665e+00 -1.3004 0.1941338
time2015 -6.2021e-01 4.8893e+00 -0.1268 0.8991153
time2016 2.4715e+00 4.8753e+00 0.5069 0.6124403
time2017 4.0722e+00 4.9856e+00 0.8168 0.4144684
time2018 -9.4540e-01 4.9288e+00 -0.1918 0.8479761
time2019 -3.9467e+00 4.9295e+00 -0.8006 0.4237672
iis150 1.0459e+02 1.7238e+01 6.0674 2.740e-09 ***
iis151 1.6633e+02 1.7420e+01 9.5482 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis152 2.4285e+02 1.7825e+01 13.6242 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis153 1.6999e+02 1.8650e+01 9.1147 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis154 -2.1307e+02 1.9318e+01 -11.0297 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis167 7.9982e+01 2.3508e+01 3.4024 0.0007271 ***
iis171 -1.3087e+02 1.8491e+01 -7.0772 5.599e-12 ***
iis172 -1.3813e+02 1.8065e+01 -7.6466 1.238e-13 ***
iis364 9.4645e+01 1.7402e+01 5.4386 8.783e-08 ***
iis373 2.5398e+02 1.7310e+01 14.6729 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis374 4.2591e+02 1.7573e+01 24.2366 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis375 4.5393e+02 1.8813e+01 24.1283 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis377 -1.8111e+02 1.9264e+01 -9.4017 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis382 -9.2436e+01 1.7951e+01 -5.1494 3.898e-07 ***
iis397 8.5483e+01 1.9399e+01 4.4066 1.311e-05 ***
iis398 7.4694e+01 1.9237e+01 3.8828 0.0001186 ***
iis403 -9.6608e+01 1.9154e+01 -5.0439 6.603e-07 ***
iis405 1.7845e+02 2.3649e+01 7.5458 2.470e-13 ***
iis406 -2.0302e+02 2.3588e+01 -8.6068 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis408 -1.7735e+02 2.3495e+01 -7.5486 2.423e-13 ***
iis529 8.9507e+01 1.7516e+01 5.1102 4.747e-07 ***
iis530 3.5147e+02 1.9735e+01 17.8092 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis531 2.7896e+02 1.8780e+01 14.8543 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis532 4.7677e+02 1.8436e+01 25.8608 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis533 2.9842e+02 1.8197e+01 16.3989 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis534 1.9105e+02 1.8330e+01 10.4229 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis539 1.6830e+02 1.8378e+01 9.1574 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis541 -6.2915e+01 1.8561e+01 -3.3897 0.0007607 ***
iis543 -1.7499e+02 2.3465e+01 -7.4574 4.501e-13 ***
fesisDEU.2007 1.1152e+02 1.7422e+01 6.4010 3.846e-10 ***
fesisDEU.2009 -5.2519e+01 1.9506e+01 -2.6925 0.0073527 **
fesisDEU.2012 -9.9379e+01 1.2340e+01 -8.0535 7.108e-15 ***
fesisJPN.2012 -8.0732e+01 9.3964e+00 -8.5918 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2007 8.9795e+01 1.7010e+01 5.2789 2.016e-07 ***
fesisKOR.2012 -1.1285e+02 1.4696e+01 -7.6786 9.927e-14 ***
fesisKOR.2016 5.5840e+01 2.0329e+01 2.7468 0.0062564 **
fesisUSA.2006 -9.2910e+01 1.3549e+01 -6.8571 2.300e-11 ***
fesisUSA.2018 1.3986e+02 1.8963e+01 7.3752 7.828e-13 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 11.856 1 0.0005748 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 27.326 1 1.719e-07 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 16.20723
R-squared 0.99622
Log-lik.(n=543) -2238.98717 Log Count
AR 0
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:35:34 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 567
Sample: 1 to 567
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
lgdp 1.920437 0.150424 12.7668 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -0.034469 0.523019 -0.0659 0.9474813
idAUT 2.485973 0.442904 5.6129 3.318e-08 ***
idBEL 1.324595 0.310681 4.2635 2.411e-05 ***
idBRA -4.910829 1.131464 -4.3402 1.726e-05 ***
idCAN -1.095381 0.278529 -3.9327 9.597e-05 ***
idCHE 1.851966 0.487364 3.8000 0.0001627 ***
idCHN -5.935245 1.996080 -2.9735 0.0030883 **
idDEU 0.291506 0.702431 0.4150 0.6783246
idDNK -2.539233 0.715413 -3.5493 0.0004231 ***
idESP -0.272361 0.454353 -0.5994 0.5491478
idFIN 2.555620 0.640107 3.9925 7.530e-05 ***
idFRA -1.178376 0.605026 -1.9476 0.0520226 .
idGBR -0.367366 0.588563 -0.6242 0.5328005
idIND -8.759286 1.906838 -4.5936 5.533e-06 ***
idISR 0.031072 0.514876 0.0603 0.9519026
idITA -1.766563 0.590946 -2.9894 0.0029345 **
idJPN -8.868866 0.926633 -9.5711 < 2.2e-16 ***
idKOR -12.956829 0.869209 -14.9065 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 0.250128 0.286850 0.8720 0.3836397
idNOR -3.505113 0.815829 -4.2964 2.091e-05 ***
idRUS -8.825166 0.930129 -9.4881 < 2.2e-16 ***
idSGP 0.910115 0.667493 1.3635 0.1733503
idSWE -2.896260 0.508765 -5.6927 2.145e-08 ***
idUSA -2.493573 1.274264 -1.9569 0.0509240 .
time1995 -50.368857 7.527781 -6.6911 6.010e-11 ***
time1996 -50.179423 7.529882 -6.6640 7.118e-11 ***
time1997 -50.250432 7.527016 -6.6760 6.605e-11 ***
time1998 -50.134146 7.530173 -6.6578 7.402e-11 ***
time1999 -49.964068 7.529787 -6.6355 8.503e-11 ***
time2000 -49.945196 7.533694 -6.6296 8.824e-11 ***
time2001 -49.882557 7.539956 -6.6158 9.615e-11 ***
time2002 -49.767479 7.543508 -6.5974 1.078e-10 ***
time2003 -49.542275 7.547054 -6.5645 1.321e-10 ***
time2004 -49.527142 7.547225 -6.5623 1.339e-10 ***
time2005 -49.293539 7.550464 -6.5285 1.648e-10 ***
time2006 -49.106511 7.555566 -6.4994 1.971e-10 ***
time2007 -48.824228 7.557647 -6.4602 2.503e-10 ***
time2008 -48.541744 7.562613 -6.4186 3.223e-10 ***
time2009 -48.236978 7.566793 -6.3748 4.201e-10 ***
time2010 -48.250688 7.570001 -6.3739 4.224e-10 ***
time2011 -48.364159 7.573027 -6.3864 3.918e-10 ***
time2012 -48.456927 7.577342 -6.3950 3.720e-10 ***
time2013 -48.777425 7.581212 -6.4340 2.937e-10 ***
time2014 -48.912797 7.584391 -6.4491 2.678e-10 ***
time2015 -49.049678 7.587627 -6.4644 2.440e-10 ***
time2016 -49.085959 7.591936 -6.4655 2.424e-10 ***
time2017 -49.158699 7.594728 -6.4727 2.320e-10 ***
time2018 -49.255740 7.597401 -6.4832 2.176e-10 ***
time2019 -49.480289 7.599960 -6.5106 1.840e-10 ***
iis79 -1.039669 0.369603 -2.8129 0.0051043 **
iis213 -1.372885 0.361794 -3.7947 0.0001662 ***
iis352 -1.090580 0.386288 -2.8232 0.0049458 **
iis504 -1.518098 0.354872 -4.2779 2.265e-05 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -0.814227 0.147617 -5.5158 5.603e-08 ***
fesisAUT.1998 -0.605587 0.217254 -2.7875 0.0055164 **
fesisAUT.2016 -0.511442 0.190215 -2.6888 0.0074136 **
fesisBRA.2014 1.017048 0.198170 5.1322 4.121e-07 ***
fesisCHE.2001 -0.791170 0.164016 -4.8238 1.879e-06 ***
fesisCHN.2016 0.954688 0.220355 4.3325 1.786e-05 ***
fesisESP.2005 0.452949 0.148242 3.0555 0.0023683 **
fesisFIN.1997 -1.232543 0.262860 -4.6890 3.556e-06 ***
fesisFIN.2012 0.761417 0.152403 4.9961 8.127e-07 ***
fesisFRA.2001 0.669070 0.173980 3.8457 0.0001359 ***
fesisFRA.2013 0.468323 0.164008 2.8555 0.0044775 **
fesisITA.2000 1.241600 0.192813 6.4394 2.842e-10 ***
fesisKOR.2004 0.794361 0.208194 3.8155 0.0001531 ***
fesisKOR.2008 0.839893 0.199621 4.2074 3.067e-05 ***
fesisNLD.1997 1.308133 0.283053 4.6215 4.866e-06 ***
fesisNLD.2003 -0.675244 0.165358 -4.0835 5.172e-05 ***
fesisRUS.2005 -0.938297 0.168644 -5.5638 4.330e-08 ***
fesisSWE.2002 -0.559824 0.155508 -3.6000 0.0003503 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 3.8130 1 0.05086 .
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 5.7017 1 0.01695 *
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.33495
R-squared 0.96291
Log-lik.(n=567) -148.36913 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:35:27 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 567
Sample: 1 to 567
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
lgdp 1.79421 0.17874 10.0379 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop 1.01549 0.54264 1.8714 0.0619002 .
idAUT 3.25497 0.41967 7.7559 5.357e-14 ***
idBEL 1.84079 0.29450 6.2505 9.087e-10 ***
idBRA -7.13998 1.14618 -6.2294 1.029e-09 ***
idCAN -1.48569 0.27814 -5.3415 1.430e-07 ***
idCHE 2.79598 0.47814 5.8477 9.260e-09 ***
idCHN -10.25050 2.03075 -5.0476 6.374e-07 ***
idDEU -1.07534 0.70860 -1.5176 0.1297889
idDNK -1.05212 0.74580 -1.4107 0.1589738
idESP -0.91303 0.47636 -1.9167 0.0558773 .
idFIN 3.74112 0.61202 6.1127 2.038e-09 ***
idFRA -2.53502 0.62000 -4.0887 5.090e-05 ***
idGBR -1.49711 0.60196 -2.4870 0.0132216 *
idIND -12.52884 1.88505 -6.6464 8.225e-11 ***
idISR 1.06068 0.51737 2.0501 0.0408983 *
idITA -2.12817 0.57959 -3.6719 0.0002680 ***
idJPN -10.03771 0.92904 -10.8044 < 2.2e-16 ***
idKOR -12.55882 0.99108 -12.6719 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 0.42690 0.25973 1.6436 0.1009093
idNOR -1.24957 0.89231 -1.4004 0.1620527
idRUS -10.51377 0.89619 -11.7317 < 2.2e-16 ***
idSGP 2.74672 0.71706 3.8305 0.0001450 ***
idSWE -3.04257 0.61011 -4.9869 8.606e-07 ***
idUSA -5.26539 1.25657 -4.1903 3.320e-05 ***
time1995 -64.47475 7.28278 -8.8530 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1996 -64.40452 7.28524 -8.8404 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1997 -64.34282 7.28205 -8.8358 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1998 -64.19848 7.28310 -8.8147 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1999 -64.06173 7.28601 -8.7924 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2000 -64.04649 7.28798 -8.7880 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2001 -63.94698 7.29099 -8.7707 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2002 -63.79692 7.29414 -8.7463 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2003 -63.61127 7.29746 -8.7169 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2004 -63.56223 7.29998 -8.7072 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2005 -63.41963 7.30280 -8.6843 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2006 -63.24812 7.30576 -8.6573 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2007 -62.96003 7.30684 -8.6166 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2008 -62.66362 7.31184 -8.5702 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2009 -62.42738 7.31615 -8.5328 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2010 -62.44519 7.31907 -8.5318 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2011 -62.56100 7.32191 -8.5444 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2012 -62.66144 7.32601 -8.5533 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2013 -62.98621 7.32954 -8.5935 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2014 -63.12162 7.33251 -8.6085 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2015 -63.26358 7.33559 -8.6242 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2016 -63.32464 7.33923 -8.6282 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2017 -63.36833 7.34210 -8.6308 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2018 -63.46589 7.34462 -8.6411 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2019 -63.76267 7.34664 -8.6792 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis48 -0.77335 0.30817 -2.5095 0.0124201 *
iis49 -0.83980 0.30818 -2.7251 0.0066652 **
iis79 -1.00644 0.32437 -3.1027 0.0020313 **
iis88 0.80541 0.32910 2.4473 0.0147539 *
iis91 -0.99827 0.30981 -3.2222 0.0013592 **
iis93 -1.04949 0.30885 -3.3980 0.0007356 ***
iis190 -1.11205 0.30925 -3.5960 0.0003568 ***
iis213 -1.04752 0.34776 -3.0122 0.0027316 **
iis244 -0.68698 0.31151 -2.2053 0.0279059 *
iis352 -1.83217 0.32359 -5.6621 2.586e-08 ***
iis355 -1.50373 0.32016 -4.6968 3.460e-06 ***
iis356 -0.97644 0.31975 -3.0537 0.0023865 **
iis404 -0.75507 0.31885 -2.3681 0.0182762 *
iis405 -0.77948 0.31964 -2.4386 0.0151079 *
iis407 -0.72423 0.31775 -2.2792 0.0230935 *
iis409 -1.03893 0.31780 -3.2691 0.0011567 **
iis504 -1.29261 0.31715 -4.0757 5.372e-05 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -0.85015 0.13234 -6.4239 3.219e-10 ***
fesisAUT.1998 -0.63354 0.19081 -3.3203 0.0009681 ***
fesisBRA.2014 0.89704 0.18249 4.9155 1.220e-06 ***
fesisCHE.2001 -0.81675 0.14513 -5.6278 3.118e-08 ***
fesisCHN.2004 0.51795 0.19174 2.7013 0.0071527 **
fesisCHN.2016 0.91896 0.19509 4.7105 3.246e-06 ***
fesisESP.2001 -0.59195 0.21403 -2.7657 0.0059001 **
fesisESP.2005 0.84744 0.19263 4.3993 1.341e-05 ***
fesisFIN.1997 -1.22820 0.23303 -5.2705 2.065e-07 ***
fesisFIN.2012 0.79732 0.13581 5.8708 8.131e-09 ***
fesisFRA.1998 0.63891 0.19953 3.2021 0.0014556 **
fesisFRA.2009 0.66718 0.13028 5.1210 4.419e-07 ***
fesisITA.2006 0.72895 0.13934 5.2314 2.524e-07 ***
fesisKOR.2008 0.98218 0.17242 5.6964 2.143e-08 ***
fesisKOR.2013 0.43575 0.17702 2.4616 0.0141860 *
fesisNLD.1997 1.21223 0.24954 4.8579 1.612e-06 ***
fesisNLD.2003 -0.60459 0.14571 -4.1493 3.949e-05 ***
fesisNOR.1998 -0.72524 0.19027 -3.8117 0.0001561 ***
fesisRUS.2005 -0.73451 0.15823 -4.6421 4.464e-06 ***
fesisSGP.2006 -0.66105 0.18872 -3.5028 0.0005038 ***
fesisSWE.1996 1.25627 0.32905 3.8178 0.0001524 ***
fesisSWE.2002 -0.70894 0.14460 -4.9028 1.297e-06 ***
fesisUSA.2005 0.43970 0.12640 3.4786 0.0005503 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.29958 1 0.58415
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 2.89139 1 0.08905 .
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.29392
R-squared 0.97248
Log-lik.(n=567) -65.28002 AR 1
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:36:32 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 543
Sample: 1 to 543
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.371461 0.034726 10.6969 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 1.439164 0.150529 9.5607 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -1.472643 0.519019 -2.8374 0.0047439 **
idAUT 0.235314 0.436506 0.5391 0.5900809
idBEL 0.223126 0.325905 0.6846 0.4939090
idBRA 0.015194 1.155257 0.0132 0.9895120
idCAN 0.115574 0.288113 0.4011 0.6884957
idCHE -0.425867 0.478935 -0.8892 0.3743495
idCHN 1.770968 2.036441 0.8696 0.3849381
idDEU 2.058547 0.710000 2.8994 0.0039128 **
idDNK -3.479124 0.712814 -4.8808 1.446e-06 ***
idESP 0.930755 0.449973 2.0685 0.0391378 *
idFIN -0.392814 0.638999 -0.6147 0.5390254
idFRA 1.298285 0.596664 2.1759 0.0300554 *
idGBR 1.340460 0.589202 2.2750 0.0233491 *
idIND -0.449169 1.980689 -0.2268 0.8206972
idISR -1.284618 0.515568 -2.4917 0.0130557 *
idITA 1.150328 0.562821 2.0439 0.0415195 *
idJPN -4.287478 0.999649 -4.2890 2.176e-05 ***
idKOR -8.473037 0.939641 -9.0173 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD -0.434722 0.375894 -1.1565 0.2480589
idNOR -4.406363 0.807906 -5.4541 7.941e-08 ***
idRUS -3.384906 1.018505 -3.3234 0.0009581 ***
idSGP -1.041296 0.681042 -1.5290 0.1269378
idSWE -2.899586 0.508258 -5.7050 2.052e-08 ***
idUSA 1.809119 1.308718 1.3824 0.1675123
time1996 -13.525916 8.030225 -1.6844 0.0927674 .
time1997 -13.654453 8.031950 -1.7000 0.0897837 .
time1998 -13.609665 8.026140 -1.6957 0.0906055 .
time1999 -13.434952 8.030767 -1.6729 0.0949999 .
time2000 -13.438867 8.027733 -1.6741 0.0947794 .
time2001 -13.417040 8.034083 -1.6700 0.0955766 .
time2002 -13.321829 8.037107 -1.6575 0.0980719 .
time2003 -13.243867 8.039578 -1.6473 0.1001522
time2004 -13.229906 8.039102 -1.6457 0.1004895
time2005 -13.062961 8.040495 -1.6246 0.1049027
time2006 -12.927082 8.044995 -1.6068 0.1087537
time2007 -12.704200 8.045819 -1.5790 0.1150073
time2008 -12.516541 8.047372 -1.5554 0.1205283
time2009 -12.345584 8.048423 -1.5339 0.1257181
time2010 -12.426779 8.050656 -1.5436 0.1233590
time2011 -12.523787 8.053922 -1.5550 0.1206153
time2012 -12.560490 8.057759 -1.5588 0.1197095
time2013 -12.829894 8.061682 -1.5915 0.1121714
time2014 -12.832119 8.067541 -1.5906 0.1123695
time2015 -12.929989 8.071534 -1.6019 0.1098384
time2016 -12.840597 8.076512 -1.5899 0.1125310
time2017 -12.949162 8.079132 -1.6028 0.1096469
time2018 -13.018574 8.082418 -1.6107 0.1079048
time2019 -13.166641 8.086879 -1.6281 0.1041578
iis75 -1.015679 0.371668 -2.7328 0.0065154 **
iis86 -1.296190 0.351820 -3.6842 0.0002558 ***
iis88 -1.353849 0.349360 -3.8752 0.0001215 ***
iis181 -1.081849 0.349741 -3.0933 0.0020964 **
iis203 -1.129091 0.368849 -3.0611 0.0023303 **
iis217 -1.180577 0.349949 -3.3736 0.0008028 ***
iis225 -1.081364 0.348108 -3.1064 0.0020074 **
iis339 -1.683021 0.349355 -4.8175 1.959e-06 ***
iis439 -1.254779 0.348025 -3.6054 0.0003447 ***
iis478 -0.972678 0.351701 -2.7656 0.0059029 **
iis482 -1.919100 0.354843 -5.4083 1.011e-07 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -0.408532 0.153286 -2.6652 0.0079578 **
fesisBRA.2014 0.717682 0.209190 3.4308 0.0006545 ***
fesisESP.2003 0.492584 0.165841 2.9702 0.0031269 **
fesisKOR.2003 0.955183 0.162738 5.8695 8.224e-09 ***
fesisNLD.1997 1.908661 0.419125 4.5539 6.704e-06 ***
fesisNLD.1999 -0.972038 0.253604 -3.8329 0.0001437 ***
fesisRUS.2004 -0.801129 0.180097 -4.4483 1.079e-05 ***
fesisSWE.2001 -0.596184 0.173257 -3.4410 0.0006308 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 4.5349 1 0.033211 *
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 9.1904 1 0.002433 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.33200
R-squared 0.96188
Log-lik.(n=543) -137.26616 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:36:29 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 543
Sample: 1 to 543
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.322794 0.033486 9.6398 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 1.374607 0.151905 9.0491 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -0.457116 0.512577 -0.8918 0.3729775
idAUT 1.618467 0.455580 3.5525 0.0004219 ***
idBEL 0.751786 0.306752 2.4508 0.0146346 *
idBRA -2.328079 1.138651 -2.0446 0.0414776 *
idCAN -0.341006 0.286206 -1.1915 0.2340981
idCHE 0.549239 0.460556 1.1926 0.2336736
idCHN -2.309755 1.993347 -1.1587 0.2471814
idDEU 0.826904 0.691218 1.1963 0.2322112
idDNK -2.135318 0.698320 -3.0578 0.0023629 **
idESP 0.268063 0.445996 0.6010 0.5481140
idFIN 1.239412 0.614352 2.0174 0.0442452 *
idFRA 0.061184 0.589454 0.1038 0.9173762
idGBR 0.286574 0.578781 0.4951 0.6207477
idIND -4.379204 1.926155 -2.2735 0.0234646 *
idISR -0.255086 0.499665 -0.5105 0.6099416
idITA 0.130314 0.553761 0.2353 0.8140636
idJPN -5.587227 0.956383 -5.8420 9.914e-09 ***
idKOR -8.821413 0.920804 -9.5801 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 1.638398 0.250404 6.5430 1.647e-10 ***
idNOR -2.905621 0.794423 -3.6575 0.0002849 ***
idRUS -5.362213 0.978931 -5.4776 7.192e-08 ***
idSGP 0.700690 0.728371 0.9620 0.3365699
idSWE -2.057371 0.497049 -4.1392 4.164e-05 ***
idUSA -0.567505 1.269671 -0.4470 0.6551124
time1996 -28.718967 7.711431 -3.7242 0.0002209 ***
time1997 -28.838843 7.711197 -3.7399 0.0002079 ***
time1998 -28.741790 7.706122 -3.7297 0.0002162 ***
time1999 -28.625740 7.709638 -3.7130 0.0002306 ***
time2000 -28.612412 7.710380 -3.7109 0.0002324 ***
time2001 -28.518479 7.712572 -3.6977 0.0002445 ***
time2002 -28.595608 7.716194 -3.7059 0.0002369 ***
time2003 -28.370317 7.716578 -3.6765 0.0002650 ***
time2004 -28.374218 7.719527 -3.6756 0.0002659 ***
time2005 -28.168185 7.720377 -3.6486 0.0002947 ***
time2006 -28.049105 7.720843 -3.6329 0.0003126 ***
time2007 -27.814514 7.720661 -3.6026 0.0003502 ***
time2008 -27.616352 7.721698 -3.5765 0.0003861 ***
time2009 -27.456158 7.722997 -3.5551 0.0004179 ***
time2010 -27.549430 7.725366 -3.5661 0.0004012 ***
time2011 -27.649386 7.728374 -3.5776 0.0003844 ***
time2012 -27.671871 7.732922 -3.5784 0.0003833 ***
time2013 -27.991694 7.736637 -3.6181 0.0003305 ***
time2014 -28.011628 7.742623 -3.6178 0.0003308 ***
time2015 -28.119575 7.747467 -3.6295 0.0003166 ***
time2016 -28.042973 7.752360 -3.6173 0.0003314 ***
time2017 -28.153063 7.754712 -3.6304 0.0003155 ***
time2018 -28.227989 7.757816 -3.6387 0.0003059 ***
time2019 -28.493218 7.762507 -3.6706 0.0002711 ***
iis8 0.642782 0.307472 2.0905 0.0371313 *
iis27 -0.969002 0.302108 -3.2075 0.0014348 **
iis50 0.975922 0.301182 3.2403 0.0012828 **
iis75 -0.986431 0.316273 -3.1189 0.0019319 **
iis84 0.679552 0.317531 2.1401 0.0328836 *
iis86 -1.238634 0.318739 -3.8860 0.0001172 ***
iis87 0.712049 0.315153 2.2594 0.0243388 *
iis88 -1.282472 0.314535 -4.0774 5.388e-05 ***
iis179 0.756332 0.300740 2.5149 0.0122550 *
iis181 -1.114219 0.298891 -3.7278 0.0002178 ***
iis189 -1.016484 0.298160 -3.4092 0.0007103 ***
iis217 -1.134472 0.298016 -3.8068 0.0001603 ***
iis222 -1.174848 0.340093 -3.4545 0.0006037 ***
iis225 -0.802810 0.303694 -2.6435 0.0084929 **
iis244 0.772483 0.309703 2.4943 0.0129804 *
iis246 -0.730100 0.306400 -2.3828 0.0175951 *
iis297 0.921566 0.300590 3.0659 0.0023014 **
iis339 -1.758476 0.299365 -5.8740 8.290e-09 ***
iis409 -1.897331 0.358089 -5.2985 1.834e-07 ***
iis435 -0.855877 0.300100 -2.8520 0.0045453 **
iis439 -1.145167 0.297592 -3.8481 0.0001363 ***
iis461 0.803409 0.321082 2.5022 0.0126974 *
iis478 -0.765869 0.300861 -2.5456 0.0112425 *
iis482 -1.731521 0.307497 -5.6310 3.163e-08 ***
iis520 -0.948155 0.300081 -3.1597 0.0016862 **
fesisAUS.2005 -0.444294 0.138725 -3.2027 0.0014583 **
fesisAUT.1998 -0.485715 0.222071 -2.1872 0.0292424 *
fesisAUT.2015 -0.535984 0.162479 -3.2988 0.0010483 **
fesisAUT.2019 0.983367 0.324136 3.0338 0.0025549 **
fesisBRA.2014 0.683308 0.186091 3.6719 0.0002697 ***
fesisCAN.2005 -0.909292 0.313490 -2.9005 0.0039081 **
fesisCAN.2006 0.917386 0.299780 3.0602 0.0023444 **
fesisCHN.2015 0.573036 0.182371 3.1421 0.0017882 **
fesisESP.2001 -0.883447 0.244676 -3.6107 0.0003398 ***
fesisESP.2003 1.244362 0.220590 5.6411 2.995e-08 ***
fesisFIN.2000 -0.711499 0.192290 -3.7001 0.0002422 ***
fesisFIN.2012 0.491986 0.143225 3.4351 0.0006474 ***
fesisFRA.2009 0.435098 0.124494 3.4949 0.0005213 ***
fesisKOR.2004 0.739030 0.161841 4.5664 6.417e-06 ***
fesisKOR.2010 0.445993 0.154202 2.8923 0.0040107 **
fesisNLD.1999 -0.928960 0.217831 -4.2646 2.443e-05 ***
fesisRUS.2004 -0.574936 0.168789 -3.4062 0.0007179 ***
fesisSGP.2006 -0.534345 0.201238 -2.6553 0.0082058 **
fesisSWE.2001 -0.590914 0.148955 -3.9671 8.467e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.51519 1 0.2183
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 0.74523 1 0.3880
SE of regression 0.28244
R-squared 0.97387
Log-lik.(n=543) -36.97895 without IIS
Count
0
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:37:36 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 567
Sample: 1 to 567
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp 2.5029e-13 4.9621e-14 5.0442 6.376e-07 ***
pop 1.9301e-08 8.4275e-08 0.2290 0.8189470
idAUT -1.4272e+01 1.2789e+01 -1.1159 0.2650039
idBEL -1.8792e+01 1.2774e+01 -1.4711 0.1418860
idBRA -5.3906e+01 2.1371e+01 -2.5224 0.0119653 *
idCAN -1.2364e+00 1.2783e+01 -0.0967 0.9229848
idCHE 1.4326e+00 1.2794e+01 0.1120 0.9108879
idCHN -3.3531e+01 1.0719e+02 -0.3128 0.7545600
idDEU 7.0497e+01 2.0414e+01 3.4534 0.0006004 ***
idDNK -3.4866e+01 1.3852e+01 -2.5171 0.0121433 *
idESP -1.8142e-01 1.2888e+01 -0.0141 0.9887748
idFIN -2.8434e+01 1.2813e+01 -2.2191 0.0269254 *
idFRA 4.9102e+01 1.3236e+01 3.7099 0.0002305 ***
idGBR 1.8643e+01 1.3193e+01 1.4130 0.1582616
idIND -5.8792e+01 9.9859e+01 -0.5888 0.5562919
idISR -3.2400e+00 1.3088e+01 -0.2476 0.8045809
idITA 1.3232e+01 1.3126e+01 1.0081 0.3139061
idJPN 1.7341e+02 2.9341e+01 5.9101 6.319e-09 ***
idKOR -1.9295e+02 5.0962e+01 -3.7861 0.0001715 ***
idNLD -2.2650e+00 1.2750e+01 -0.1776 0.8590700
idNOR -3.0153e+01 1.2820e+01 -2.3521 0.0190539 *
idRUS -5.1668e+01 1.6694e+01 -3.0950 0.0020779 **
idSGP -3.5527e+01 1.4081e+01 -2.5230 0.0119421 *
idSWE -2.4133e+01 1.2785e+01 -1.8876 0.0596543 .
idUSA 3.8374e+01 3.5345e+01 1.0857 0.2781416
time1995 -2.7018e-01 1.4257e+01 -0.0190 0.9848878
time1996 3.3402e-01 1.4244e+01 0.0235 0.9813003
time1997 4.8467e+00 1.3335e+01 0.3635 0.7164167
time1998 3.9608e+00 1.3307e+01 0.2976 0.7660943
time1999 1.0572e+01 1.3140e+01 0.8045 0.4214775
time2000 1.4475e+01 1.3141e+01 1.1015 0.2712100
time2001 1.6397e+01 1.3148e+01 1.2471 0.2129527
time2002 1.1140e+01 1.3169e+01 0.8459 0.3979994
time2003 1.6499e+01 1.3180e+01 1.2518 0.2112251
time2004 2.5510e+01 1.2903e+01 1.9770 0.0485853 *
time2005 3.7716e+01 1.3060e+01 2.8879 0.0040452 **
time2006 2.8407e+01 1.3100e+01 2.1684 0.0305955 *
time2007 4.0919e+01 1.3118e+01 3.1194 0.0019163 **
time2008 4.8685e+01 1.3026e+01 3.7377 0.0002071 ***
time2009 8.3979e+01 1.3061e+01 6.4297 2.981e-10 ***
time2010 8.4848e+01 1.3069e+01 6.4925 2.032e-10 ***
time2011 8.1168e+01 1.3080e+01 6.2053 1.143e-09 ***
time2012 7.8944e+01 1.3071e+01 6.0396 3.009e-09 ***
time2013 6.6472e+01 1.3091e+01 5.0778 5.389e-07 ***
time2014 3.9776e+01 1.3110e+01 3.0339 0.0025388 **
time2015 5.3989e+01 1.3112e+01 4.1175 4.478e-05 ***
time2016 5.1882e+01 1.3128e+01 3.9520 8.862e-05 ***
time2017 3.9046e+01 1.3151e+01 2.9690 0.0031310 **
time2018 3.9962e+01 1.3175e+01 3.0333 0.0025446 **
time2019 7.4716e+00 1.3196e+01 0.5662 0.5715001
fesisCHN.2006 1.6175e+02 2.1882e+01 7.3920 6.096e-13 ***
fesisCHN.2016 5.0472e+02 2.7580e+01 18.3001 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2002 8.9137e+01 2.7050e+01 3.2953 0.0010528 **
fesisDEU.2007 4.0821e+02 2.7949e+01 14.6053 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2013 -3.4197e+02 2.5666e+01 -13.3235 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2008 5.9609e+02 3.5036e+01 17.0139 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2010 5.8640e+02 4.6032e+01 12.7389 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2012 -4.8949e+02 4.2050e+01 -11.6409 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2015 -4.3048e+02 3.3656e+01 -12.7906 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2009 4.0886e+02 3.6037e+01 11.3455 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.1998 1.1035e+02 3.1398e+01 3.5145 0.0004805 ***
fesisUSA.2006 5.0620e+02 3.6464e+01 13.8821 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2008 5.4935e+02 3.9923e+01 13.7602 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2012 -3.3680e+02 3.2587e+01 -10.3354 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2016 -3.3323e+02 3.2595e+01 -10.2233 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 9.8748 1 0.001676 **
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 75.0058 1 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 45.05579
R-squared 0.96801
Log-lik.(n=567) -2931.11824 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:37:35 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 567
Sample: 1 to 567
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp 2.4680e-13 4.2936e-14 5.7481 1.580e-08 ***
pop -5.6299e-08 7.3483e-08 -0.7662 0.4439501
idAUT -1.5252e+01 1.1034e+01 -1.3823 0.1675144
idBEL -1.9590e+01 1.1020e+01 -1.7776 0.0760778 .
idBRA -4.2997e+01 1.8494e+01 -2.3249 0.0204805 *
idCAN -3.3849e-01 1.1028e+01 -0.0307 0.9755260
idCHE 4.0558e-01 1.1038e+01 0.0367 0.9707041
idCHN 6.5584e+01 9.3549e+01 0.7011 0.4835908
idDEU 7.8847e+01 1.7677e+01 4.4604 1.013e-05 ***
idDNK -3.7182e+01 1.1958e+01 -3.1094 0.0019824 **
idESP 1.5404e+00 1.1121e+01 0.1385 0.8898929
idFIN -9.7466e+00 1.3828e+01 -0.7048 0.4812503
idFRA 5.2314e+01 1.1427e+01 4.5782 5.939e-06 ***
idGBR 2.1708e+01 1.1389e+01 1.9059 0.0572361 .
idIND 3.0681e+01 8.7057e+01 0.3524 0.7246680
idISR -4.3352e+00 1.1293e+01 -0.3839 0.7012264
idITA 1.6056e+01 1.1330e+01 1.4171 0.1570936
idJPN 8.5490e+01 4.5891e+01 1.8629 0.0630718 .
idKOR -1.8581e+02 4.4088e+01 -4.2146 2.975e-05 ***
idNLD -2.6320e+00 1.0999e+01 -0.2393 0.8109764
idNOR -9.8204e+00 1.3833e+01 -0.7099 0.4780918
idRUS -1.5834e+01 1.7660e+01 -0.8966 0.3703709
idSGP -3.8174e+01 1.2158e+01 -3.1398 0.0017915 **
idSWE -2.5027e+01 1.1030e+01 -2.2690 0.0236959 *
idUSA 5.9311e+01 3.0686e+01 1.9329 0.0538242 .
time1995 3.9839e+00 1.2542e+01 0.3176 0.7508894
time1996 -1.7855e+00 1.2314e+01 -0.1450 0.8847779
time1997 1.1299e+00 1.1538e+01 0.0979 0.9220303
time1998 1.8967e-01 1.1514e+01 0.0165 0.9868636
time1999 7.2399e+00 1.1365e+01 0.6370 0.5244067
time2000 1.1276e+01 1.1365e+01 0.9921 0.3216268
time2001 1.3311e+01 1.1371e+01 1.1706 0.2423152
time2002 8.1875e+00 1.1388e+01 0.7190 0.4724995
time2003 1.3665e+01 1.1397e+01 1.1990 0.2310964
time2004 2.3274e+01 1.1151e+01 2.0873 0.0373744 *
time2005 3.5363e+01 1.1289e+01 3.1326 0.0018354 **
time2006 2.9109e+01 1.1335e+01 2.5682 0.0105155 *
time2007 4.7580e+01 1.1363e+01 4.1872 3.344e-05 ***
time2008 6.4959e+01 1.1352e+01 5.7223 1.822e-08 ***
time2009 8.2858e+01 1.1389e+01 7.2751 1.364e-12 ***
time2010 9.2628e+01 1.1336e+01 8.1711 2.571e-15 ***
time2011 8.9051e+01 1.1348e+01 7.8476 2.638e-14 ***
time2012 7.8011e+01 1.1326e+01 6.8879 1.726e-11 ***
time2013 6.5566e+01 1.1345e+01 5.7795 1.327e-08 ***
time2014 3.8981e+01 1.1362e+01 3.4309 0.0006520 ***
time2015 4.9235e+01 1.1380e+01 4.3263 1.835e-05 ***
time2016 6.8678e+01 1.1397e+01 6.0259 3.287e-09 ***
time2017 3.7702e+01 1.1420e+01 3.3014 0.0010315 **
time2018 4.9592e+01 1.1465e+01 4.3254 1.842e-05 ***
time2019 1.7185e+01 1.1484e+01 1.4964 0.1351746
fesisCHN.2006 9.9696e+01 2.1328e+01 4.6745 3.805e-06 ***
fesisCHN.2012 1.9529e+02 2.4261e+01 8.0494 6.225e-15 ***
fesisCHN.2017 4.3793e+02 2.9098e+01 15.0502 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2002 8.8966e+01 2.3339e+01 3.8119 0.0001553 ***
fesisDEU.2007 4.0010e+02 2.4168e+01 16.5550 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2013 -3.3988e+02 2.2148e+01 -15.3458 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisFIN.2007 -3.8260e+01 1.6123e+01 -2.3730 0.0180232 *
fesisJPN.1996 1.0900e+02 4.1725e+01 2.6123 0.0092681 **
fesisJPN.2008 3.6825e+02 4.1399e+01 8.8951 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2009 4.2128e+02 5.6154e+01 7.5021 2.933e-13 ***
fesisJPN.2010 3.7552e+02 4.8631e+01 7.7217 6.407e-14 ***
fesisJPN.2012 -4.8077e+02 3.6291e+01 -13.2477 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2015 -3.3290e+02 3.2438e+01 -10.2626 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2018 -2.6108e+02 3.6257e+01 -7.2006 2.242e-12 ***
fesisKOR.2009 4.0736e+02 3.1210e+01 13.0522 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisNOR.2007 -4.1482e+01 1.6121e+01 -2.5732 0.0103655 *
fesisRUS.2007 -4.6570e+01 1.6955e+01 -2.7467 0.0062391 **
fesisUSA.1998 1.1405e+02 2.7103e+01 4.2081 3.058e-05 ***
fesisUSA.2006 5.0060e+02 3.1468e+01 15.9083 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2008 5.4595e+02 3.4450e+01 15.8475 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2012 -3.2654e+02 2.8135e+01 -11.6060 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2016 -3.4312e+02 2.8116e+01 -12.2035 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 13.132 1 0.0002903 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 18.450 1 1.744e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 38.86764
R-squared 0.97653
Log-lik.(n=567) -2843.85003 1
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:37:31 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 543
Sample: 1 to 543
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 9.3663e-01 1.6383e-02 57.1717 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 2.3985e-14 4.3237e-14 0.5547 0.579337
pop 2.6732e-08 4.8925e-08 0.5464 0.585057
idAUT -9.5171e-01 7.0522e+00 -0.1350 0.892707
idBEL -1.7742e+00 7.0453e+00 -0.2518 0.801286
idBRA -7.7836e+00 1.2228e+01 -0.6365 0.524733
idCAN -6.8170e-01 7.0449e+00 -0.0968 0.922954
idCHE 2.5614e-01 7.0520e+00 0.0363 0.971041
idCHN -1.8422e+01 6.3242e+01 -0.2913 0.770956
idDEU 2.3242e+01 9.6563e+00 2.4070 0.016465 *
idDNK -3.3310e+00 7.6876e+00 -0.4333 0.664999
idESP -5.1663e-01 7.1103e+00 -0.0727 0.942107
idFIN -1.9367e+00 7.0775e+00 -0.2736 0.784477
idFRA 4.4034e+00 7.3573e+00 0.5985 0.549788
idGBR 1.9063e-01 7.2994e+00 0.0261 0.979176
idIND -3.5265e+01 5.7925e+01 -0.6088 0.542949
idISR 6.8356e-01 7.2208e+00 0.0947 0.924620
idITA 1.5001e-01 7.2553e+00 0.0207 0.983512
idJPN 2.4867e+01 2.2482e+01 1.1061 0.269247
idKOR -1.5863e+01 4.1935e+01 -0.3783 0.705386
idNLD 6.6980e-01 7.0250e+00 0.0953 0.924081
idNOR -2.3615e+00 7.0849e+00 -0.3333 0.739046
idRUS -8.4366e+00 9.4279e+00 -0.8949 0.371317
idSGP -3.4405e+00 7.8248e+00 -0.4397 0.660356
idSWE -1.6558e+00 7.0584e+00 -0.2346 0.814630
idUSA 2.6629e+01 1.6032e+01 1.6610 0.097369 .
time1996 -3.3338e+00 7.7321e+00 -0.4312 0.666540
time1997 -3.2919e+00 7.7216e+00 -0.4263 0.670069
time1998 -2.4262e-01 7.2521e+00 -0.0335 0.973326
time1999 2.5235e+00 7.2413e+00 0.3485 0.727628
time2000 1.5962e+00 7.1505e+00 0.2232 0.823453
time2001 -8.1600e-01 7.2383e+00 -0.1127 0.910289
time2002 -3.4565e+00 7.1566e+00 -0.4830 0.629329
time2003 2.6573e+00 7.1615e+00 0.3711 0.710762
time2004 5.1173e+00 7.0943e+00 0.7213 0.471063
time2005 1.1703e+01 7.1098e+00 1.6461 0.100408
time2006 8.3038e+00 7.1231e+00 1.1658 0.244294
time2007 7.8245e+00 7.1791e+00 1.0899 0.276307
time2008 2.5100e+01 7.2152e+00 3.4787 0.000550 ***
time2009 2.1075e+01 7.2222e+00 2.9181 0.003689 **
time2010 1.1660e+01 7.3453e+00 1.5874 0.113091
time2011 1.3722e+00 7.3941e+00 0.1856 0.852848
time2012 -4.1621e+00 7.3931e+00 -0.5630 0.573720
time2013 -3.5537e+00 7.3052e+00 -0.4865 0.626865
time2014 -1.0979e+01 7.2504e+00 -1.5143 0.130612
time2015 3.2137e+00 7.1700e+00 0.4482 0.654207
time2016 7.1928e-01 7.2426e+00 0.0993 0.920931
time2017 -4.1734e+00 7.2064e+00 -0.5791 0.562779
time2018 8.6403e+00 7.2037e+00 1.1994 0.230954
time2019 -9.1702e+00 7.2578e+00 -1.2635 0.207030
fesisCHN.2015 1.6896e+02 1.5514e+01 10.8907 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisCHN.2019 -3.7877e+02 2.8731e+01 -13.1830 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2007 1.4948e+02 1.9475e+01 7.6753 9.427e-14 ***
fesisDEU.2009 -9.2168e+01 2.3197e+01 -3.9732 8.189e-05 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -2.3273e+02 2.2717e+01 -10.2446 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2014 1.3542e+02 2.0965e+01 6.4594 2.600e-10 ***
fesisJPN.2008 2.3732e+02 2.6022e+01 9.1200 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2009 1.9141e+02 3.1333e+01 6.1088 2.088e-09 ***
fesisJPN.2011 -4.2576e+02 3.2023e+01 -13.2955 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2012 -2.7363e+02 3.5172e+01 -7.7797 4.551e-14 ***
fesisJPN.2013 1.7025e+02 2.8676e+01 5.9368 5.606e-09 ***
fesisKOR.2007 1.3368e+02 2.2593e+01 5.9169 6.275e-09 ***
fesisKOR.2012 -1.6149e+02 1.9521e+01 -8.2726 1.325e-15 ***
fesisKOR.2016 2.6368e+02 2.8326e+01 9.3090 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2017 -3.0270e+02 2.9081e+01 -10.4088 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2006 2.4736e+02 1.7525e+01 14.1151 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2010 -3.1112e+02 1.5128e+01 -20.5655 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 51.259 1 8.095e-13 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 63.859 1 1.332e-15 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 24.32153
R-squared 0.99108
Log-lik.(n=543) -2469.89323 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:37:30 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 543
Sample: 1 to 543
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 9.2997e-01 1.6817e-02 55.2977 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 2.1156e-14 3.4853e-14 0.6070 0.5441446
pop 3.0725e-08 3.9137e-08 0.7851 0.4328121
idAUT -1.0026e+00 5.6324e+00 -0.1780 0.8587965
idBEL -1.8616e+00 5.6282e+00 -0.3308 0.7409661
idBRA -8.6013e+00 9.8086e+00 -0.8769 0.3809818
idCAN -7.3158e-01 5.6252e+00 -0.1301 0.8965792
idCHE 3.1491e-01 5.6309e+00 0.0559 0.9554250
idCHN -2.3029e+01 5.0558e+01 -0.4555 0.6489602
idDEU 2.3486e+01 7.7609e+00 3.0261 0.0026135 **
idDNK -3.5027e+00 6.1480e+00 -0.5697 0.5691385
idESP -6.0799e-01 5.6775e+00 -0.1071 0.9147664
idFIN -2.0731e+00 5.6579e+00 -0.3664 0.7142308
idFRA 4.5678e+00 5.8915e+00 0.7753 0.4385413
idGBR 1.6337e-01 5.8301e+00 0.0280 0.9776568
idIND -3.9905e+01 4.6351e+01 -0.8609 0.3897159
idISR 7.0521e-01 5.7656e+00 0.1223 0.9027039
idITA 9.9298e-02 5.7939e+00 0.0171 0.9863335
idJPN 2.7484e+01 1.8095e+01 1.5189 0.1294653
idKOR -1.3353e+01 3.3785e+01 -0.3952 0.6928539
idNLD 6.6549e-01 5.6093e+00 0.1186 0.9056104
idNOR -2.4938e+00 5.6646e+00 -0.4403 0.6599592
idRUS -8.9432e+00 7.5694e+00 -1.1815 0.2380054
idSGP -3.6181e+00 6.2577e+00 -0.5782 0.5634249
idSWE -1.7627e+00 5.6410e+00 -0.3125 0.7548166
idUSA 2.6319e+01 1.2819e+01 2.0532 0.0406076 *
time1996 -3.4537e+00 6.1746e+00 -0.5593 0.5761966
time1997 -3.3936e+00 6.1660e+00 -0.5504 0.5823282
time1998 -3.0531e-01 5.7909e+00 -0.0527 0.9579759
time1999 2.4924e+00 5.7822e+00 0.4311 0.6666251
time2000 1.6219e+00 5.7102e+00 0.2840 0.7765056
time2001 -7.6159e-01 5.7808e+00 -0.1317 0.8952424
time2002 -3.3754e+00 5.7161e+00 -0.5905 0.5551427
time2003 2.7373e+00 5.7197e+00 0.4786 0.6324699
time2004 5.2434e+00 5.6678e+00 0.9251 0.3553777
time2005 1.1885e+01 5.6830e+00 2.0913 0.0370383 *
time2006 9.9327e+00 5.7164e+00 1.7376 0.0829443 .
time2007 9.2206e+00 5.7600e+00 1.6008 0.1100966
time2008 1.9820e+01 5.8199e+00 3.4056 0.0007171 ***
time2009 2.5560e+01 5.7654e+00 4.4334 1.157e-05 ***
time2010 3.5393e+00 5.9332e+00 0.5965 0.5511151
time2011 3.4566e+00 5.9718e+00 0.5788 0.5629919
time2012 -2.0168e+00 5.9591e+00 -0.3384 0.7351845
time2013 -1.5106e+00 5.8783e+00 -0.2570 0.7973044
time2014 -9.0664e+00 5.8211e+00 -1.5575 0.1200288
time2015 -2.0242e+00 5.7975e+00 -0.3492 0.7271312
time2016 4.3093e+00 5.8300e+00 0.7392 0.4601783
time2017 2.4783e+00 5.8320e+00 0.4250 0.6710676
time2018 -5.8054e-01 5.8812e+00 -0.0987 0.9214102
time2019 -3.6148e+00 5.9066e+00 -0.6120 0.5408394
fesisCHN.2015 1.7251e+02 1.2893e+01 13.3794 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisCHN.2019 -3.8258e+02 2.3418e+01 -16.3374 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2007 1.5315e+02 1.5710e+01 9.7483 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2009 -9.1225e+01 1.8869e+01 -4.8347 1.812e-06 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -2.3555e+02 1.8152e+01 -12.9766 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2014 1.3445e+02 1.7172e+01 7.8296 3.301e-14 ***
fesisJPN.2008 2.4412e+02 2.0854e+01 11.7059 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2009 1.9115e+02 2.5561e+01 7.4782 3.749e-13 ***
fesisJPN.2011 -4.2541e+02 2.6320e+01 -16.1630 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2012 -2.7405e+02 2.8089e+01 -9.7565 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2013 1.6700e+02 2.4038e+01 6.9472 1.254e-11 ***
fesisKOR.2007 1.3868e+02 1.8290e+01 7.5820 1.845e-13 ***
fesisKOR.2012 -1.6017e+02 1.5807e+01 -10.1329 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2016 2.5978e+02 2.2690e+01 11.4491 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2017 -3.7515e+02 2.8349e+01 -13.2332 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2018 2.0215e+02 2.8298e+01 7.1437 3.500e-12 ***
fesisKOR.2019 -1.7568e+02 2.8151e+01 -6.2406 9.771e-10 ***
fesisUSA.2006 2.1634e+02 1.6379e+01 13.2089 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2008 1.5689e+02 2.4878e+01 6.3065 6.614e-10 ***
fesisUSA.2009 -2.2633e+02 2.5389e+01 -8.9144 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2011 -2.4093e+02 1.7276e+01 -13.9455 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2015 1.6398e+02 2.2837e+01 7.1806 2.747e-12 ***
fesisUSA.2016 -2.0838e+02 2.4310e+01 -8.5717 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2018 1.7697e+02 2.4663e+01 7.1754 2.842e-12 ***
fesisUSA.2019 -1.7481e+02 2.8116e+01 -6.2176 1.119e-09 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 10.451 1 0.001226 **
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 51.925 1 5.766e-13 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 19.41986
R-squared 0.99441
Log-lik.(n=543) -2343.68247 Log Count
0
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:37:36 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 567
Sample: 1 to 567
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
lgdp 1.91617 0.15526 12.3416 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop 0.21858 0.53716 0.4069 0.6842487
idAUT 2.72000 0.45511 5.9766 4.345e-09 ***
idBEL 1.47523 0.31897 4.6249 4.782e-06 ***
idBRA -5.63887 1.16021 -4.8602 1.574e-06 ***
idCAN -1.22294 0.28631 -4.2714 2.327e-05 ***
idCHE 2.10500 0.50054 4.2055 3.090e-05 ***
idCHN -6.98665 2.04835 -3.4109 0.0007002 ***
idDEU -0.06429 0.72118 -0.0891 0.9290017
idDNK -2.21456 0.73499 -3.0130 0.0027181 **
idESP -0.28484 0.47363 -0.6014 0.5478424
idFIN 2.91207 0.65733 4.4302 1.159e-05 ***
idFRA -1.46038 0.62130 -2.3505 0.0191359 *
idGBR -0.65326 0.60455 -1.0806 0.2804121
idIND -9.78137 1.95635 -4.9998 7.964e-07 ***
idISR 0.27984 0.52862 0.5294 0.5967752
idITA -2.25168 0.60230 -3.7385 0.0002066 ***
idJPN -9.31351 0.95182 -9.7849 < 2.2e-16 ***
idKOR -13.15272 0.89612 -14.6773 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 0.33141 0.29594 1.1198 0.2633242
idNOR -3.14172 0.83845 -3.7471 0.0001999 ***
idRUS -9.33469 0.95416 -9.7831 < 2.2e-16 ***
idSGP 1.17339 0.68676 1.7086 0.0881498 .
idSWE -2.69665 0.52357 -5.1505 3.750e-07 ***
idUSA -3.16973 1.30748 -2.4243 0.0156929 *
time1995 -54.55640 7.72051 -7.0664 5.391e-12 ***
time1996 -54.30391 7.72260 -7.0318 6.759e-12 ***
time1997 -54.36731 7.71961 -7.0428 6.294e-12 ***
time1998 -54.25129 7.72283 -7.0248 7.076e-12 ***
time1999 -54.07705 7.72254 -7.0025 8.181e-12 ***
time2000 -54.06930 7.72655 -6.9979 8.431e-12 ***
time2001 -53.97578 7.73269 -6.9802 9.454e-12 ***
time2002 -53.92449 7.73622 -6.9704 1.008e-11 ***
time2003 -53.63856 7.73996 -6.9301 1.307e-11 ***
time2004 -53.61564 7.74021 -6.9269 1.334e-11 ***
time2005 -53.41580 7.74360 -6.8981 1.607e-11 ***
time2006 -53.29656 7.74701 -6.8796 1.808e-11 ***
time2007 -52.95036 7.75097 -6.8314 2.460e-11 ***
time2008 -52.66388 7.75608 -6.7900 3.202e-11 ***
time2009 -52.36144 7.76037 -6.7473 4.196e-11 ***
time2010 -52.42020 7.76367 -6.7520 4.073e-11 ***
time2011 -52.49198 7.76676 -6.7585 3.908e-11 ***
time2012 -52.58681 7.77120 -6.7669 3.707e-11 ***
time2013 -52.90922 7.77518 -6.8049 2.913e-11 ***
time2014 -53.05264 7.77844 -6.8205 2.638e-11 ***
time2015 -53.19128 7.78176 -6.8354 2.399e-11 ***
time2016 -53.22962 7.78619 -6.8364 2.384e-11 ***
time2017 -53.30387 7.78906 -6.8434 2.279e-11 ***
time2018 -53.40236 7.79180 -6.8537 2.135e-11 ***
time2019 -53.62830 7.79442 -6.8803 1.800e-11 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -0.83932 0.15234 -5.5094 5.782e-08 ***
fesisAUT.1998 -0.62838 0.22433 -2.8012 0.0052891 **
fesisAUT.2016 -0.50994 0.19635 -2.5971 0.0096788 **
fesisBRA.2014 1.16695 0.19720 5.9174 6.089e-09 ***
fesisCHE.2001 -0.81184 0.16948 -4.7901 2.203e-06 ***
fesisCHN.2016 0.95972 0.22746 4.2194 2.911e-05 ***
fesisESP.2001 -0.80089 0.22987 -3.4841 0.0005375 ***
fesisESP.2005 1.05958 0.20101 5.2714 2.021e-07 ***
fesisFIN.1997 -1.26758 0.27128 -4.6726 3.833e-06 ***
fesisFIN.2012 0.76580 0.15731 4.8681 1.515e-06 ***
fesisFRA.2001 0.65387 0.17978 3.6371 0.0003045 ***
fesisFRA.2013 0.47032 0.16931 2.7779 0.0056774 **
fesisITA.2000 1.45261 0.18307 7.9346 1.406e-14 ***
fesisKOR.2004 0.79266 0.21492 3.6882 0.0002507 ***
fesisKOR.2008 0.83751 0.20604 4.0648 5.585e-05 ***
fesisNLD.1997 1.26690 0.29204 4.3381 1.741e-05 ***
fesisNLD.2003 -0.67259 0.17068 -3.9406 9.290e-05 ***
fesisRUS.2005 -0.90428 0.17396 -5.1983 2.940e-07 ***
fesisSWE.2002 -0.56434 0.16060 -3.5141 0.0004815 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.2461 1 0.264293
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 9.7850 1 0.001759 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.34575
R-squared 0.96024
Log-lik.(n=567) -167.86490 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:37:34 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 567
Sample: 1 to 567
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
lgdp 1.608472 0.192600 8.3513 7.032e-16 ***
lpop 1.737957 0.573647 3.0297 0.0025781 **
idAUT 3.577969 0.442071 8.0937 4.644e-15 ***
idBEL 2.042518 0.310796 6.5719 1.278e-10 ***
idBRA -8.743069 1.206972 -7.2438 1.713e-12 ***
idCAN -1.894848 0.291441 -6.5016 1.968e-10 ***
idCHE 3.338444 0.503595 6.6292 8.959e-11 ***
idCHN -12.772001 2.139015 -5.9710 4.545e-09 ***
idDEU -1.970408 0.746715 -2.6388 0.0085868 **
idDNK -0.121576 0.790212 -0.1539 0.8777899
idESP -1.529124 0.505517 -3.0249 0.0026185 **
idFIN 4.246535 0.644132 6.5927 1.124e-10 ***
idFRA -3.319173 0.655629 -5.0626 5.872e-07 ***
idGBR -2.277267 0.635422 -3.5839 0.0003726 ***
idIND -14.748416 1.982075 -7.4409 4.546e-13 ***
idISR 1.711456 0.546545 3.1314 0.0018441 **
idITA -4.750703 0.688893 -6.8961 1.662e-11 ***
idJPN -10.280238 0.985476 -10.4318 < 2.2e-16 ***
idKOR -12.492041 1.053672 -11.8557 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 0.359416 0.277638 1.2946 0.1960877
idNOR -0.093307 0.945545 -0.0987 0.9214325
idRUS -11.277200 0.942224 -11.9687 < 2.2e-16 ***
idSGP 3.552450 0.754823 4.7063 3.290e-06 ***
idSWE -2.386553 0.649080 -3.6768 0.0002624 ***
idUSA -6.759230 1.322074 -5.1126 4.571e-07 ***
time1995 -71.377161 7.651322 -9.3287 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1996 -71.299490 7.653440 -9.3160 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1997 -71.335152 7.649756 -9.3252 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1998 -71.171449 7.652262 -9.3007 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1999 -71.019595 7.654378 -9.2783 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2000 -71.000105 7.657498 -9.2720 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2001 -70.851840 7.660525 -9.2490 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2002 -70.798124 7.663864 -9.2379 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2003 -70.517329 7.667403 -9.1970 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2004 -70.552746 7.670538 -9.1979 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2005 -70.378573 7.673216 -9.1720 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2006 -70.249142 7.673829 -9.1544 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2007 -69.903377 7.677592 -9.1049 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2008 -69.620708 7.682463 -9.0623 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2009 -69.365062 7.687348 -9.0233 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2010 -69.422622 7.690454 -9.0271 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2011 -69.496281 7.693426 -9.0332 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2012 -69.600556 7.697738 -9.0417 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2013 -69.927878 7.701461 -9.0798 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2014 -70.066504 7.704631 -9.0941 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2015 -70.192915 7.708248 -9.1062 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2016 -70.258595 7.712086 -9.1102 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2017 -70.333877 7.714824 -9.1167 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2018 -70.458607 7.717354 -9.1299 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2019 -70.687475 7.719901 -9.1565 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -0.903230 0.140988 -6.4064 3.511e-10 ***
fesisAUT.1998 -0.578825 0.206128 -2.8081 0.0051834 **
fesisAUT.2015 -0.408332 0.164614 -2.4805 0.0134545 *
fesisBRA.2014 0.944544 0.201658 4.6839 3.654e-06 ***
fesisBRA.2018 0.590120 0.278114 2.1219 0.0343521 *
fesisCHE.2001 -0.836998 0.155030 -5.3989 1.048e-07 ***
fesisCHN.2004 0.645357 0.206254 3.1289 0.0018593 **
fesisCHN.2016 1.001854 0.208631 4.8020 2.092e-06 ***
fesisESP.2001 -0.843349 0.209036 -4.0345 6.351e-05 ***
fesisESP.2005 1.065699 0.183766 5.7992 1.198e-08 ***
fesisFIN.1997 -1.173438 0.248626 -4.7197 3.090e-06 ***
fesisFIN.2012 0.822669 0.143337 5.7394 1.670e-08 ***
fesisFRA.1998 0.670426 0.213372 3.1420 0.0017797 **
fesisFRA.2009 0.635290 0.139216 4.5634 6.378e-06 ***
fesisITA.1996 1.669979 0.396903 4.2075 3.073e-05 ***
fesisITA.1998 -1.005204 0.323284 -3.1093 0.0019846 **
fesisITA.2000 1.303985 0.263124 4.9558 9.952e-07 ***
fesisITA.2006 0.630438 0.161554 3.9023 0.0001087 ***
fesisKOR.2004 0.880521 0.197556 4.4571 1.032e-05 ***
fesisKOR.2008 0.661979 0.216368 3.0595 0.0023390 **
fesisKOR.2013 0.446672 0.189168 2.3612 0.0186056 *
fesisNLD.1997 1.289381 0.266653 4.8354 1.783e-06 ***
fesisNLD.2003 -0.619414 0.155598 -3.9809 7.911e-05 ***
fesisNOR.1998 -0.722888 0.203367 -3.5546 0.0004154 ***
fesisRUS.2005 -0.638417 0.169389 -3.7689 0.0001840 ***
fesisSGP.2006 -0.834021 0.197808 -4.2163 2.960e-05 ***
fesisSWE.1996 1.317220 0.351483 3.7476 0.0001999 ***
fesisSWE.2002 -0.692486 0.154598 -4.4793 9.338e-06 ***
fesisUSA.2005 0.414656 0.134965 3.0723 0.0022426 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.4739 1 0.4912
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 3.9419 1 0.0471 *
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.31401
R-squared 0.96787
Log-lik.(n=567) -108.25784 1
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:38:15 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 543
Sample: 1 to 543
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.3547216 0.0374694 9.4670 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 1.4440402 0.1608944 8.9751 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -0.7780164 0.5799898 -1.3414 0.1804188
idAUT 0.8161609 0.4935676 1.6536 0.0988678 .
idBEL 0.6229462 0.3664563 1.6999 0.0897980 .
idBRA -1.8322845 1.2991624 -1.4104 0.1590857
idCAN 0.0042902 0.4597921 0.0093 0.9925591
idCHE 0.2166703 0.5389124 0.4021 0.6878266
idCHN -1.1690404 2.3041804 -0.5074 0.6121393
idDEU 1.0824492 0.7976391 1.3571 0.1754019
idDNK -2.6929258 0.7882039 -3.4165 0.0006885 ***
idESP 0.2292170 0.4929404 0.4650 0.6421440
idFIN 0.4380039 0.7230724 0.6058 0.5449663
idFRA 0.4735368 0.6691197 0.7077 0.4794765
idGBR 0.5359955 0.6593300 0.8129 0.4166582
idIND -3.3524928 2.2470796 -1.4919 0.1363777
idISR -0.6188883 0.5761463 -1.0742 0.2832824
idITA 0.1422775 0.6884351 0.2067 0.8363573
idJPN -5.5801108 1.1334339 -4.9232 1.175e-06 ***
idKOR -9.1363961 1.0303474 -8.8673 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD -0.3427908 0.3980686 -0.8611 0.3895963
idNOR -3.5255665 0.8918478 -3.9531 8.883e-05 ***
idRUS -4.8413896 1.1596378 -4.1749 3.544e-05 ***
idSGP 0.3642548 0.8614775 0.4228 0.6726130
idSWE -2.4085088 0.5541924 -4.3460 1.696e-05 ***
idUSA -0.0704358 1.4814198 -0.0475 0.9620978
time1996 -25.2299459 9.1590430 -2.7546 0.0061001 **
time1997 -25.3421418 9.1593238 -2.7668 0.0058806 **
time1998 -25.3495273 9.1548778 -2.7690 0.0058425 **
time1999 -25.1405275 9.1600123 -2.7446 0.0062871 **
time2000 -25.2080972 9.1606929 -2.7518 0.0061532 **
time2001 -25.1212940 9.1637150 -2.7414 0.0063478 **
time2002 -25.1351914 9.1669876 -2.7419 0.0063376 **
time2003 -24.9543830 9.1700095 -2.7213 0.0067403 **
time2004 -25.0025605 9.1731488 -2.7256 0.0066540 **
time2005 -24.7875170 9.1743450 -2.7018 0.0071416 **
time2006 -24.6347040 9.1761743 -2.6846 0.0075136 **
time2007 -24.4069368 9.1763652 -2.6598 0.0080828 **
time2008 -24.2120624 9.1780573 -2.6380 0.0086112 **
time2009 -24.0410093 9.1790778 -2.6191 0.0090967 **
time2010 -24.1655772 9.1814855 -2.6320 0.0087637 **
time2011 -24.2248476 9.1853941 -2.6373 0.0086291 **
time2012 -24.2672325 9.1897804 -2.6407 0.0085454 **
time2013 -24.5424925 9.1942774 -2.6693 0.0078596 **
time2014 -24.5625605 9.2010337 -2.6695 0.0078545 **
time2015 -24.6664440 9.2056205 -2.6795 0.0076282 **
time2016 -24.6331773 9.2107448 -2.6744 0.0077434 **
time2017 -24.6967268 9.2143745 -2.6802 0.0076116 **
time2018 -24.7708250 9.2181628 -2.6872 0.0074576 **
time2019 -24.9643768 9.2219489 -2.7071 0.0070317 **
fesisAUS.2005 -0.5167971 0.1630463 -3.1696 0.0016244 **
fesisBRA.2014 0.9112489 0.2099930 4.3394 1.745e-05 ***
fesisCAN.1997 -1.5568695 0.5103759 -3.0504 0.0024123 **
fesisCAN.1998 2.0966127 0.5109456 4.1034 4.788e-05 ***
fesisCAN.1999 -2.1419032 0.5103000 -4.1973 3.222e-05 ***
fesisCAN.2000 1.2741595 0.3684217 3.4584 0.0005920 ***
fesisESP.2003 0.5292330 0.1646135 3.2150 0.0013929 **
fesisITA.1998 -1.4437876 0.4418128 -3.2679 0.0011618 **
fesisITA.1999 1.6986823 0.3694977 4.5973 5.489e-06 ***
fesisKOR.2003 0.9624220 0.1718988 5.5988 3.649e-08 ***
fesisNLD.1997 1.9218698 0.4416570 4.3515 1.655e-05 ***
fesisNLD.1999 -0.9635198 0.2673234 -3.6043 0.0003459 ***
fesisRUS.2004 -0.8378823 0.1888332 -4.4372 1.133e-05 ***
fesisSGP.2006 -2.3336478 0.4137373 -5.6404 2.911e-08 ***
fesisSGP.2007 1.7372495 0.3797533 4.5747 6.088e-06 ***
fesisSWE.2001 -0.6066716 0.1822871 -3.3281 0.0009420 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 8.0224 1 0.004620 **
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 8.5047 1 0.003542 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.34922
R-squared 0.95756
Log-lik.(n=543) -166.22402 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:38:11 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 543
Sample: 1 to 543
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.271783 0.036960 7.3534 9.120e-13 ***
lgdp 1.446247 0.164500 8.7918 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -0.253025 0.553837 -0.4569 0.6479923
idAUT 1.827718 0.494005 3.6998 0.0002423 ***
idBEL 0.894643 0.330206 2.7094 0.0069971 **
idBRA -3.254428 1.232110 -2.6413 0.0085433 **
idCAN -0.236147 0.412925 -0.5719 0.5676822
idCHE 0.727193 0.497819 1.4608 0.1447752
idCHN -3.463998 2.157265 -1.6057 0.1090288
idDEU 0.510855 0.744447 0.6862 0.4929251
idDNK -1.380320 0.804742 -1.7152 0.0869862 .
idESP 0.039667 0.478583 0.0829 0.9339795
idFIN 1.952625 0.719423 2.7142 0.0068981 **
idFRA -0.577215 0.640966 -0.9005 0.3683119
idGBR -0.018507 0.623729 -0.0297 0.9763424
idIND -5.586413 2.086663 -2.6772 0.0076935 **
idISR -0.121614 0.538744 -0.2257 0.8215090
idITA -0.500337 0.645553 -0.7751 0.4387139
idJPN -6.323512 1.036035 -6.1036 2.230e-09 ***
idKOR -9.571805 1.000560 -9.5664 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD -0.229588 0.350606 -0.6548 0.5129082
idNOR -2.518533 0.897917 -2.8049 0.0052504 **
idRUS -6.083992 1.062703 -5.7250 1.885e-08 ***
idSGP 0.971015 0.786583 1.2345 0.2176664
idSWE -2.090097 0.536054 -3.8990 0.0001112 ***
idUSA -2.155170 1.380208 -1.5615 0.1191084
time1996 -33.991599 8.375463 -4.0585 5.818e-05 ***
time1997 -34.034485 8.373467 -4.0646 5.673e-05 ***
time1998 -33.946760 8.367974 -4.0567 5.859e-05 ***
time1999 -33.844103 8.372260 -4.0424 6.216e-05 ***
time2000 -33.828975 8.372790 -4.0403 6.269e-05 ***
time2001 -33.743841 8.374855 -4.0292 6.564e-05 ***
time2002 -33.722395 8.377004 -4.0256 6.661e-05 ***
time2003 -33.522114 8.378811 -4.0008 7.372e-05 ***
time2004 -33.591307 8.381339 -4.0079 7.163e-05 ***
time2005 -33.358871 8.382326 -3.9797 8.035e-05 ***
time2006 -33.230786 8.382537 -3.9643 8.552e-05 ***
time2007 -32.987831 8.382069 -3.9355 9.606e-05 ***
time2008 -32.764625 8.382637 -3.9086 0.0001070 ***
time2009 -32.584153 8.383490 -3.8867 0.0001168 ***
time2010 -32.712072 8.385645 -3.9010 0.0001103 ***
time2011 -32.773251 8.389066 -3.9067 0.0001079 ***
time2012 -32.847807 8.394026 -3.9132 0.0001050 ***
time2013 -33.129762 8.398188 -3.9449 9.250e-05 ***
time2014 -33.180049 8.405123 -3.9476 9.149e-05 ***
time2015 -33.296656 8.410501 -3.9589 8.739e-05 ***
time2016 -33.275465 8.415369 -3.9541 8.911e-05 ***
time2017 -33.340322 8.418516 -3.9604 8.689e-05 ***
time2018 -33.419220 8.421938 -3.9681 8.421e-05 ***
time2019 -33.623269 8.426610 -3.9901 7.700e-05 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -0.555033 0.144399 -3.8437 0.0001385 ***
fesisAUT.1998 -1.468500 0.384238 -3.8219 0.0001510 ***
fesisAUT.1999 0.949339 0.323942 2.9306 0.0035543 **
fesisAUT.2015 -0.527633 0.174173 -3.0294 0.0025909 **
fesisAUT.2019 0.874383 0.346774 2.5215 0.0120283 *
fesisBRA.2014 1.009893 0.183286 5.5099 6.032e-08 ***
fesisCAN.1997 -1.557361 0.444237 -3.5057 0.0005008 ***
fesisCAN.1998 1.889304 0.445960 4.2365 2.752e-05 ***
fesisCAN.1999 -1.900843 0.443770 -4.2834 2.249e-05 ***
fesisCAN.2000 1.165477 0.342147 3.4064 0.0007170 ***
fesisCAN.2005 -0.801021 0.340715 -2.3510 0.0191508 *
fesisCAN.2006 0.901049 0.321376 2.8037 0.0052686 **
fesisCHN.2015 0.640035 0.195328 3.2767 0.0011309 **
fesisDNK.2003 -1.253809 0.380949 -3.2913 0.0010753 **
fesisDNK.2005 0.525533 0.234897 2.2373 0.0257532 *
fesisESP.2001 -0.939299 0.262447 -3.5790 0.0003821 ***
fesisESP.2003 1.230680 0.235564 5.2244 2.670e-07 ***
fesisFIN.1997 -1.619859 0.443855 -3.6495 0.0002933 ***
fesisFIN.1998 0.932528 0.386770 2.4111 0.0163031 *
fesisFIN.2000 -1.278080 0.380741 -3.3568 0.0008549 ***
fesisFIN.2001 0.758636 0.325705 2.3292 0.0202865 *
fesisFIN.2012 0.641787 0.147899 4.3394 1.764e-05 ***
fesisFRA.2001 0.393133 0.180635 2.1764 0.0300418 *
fesisFRA.2009 0.391037 0.146609 2.6672 0.0079224 **
fesisITA.1998 -1.481257 0.385718 -3.8403 0.0001404 ***
fesisITA.1999 1.826192 0.322572 5.6613 2.670e-08 ***
fesisKOR.2004 0.803085 0.173928 4.6173 5.071e-06 ***
fesisKOR.2010 0.503543 0.165426 3.0439 0.0024711 **
fesisNLD.1997 1.847600 0.385011 4.7988 2.171e-06 ***
fesisNLD.1999 -0.897053 0.233827 -3.8364 0.0001426 ***
fesisNOR.1998 -1.145496 0.384294 -2.9808 0.0030299 **
fesisNOR.1999 1.024357 0.360904 2.8383 0.0047391 **
fesisNOR.2002 -1.397569 0.358596 -3.8973 0.0001119 ***
fesisNOR.2003 1.134993 0.320810 3.5379 0.0004449 ***
fesisRUS.2004 -0.691433 0.169272 -4.0847 5.218e-05 ***
fesisRUS.2019 -0.795140 0.321921 -2.4700 0.0138793 *
fesisSGP.2006 -2.246684 0.359074 -6.2569 9.107e-10 ***
fesisSGP.2007 1.664899 0.330047 5.0444 6.595e-07 ***
fesisSWE.2001 -0.608701 0.160524 -3.7920 0.0001697 ***
fesisUSA.1997 0.904218 0.325018 2.7821 0.0056270 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 3.9485 1 0.04691 *
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 3.5989 1 0.05782 .
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.30275
R-squared 0.96971
Log-lik.(n=543) -76.68418 Wind
with IIS
Count
AR 0
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.01; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:14:02 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 624
Sample: 1 to 624
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp 2.4440e-14 7.0064e-15 3.4883 0.0005268 ***
pop 1.6209e-07 3.2074e-08 5.0535 5.995e-07 ***
idAUT -8.3594e+00 4.4222e+00 -1.8903 0.0592628 .
idBEL -9.6979e+00 4.4137e+00 -2.1972 0.0284405 *
idBRA -2.8950e+01 7.1852e+00 -4.0292 6.424e-05 ***
idCAN -5.3051e+00 4.3998e+00 -1.2057 0.2284572
idCHE -5.5226e-02 5.1236e+00 -0.0108 0.9914042
idCHN -1.9153e+02 4.1308e+01 -4.6366 4.473e-06 ***
idDEU 7.7010e+01 6.3175e+00 12.1900 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDNK 2.0082e+02 5.9922e+00 33.5138 < 2.2e-16 ***
idESP 1.3066e+01 4.4358e+00 2.9455 0.0033674 **
idFIN -1.3161e-01 5.1290e+00 -0.0257 0.9795381
idFRA -4.8256e+00 4.5678e+00 -1.0564 0.2912484
idGBR 1.8030e+01 4.5517e+00 3.9612 8.484e-05 ***
idIND -1.7221e+02 3.3780e+01 -5.0981 4.794e-07 ***
idISR -3.1768e-01 5.0183e+00 -0.0633 0.9495483
idITA -9.6439e+00 4.5245e+00 -2.1315 0.0335128 *
idJPN -2.0583e+00 6.8241e+00 -0.3016 0.7630603
idKOR -2.1797e+01 9.8426e+00 -2.2146 0.0272157 *
idNLD 1.3483e+00 4.3990e+00 0.3065 0.7593458
idNOR -6.0698e+00 4.4362e+00 -1.3682 0.1718235
idRUS -2.4256e+01 6.5408e+00 -3.7084 0.0002308 ***
idSGP -7.2670e+00 4.4374e+00 -1.6377 0.1020855
idSWE 3.0818e+00 5.1200e+00 0.6019 0.5474945
idUSA -2.8595e+01 1.0044e+01 -2.8471 0.0045849 **
time1995 -2.0933e+00 4.4131e+00 -0.4743 0.6354624
time1996 -2.0229e+00 4.4175e+00 -0.4579 0.6471925
time1997 -2.1081e+00 4.4228e+00 -0.4766 0.6338101
time1998 -2.6991e+00 4.4293e+00 -0.6094 0.5425367
time1999 -7.6441e-01 4.4355e+00 -0.1723 0.8632355
time2000 -1.3032e+00 4.4116e+00 -0.2954 0.7678078
time2001 1.4817e+00 4.4190e+00 0.3353 0.7375204
time2002 1.8224e+00 4.4268e+00 0.4117 0.6807389
time2003 3.6585e+00 4.4350e+00 0.8249 0.4097884
time2004 1.9452e+00 4.4491e+00 0.4372 0.6621425
time2005 3.0068e+00 4.4581e+00 0.6745 0.5003176
time2006 1.0854e+01 4.4199e+00 2.4557 0.0143835 *
time2007 1.6152e+01 4.5069e+00 3.5839 0.0003699 ***
time2008 2.6827e+01 4.6392e+00 5.7827 1.262e-08 ***
time2009 3.6054e+01 4.6454e+00 7.7612 4.413e-14 ***
time2010 3.6873e+01 4.7318e+00 7.7926 3.531e-14 ***
time2011 3.8486e+01 4.7412e+00 8.1173 3.400e-15 ***
time2012 3.2211e+01 4.7193e+00 6.8254 2.424e-11 ***
time2013 2.6809e+01 4.7275e+00 5.6708 2.347e-08 ***
time2014 2.4979e+01 4.7078e+00 5.3059 1.655e-07 ***
time2015 2.1181e+01 4.7188e+00 4.4886 8.813e-06 ***
time2016 2.1369e+01 4.7015e+00 4.5452 6.816e-06 ***
time2017 2.2875e+01 4.7003e+00 4.8666 1.503e-06 ***
time2018 1.6569e+01 4.7414e+00 3.4946 0.0005148 ***
time2019 1.2778e+01 4.7191e+00 2.7076 0.0069970 **
time2020 1.6988e+01 4.7245e+00 3.5958 0.0003539 ***
iis183 -8.1713e+01 1.3944e+01 -5.8602 8.162e-09 ***
iis184 -7.0155e+01 1.3942e+01 -5.0318 6.680e-07 ***
iis185 -7.6257e+01 1.3941e+01 -5.4700 6.970e-08 ***
iis186 -5.2670e+01 1.3940e+01 -3.7782 0.0001760 ***
iis187 -4.2114e+01 1.3939e+01 -3.0212 0.0026402 **
iis198 1.2388e+02 1.3689e+01 9.0502 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis199 1.2886e+02 1.3688e+01 9.4142 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis200 9.5280e+01 1.3675e+01 6.9675 9.684e-12 ***
iis206 6.7595e+01 1.3665e+01 4.9467 1.017e-06 ***
iis209 -1.9461e+02 1.3885e+01 -14.0166 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis210 -1.9652e+02 1.3881e+01 -14.1573 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis211 -1.9661e+02 1.3879e+01 -14.1663 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis212 -1.8052e+02 1.3877e+01 -13.0085 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis213 -1.8446e+02 1.3875e+01 -13.2948 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis214 -1.8693e+02 1.3862e+01 -13.4847 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis215 -1.8672e+02 1.3861e+01 -13.4709 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis216 -1.7756e+02 1.3859e+01 -12.8118 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis217 -1.8440e+02 1.3858e+01 -13.3063 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis218 -1.8719e+02 1.3859e+01 -13.5062 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis219 -1.7859e+02 1.3858e+01 -12.8864 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis220 -1.5061e+02 1.3858e+01 -10.8677 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis221 -8.7241e+01 1.3839e+01 -6.3037 6.155e-10 ***
iis224 5.7692e+01 1.3844e+01 4.1674 3.602e-05 ***
iis225 5.9659e+01 1.3843e+01 4.3096 1.952e-05 ***
iis227 -6.2588e+01 1.3829e+01 -4.5258 7.448e-06 ***
iis228 -6.7097e+01 1.3817e+01 -4.8560 1.582e-06 ***
iis229 -5.6807e+01 1.3817e+01 -4.1113 4.565e-05 ***
iis611 4.5387e+01 1.3952e+01 3.2530 0.0012153 **
iis612 9.6915e+01 1.3934e+01 6.9554 1.048e-11 ***
iis613 1.9655e+02 1.3933e+01 14.1069 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis614 2.0174e+02 1.3955e+01 14.4559 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis615 1.1870e+02 1.3955e+01 8.5063 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis616 6.4679e+01 1.3941e+01 4.6396 4.412e-06 ***
iis617 1.0372e+02 1.3940e+01 7.4405 4.115e-13 ***
fesisAUS.2008 -2.1913e+01 5.2098e+00 -4.2062 3.053e-05 ***
fesisBRA.2007 -2.5878e+01 5.2504e+00 -4.9287 1.111e-06 ***
fesisCHE.2007 -1.8406e+01 5.2351e+00 -3.5158 0.0004763 ***
fesisCHN.2017 7.1563e+01 7.6893e+00 9.3068 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2007 9.0059e+01 6.5029e+00 13.8491 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisFIN.2007 -2.0408e+01 5.2364e+00 -3.8973 0.0001098 ***
fesisIND.2006 -4.2301e+01 8.7788e+00 -4.8185 1.895e-06 ***
fesisISR.2008 -2.0649e+01 5.2133e+00 -3.9608 8.500e-05 ***
fesisJPN.2010 5.4505e+01 5.2492e+00 10.3835 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -1.8904e+01 5.2302e+00 -3.6145 0.0003299 ***
fesisSWE.2007 -1.9487e+01 5.2348e+00 -3.7225 0.0002185 ***
fesisUSA.2004 5.9705e+01 8.7021e+00 6.8610 1.928e-11 ***
fesisUSA.2007 6.7209e+01 9.0778e+00 7.4036 5.296e-13 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 166.187 1 < 2.2e-16 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 94.357 1 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 12.75065
R-squared 0.96338
Log-lik.(n=624) -2424.86089 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.05; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:14:00 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 624
Sample: 1 to 624
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp 1.2636e-14 6.3011e-15 2.0053 0.0454536 *
pop 5.2841e-08 3.2724e-08 1.6147 0.1069816
idAUT -9.2148e-01 4.4993e+00 -0.2048 0.8378056
idBEL -2.1295e+00 4.3983e+00 -0.4842 0.6284753
idBRA -1.1460e+01 6.8224e+00 -1.6798 0.0936097 .
idCAN 1.1080e+00 4.2676e+00 0.2596 0.7952608
idCHE -1.1027e+00 4.5017e+00 -0.2450 0.8065885
idCHN -6.7299e+01 4.0721e+01 -1.6527 0.0990090 .
idDEU 8.7434e+01 5.8920e+00 14.8395 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDNK 1.7757e+02 7.4499e+00 23.8350 < 2.2e-16 ***
idESP 1.1053e+01 3.9523e+00 2.7966 0.0053580 **
idFIN -1.4069e+00 4.5082e+00 -0.3121 0.7551075
idFRA -4.6758e+00 4.1141e+00 -1.1365 0.2562670
idGBR 1.7972e+01 4.0947e+00 4.3890 1.383e-05 ***
idIND -5.9034e+01 3.4638e+01 -1.7043 0.0889314 .
idISR -1.7343e+00 4.4088e+00 -0.3934 0.6942082
idITA -1.0070e+01 4.0618e+00 -2.4792 0.0134893 *
idJPN 1.4523e+01 6.2931e+00 2.3078 0.0214071 *
idKOR -8.1621e+00 8.7433e+00 -0.9335 0.3509859
idNLD -3.6948e+00 3.8967e+00 -0.9482 0.3434859
idNOR -7.3454e-01 4.4151e+00 -0.1664 0.8679314
idRUS -9.5251e+00 6.1114e+00 -1.5586 0.1197114
idSGP -3.5356e+00 4.2234e+00 -0.8371 0.4029092
idSWE 2.2483e+00 4.4972e+00 0.4999 0.6173434
idUSA 6.5403e-02 9.8271e+00 0.0067 0.9946925
time1995 -1.0672e+00 3.8781e+00 -0.2752 0.7832773
time1996 -7.6317e-01 3.8834e+00 -0.1965 0.8442820
time1997 -6.2384e-01 3.8898e+00 -0.1604 0.8726480
time1998 -1.0471e+00 3.8976e+00 -0.2687 0.7882977
time1999 1.1214e+00 3.9050e+00 0.2872 0.7740996
time2000 1.7286e+00 3.9132e+00 0.4417 0.6588769
time2001 3.6443e+00 3.8962e+00 0.9353 0.3500505
time2002 4.1934e+00 3.9055e+00 1.0737 0.2834517
time2003 6.2177e+00 3.9152e+00 1.5881 0.1128813
time2004 4.6069e+00 3.9296e+00 1.1724 0.2415964
time2005 4.8427e+00 3.9183e+00 1.2359 0.2170576
time2006 1.1048e+01 3.9281e+00 2.8126 0.0051019 **
time2007 2.1634e+01 3.9888e+00 5.4239 9.000e-08 ***
time2008 3.6224e+01 4.1664e+00 8.6944 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2009 4.5578e+01 4.1722e+00 10.9244 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2010 4.6942e+01 4.2743e+00 10.9824 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2011 4.9988e+01 4.3096e+00 11.5992 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2012 4.4457e+01 4.2955e+00 10.3495 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2013 3.9031e+01 4.3013e+00 9.0743 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2014 3.6331e+01 4.3128e+00 8.4240 3.678e-16 ***
time2015 3.3896e+01 4.2996e+00 7.8835 1.926e-14 ***
time2016 3.1935e+01 4.3194e+00 7.3933 5.868e-13 ***
time2017 3.5036e+01 4.3349e+00 8.0824 4.589e-15 ***
time2018 3.0234e+01 4.3466e+00 6.9559 1.072e-11 ***
time2019 2.5591e+01 4.3375e+00 5.8999 6.612e-09 ***
time2020 2.9180e+01 4.3418e+00 6.7206 4.828e-11 ***
iis181 2.9495e+01 1.4005e+01 2.1060 0.0356913 *
iis182 4.6287e+01 1.4007e+01 3.3045 0.0010179 **
iis183 -8.4212e+01 1.2365e+01 -6.8105 2.730e-11 ***
iis184 -7.2862e+01 1.2363e+01 -5.8934 6.859e-09 ***
iis185 -7.9175e+01 1.2362e+01 -6.4048 3.407e-10 ***
iis186 -5.5753e+01 1.2361e+01 -4.5105 8.024e-06 ***
iis187 -4.5425e+01 1.2360e+01 -3.6753 0.0002626 ***
iis188 -2.4539e+01 1.2359e+01 -1.9856 0.0476148 *
iis198 1.3315e+02 1.2148e+01 10.9603 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis199 1.3653e+02 1.2148e+01 11.2393 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis200 1.0222e+02 1.2138e+01 8.4215 3.749e-16 ***
iis204 4.7223e+01 1.2129e+01 3.8934 0.0001119 ***
iis205 3.8054e+01 1.2135e+01 3.1359 0.0018114 **
iis206 7.3393e+01 1.2136e+01 6.0477 2.832e-09 ***
iis209 -1.7180e+02 1.3284e+01 -12.9330 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis210 -1.7394e+02 1.3282e+01 -13.0961 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis211 -1.7424e+02 1.3280e+01 -13.1210 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis212 -1.5832e+02 1.3280e+01 -11.9223 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis213 -1.6249e+02 1.3278e+01 -12.2377 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis214 -1.6610e+02 1.3277e+01 -12.5108 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis215 -1.6502e+02 1.3268e+01 -12.4373 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis216 -1.5607e+02 1.3267e+01 -11.7633 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis217 -1.6309e+02 1.3267e+01 -12.2929 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis218 -1.6598e+02 1.3269e+01 -12.5095 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis219 -1.5655e+02 1.3262e+01 -11.8052 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis220 -1.2693e+02 1.3261e+01 -9.5715 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis221 -6.8850e+01 1.3224e+01 -5.2064 2.791e-07 ***
iis224 7.1504e+01 1.3224e+01 5.4073 9.822e-08 ***
iis225 7.2041e+01 1.3225e+01 5.4474 7.945e-08 ***
iis227 -5.0922e+01 1.3215e+01 -3.8533 0.0001313 ***
iis228 -5.4557e+01 1.3216e+01 -4.1281 4.269e-05 ***
iis229 -4.5624e+01 1.3209e+01 -3.4540 0.0005981 ***
iis611 5.3386e+01 1.2390e+01 4.3087 1.969e-05 ***
iis612 1.0131e+02 1.2366e+01 8.1927 2.049e-15 ***
iis613 2.0110e+02 1.2365e+01 16.2641 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis614 2.0603e+02 1.2376e+01 16.6475 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis615 1.2182e+02 1.2373e+01 9.8450 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis616 6.7304e+01 1.2365e+01 5.4430 8.133e-08 ***
iis617 1.0661e+02 1.2361e+01 8.6246 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis618 2.7182e+01 1.2361e+01 2.1991 0.0283167 *
fesisAUS.2008 -3.0898e+01 4.6945e+00 -6.5819 1.150e-10 ***
fesisAUT.2007 -2.4832e+01 4.7163e+00 -5.2651 2.064e-07 ***
fesisBEL.2008 -2.6473e+01 4.6984e+00 -5.6345 2.899e-08 ***
fesisBRA.2007 -3.2348e+01 4.7542e+00 -6.8040 2.845e-11 ***
fesisCAN.2010 -2.2702e+01 4.7180e+00 -4.8117 1.970e-06 ***
fesisCHE.2007 -2.7599e+01 4.7157e+00 -5.8525 8.644e-09 ***
fesisCHN.2005 2.3444e+01 5.7248e+00 4.0951 4.903e-05 ***
fesisCHN.2017 4.6675e+01 8.8978e+00 5.2456 2.282e-07 ***
fesisDEU.2007 6.9268e+01 6.3162e+00 10.9666 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDNK.2016 1.9726e+01 8.3740e+00 2.3556 0.0188680 *
fesisFIN.2007 -2.9673e+01 4.7166e+00 -6.2911 6.761e-10 ***
fesisIND.2007 -2.4746e+01 8.6251e+00 -2.8690 0.0042871 **
fesisISR.2008 -2.9889e+01 4.6968e+00 -6.3637 4.370e-10 ***
fesisJPN.2010 4.6158e+01 4.7017e+00 9.8173 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisNOR.2008 -2.3248e+01 4.6984e+00 -4.9480 1.018e-06 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -2.8086e+01 4.7011e+00 -5.9744 4.322e-09 ***
fesisSGP.2011 -2.6154e+01 4.7759e+00 -5.4762 6.816e-08 ***
fesisSWE.2007 -2.8681e+01 4.7152e+00 -6.0826 2.313e-09 ***
fesisUSA.2004 6.1954e+01 7.6391e+00 8.1100 3.753e-15 ***
fesisUSA.2007 5.5919e+01 8.2592e+00 6.7706 3.519e-11 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 130.759 1 < 2.2e-16 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 92.863 1 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 11.1885
R-squared 0.9725
Log-lik.(n=624) -2336.8085 AR 1
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:13:52 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 8.5342e-01 1.4795e-02 57.6832 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 1.5547e-15 4.5875e-15 0.3389 0.7348269
pop 1.2380e-08 1.2640e-08 0.9794 0.3278280
idAUT 5.2975e-01 2.2602e+00 0.2344 0.8147815
idBEL 1.8499e-01 2.2582e+00 0.0819 0.9347404
idBRA -2.9602e+00 3.1160e+00 -0.9500 0.3425491
idCAN 1.0879e+00 2.2619e+00 0.4810 0.6307515
idCHE 7.4749e-03 2.2608e+00 0.0033 0.9973633
idCHN -9.3637e+00 1.6415e+01 -0.5704 0.5686383
idDEU 2.3182e+01 3.1818e+00 7.2859 1.199e-12 ***
idDNK 5.1423e+00 3.0318e+00 1.6961 0.0904609 .
idESP 3.5678e+00 2.3293e+00 1.5317 0.1262028
idFIN -3.4386e-01 2.2636e+00 -0.1519 0.8793186
idFRA 2.4798e+00 2.3237e+00 1.0672 0.2863859
idGBR 6.1119e+00 2.3691e+00 2.5799 0.0101579 *
idIND -1.3179e+01 1.5066e+01 -0.8747 0.3821231
idISR -2.2255e-01 2.2613e+00 -0.0984 0.9216379
idITA 9.7310e-01 2.3046e+00 0.4222 0.6730287
idJPN 9.3899e+00 3.6471e+00 2.5746 0.0103117 *
idKOR 2.5059e+00 6.3724e+00 0.3932 0.6943040
idNLD 2.9105e+00 2.2606e+00 1.2875 0.1984947
idNOR 1.4723e+00 2.2640e+00 0.6503 0.5157813
idRUS -1.9025e+00 2.7513e+00 -0.6915 0.4895520
idSGP 2.2475e-01 2.2641e+00 0.0993 0.9209634
idSWE 3.6912e-01 2.2595e+00 0.1634 0.8702959
idUSA 3.9416e+00 4.7358e+00 0.8323 0.4056257
time1996 -2.2927e+00 2.2728e+00 -1.0088 0.3135564
time1997 -3.0310e+00 2.2720e+00 -1.3341 0.1827604
time1998 -1.7524e+00 2.2733e+00 -0.7709 0.4411336
time1999 -3.1252e-01 2.2720e+00 -0.1376 0.8906478
time2000 -1.0602e+00 2.2699e+00 -0.4671 0.6406522
time2001 7.6339e-01 2.2696e+00 0.3364 0.7367421
time2002 -8.5545e-01 2.2687e+00 -0.3771 0.7062805
time2003 6.7844e-02 2.2695e+00 0.0299 0.9761635
time2004 -1.4352e+00 2.2756e+00 -0.6307 0.5285265
time2005 -5.6543e-01 2.2767e+00 -0.2484 0.8039573
time2006 4.3903e+00 2.2826e+00 1.9234 0.0549802 .
time2007 4.8390e+00 2.3218e+00 2.0841 0.0376365 *
time2008 8.4145e+00 2.3373e+00 3.6001 0.0003487 ***
time2009 1.0911e+01 2.3219e+00 4.6992 3.351e-06 ***
time2010 2.9181e+00 2.4037e+00 1.2140 0.2253095
time2011 6.2657e+00 2.3781e+00 2.6348 0.0086714 **
time2012 -3.9549e+00 2.4048e+00 -1.6446 0.1006625
time2013 -2.5930e+00 2.3907e+00 -1.0846 0.2785920
time2014 -1.2146e+00 2.3355e+00 -0.5201 0.6032452
time2015 -1.2739e+00 2.3157e+00 -0.5501 0.5824850
time2016 -2.3366e-01 2.3595e+00 -0.0990 0.9211556
time2017 3.6263e+00 2.3369e+00 1.5518 0.1213307
time2018 -3.2095e+00 2.3897e+00 -1.3430 0.1798442
time2019 -1.0762e+00 2.3673e+00 -0.4546 0.6495821
time2020 5.1383e+00 2.3681e+00 2.1698 0.0304723 *
iis188 5.0940e+01 8.3887e+00 6.0725 2.439e-09 ***
iis190 1.1746e+02 8.4662e+00 13.8742 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis193 -8.4163e+01 8.7057e+00 -9.6676 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis196 5.8464e+01 8.4137e+00 6.9487 1.112e-11 ***
iis198 4.3874e+01 8.5134e+00 5.1535 3.643e-07 ***
iis199 -4.4917e+01 8.6111e+00 -5.2162 2.646e-07 ***
iis200 -4.1479e+01 8.4548e+00 -4.9060 1.247e-06 ***
iis212 4.0970e+01 8.9299e+00 4.5880 5.620e-06 ***
iis213 5.5792e+01 8.8199e+00 6.3257 5.455e-10 ***
iis215 6.7528e+01 8.8337e+00 7.6443 1.027e-13 ***
iis217 -5.8949e+01 8.9372e+00 -6.5959 1.045e-10 ***
iis218 -5.5375e+01 8.8299e+00 -6.2713 7.557e-10 ***
iis221 4.2141e+01 8.8062e+00 4.7854 2.230e-06 ***
iis223 4.1852e+01 8.8355e+00 4.7368 2.807e-06 ***
iis225 8.1640e+01 1.1544e+01 7.0724 4.960e-12 ***
iis242 3.9006e+01 8.3283e+00 4.6835 3.608e-06 ***
iis415 6.3367e+01 8.3757e+00 7.5655 1.776e-13 ***
iis587 4.7406e+01 1.0349e+01 4.5808 5.810e-06 ***
iis589 6.6071e+01 9.9888e+00 6.6145 9.309e-11 ***
iis593 6.1703e+01 9.1735e+00 6.7262 4.619e-11 ***
iis594 -5.0721e+01 9.2348e+00 -5.4924 6.222e-08 ***
iis597 6.3981e+01 9.1058e+00 7.0263 6.707e-12 ***
iis598 -3.3446e+01 9.1512e+00 -3.6548 0.0002837 ***
fesisCHN.2016 2.3102e+01 4.3278e+00 5.3380 1.408e-07 ***
fesisDNK.2006 2.6732e+01 4.6854e+00 5.7055 1.953e-08 ***
fesisDNK.2019 -4.1611e+01 8.8986e+00 -4.6762 3.733e-06 ***
fesisJPN.2016 -1.7792e+01 4.1329e+00 -4.3050 1.998e-05 ***
fesisUSA.2004 2.1152e+01 5.5547e+00 3.8079 0.0001569 ***
fesisUSA.2007 4.3216e+01 8.0688e+00 5.3560 1.281e-07 ***
fesisUSA.2011 -9.2993e+01 8.1671e+00 -11.3864 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2013 3.1765e+01 7.4087e+00 4.2875 2.156e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 3.4401 1 0.06363 .
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 89.6998 1 < 2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 7.96931
R-squared 0.98576
Log-lik.(n=600) -2055.72186 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:13:47 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 7.6688e-01 1.6876e-02 45.4431 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 5.2739e-15 4.0951e-15 1.2879 0.1983788
pop 1.0455e-08 1.1488e-08 0.9101 0.3632093
idAUT 5.1959e-01 1.9970e+00 0.2602 0.7948217
idBEL 1.1554e-01 1.9950e+00 0.0579 0.9538398
idBRA -3.0248e+00 2.7922e+00 -1.0833 0.2791810
idCAN 1.7845e+00 1.9999e+00 0.8923 0.3726776
idCHE -1.2851e-01 1.9975e+00 -0.0643 0.9487292
idCHN -9.3896e+00 1.4697e+01 -0.6389 0.5232011
idDEU 2.0320e+01 2.9525e+00 6.8822 1.743e-11 ***
idDNK 5.9336e+00 2.6807e+00 2.2135 0.0273098 *
idESP 5.4161e+00 2.3515e+00 2.3032 0.0216685 *
idFIN -6.1010e-01 2.0003e+00 -0.3050 0.7604862
idFRA 3.6282e+00 2.0591e+00 1.7620 0.0786694 .
idGBR 7.7674e+00 2.1426e+00 3.6252 0.0003179 ***
idIND -1.0729e+01 1.3685e+01 -0.7840 0.4334015
idISR -4.1200e-01 1.9980e+00 -0.2062 0.8367121
idITA 1.6777e+00 2.0393e+00 0.8226 0.4110943
idJPN 6.0839e+00 3.4137e+00 1.7822 0.0753131 .
idKOR -1.6096e-01 5.6566e+00 -0.0285 0.9773104
idNLD 3.8263e+00 2.0004e+00 1.9128 0.0563330 .
idNOR 1.5462e+00 2.0006e+00 0.7729 0.4399577
idRUS -2.0831e+00 2.4553e+00 -0.8484 0.3966103
idSGP 3.0063e-01 2.0007e+00 0.1503 0.8806160
idSWE 4.8051e-01 1.9964e+00 0.2407 0.8098900
idUSA 5.3230e+00 4.2416e+00 1.2550 0.2100718
time1996 -2.1818e+00 2.0089e+00 -1.0861 0.2779467
time1997 -2.8551e+00 2.0082e+00 -1.4217 0.1557316
time1998 -1.5684e+00 2.0095e+00 -0.7805 0.4354719
time1999 -2.9206e-02 2.0086e+00 -0.0145 0.9884044
time2000 -5.6779e-01 2.0072e+00 -0.2829 0.7773884
time2001 1.3768e+00 2.0075e+00 0.6858 0.4931440
time2002 1.5805e-02 2.0080e+00 0.0079 0.9937229
time2003 -3.5987e-01 2.0300e+00 -0.1773 0.8593614
time2004 -5.1826e-01 2.0144e+00 -0.2573 0.7970731
time2005 4.2697e-01 2.0160e+00 0.2118 0.8323537
time2006 3.0285e+00 2.0304e+00 1.4916 0.1364334
time2007 4.6898e+00 2.0588e+00 2.2779 0.0231463 *
time2008 9.4265e+00 2.0708e+00 4.5520 6.656e-06 ***
time2009 1.1281e+01 2.0624e+00 5.4698 7.082e-08 ***
time2010 5.0062e+00 2.1401e+00 2.3392 0.0197128 *
time2011 4.7520e+00 2.1543e+00 2.2058 0.0278440 *
time2012 -3.2601e+00 2.1380e+00 -1.5248 0.1279215
time2013 -1.1899e+00 2.1206e+00 -0.5611 0.5749749
time2014 -3.8064e-02 2.0768e+00 -0.0183 0.9853844
time2015 -1.4532e-01 2.0589e+00 -0.0706 0.9437601
time2016 8.0060e-01 2.0917e+00 0.3827 0.7020669
time2017 4.9953e+00 2.0822e+00 2.3991 0.0167952 *
time2018 -1.4275e+00 2.1274e+00 -0.6710 0.5025176
time2019 6.5539e-01 2.1046e+00 0.3114 0.7556201
time2020 5.0445e+00 2.1193e+00 2.3803 0.0176655 *
iis188 2.8707e+01 7.9428e+00 3.6142 0.0003313 ***
iis190 1.0027e+02 7.8986e+00 12.6952 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis193 -7.5469e+01 8.4495e+00 -8.9318 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis196 5.6906e+01 8.3256e+00 6.8351 2.356e-11 ***
iis198 4.5834e+01 8.3337e+00 5.4998 6.033e-08 ***
iis199 -4.0263e+01 8.3782e+00 -4.8056 2.034e-06 ***
iis200 -4.0242e+01 8.3227e+00 -4.8352 1.766e-06 ***
iis212 2.3921e+01 8.4953e+00 2.8158 0.0050551 **
iis213 4.3524e+01 8.3444e+00 5.2160 2.666e-07 ***
iis215 6.2543e+01 8.3488e+00 7.4912 3.047e-13 ***
iis217 -4.1644e+01 8.4722e+00 -4.9155 1.197e-06 ***
iis218 -4.5262e+01 8.3425e+00 -5.4255 8.959e-08 ***
iis221 4.7530e+01 8.3184e+00 5.7139 1.883e-08 ***
iis223 8.0016e+01 1.0215e+01 7.8330 2.803e-14 ***
iis225 7.9326e+01 1.0220e+01 7.7616 4.646e-14 ***
iis316 3.7452e+01 7.3714e+00 5.0808 5.290e-07 ***
iis408 3.3219e+01 7.4659e+00 4.4494 1.059e-05 ***
iis415 5.2981e+01 7.9415e+00 6.6714 6.638e-11 ***
iis423 -2.1657e+01 8.0614e+00 -2.6865 0.0074569 **
iis587 3.2157e+01 9.3391e+00 3.4432 0.0006223 ***
iis589 6.5236e+01 8.8278e+00 7.3899 6.086e-13 ***
iis591 -1.7937e+01 8.6737e+00 -2.0680 0.0391433 *
iis593 7.0142e+01 8.3252e+00 8.4253 3.718e-16 ***
iis594 -3.9110e+01 8.3663e+00 -4.6747 3.777e-06 ***
iis597 8.6711e+01 8.8321e+00 9.8177 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisCHN.2009 1.2911e+01 3.5418e+00 3.6454 0.0002944 ***
fesisCHN.2016 2.0223e+01 4.3029e+00 4.6999 3.357e-06 ***
fesisDEU.2006 3.8042e+01 4.6626e+00 8.1589 2.674e-15 ***
fesisDEU.2013 -1.8506e+01 5.2667e+00 -3.5137 0.0004814 ***
fesisDNK.2006 4.8508e+01 5.3557e+00 9.0574 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDNK.2012 -1.4607e+01 5.8881e+00 -2.4809 0.0134295 *
fesisDNK.2018 -2.9398e+01 8.4241e+00 -3.4897 0.0005256 ***
fesisESP.2011 3.8176e+01 5.4440e+00 7.0124 7.504e-12 ***
fesisESP.2013 -4.1075e+01 5.7039e+00 -7.2012 2.163e-12 ***
fesisJPN.2010 1.8259e+01 4.0661e+00 4.4907 8.796e-06 ***
fesisJPN.2016 -2.3100e+01 4.8723e+00 -4.7411 2.765e-06 ***
fesisUSA.2004 2.5686e+01 4.9383e+00 5.2013 2.875e-07 ***
fesisUSA.2007 6.1815e+01 7.4921e+00 8.2508 1.362e-15 ***
fesisUSA.2011 -7.3709e+01 6.6828e+00 -11.0296 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2017 -2.1284e+01 6.5975e+00 -3.2261 0.0013359 **
fesisUSA.2020 3.6483e+01 8.8771e+00 4.1098 4.616e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 5.1268 1 0.02356 *
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 19.9880 1 7.793e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 7.03998
R-squared 0.98911
Log-lik.(n=600) -1976.32615 Log Count
AR 0
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.01; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:14:06 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 624
Sample: 1 to 624
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
lgdp 1.31692 0.21783 6.0456 2.737e-09 ***
lpop -5.23239 0.62137 -8.4208 3.217e-16 ***
idAUT -3.16572 0.51388 -6.1605 1.396e-09 ***
idBEL -1.73471 0.40187 -4.3166 1.877e-05 ***
idBRA 9.43405 1.31330 7.1835 2.203e-12 ***
idCAN 2.43973 0.32144 7.5901 1.363e-13 ***
idCHE -4.53089 0.55714 -8.1324 2.774e-15 ***
idCHN 17.74924 2.39781 7.4023 5.003e-13 ***
idDEU 8.91020 0.82464 10.8050 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDNK -5.93518 0.85253 -6.9618 9.538e-12 ***
idESP 4.78585 0.53697 8.9128 < 2.2e-16 ***
idFIN -4.30003 0.75328 -5.7084 1.860e-08 ***
idFRA 5.98520 0.69491 8.6129 < 2.2e-16 ***
idGBR 5.83310 0.71215 8.1908 1.801e-15 ***
idIND 15.20496 2.25278 6.7494 3.752e-11 ***
idISR -5.62867 0.61598 -9.1377 < 2.2e-16 ***
idITA 5.32098 0.65849 8.0806 4.059e-15 ***
idJPN 2.54121 1.33628 1.9017 0.057729 .
idKOR -3.72779 1.32683 -2.8095 0.005136 **
idNLD 0.33738 0.21203 1.5912 0.112142
idNOR -8.91575 0.98297 -9.0702 < 2.2e-16 ***
idRUS 5.30897 1.16496 4.5572 6.382e-06 ***
idSGP -7.13641 0.88013 -8.1083 3.311e-15 ***
idSWE -4.56326 0.62101 -7.3481 7.246e-13 ***
idUSA 12.10960 1.51134 8.0125 6.681e-15 ***
time1995 51.80233 9.32613 5.5545 4.326e-08 ***
time1996 52.03304 9.33126 5.5762 3.846e-08 ***
time1997 51.98728 9.33627 5.5683 4.014e-08 ***
time1998 52.04856 9.34069 5.5722 3.930e-08 ***
time1999 52.47929 9.34835 5.6138 3.134e-08 ***
time2000 52.56450 9.35340 5.6198 3.031e-08 ***
time2001 52.68784 9.35841 5.6300 2.867e-08 ***
time2002 52.84986 9.36249 5.6449 2.642e-08 ***
time2003 52.81307 9.36664 5.6384 2.737e-08 ***
time2004 53.07294 9.37281 5.6624 2.399e-08 ***
time2005 53.23763 9.37666 5.6777 2.205e-08 ***
time2006 53.60928 9.38217 5.7140 1.804e-08 ***
time2007 53.88659 9.38762 5.7402 1.559e-08 ***
time2008 54.13914 9.38620 5.7680 1.335e-08 ***
time2009 54.50767 9.38757 5.8064 1.076e-08 ***
time2010 54.51746 9.39263 5.8043 1.089e-08 ***
time2011 54.54945 9.39699 5.8050 1.085e-08 ***
time2012 54.40424 9.40133 5.7869 1.201e-08 ***
time2013 54.15816 9.40569 5.7580 1.411e-08 ***
time2014 54.13878 9.40902 5.7539 1.444e-08 ***
time2015 53.91147 9.41315 5.7273 1.675e-08 ***
time2016 53.99063 9.41763 5.7329 1.623e-08 ***
time2017 54.13887 9.42176 5.7462 1.508e-08 ***
time2018 54.00601 9.42563 5.7297 1.653e-08 ***
time2019 53.81725 9.42847 5.7079 1.865e-08 ***
time2020 54.10843 9.42947 5.7382 1.576e-08 ***
iis64 -1.78481 0.43376 -4.1148 4.465e-05 ***
iis164 -1.23244 0.44506 -2.7691 0.005809 **
fesisAUS.2009 -0.55244 0.17803 -3.1030 0.002013 **
fesisBEL.2003 -0.56071 0.18335 -3.0580 0.002335 **
fesisBRA.2007 -0.81866 0.19612 -4.1743 3.471e-05 ***
fesisBRA.2015 0.93708 0.22905 4.0912 4.929e-05 ***
fesisCHN.2005 0.76234 0.27186 2.8042 0.005222 **
fesisDNK.2007 1.14895 0.16935 6.7846 2.998e-11 ***
fesisESP.2004 0.88288 0.17750 4.9739 8.767e-07 ***
fesisFIN.1999 -1.22918 0.23314 -5.2724 1.933e-07 ***
fesisGBR.2001 0.97582 0.19839 4.9187 1.150e-06 ***
fesisIND.2008 1.08946 0.20022 5.4413 7.951e-08 ***
fesisJPN.1999 0.99752 0.23681 4.2123 2.950e-05 ***
fesisNOR.2019 1.34056 0.31189 4.2981 2.035e-05 ***
fesisRUS.2004 -1.33494 0.20551 -6.4958 1.840e-10 ***
fesisSGP.2008 1.78614 0.23190 7.7024 6.191e-14 ***
fesisSGP.2014 -1.59955 0.23661 -6.7604 3.499e-11 ***
fesisSWE.2003 -1.33647 0.18192 -7.3467 7.315e-13 ***
fesisUSA.2003 1.29720 0.18192 7.1307 3.132e-12 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 19.1149 1 1.231e-05 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 2.6275 1 0.105
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.41236
R-squared 0.93182
Log-lik.(n=624) -297.64529 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.05; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:14:01 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 624
Sample: 1 to 624
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
lgdp 1.65374 0.13300 12.4342 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -3.49449 0.58079 -6.0168 3.324e-09 ***
idAUT -0.79387 0.50649 -1.5674 0.1176251
idBEL -0.72267 0.37623 -1.9208 0.0552887 .
idBRA 5.22652 1.26722 4.1244 4.316e-05 ***
idCAN 1.23965 0.31356 3.9535 8.749e-05 ***
idCHE -2.27656 0.56493 -4.0298 6.402e-05 ***
idCHN 9.93370 2.33554 4.2533 2.491e-05 ***
idDEU 6.19703 0.80201 7.7269 5.574e-14 ***
idDNK -3.67049 0.77784 -4.7188 3.040e-06 ***
idESP 3.57829 0.47948 7.4628 3.504e-13 ***
idFIN -1.41066 0.74413 -1.8957 0.0585430 .
idFRA 3.81622 0.66756 5.7166 1.817e-08 ***
idGBR 3.76901 0.67254 5.6042 3.372e-08 ***
idIND 6.99884 2.23906 3.1258 0.0018707 **
idISR -3.60839 0.61205 -5.8955 6.661e-09 ***
idITA 3.07248 0.65269 4.7074 3.209e-06 ***
idJPN -2.58877 1.18556 -2.1836 0.0294311 *
idKOR -7.59355 0.89688 -8.4667 2.500e-16 ***
idNLD 0.91501 0.18125 5.0484 6.138e-07 ***
idNOR -6.68778 0.87498 -7.6433 1.003e-13 ***
idRUS 0.50282 1.14941 0.4375 0.6619600
idSGP -3.75962 0.86236 -4.3597 1.566e-05 ***
idSWE -3.56375 0.52105 -6.8395 2.201e-11 ***
idUSA 6.76526 1.50142 4.5059 8.141e-06 ***
time1995 13.37200 9.28459 1.4402 0.1503922
time1996 13.70740 9.28814 1.4758 0.1405934
time1997 13.54291 9.29508 1.4570 0.1457106
time1998 13.63167 9.29749 1.4662 0.1431971
time1999 14.03543 9.30420 1.5085 0.1320225
time2000 14.03524 9.30824 1.5078 0.1321952
time2001 14.09549 9.31304 1.5135 0.1307445
time2002 14.32273 9.31869 1.5370 0.1248936
time2003 14.17481 9.32139 1.5207 0.1289388
time2004 14.40747 9.32819 1.5445 0.1230632
time2005 14.60167 9.33203 1.5647 0.1182555
time2006 14.94466 9.33717 1.6006 0.1100726
time2007 15.26497 9.34255 1.6339 0.1028710
time2008 15.46962 9.34308 1.6557 0.0983694 .
time2009 15.83014 9.34447 1.6941 0.0908415 .
time2010 15.88258 9.34696 1.6992 0.0898647 .
time2011 15.90917 9.35064 1.7014 0.0894556 .
time2012 15.80102 9.35853 1.6884 0.0919222 .
time2013 15.53584 9.36276 1.6593 0.0976435 .
time2014 15.45138 9.36235 1.6504 0.0994597 .
time2015 15.27359 9.36226 1.6314 0.1034011
time2016 15.29704 9.36629 1.6332 0.1030214
time2017 15.46039 9.36936 1.6501 0.0995160 .
time2018 15.27265 9.37361 1.6293 0.1038399
time2019 15.07246 9.37598 1.6076 0.1085281
time2020 15.36989 9.37794 1.6389 0.1018200
iis23 -0.86039 0.38601 -2.2289 0.0262377 *
iis34 -1.19242 0.38122 -3.1279 0.0018575 **
iis39 -1.05316 0.38005 -2.7711 0.0057826 **
iis58 1.31889 0.37844 3.4851 0.0005328 ***
iis59 1.18803 0.37794 3.1435 0.0017632 **
iis64 -1.77108 0.37747 -4.6920 3.449e-06 ***
iis79 1.01814 0.38686 2.6318 0.0087408 **
iis162 -1.14098 0.38654 -2.9518 0.0032995 **
iis164 -1.65662 0.38355 -4.3192 1.870e-05 ***
iis165 -1.23966 0.38202 -3.2450 0.0012486 **
iis210 -0.96789 0.38830 -2.4927 0.0129835 *
iis211 -0.88284 0.38820 -2.2742 0.0233526 *
iis367 1.00895 0.38500 2.6206 0.0090286 **
iis395 -1.17806 0.39892 -2.9531 0.0032859 **
iis420 -1.03391 0.42649 -2.4243 0.0156741 *
iis425 1.18110 0.37956 3.1118 0.0019599 **
iis541 -0.84105 0.38069 -2.2093 0.0275818 *
iis560 1.79391 0.38592 4.6484 4.229e-06 ***
iis561 2.06730 0.38849 5.3214 1.523e-07 ***
iis562 1.71622 0.39009 4.3996 1.312e-05 ***
iis563 1.33043 0.39183 3.3955 0.0007366 ***
iis600 -1.12762 0.39518 -2.8534 0.0044944 **
fesisAUS.2009 -0.81991 0.16374 -5.0073 7.532e-07 ***
fesisAUT.2002 -0.39624 0.17074 -2.3208 0.0206775 *
fesisBRA.2007 -0.92404 0.17485 -5.2847 1.844e-07 ***
fesisBRA.2015 0.87882 0.20087 4.3750 1.463e-05 ***
fesisCAN.2002 0.70201 0.19334 3.6309 0.0003099 ***
fesisCAN.2010 -0.68812 0.17497 -3.9328 9.515e-05 ***
fesisCHE.2005 -0.53590 0.15352 -3.4906 0.0005222 ***
fesisDNK.2007 0.99072 0.15703 6.3092 5.932e-10 ***
fesisESP.2004 0.76071 0.15804 4.8133 1.940e-06 ***
fesisFIN.1999 -0.90562 0.22790 -3.9737 8.057e-05 ***
fesisFIN.2007 -0.42733 0.16665 -2.5643 0.0106138 *
fesisGBR.2001 0.98284 0.17554 5.5989 3.469e-08 ***
fesisIND.2008 0.61905 0.16607 3.7277 0.0002141 ***
fesisISR.2015 -0.75922 0.19861 -3.8228 0.0001477 ***
fesisITA.2002 0.45767 0.18135 2.5236 0.0119064 *
fesisJPN.1999 0.86983 0.23684 3.6727 0.0002644 ***
fesisNOR.2019 1.21768 0.27426 4.4399 1.096e-05 ***
fesisRUS.2004 -1.23961 0.17317 -7.1582 2.747e-12 ***
fesisSGP.2014 -0.53167 0.20494 -2.5943 0.0097414 **
fesisSWE.2003 -0.98508 0.19375 -5.0843 5.130e-07 ***
fesisSWE.2010 -0.63014 0.18015 -3.4978 0.0005086 ***
fesisUSA.2003 1.05549 0.16881 6.2525 8.331e-10 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 5.6403 1 0.0175527 *
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 12.9668 1 0.0003171 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.36133
R-squared 0.95002
Log-lik.(n=624) -202.71279 AR 1
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:16:19 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.419530 0.033795 12.4138 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 1.132010 0.150407 7.5263 2.245e-13 ***
lpop -2.786212 0.576279 -4.8348 1.747e-06 ***
idAUT -0.753057 0.500985 -1.5032 0.1333929
idBEL -0.346866 0.376279 -0.9218 0.3570343
idBRA 4.603797 1.206997 3.8143 0.0001526 ***
idCAN 1.468382 0.276709 5.3066 1.642e-07 ***
idCHE -1.823892 0.553826 -3.2933 0.0010562 **
idCHN 8.669992 2.212403 3.9188 0.0001006 ***
idDEU 4.863779 0.778420 6.2483 8.510e-10 ***
idDNK -3.016058 0.789523 -3.8201 0.0001491 ***
idESP 3.318148 0.478470 6.9349 1.183e-11 ***
idFIN -1.890745 0.732372 -2.5817 0.0100987 *
idFRA 3.331134 0.630517 5.2832 1.855e-07 ***
idGBR 3.745502 0.630574 5.9398 5.158e-09 ***
idIND 6.953709 2.123186 3.2751 0.0011249 **
idISR -2.550117 0.604607 -4.2178 2.900e-05 ***
idITA 3.102088 0.587939 5.2762 1.923e-07 ***
idJPN -1.346827 1.078841 -1.2484 0.2124328
idKOR -4.609048 0.902669 -5.1060 4.590e-07 ***
idNLD 0.814400 0.190540 4.2742 2.274e-05 ***
idNOR -4.803122 0.916011 -5.2435 2.277e-07 ***
idRUS 1.475253 1.038291 1.4208 0.1559468
idSGP -2.935494 0.862240 -3.4045 0.0007129 ***
idSWE -2.494506 0.561201 -4.4449 1.070e-05 ***
idUSA 4.889353 1.461260 3.3460 0.0008778 ***
time1996 15.724424 8.651149 1.8176 0.0696860 .
time1997 15.510245 8.655441 1.7920 0.0737068 .
time1998 15.572874 8.658963 1.7985 0.0726695 .
time1999 15.985021 8.663205 1.8452 0.0655695 .
time2000 15.754526 8.669752 1.8172 0.0697515 .
time2001 15.911947 8.674554 1.8343 0.0671641 .
time2002 16.061763 8.680476 1.8503 0.0648199 .
time2003 15.967443 8.684314 1.8387 0.0665234 .
time2004 16.137615 8.689429 1.8572 0.0638416 .
time2005 16.264527 8.694589 1.8706 0.0619425 .
time2006 16.511058 8.700641 1.8977 0.0582790 .
time2007 16.602114 8.703554 1.9075 0.0569928 .
time2008 16.795635 8.710793 1.9281 0.0543695 .
time2009 16.971582 8.717362 1.9469 0.0520761 .
time2010 16.857394 8.722663 1.9326 0.0538163 .
time2011 16.867382 8.726314 1.9329 0.0537748 .
time2012 16.745373 8.729223 1.9183 0.0556064 .
time2013 16.553765 8.732145 1.8957 0.0585378 .
time2014 16.563380 8.734507 1.8963 0.0584599 .
time2015 16.345360 8.737425 1.8707 0.0619313 .
time2016 16.549974 8.740419 1.8935 0.0588339 .
time2017 16.658316 8.744071 1.9051 0.0573062 .
time2018 16.451301 8.748029 1.8806 0.0605762 .
time2019 16.319992 8.749548 1.8652 0.0626983 .
time2020 16.650372 8.751238 1.9026 0.0576284 .
iis7 1.294696 0.422433 3.0649 0.0022882 **
iis32 -1.787702 0.422465 -4.2316 2.733e-05 ***
iis55 1.336311 0.420124 3.1808 0.0015545 **
iis61 -1.848422 0.419961 -4.4014 1.300e-05 ***
iis95 1.339952 0.419972 3.1906 0.0015036 **
iis157 -1.456537 0.425881 -3.4201 0.0006741 ***
iis259 1.214557 0.420746 2.8867 0.0040516 **
iis358 -1.223934 0.421328 -2.9049 0.0038260 **
iis379 -1.604803 0.420712 -3.8145 0.0001525 ***
fesisDNK.2006 0.739282 0.173749 4.2549 2.472e-05 ***
fesisJPN.1999 1.066794 0.259228 4.1153 4.481e-05 ***
fesisNOR.2019 1.036552 0.304825 3.4005 0.0007232 ***
fesisRUS.2004 -0.864728 0.199839 -4.3271 1.805e-05 ***
fesisSGP.2007 1.259276 0.237021 5.3129 1.589e-07 ***
fesisSGP.2012 -1.271284 0.235461 -5.3991 1.011e-07 ***
fesisSWE.2002 -0.839719 0.197820 -4.2449 2.581e-05 ***
fesisUSA.1997 1.456746 0.422375 3.4489 0.0006074 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 4.1597 1 0.0413978 *
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 11.2751 1 0.0007855 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.40236
R-squared 0.93375
Log-lik.(n=600) -271.11435 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:16:18 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.400262 0.031758 12.6034 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.641781 0.191108 3.3582 0.0008428 ***
lpop -2.433111 0.590486 -4.1205 4.407e-05 ***
idAUT -1.341983 0.509236 -2.6353 0.0086610 **
idBEL -0.759653 0.384573 -1.9753 0.0487679 *
idBRA 4.240057 1.264287 3.3537 0.0008563 ***
idCAN 1.417279 0.329654 4.2993 2.051e-05 ***
idCHE -1.859491 0.544685 -3.4139 0.0006911 ***
idCHN 8.350804 2.303402 3.6254 0.0003173 ***
idDEU 4.772254 0.820847 5.8138 1.074e-08 ***
idDNK -2.991559 0.827962 -3.6132 0.0003323 ***
idESP 2.913090 0.531259 5.4834 6.559e-08 ***
idFIN -2.337832 0.729639 -3.2041 0.0014391 **
idFRA 3.179692 0.678815 4.6842 3.605e-06 ***
idGBR 2.770854 0.699797 3.9595 8.571e-05 ***
idIND 7.006807 2.163047 3.2393 0.0012758 **
idISR -2.357183 0.598872 -3.9360 9.426e-05 ***
idITA 2.832973 0.638840 4.4346 1.129e-05 ***
idJPN 0.910750 1.243815 0.7322 0.4643669
idKOR -1.507670 1.180067 -1.2776 0.2019638
idNLD 0.527670 0.221046 2.3872 0.0173405 *
idNOR -3.942229 0.932609 -4.2271 2.803e-05 ***
idRUS 2.567495 1.116591 2.2994 0.0218828 *
idSGP -3.288383 0.853365 -3.8534 0.0001312 ***
idSWE -1.774349 0.579938 -3.0596 0.0023326 **
idUSA 6.645437 1.481423 4.4858 8.970e-06 ***
time1996 23.455009 8.914749 2.6310 0.0087686 **
time1997 23.309015 8.919473 2.6133 0.0092312 **
time1998 23.304196 8.923120 2.6117 0.0092742 **
time1999 23.709625 8.927698 2.6557 0.0081597 **
time2000 23.430767 8.935931 2.6221 0.0089990 **
time2001 23.600605 8.940938 2.6396 0.0085527 **
time2002 23.797386 8.945844 2.6602 0.0080548 **
time2003 23.675132 8.951765 2.6447 0.0084258 **
time2004 23.848331 8.958130 2.6622 0.0080068 **
time2005 24.002958 8.959495 2.6791 0.0076201 **
time2006 24.320983 8.966643 2.7124 0.0069044 **
time2007 24.387166 8.969753 2.7188 0.0067734 **
time2008 24.588157 8.976647 2.7391 0.0063747 **
time2009 24.756574 8.982295 2.7562 0.0060567 **
time2010 24.697283 8.988324 2.7477 0.0062126 **
time2011 24.686827 8.992346 2.7453 0.0062574 **
time2012 24.568609 8.995246 2.7313 0.0065260 **
time2013 24.379948 8.998535 2.7093 0.0069675 **
time2014 24.392875 9.001431 2.7099 0.0069558 **
time2015 24.219985 9.002672 2.6903 0.0073713 **
time2016 24.389802 9.008229 2.7075 0.0070053 **
time2017 24.548362 9.011498 2.7241 0.0066673 **
time2018 24.317089 9.016665 2.6969 0.0072289 **
time2019 24.274228 9.018318 2.6917 0.0073420 **
time2020 24.498492 9.019366 2.7162 0.0068263 **
iis22 -0.893205 0.383620 -2.3284 0.0202809 *
iis32 -1.695362 0.384282 -4.4118 1.250e-05 ***
iis55 1.387585 0.379909 3.6524 0.0002865 ***
iis61 -1.868023 0.379911 -4.9170 1.185e-06 ***
iis62 0.830979 0.384351 2.1620 0.0310773 *
iis74 -1.013750 0.381416 -2.6579 0.0081092 **
iis95 1.330725 0.379265 3.5087 0.0004899 ***
iis136 -1.128147 0.379003 -2.9766 0.0030521 **
iis157 -1.232763 0.397862 -3.0985 0.0020519 **
iis259 1.234376 0.379969 3.2486 0.0012356 **
iis262 -0.945162 0.379635 -2.4897 0.0131023 *
iis278 -1.142536 0.380551 -3.0023 0.0028099 **
iis358 -1.252794 0.381091 -3.2874 0.0010805 **
iis370 -0.938624 0.381937 -2.4575 0.0143191 *
iis379 -1.568634 0.380084 -4.1271 4.287e-05 ***
iis427 -1.250075 0.382056 -3.2720 0.0011399 **
iis565 -0.773624 0.381611 -2.0273 0.0431524 *
iis574 -0.939684 0.382231 -2.4584 0.0142844 *
iis576 -1.564730 0.381742 -4.0989 4.824e-05 ***
fesisAUS.2002 0.889832 0.263035 3.3829 0.0007719 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -0.879306 0.239120 -3.6773 0.0002606 ***
fesisAUT.2000 1.020594 0.321816 3.1714 0.0016080 **
fesisAUT.2002 -0.896903 0.277766 -3.2290 0.0013218 **
fesisCHN.2004 0.677251 0.239925 2.8228 0.0049460 **
fesisDNK.1998 1.720331 0.454404 3.7859 0.0001713 ***
fesisDNK.1999 -1.042103 0.398267 -2.6166 0.0091431 **
fesisDNK.2006 0.699846 0.173599 4.0314 6.386e-05 ***
fesisGBR.2000 0.851306 0.205912 4.1343 4.158e-05 ***
fesisIND.2005 0.701923 0.181844 3.8600 0.0001278 ***
fesisJPN.1999 1.541258 0.273176 5.6420 2.782e-08 ***
fesisJPN.2004 -0.563001 0.194385 -2.8963 0.0039369 **
fesisNOR.2019 0.982290 0.275561 3.5647 0.0003983 ***
fesisRUS.2004 -0.680891 0.191449 -3.5565 0.0004106 ***
fesisSGP.2007 1.401113 0.218987 6.3982 3.548e-10 ***
fesisSGP.2012 -1.236700 0.213756 -5.7856 1.258e-08 ***
fesisSWE.2002 -0.701718 0.182449 -3.8461 0.0001351 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 3.6324 1 0.0566658 .
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 11.7224 1 0.0006175 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.36278
R-squared 0.94807
Log-lik.(n=600) -199.48694 without IIS
Count
0
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.01; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:17:53 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 624
Sample: 1 to 624
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp 2.4509e-14 7.9342e-15 3.0890 0.0021092 **
pop 1.6435e-07 3.6307e-08 4.5268 7.338e-06 ***
idAUT -8.6560e+00 5.0070e+00 -1.7288 0.0844073 .
idBEL -1.0000e+01 4.9974e+00 -2.0010 0.0458779 *
idBRA -2.9588e+01 8.1344e+00 -3.6374 0.0003013 ***
idCAN -5.6583e+00 4.9816e+00 -1.1358 0.2565142
idCHE -3.0817e-01 5.8013e+00 -0.0531 0.9576545
idCHN -1.9478e+02 4.6761e+01 -4.1656 3.604e-05 ***
idDEU 1.2300e+01 8.0527e+00 1.5275 0.1272197
idDNK 1.6847e+01 5.8069e+00 2.9012 0.0038653 **
idESP 1.2688e+01 5.0223e+00 2.5263 0.0118056 *
idFIN -3.7989e-01 5.8073e+00 -0.0654 0.9478672
idFRA -5.2481e+00 5.1715e+00 -1.0148 0.3106387
idGBR 1.7612e+01 5.1533e+00 3.4176 0.0006783 ***
idIND -1.7473e+02 3.8238e+01 -4.5695 6.037e-06 ***
idISR -2.8837e-01 5.6823e+00 -0.0507 0.9595442
idITA -1.0055e+01 5.1226e+00 -1.9628 0.0501732 .
idJPN -2.5958e+00 7.7286e+00 -0.3359 0.7370932
idKOR -2.2274e+01 1.1146e+01 -1.9984 0.0461582 *
idNLD 1.0333e+00 4.9808e+00 0.2075 0.8357253
idNOR -6.3585e+00 5.0229e+00 -1.2659 0.2060775
idRUS -2.4827e+01 7.4051e+00 -3.3527 0.0008552 ***
idSGP -7.5554e+00 5.0242e+00 -1.5038 0.1332031
idSWE 2.8248e+00 5.7972e+00 0.4873 0.6262556
idUSA -2.9295e+01 1.1368e+01 -2.5771 0.0102214 *
time1995 -3.0265e+00 4.9294e+00 -0.6140 0.5394870
time1996 -2.5581e+00 4.9343e+00 -0.5184 0.6043647
time1997 -2.9051e+00 4.9400e+00 -0.5881 0.5567271
time1998 -1.8465e+00 4.9469e+00 -0.3733 0.7091017
time1999 3.6017e-01 4.9534e+00 0.0727 0.9420628
time2000 -1.2002e+00 4.9598e+00 -0.2420 0.8088886
time2001 1.5900e+00 4.9678e+00 0.3201 0.7490409
time2002 2.3087e+00 4.9763e+00 0.4639 0.6428819
time2003 3.8564e+00 4.9852e+00 0.7736 0.4395148
time2004 2.0532e+00 5.0001e+00 0.4106 0.6815056
time2005 3.4699e+00 5.0098e+00 0.6926 0.4888430
time2006 1.2514e+01 4.9682e+00 2.5188 0.0120575 *
time2007 1.2744e+01 5.0650e+00 2.5161 0.0121486 *
time2008 2.9251e+01 5.2335e+00 5.5892 3.588e-08 ***
time2009 3.7433e+01 5.2437e+00 7.1387 2.982e-12 ***
time2010 4.1173e+01 5.2750e+00 7.8052 2.997e-14 ***
time2011 4.3848e+01 5.2790e+00 8.3061 7.682e-16 ***
time2012 3.1434e+01 5.2899e+00 5.9422 4.985e-09 ***
time2013 2.5354e+01 5.2953e+00 4.7881 2.166e-06 ***
time2014 2.2936e+01 5.2989e+00 4.3285 1.783e-05 ***
time2015 1.9564e+01 5.3109e+00 3.6838 0.0002524 ***
time2016 2.0850e+01 5.3314e+00 3.9108 0.0001034 ***
time2017 2.2358e+01 5.3307e+00 4.1941 3.191e-05 ***
time2018 1.8866e+01 5.3420e+00 3.5315 0.0004477 ***
time2019 1.2255e+01 5.3520e+00 2.2898 0.0224094 *
time2020 1.6464e+01 5.3582e+00 3.0727 0.0022263 **
fesisAUS.2008 -2.2566e+01 5.8980e+00 -3.8260 0.0001451 ***
fesisBRA.2007 -2.6012e+01 5.9450e+00 -4.3755 1.449e-05 ***
fesisCHE.2007 -1.8484e+01 5.9278e+00 -3.1182 0.0019146 **
fesisCHN.2017 7.1442e+01 8.7057e+00 8.2063 1.616e-15 ***
fesisDEU.2000 6.4076e+01 8.6428e+00 7.4139 4.642e-13 ***
fesisDEU.2007 8.6809e+01 1.0231e+01 8.4852 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2010 1.1675e+02 1.2054e+01 9.6852 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2013 -1.0265e+02 9.9963e+00 -10.2689 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDNK.2007 1.6163e+02 6.6056e+00 24.4682 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDNK.2016 3.0387e+01 8.2446e+00 3.6857 0.0002506 ***
fesisFIN.2007 -2.0485e+01 5.9292e+00 -3.4549 0.0005928 ***
fesisIND.2006 -4.3119e+01 9.9373e+00 -4.3391 1.702e-05 ***
fesisISR.2008 -2.1296e+01 5.9020e+00 -3.6083 0.0003362 ***
fesisJPN.2010 5.4355e+01 5.9455e+00 9.1424 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -1.8977e+01 5.9222e+00 -3.2044 0.0014314 **
fesisSWE.2007 -1.9565e+01 5.9275e+00 -3.3007 0.0010265 **
fesisUSA.2004 5.8990e+01 9.8442e+00 5.9924 3.734e-09 ***
fesisUSA.2007 1.3958e+02 1.3505e+01 10.3357 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2009 1.2465e+02 1.4753e+01 8.4491 2.615e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2011 -1.0166e+02 1.3466e+01 -7.5493 1.820e-13 ***
fesisUSA.2014 -9.4190e+01 1.0191e+01 -9.2429 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 136.30 1 < 2.2e-16 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 100.01 1 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 14.43766
R-squared 0.95073
Log-lik.(n=624) -2515.39780 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.05; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:17:51 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 624
Sample: 1 to 624
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp 1.1680e-14 7.0084e-15 1.6666 0.0961750 .
pop 4.7726e-08 3.6370e-08 1.3123 0.1899885
idAUT -1.2168e+00 5.0035e+00 -0.2432 0.8079476
idBEL -2.1763e+00 4.8913e+00 -0.4449 0.6565431
idBRA -1.0890e+01 7.5838e+00 -1.4360 0.1515702
idCAN 9.4678e-01 4.7459e+00 0.1995 0.8419497
idCHE -1.4021e+00 5.0061e+00 -0.2801 0.7795284
idCHN -6.0987e+01 4.5255e+01 -1.3476 0.1783405
idDEU 2.0361e+01 7.0496e+00 2.8883 0.0040277 **
idDNK 1.5549e+01 5.0128e+00 3.1018 0.0020232 **
idESP 1.0697e+01 4.3946e+00 2.4341 0.0152501 *
idFIN -1.7171e+00 5.0133e+00 -0.3425 0.7321072
idFRA -4.9302e+00 4.5741e+00 -1.0778 0.2815796
idGBR 1.7708e+01 4.5526e+00 3.8896 0.0001128 ***
idIND -5.3858e+01 3.8497e+01 -1.3990 0.1623706
idISR -1.8008e+00 4.9029e+00 -0.3673 0.7135392
idITA -1.0351e+01 4.5161e+00 -2.2921 0.0222798 *
idJPN 1.5320e+01 6.9998e+00 2.1886 0.0290512 *
idKOR -7.2690e+00 9.7238e+00 -0.7476 0.4550531
idNLD -4.1929e+00 4.3335e+00 -0.9676 0.3336946
idNOR -8.0898e-01 4.9099e+00 -0.1648 0.8691912
idRUS -9.0648e+00 6.7940e+00 -1.3342 0.1826858
idSGP -3.8997e+00 4.6963e+00 -0.8304 0.4066895
idSWE 1.9599e+00 5.0011e+00 0.3919 0.6952851
idUSA 1.4089e+00 1.0920e+01 0.1290 0.8973854
time1995 -1.9274e+00 4.2551e+00 -0.4530 0.6507532
time1996 -1.2283e+00 4.2609e+00 -0.2883 0.7732510
time1997 -1.3543e+00 4.2678e+00 -0.3173 0.7511181
time1998 -1.3176e-01 4.2758e+00 -0.0308 0.9754273
time1999 2.3049e+00 4.2835e+00 0.5381 0.5907329
time2000 1.0011e+00 4.2918e+00 0.2333 0.8156473
time2001 3.9942e+00 4.3012e+00 0.9286 0.3534971
time2002 4.9270e+00 4.3112e+00 1.1428 0.2536077
time2003 6.6678e+00 4.3215e+00 1.5429 0.1234247
time2004 4.9836e+00 4.3363e+00 1.1493 0.2509502
time2005 5.6285e+00 4.3241e+00 1.3017 0.1935779
time2006 1.3079e+01 4.3344e+00 3.0174 0.0026686 **
time2007 1.8891e+01 4.4091e+00 4.2846 2.165e-05 ***
time2008 3.8515e+01 4.6104e+00 8.3539 5.520e-16 ***
time2009 4.6836e+01 4.6212e+00 10.1349 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2010 4.8271e+01 4.6985e+00 10.2738 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2011 5.2352e+01 4.7311e+00 11.0656 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2012 4.4587e+01 4.7366e+00 9.4132 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2013 3.8867e+01 4.7452e+00 8.1908 1.862e-15 ***
time2014 3.6666e+01 4.7510e+00 7.7175 5.711e-14 ***
time2015 3.3479e+01 4.7638e+00 7.0278 6.309e-12 ***
time2016 3.3907e+01 4.7780e+00 7.0965 4.010e-12 ***
time2017 3.5850e+01 4.7854e+00 7.4915 2.772e-13 ***
time2018 3.2529e+01 4.7981e+00 6.7796 3.145e-11 ***
time2019 2.6064e+01 4.8091e+00 5.4197 8.984e-08 ***
time2020 3.0355e+01 4.8151e+00 6.3042 5.995e-10 ***
fesisAUS.2008 -3.1842e+01 5.2202e+00 -6.0998 2.016e-09 ***
fesisAUT.2007 -2.5286e+01 5.2453e+00 -4.8206 1.860e-06 ***
fesisBEL.2008 -2.7435e+01 5.2247e+00 -5.2509 2.174e-07 ***
fesisBRA.2007 -3.2672e+01 5.2870e+00 -6.1797 1.260e-09 ***
fesisCAN.2010 -2.3292e+01 5.2511e+00 -4.4356 1.111e-05 ***
fesisCHE.2007 -2.8051e+01 5.2447e+00 -5.3484 1.309e-07 ***
fesisCHN.2005 2.3290e+01 6.3648e+00 3.6593 0.0002776 ***
fesisCHN.2017 6.5538e+01 7.6089e+00 8.6134 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2000 6.3420e+01 7.4506e+00 8.5121 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2007 8.0743e+01 8.8655e+00 9.1076 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2010 1.1529e+02 1.0409e+01 11.0760 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2013 -1.0654e+02 8.6201e+00 -12.3593 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDNK.2007 1.3795e+02 8.3077e+00 16.6046 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDNK.2010 9.4030e+01 1.1628e+01 8.0862 4.021e-15 ***
fesisDNK.2012 -1.0701e+02 1.1015e+01 -9.7145 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDNK.2016 5.5464e+01 8.5345e+00 6.4988 1.833e-10 ***
fesisFIN.2007 -3.0128e+01 5.2457e+00 -5.7434 1.545e-08 ***
fesisIND.2007 -2.3981e+01 9.5856e+00 -2.5018 0.0126499 *
fesisISR.2008 -3.0845e+01 5.2229e+00 -5.9058 6.187e-09 ***
fesisJPN.2010 4.5585e+01 5.2330e+00 8.7110 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisNOR.2008 -2.4210e+01 5.2247e+00 -4.6337 4.500e-06 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -2.8525e+01 5.2284e+00 -5.4557 7.417e-08 ***
fesisSGP.2011 -2.6659e+01 5.3152e+00 -5.0156 7.170e-07 ***
fesisSWE.2007 -2.9132e+01 5.2441e+00 -5.5552 4.343e-08 ***
fesisUSA.2004 6.1073e+01 8.4866e+00 7.1964 2.062e-12 ***
fesisUSA.2007 1.3460e+02 1.1676e+01 11.5279 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2009 1.2473e+02 1.2721e+01 9.8052 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2011 -1.0445e+02 1.1612e+01 -8.9945 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2014 -9.4808e+01 8.7833e+00 -10.7942 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 71.785 1 < 2.2e-16 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 65.206 1 6.661e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 12.44257
R-squared 0.96394
Log-lik.(n=624) -2418.59903 1
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:17:45 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 8.5183e-01 2.2321e-02 38.1623 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 9.2381e-16 5.4998e-15 0.1680 0.8666696
pop 1.2613e-08 1.5124e-08 0.8340 0.4046785
idAUT 5.3225e-01 2.6927e+00 0.1977 0.8433821
idBEL 1.8579e-01 2.6902e+00 0.0691 0.9449662
idBRA -3.0058e+00 3.7242e+00 -0.8071 0.4199787
idCAN 1.0977e+00 2.6961e+00 0.4071 0.6840774
idCHE 8.0090e-03 2.6933e+00 0.0030 0.9976285
idCHN -9.4130e+00 1.9616e+01 -0.4799 0.6315254
idDEU 2.5953e+01 3.8014e+00 6.8273 2.393e-11 ***
idDNK 5.3122e+00 3.6172e+00 1.4686 0.1425421
idESP 5.1661e+00 2.7704e+00 1.8647 0.0627745 .
idFIN -3.4536e-01 2.6967e+00 -0.1281 0.8981461
idFRA 2.4899e+00 2.7705e+00 0.8987 0.3692081
idGBR 6.1594e+00 2.8552e+00 2.1573 0.0314367 *
idIND -1.3396e+01 1.8023e+01 -0.7433 0.4576506
idISR -2.2266e-01 2.6939e+00 -0.0827 0.9341579
idITA 9.7622e-01 2.7460e+00 0.3555 0.7223542
idJPN 7.9640e+00 4.5252e+00 1.7599 0.0790003 .
idKOR 3.3623e+00 7.6091e+00 0.4419 0.6587592
idNLD 2.9281e+00 2.6974e+00 1.0855 0.2781793
idNOR 1.4791e+00 2.6975e+00 0.5483 0.5837044
idRUS -1.8906e+00 3.2863e+00 -0.5753 0.5653352
idSGP 2.2980e-01 2.6975e+00 0.0852 0.9321431
idSWE 3.7595e-01 2.6920e+00 0.1397 0.8889877
idUSA 4.0538e+00 5.6458e+00 0.7180 0.4730615
time1996 -2.4501e+00 2.7086e+00 -0.9046 0.3661164
time1997 -3.1860e+00 2.7074e+00 -1.1768 0.2398202
time1998 -1.9090e+00 2.7091e+00 -0.7047 0.4813213
time1999 -4.6502e-01 2.7072e+00 -0.1718 0.8636840
time2000 -1.2064e+00 2.7042e+00 -0.4461 0.6556975
time2001 6.2052e-01 2.7038e+00 0.2295 0.8185708
time2002 -9.9163e-01 2.7029e+00 -0.3669 0.7138576
time2003 -6.5687e-02 2.7040e+00 -0.0243 0.9806283
time2004 -1.5850e+00 2.7111e+00 -0.5846 0.5590430
time2005 -7.1225e-01 2.7126e+00 -0.2626 0.7929839
time2006 2.9735e+00 2.7185e+00 1.0938 0.2745340
time2007 5.4023e+00 2.7192e+00 1.9867 0.0474716 *
time2008 9.7633e+00 2.7318e+00 3.5740 0.0003839 ***
time2009 1.0589e+01 2.7830e+00 3.8048 0.0001586 ***
time2010 5.2479e+00 2.8666e+00 1.8307 0.0677102 .
time2011 4.3183e+00 2.8413e+00 1.5198 0.1291567
time2012 -3.0746e+00 2.8291e+00 -1.0868 0.2776194
time2013 -2.8229e+00 2.8357e+00 -0.9955 0.3199641
time2014 -2.9816e+00 2.7884e+00 -1.0693 0.2854242
time2015 -2.9578e+00 2.7718e+00 -1.0671 0.2864150
time2016 2.5961e+00 2.7665e+00 0.9384 0.3484546
time2017 2.2011e+00 2.7904e+00 0.7888 0.4305698
time2018 -1.8810e+00 2.7827e+00 -0.6759 0.4993737
time2019 -5.7355e-01 2.8087e+00 -0.2042 0.8382742
time2020 5.7816e+00 2.8077e+00 2.0592 0.0399670 *
fesisCHN.2016 2.2263e+01 5.2203e+00 4.2646 2.374e-05 ***
fesisDEU.2010 1.1271e+02 1.0419e+01 10.8174 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2011 -1.0602e+02 1.2155e+01 -8.7229 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2013 -9.2916e+01 1.1905e+01 -7.8048 3.239e-14 ***
fesisDEU.2014 1.0404e+02 1.0827e+01 9.6100 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2019 -6.3998e+01 8.1556e+00 -7.8472 2.395e-14 ***
fesisDNK.2006 5.7322e+01 5.7365e+00 9.9925 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDNK.2012 -8.7827e+01 8.2192e+00 -10.6856 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDNK.2014 7.0443e+01 8.2656e+00 8.5225 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDNK.2019 -5.5085e+01 1.0759e+01 -5.1199 4.295e-07 ***
fesisDNK.2020 8.1423e+01 1.3749e+01 5.9221 5.745e-09 ***
fesisJPN.2010 6.2909e+01 1.0093e+01 6.2326 9.414e-10 ***
fesisJPN.2011 -5.4823e+01 1.0701e+01 -5.1232 4.225e-07 ***
fesisJPN.2016 -2.4760e+01 6.1909e+00 -3.9994 7.258e-05 ***
fesisUSA.2004 2.1655e+01 6.6460e+00 3.2583 0.0011932 **
fesisUSA.2007 8.4412e+01 8.3249e+00 10.1397 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2010 -5.6392e+01 1.1869e+01 -4.7514 2.610e-06 ***
fesisUSA.2011 -7.7386e+01 1.1930e+01 -6.4869 2.025e-10 ***
fesisUSA.2013 9.3003e+01 1.2061e+01 7.7114 6.271e-14 ***
fesisUSA.2014 -1.1083e+02 1.3756e+01 -8.0572 5.272e-15 ***
fesisUSA.2015 4.8529e+01 1.2046e+01 4.0285 6.441e-05 ***
fesisUSA.2017 6.5646e+01 1.1890e+01 5.5213 5.295e-08 ***
fesisUSA.2018 -7.7568e+01 1.1205e+01 -6.9225 1.297e-11 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 10.407 1 0.001255 **
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 85.425 1 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 9.49387
R-squared 0.97948
Log-lik.(n=600) -2164.75079 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:17:41 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 7.8096e-01 2.1538e-02 36.2604 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 4.5282e-15 4.5931e-15 0.9859 0.3246593
pop 9.7736e-09 1.2831e-08 0.7617 0.4465717
idAUT 5.0797e-01 2.2295e+00 0.2278 0.8198615
idBEL 1.1598e-01 2.2273e+00 0.0521 0.9584908
idBRA -2.8449e+00 3.1192e+00 -0.9121 0.3621624
idCAN 1.6830e+00 2.2342e+00 0.7533 0.4516058
idCHE -1.2023e-01 2.2302e+00 -0.0539 0.9570264
idCHN -8.5711e+00 1.6414e+01 -0.5222 0.6017688
idDEU 1.9567e+01 3.3498e+00 5.8412 9.212e-09 ***
idDNK 5.7404e+00 2.9976e+00 1.9150 0.0560451 .
idESP 5.1937e+00 2.6287e+00 1.9758 0.0487136 *
idFIN -5.8309e-01 2.2333e+00 -0.2611 0.7941303
idFRA 3.4837e+00 2.3017e+00 1.5135 0.1307631
idGBR 8.7930e+00 2.4014e+00 3.6615 0.0002767 ***
idIND -9.9442e+00 1.5285e+01 -0.6506 0.5155929
idISR -3.9532e-01 2.2307e+00 -0.1772 0.8594054
idITA 1.6000e+00 2.2777e+00 0.7025 0.4827065
idJPN 8.5834e+00 3.7651e+00 2.2797 0.0230341 *
idKOR 4.8382e-01 6.3237e+00 0.0765 0.9390437
idNLD 3.6722e+00 2.2362e+00 1.6422 0.1011635
idNOR 1.5178e+00 2.2337e+00 0.6795 0.4971256
idRUS -1.9216e+00 2.7428e+00 -0.7006 0.4838660
idSGP 2.7145e-01 2.2337e+00 0.1215 0.9033234
idSWE 4.5060e-01 2.2289e+00 0.2022 0.8398733
idUSA 5.2763e+00 4.7361e+00 1.1141 0.2657766
time1996 -2.2486e+00 2.2440e+00 -1.0021 0.3167833
time1997 -2.9305e+00 2.2431e+00 -1.3065 0.1919783
time1998 -1.6438e+00 2.2445e+00 -0.7324 0.4642808
time1999 -1.1867e-01 2.2431e+00 -0.0529 0.9578271
time2000 -6.8919e-01 2.2411e+00 -0.3075 0.7585681
time2001 1.2375e+00 2.2412e+00 0.5522 0.5810827
time2002 -1.6349e-01 2.2416e+00 -0.0729 0.9418865
time2003 8.3282e-01 2.2431e+00 0.3713 0.7105837
time2004 -7.2848e-01 2.2489e+00 -0.3239 0.7461220
time2005 2.0625e-01 2.2507e+00 0.0916 0.9270194
time2006 1.7761e+00 2.2606e+00 0.7857 0.4324280
time2007 4.3614e+00 2.2771e+00 1.9153 0.0560093 .
time2008 1.0830e+01 2.2877e+00 4.7338 2.854e-06 ***
time2009 9.6557e+00 2.3191e+00 4.1636 3.675e-05 ***
time2010 6.8422e+00 2.3888e+00 2.8644 0.0043498 **
time2011 4.6518e+00 2.3825e+00 1.9525 0.0514212 .
time2012 -3.1174e+00 2.3667e+00 -1.3172 0.1883570
time2013 -1.5417e+00 2.3546e+00 -0.6548 0.5129010
time2014 -8.9734e-02 2.3347e+00 -0.0384 0.9693562
time2015 -3.2983e-01 2.3185e+00 -0.1423 0.8869293
time2016 6.4380e-01 2.3411e+00 0.2750 0.7834272
time2017 4.6673e+00 2.3583e+00 1.9791 0.0483367 *
time2018 -2.4534e+00 2.3545e+00 -1.0420 0.2979156
time2019 6.9211e-01 2.3360e+00 0.2963 0.7671367
time2020 5.1357e+00 2.3495e+00 2.1858 0.0292782 *
fesisCHN.2009 1.2064e+01 3.9845e+00 3.0278 0.0025871 **
fesisCHN.2016 2.0116e+01 4.8225e+00 4.1713 3.557e-05 ***
fesisDEU.2006 4.2664e+01 5.0470e+00 8.4533 2.952e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2010 9.1384e+01 9.1104e+00 10.0308 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2011 -9.6501e+01 1.0147e+01 -9.5102 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2013 -9.6649e+01 9.8644e+00 -9.7978 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2014 7.4674e+01 1.0106e+01 7.3888 6.050e-13 ***
fesisDEU.2016 5.9236e+01 9.8520e+00 6.0126 3.470e-09 ***
fesisDEU.2017 -5.3290e+01 1.1439e+01 -4.6588 4.058e-06 ***
fesisDEU.2018 4.2393e+01 1.1376e+01 3.7264 0.0002158 ***
fesisDEU.2019 -8.7179e+01 9.8462e+00 -8.8541 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDNK.2006 6.8153e+01 4.9934e+00 13.6487 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDNK.2012 -8.1098e+01 6.8944e+00 -11.7629 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDNK.2014 4.3100e+01 8.2789e+00 5.2059 2.798e-07 ***
fesisDNK.2016 4.9292e+01 9.8521e+00 5.0032 7.758e-07 ***
fesisDNK.2017 -4.4516e+01 1.1426e+01 -3.8960 0.0001107 ***
fesisDNK.2018 4.7802e+01 1.1375e+01 4.2025 3.114e-05 ***
fesisDNK.2019 -8.1632e+01 1.1403e+01 -7.1586 2.838e-12 ***
fesisDNK.2020 7.9945e+01 1.1405e+01 7.0097 7.555e-12 ***
fesisESP.2011 3.7418e+01 6.0941e+00 6.1400 1.654e-09 ***
fesisESP.2013 -4.0590e+01 6.3673e+00 -6.3748 4.088e-10 ***
fesisJPN.2010 6.6021e+01 8.3708e+00 7.8870 1.877e-14 ***
fesisJPN.2011 -5.1634e+01 8.8790e+00 -5.8153 1.065e-08 ***
fesisJPN.2016 -2.6633e+01 5.1460e+00 -5.1755 3.268e-07 ***
fesisUSA.2004 2.5598e+01 5.5312e+00 4.6279 4.684e-06 ***
fesisUSA.2007 9.3254e+01 9.3001e+00 10.0272 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2008 -2.9540e+01 1.1563e+01 -2.5546 0.0109195 *
fesisUSA.2009 6.1492e+01 1.1410e+01 5.3893 1.080e-07 ***
fesisUSA.2010 -7.6125e+01 1.1589e+01 -6.5689 1.246e-10 ***
fesisUSA.2011 -7.8345e+01 9.8869e+00 -7.9242 1.439e-14 ***
fesisUSA.2013 8.4757e+01 1.0038e+01 8.4435 3.176e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2014 -1.1003e+02 1.1397e+01 -9.6542 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2015 4.4414e+01 1.0029e+01 4.4285 1.160e-05 ***
fesisUSA.2017 6.2028e+01 9.8606e+00 6.2905 6.785e-10 ***
fesisUSA.2018 -8.6904e+01 9.8655e+00 -8.8089 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2020 3.6719e+01 9.9118e+00 3.7046 0.0002348 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 13.620 1 0.0002238 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 36.953 1 1.21e-09 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 7.85975
R-squared 0.98629
Log-lik.(n=600) -2044.91617 Log Count
0
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.01; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:17:53 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 624
Sample: 1 to 624
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
lgdp 1.28148 0.21877 5.8577 8.056e-09 ***
lpop -5.19254 0.62511 -8.3066 7.600e-16 ***
idAUT -3.18123 0.51707 -6.1525 1.463e-09 ***
idBEL -1.75354 0.40432 -4.3370 1.717e-05 ***
idBRA 9.37447 1.32140 7.0943 3.989e-12 ***
idCAN 2.42940 0.32348 7.5101 2.379e-13 ***
idCHE -4.52128 0.56063 -8.0647 4.562e-15 ***
idCHN 17.55297 2.41167 7.2784 1.163e-12 ***
idDEU 8.88082 0.82982 10.7020 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDNK -5.87173 0.85759 -6.8468 2.011e-11 ***
idESP 4.74485 0.54013 8.7846 < 2.2e-16 ***
idFIN -4.32277 0.75798 -5.7030 1.917e-08 ***
idFRA 5.95462 0.69925 8.5157 < 2.2e-16 ***
idGBR 5.79188 0.71649 8.0837 3.968e-15 ***
idIND 15.17320 2.26702 6.6930 5.367e-11 ***
idISR -5.60109 0.61976 -9.0375 < 2.2e-16 ***
idITA 5.28727 0.66256 7.9800 8.461e-15 ***
idJPN 2.67674 1.34370 1.9921 0.0468540 *
idKOR -3.52037 1.33278 -2.6414 0.0084900 **
idNLD 0.31976 0.21325 1.4994 0.1343305
idNOR -8.83193 0.98863 -8.9335 < 2.2e-16 ***
idRUS 5.36018 1.17217 4.5729 5.940e-06 ***
idSGP -7.13865 0.88571 -8.0598 4.729e-15 ***
idSWE -4.49778 0.62440 -7.2033 1.929e-12 ***
idUSA 12.09073 1.52093 7.9496 1.055e-14 ***
time1995 52.11965 9.38441 5.5539 4.342e-08 ***
time1996 52.35117 9.38957 5.5755 3.862e-08 ***
time1997 52.30647 9.39460 5.5677 4.028e-08 ***
time1998 52.36832 9.39905 5.5717 3.942e-08 ***
time1999 52.79968 9.40675 5.6130 3.147e-08 ***
time2000 52.88637 9.41183 5.6191 3.043e-08 ***
time2001 53.00988 9.41687 5.6292 2.879e-08 ***
time2002 53.12107 9.42113 5.6385 2.736e-08 ***
time2003 53.14418 9.42524 5.6385 2.736e-08 ***
time2004 53.40458 9.43144 5.6624 2.399e-08 ***
time2005 53.56353 9.43533 5.6769 2.215e-08 ***
time2006 53.92843 9.44078 5.7123 1.821e-08 ***
time2007 54.20479 9.44624 5.7382 1.576e-08 ***
time2008 54.45624 9.44480 5.7657 1.352e-08 ***
time2009 54.82341 9.44618 5.8038 1.092e-08 ***
time2010 54.83435 9.45127 5.8018 1.104e-08 ***
time2011 54.86707 9.45565 5.8026 1.099e-08 ***
time2012 54.72207 9.46003 5.7846 1.216e-08 ***
time2013 54.47634 9.46441 5.7559 1.428e-08 ***
time2014 54.45731 9.46775 5.7519 1.461e-08 ***
time2015 54.23059 9.47191 5.7254 1.693e-08 ***
time2016 54.31026 9.47642 5.7311 1.640e-08 ***
time2017 54.45925 9.48057 5.7443 1.524e-08 ***
time2018 54.32702 9.48446 5.7280 1.668e-08 ***
time2019 54.13873 9.48732 5.7064 1.881e-08 ***
time2020 54.42826 9.48833 5.7363 1.593e-08 ***
fesisAUS.2009 -0.54742 0.17925 -3.0539 0.0023671 **
fesisBEL.2003 -0.75192 0.28794 -2.6114 0.0092621 **
fesisBEL.2006 -1.59407 0.48948 -3.2566 0.0011964 **
fesisBEL.2007 1.82476 0.43919 4.1548 3.770e-05 ***
fesisBRA.2007 -0.81021 0.19743 -4.1038 4.675e-05 ***
fesisBRA.2015 0.93351 0.23047 4.0504 5.842e-05 ***
fesisCHN.2005 0.92279 0.26729 3.4524 0.0005981 ***
fesisDNK.2007 1.15175 0.17051 6.7547 3.627e-11 ***
fesisESP.2004 0.88295 0.17865 4.9424 1.024e-06 ***
fesisFIN.1999 -1.21892 0.23457 -5.1965 2.859e-07 ***
fesisGBR.2001 0.98326 0.19962 4.9256 1.112e-06 ***
fesisIND.2008 1.11044 0.20142 5.5130 5.415e-08 ***
fesisJPN.1999 1.00053 0.23829 4.1988 3.125e-05 ***
fesisNOR.2019 1.34011 0.31386 4.2698 2.302e-05 ***
fesisRUS.2004 -1.31956 0.20672 -6.3834 3.666e-10 ***
fesisSGP.2008 1.79683 0.23342 7.6979 6.392e-14 ***
fesisSGP.2014 -1.59625 0.23808 -6.7047 4.983e-11 ***
fesisSWE.2003 -1.33486 0.18305 -7.2922 1.060e-12 ***
fesisUSA.2003 1.29620 0.18306 7.0808 4.364e-12 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 20.2457 1 6.811e-06 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 4.2118 1 0.04014 *
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.41493
R-squared 0.93097
Log-lik.(n=624) -301.52474 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.05; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:17:50 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 624
Sample: 1 to 624
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
lgdp 1.49754 0.21597 6.9341 1.166e-11 ***
lpop -4.21994 0.69247 -6.0940 2.088e-09 ***
idAUT -1.64536 0.58386 -2.8181 0.0050077 **
idBEL -0.87272 0.44495 -1.9614 0.0503457 .
idBRA 7.04459 1.48115 4.7562 2.532e-06 ***
idCAN 1.60844 0.35949 4.4743 9.344e-06 ***
idCHE -3.12179 0.64961 -4.8056 1.999e-06 ***
idCHN 13.35116 2.73992 4.8728 1.446e-06 ***
idDEU 7.32212 0.93477 7.8330 2.519e-14 ***
idDNK -4.70056 0.93493 -5.0277 6.753e-07 ***
idESP 4.08187 0.57954 7.0433 5.706e-12 ***
idFIN -2.64757 0.85650 -3.0912 0.0020961 **
idFRA 4.70920 0.78225 6.0201 3.211e-09 ***
idGBR 4.63669 0.79042 5.8661 7.759e-09 ***
idIND 10.48122 2.58595 4.0531 5.792e-05 ***
idISR -4.40811 0.71554 -6.1605 1.413e-09 ***
idITA 3.75797 0.75989 4.9454 1.014e-06 ***
idJPN -0.50293 1.47860 -0.3401 0.7338859
idKOR -5.89216 1.35650 -4.3436 1.673e-05 ***
idNLD 0.64340 0.21815 2.9493 0.0033220 **
idNOR -7.62247 1.06967 -7.1260 3.304e-12 ***
idRUS 2.57172 1.33964 1.9197 0.0554190 .
idSGP -5.22461 1.01022 -5.1717 3.267e-07 ***
idSWE -3.95772 0.65599 -6.0332 2.977e-09 ***
idUSA 8.69106 1.73301 5.0150 7.193e-07 ***
time1995 29.88206 10.78005 2.7720 0.0057629 **
time1996 30.09868 10.78590 2.7906 0.0054468 **
time1997 30.03827 10.79157 2.7835 0.0055650 **
time1998 30.08779 10.79662 2.7868 0.0055098 **
time1999 30.48910 10.80476 2.8218 0.0049501 **
time2000 30.56481 10.80992 2.8275 0.0048647 **
time2001 30.67741 10.81558 2.8364 0.0047327 **
time2002 30.74672 10.82248 2.8410 0.0046660 **
time2003 30.76747 10.82767 2.8416 0.0046580 **
time2004 31.01751 10.83451 2.8628 0.0043607 **
time2005 31.17645 10.83844 2.8765 0.0041795 **
time2006 31.52456 10.84454 2.9070 0.0037988 **
time2007 31.81312 10.85099 2.9318 0.0035119 **
time2008 32.05141 10.85017 2.9540 0.0032728 **
time2009 32.42485 10.85171 2.9880 0.0029351 **
time2010 32.51080 10.85395 2.9953 0.0028669 **
time2011 32.53071 10.85891 2.9958 0.0028626 **
time2012 32.37503 10.86393 2.9800 0.0030111 **
time2013 32.11811 10.86894 2.9550 0.0032620 **
time2014 32.07882 10.87301 2.9503 0.0033114 **
time2015 31.86931 10.87280 2.9311 0.0035198 **
time2016 31.93679 10.87793 2.9359 0.0034664 **
time2017 32.07339 10.88262 2.9472 0.0033443 **
time2018 31.92983 10.88702 2.9328 0.0035006 **
time2019 31.73620 10.89000 2.9143 0.0037124 **
time2020 32.03038 10.89139 2.9409 0.0034122 **
fesisAUS.2009 -0.78729 0.17659 -4.4583 1.004e-05 ***
fesisAUT.2002 -0.54611 0.18121 -3.0136 0.0027021 **
fesisBEL.2003 -0.71124 0.27077 -2.6267 0.0088644 **
fesisBEL.2006 -1.59648 0.45856 -3.4815 0.0005388 ***
fesisBEL.2007 1.72340 0.41192 4.1838 3.343e-05 ***
fesisBRA.2007 -0.95282 0.18713 -5.0917 4.900e-07 ***
fesisBRA.2015 0.88525 0.21670 4.0851 5.070e-05 ***
fesisCAN.2002 0.71405 0.20820 3.4296 0.0006504 ***
fesisCAN.2010 -0.65082 0.18914 -3.4410 0.0006241 ***
fesisCHE.2005 -0.51955 0.16593 -3.1311 0.0018352 **
fesisCHN.2000 -0.87606 0.25754 -3.4016 0.0007192 ***
fesisCHN.2005 1.08916 0.26700 4.0792 5.196e-05 ***
fesisDNK.2007 1.11237 0.16235 6.8516 1.986e-11 ***
fesisESP.2004 0.77657 0.17096 4.5423 6.861e-06 ***
fesisFIN.1999 -0.93750 0.24604 -3.8103 0.0001546 ***
fesisFIN.2007 -0.44437 0.17959 -2.4743 0.0136536 *
fesisGBR.2001 0.95238 0.18934 5.0299 6.679e-07 ***
fesisIND.2008 0.78749 0.19675 4.0025 7.139e-05 ***
fesisISR.2015 -0.64151 0.21860 -2.9346 0.0034809 **
fesisITA.2002 0.55595 0.18675 2.9769 0.0030418 **
fesisJPN.1999 1.08010 0.22719 4.7541 2.556e-06 ***
fesisNOR.2019 1.23316 0.29561 4.1715 3.522e-05 ***
fesisRUS.2004 -1.33922 0.19809 -6.7606 3.556e-11 ***
fesisSGP.2008 2.11100 0.31682 6.6631 6.594e-11 ***
fesisSGP.2010 -0.94889 0.34623 -2.7406 0.0063338 **
fesisSGP.2014 -1.40127 0.25053 -5.5932 3.538e-08 ***
fesisSWE.2003 -1.03475 0.20926 -4.9447 1.018e-06 ***
fesisSWE.2010 -0.58871 0.19424 -3.0308 0.0025550 **
fesisUSA.2000 0.71857 0.29069 2.4719 0.0137440 *
fesisUSA.2003 0.75059 0.25061 2.9950 0.0028695 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 5.4942 1 0.0190799 *
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 12.4219 1 0.0004243 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.38868
R-squared 0.94063
Log-lik.(n=624) -255.24150 1
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:19:02 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.388291 0.035553 10.9216 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 1.273964 0.156687 8.1306 2.989e-15 ***
lpop -3.128883 0.607448 -5.1509 3.651e-07 ***
idAUT -0.714679 0.534583 -1.3369 0.1818263
idBEL -0.303742 0.403452 -0.7529 0.4518670
idBRA 5.211561 1.276989 4.0811 5.166e-05 ***
idCAN 1.566362 0.292959 5.3467 1.329e-07 ***
idCHE -2.097211 0.586163 -3.5779 0.0003779 ***
idCHN 9.549005 2.348540 4.0659 5.503e-05 ***
idDEU 5.276433 0.825250 6.3937 3.530e-10 ***
idDNK -3.509736 0.827573 -4.2410 2.622e-05 ***
idESP 3.612051 0.503857 7.1688 2.527e-12 ***
idFIN -2.098682 0.778851 -2.6946 0.0072691 **
idFRA 3.639091 0.667280 5.4536 7.552e-08 ***
idGBR 4.084289 0.666733 6.1258 1.749e-09 ***
idIND 7.730876 2.256343 3.4263 0.0006589 ***
idISR -2.959996 0.638259 -4.6376 4.436e-06 ***
idITA 3.381157 0.682728 4.9524 9.843e-07 ***
idJPN -1.563560 1.159600 -1.3484 0.1781124
idKOR -5.300842 0.954086 -5.5559 4.359e-08 ***
idNLD 0.819120 0.200779 4.0797 5.196e-05 ***
idNOR -5.456507 0.961039 -5.6777 2.241e-08 ***
idRUS 1.598595 1.112085 1.4375 0.1511675
idSGP -3.296559 0.914150 -3.6061 0.0003399 ***
idSWE -2.908957 0.584699 -4.9751 8.801e-07 ***
idUSA 5.460138 1.554310 3.5129 0.0004807 ***
time1996 17.586007 9.229192 1.9055 0.0572540 .
time1997 17.374933 9.234072 1.8816 0.0604315 .
time1998 17.435503 9.237860 1.8874 0.0596481 .
time1999 17.844227 9.243961 1.9304 0.0540897 .
time2000 17.679123 9.251817 1.9109 0.0565540 .
time2001 17.783906 9.256719 1.9212 0.0552389 .
time2002 17.938998 9.262743 1.9367 0.0533103 .
time2003 17.807238 9.267573 1.9215 0.0552051 .
time2004 18.079712 9.274279 1.9494 0.0517642 .
time2005 18.161672 9.279936 1.9571 0.0508565 .
time2006 18.416276 9.287136 1.9830 0.0478797 *
time2007 18.512283 9.290793 1.9925 0.0468194 *
time2008 18.718499 9.298654 2.0130 0.0446116 *
time2009 18.911371 9.305663 2.0322 0.0426225 *
time2010 18.802361 9.311510 2.0193 0.0439584 *
time2011 18.811500 9.315471 2.0194 0.0439456 *
time2012 18.692928 9.318603 2.0060 0.0453613 *
time2013 18.496171 9.321683 1.9842 0.0477430 *
time2014 18.496989 9.324146 1.9838 0.0477918 *
time2015 18.331401 9.327560 1.9653 0.0498971 *
time2016 18.473276 9.330416 1.9799 0.0482269 *
time2017 18.581981 9.334397 1.9907 0.0470222 *
time2018 18.378283 9.338725 1.9680 0.0495881 *
time2019 18.240826 9.340394 1.9529 0.0513528 .
time2020 18.574363 9.341986 1.9883 0.0472913 *
fesisAUT.2002 -1.930434 0.466894 -4.1346 4.127e-05 ***
fesisAUT.2003 1.669206 0.446184 3.7411 0.0002030 ***
fesisBEL.2006 -1.994007 0.452867 -4.4031 1.289e-05 ***
fesisBEL.2007 1.851587 0.446289 4.1488 3.886e-05 ***
fesisDNK.2006 0.763755 0.182712 4.1801 3.404e-05 ***
fesisITA.1999 -1.578685 0.498226 -3.1686 0.0016192 **
fesisITA.2000 1.591877 0.443288 3.5911 0.0003597 ***
fesisJPN.1999 1.078400 0.273172 3.9477 8.945e-05 ***
fesisNOR.2019 1.067497 0.319627 3.3398 0.0008968 ***
fesisRUS.2004 -0.971525 0.210455 -4.6163 4.897e-06 ***
fesisSGP.2007 1.297458 0.248422 5.2228 2.528e-07 ***
fesisSGP.2012 -1.316885 0.246928 -5.3331 1.427e-07 ***
fesisSWE.2002 -0.890845 0.208480 -4.2731 2.283e-05 ***
fesisUSA.1997 1.485649 0.443102 3.3528 0.0008565 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 2.1146 1 0.14590
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 5.9805 1 0.01446 *
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.42193
R-squared 0.92674
Log-lik.(n=600) -301.11821 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:18:59 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.371312 0.034498 10.7631 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.574421 0.205443 2.7960 0.0053675 **
lpop -2.628299 0.726332 -3.6186 0.0003255 ***
idAUT -1.588836 0.618306 -2.5697 0.0104605 *
idBEL -0.845884 0.464502 -1.8211 0.0691795 .
idBRA 4.670213 1.568279 2.9779 0.0030391 **
idCAN 1.520893 0.396965 3.8313 0.0001432 ***
idCHE -2.181671 0.672206 -3.2455 0.0012487 **
idCHN 9.181415 2.879041 3.1891 0.0015144 **
idDEU 5.151537 1.013631 5.0823 5.230e-07 ***
idDNK -3.166918 0.990822 -3.1963 0.0014779 **
idESP 3.055158 0.637312 4.7938 2.146e-06 ***
idFIN -2.626768 0.891479 -2.9465 0.0033595 **
idFRA 3.923202 0.886354 4.4262 1.172e-05 ***
idGBR 3.039469 0.852672 3.5646 0.0003983 ***
idIND 8.010912 2.717191 2.9482 0.0033413 **
idISR -2.552402 0.808858 -3.1556 0.0016958 **
idITA 3.068698 0.832896 3.6844 0.0002536 ***
idJPN 1.748174 1.488507 1.1744 0.2407595
idKOR -1.681732 1.291185 -1.3025 0.1933385
idNLD 0.432827 0.243961 1.7742 0.0766280 .
idNOR -4.201314 1.121717 -3.7454 0.0002005 ***
idRUS 3.212650 1.393696 2.3051 0.0215568 *
idSGP -3.746943 1.063634 -3.5228 0.0004651 ***
idSWE -1.837924 0.676578 -2.7165 0.0068199 **
idUSA 5.785076 1.867491 3.0978 0.0020564 **
time1996 28.612240 11.200024 2.5547 0.0109163 *
time1997 28.423376 11.205641 2.5365 0.0114907 *
time1998 28.414157 11.211651 2.5343 0.0115616 *
time1999 28.875161 11.218109 2.5740 0.0103326 *
time2000 28.677234 11.227882 2.5541 0.0109333 *
time2001 28.795519 11.233688 2.5633 0.0106511 *
time2002 28.939552 11.239698 2.5748 0.0103095 *
time2003 28.881825 11.243450 2.5688 0.0104872 *
time2004 29.063004 11.250953 2.5832 0.0100651 *
time2005 29.235374 11.252565 2.5981 0.0096429 **
time2006 29.522137 11.260512 2.6217 0.0090075 **
time2007 29.609830 11.264587 2.6286 0.0088308 **
time2008 29.865354 11.272826 2.6493 0.0083136 **
time2009 30.043904 11.279782 2.6635 0.0079755 **
time2010 29.979932 11.286376 2.6563 0.0081460 **
time2011 30.005661 11.291398 2.6574 0.0081199 **
time2012 29.891491 11.294931 2.6465 0.0083835 **
time2013 29.700708 11.299243 2.6286 0.0088313 **
time2014 29.709030 11.303150 2.6284 0.0088358 **
time2015 29.496337 11.306985 2.6087 0.0093538 **
time2016 29.699776 11.310965 2.6258 0.0089035 **
time2017 29.826318 11.315903 2.6358 0.0086479 **
time2018 29.639533 11.320982 2.6181 0.0091027 **
time2019 29.551992 11.323414 2.6098 0.0093233 **
time2020 29.796016 11.325276 2.6309 0.0087707 **
fesisAUS.2002 0.907238 0.277126 3.2737 0.0011328 **
fesisAUS.2005 -0.969445 0.253535 -3.8237 0.0001476 ***
fesisAUT.2000 0.951877 0.338962 2.8082 0.0051713 **
fesisAUT.2002 -2.473203 0.479418 -5.1588 3.556e-07 ***
fesisAUT.2003 1.575387 0.405065 3.8892 0.0001138 ***
fesisBEL.2006 -1.991687 0.410393 -4.8531 1.614e-06 ***
fesisBEL.2007 2.641223 0.554758 4.7610 2.508e-06 ***
fesisBEL.2008 -0.858571 0.411320 -2.0874 0.0373479 *
fesisBEL.2019 -0.927601 0.409789 -2.2636 0.0240145 *
fesisBEL.2020 1.336816 0.554231 2.4120 0.0162138 *
fesisBRA.2015 1.348283 0.401282 3.3599 0.0008375 ***
fesisBRA.2016 -1.265783 0.428702 -2.9526 0.0032953 **
fesisCHN.2004 0.908722 0.246529 3.6861 0.0002520 ***
fesisDNK.1998 1.743378 0.478234 3.6454 0.0002941 ***
fesisDNK.1999 -1.079408 0.419193 -2.5750 0.0103036 *
fesisDNK.2006 0.693187 0.183302 3.7817 0.0001741 ***
fesisFIN.2004 1.079456 0.417895 2.5831 0.0100675 *
fesisFIN.2005 -1.350351 0.403336 -3.3480 0.0008738 ***
fesisFRA.1998 -0.585881 0.291112 -2.0126 0.0446821 *
fesisGBR.2000 0.827438 0.218014 3.7953 0.0001650 ***
fesisIND.2005 0.753021 0.196405 3.8340 0.0001417 ***
fesisISR.2003 -1.310204 0.420418 -3.1164 0.0019329 **
fesisISR.2004 1.159197 0.409734 2.8291 0.0048497 **
fesisITA.1999 -1.559719 0.451380 -3.4554 0.0005948 ***
fesisITA.2000 1.525956 0.402438 3.7918 0.0001673 ***
fesisJPN.1999 1.512504 0.288398 5.2445 2.294e-07 ***
fesisJPN.2004 -0.596740 0.206530 -2.8894 0.0040232 **
fesisKOR.1998 0.825260 0.295139 2.7962 0.0053647 **
fesisNOR.2019 0.995119 0.290729 3.4228 0.0006691 ***
fesisRUS.2004 -0.729571 0.207407 -3.5176 0.0004741 ***
fesisSGP.2007 1.454712 0.236892 6.1408 1.644e-09 ***
fesisSGP.2012 -1.251024 0.226719 -5.5179 5.445e-08 ***
fesisSWE.2002 -0.629121 0.215659 -2.9172 0.0036864 **
fesisSWE.2010 -0.372281 0.184190 -2.0212 0.0437790 *
fesisUSA.1997 1.600717 0.403088 3.9711 8.173e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 3.6692 1 0.05543 .
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 5.3097 1 0.02121 *
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.38178
R-squared 0.94237
Log-lik.(n=600) -230.61622 Batteries
with IIS
Count
AR 0
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.01; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:45:04 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 624
Sample: 1 to 624
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp 1.4142e-12 6.8930e-14 20.5162 < 2.2e-16 ***
pop 1.8386e-08 1.1027e-07 0.1667 0.8676433
idAUT 1.2215e+01 1.1693e+01 1.0446 0.2966637
idBEL -1.6588e+00 1.1663e+01 -0.1422 0.8869540
idBRA -1.4467e+01 2.1953e+01 -0.6590 0.5101839
idCAN 2.7403e+01 1.1678e+01 2.3465 0.0193092 *
idCHE 4.0200e+00 1.1701e+01 0.3435 0.7313227
idCHN -2.5472e+01 1.3729e+02 -0.1855 0.8528775
idDEU 8.6113e+01 1.5637e+01 5.5069 5.650e-08 ***
idDNK -6.7018e+00 1.1737e+01 -0.5710 0.5682282
idESP -4.1864e+00 1.1874e+01 -0.3526 0.7245461
idFIN -3.3943e+00 1.1738e+01 -0.2892 0.7725632
idFRA 7.3411e+01 1.2511e+01 5.8675 7.713e-09 ***
idGBR 3.5007e+01 1.2437e+01 2.8148 0.0050578 **
idIND -8.7542e+01 1.2011e+02 -0.7288 0.4664143
idISR 3.8031e+00 1.1707e+01 0.3248 0.7454223
idITA 5.0738e+00 1.2308e+01 0.4122 0.6803356
idJPN 1.7823e+02 3.8602e+01 4.6172 4.864e-06 ***
idKOR -1.0108e+03 5.5863e+01 -18.0944 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 1.1770e+00 1.1617e+01 0.1013 0.9193360
idNOR -8.5009e+00 1.1750e+01 -0.7235 0.4696879
idRUS -9.9868e+01 1.8065e+01 -5.5283 5.036e-08 ***
idSGP -1.7900e+00 1.1748e+01 -0.1524 0.8789557
idSWE -2.3837e+00 1.1683e+01 -0.2040 0.8384099
idUSA 2.1243e+02 3.5317e+01 6.0150 3.316e-09 ***
time1995 -2.2122e+00 1.1978e+01 -0.1847 0.8535406
time1996 -3.3298e+00 1.1990e+01 -0.2777 0.7813461
time1997 -6.6993e-01 1.2008e+01 -0.0558 0.9555297
time1998 1.7617e+00 1.2033e+01 0.1464 0.8836585
time1999 -3.9583e+00 1.1936e+01 -0.3316 0.7403055
time2000 2.8922e+00 1.1957e+01 0.2419 0.8089593
time2001 -1.5286e-01 1.1978e+01 -0.0128 0.9898224
time2002 -9.3958e+00 1.1999e+01 -0.7830 0.4339449
time2003 -1.0073e+01 1.2026e+01 -0.8375 0.4026620
time2004 -2.5390e+00 1.2057e+01 -0.2106 0.8332860
time2005 -4.1174e+00 1.2012e+01 -0.3428 0.7318987
time2006 -3.4877e-01 1.2153e+01 -0.0287 0.9771164
time2007 3.9358e+00 1.2245e+01 0.3214 0.7480076
time2008 5.5051e+00 1.2279e+01 0.4483 0.6540860
time2009 -3.5258e+00 1.2304e+01 -0.2866 0.7745572
time2010 -4.3435e+00 1.2288e+01 -0.3535 0.7238696
time2011 1.0464e+01 1.2100e+01 0.8648 0.3875426
time2012 1.9157e+01 1.2123e+01 1.5803 0.1146248
time2013 3.2998e+01 1.2148e+01 2.7164 0.0068099 **
time2014 2.2288e+01 1.2176e+01 1.8305 0.0677312 .
time2015 8.2870e+00 1.2207e+01 0.6789 0.4975091
time2016 6.0116e+00 1.2322e+01 0.4879 0.6258223
time2017 2.4477e+01 1.2349e+01 1.9821 0.0479761 *
time2018 3.2483e+01 1.2379e+01 2.6240 0.0089371 **
time2019 2.4662e+01 1.2409e+01 1.9874 0.0473765 *
time2020 4.5722e+01 1.2427e+01 3.6792 0.0002574 ***
iis179 1.6104e+02 6.0508e+01 2.6615 0.0080109 **
iis180 3.1034e+02 6.0520e+01 5.1280 4.086e-07 ***
iis181 4.9980e+02 6.0532e+01 8.2568 1.153e-15 ***
iis182 5.6804e+02 6.0542e+01 9.3825 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis417 -3.1984e+02 4.5417e+01 -7.0424 5.764e-12 ***
iis418 -3.0671e+02 4.5381e+01 -6.7584 3.619e-11 ***
iis419 -2.8693e+02 4.5374e+01 -6.3237 5.352e-10 ***
iis420 -2.6604e+02 4.5380e+01 -5.8626 7.933e-09 ***
iis431 3.0898e+02 5.2391e+01 5.8975 6.504e-09 ***
iis432 9.9840e+02 5.2381e+01 19.0602 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis433 1.4457e+03 5.2392e+01 27.5942 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis434 1.3366e+03 5.2388e+01 25.5132 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis435 9.7217e+02 5.2389e+01 18.5566 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis436 1.0292e+03 5.2388e+01 19.6451 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis437 1.0431e+03 5.2393e+01 19.9100 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis438 1.0669e+03 5.2433e+01 20.3487 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis439 1.4435e+03 5.2443e+01 27.5262 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis440 1.5299e+03 5.2445e+01 29.1725 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis441 1.0414e+03 5.2438e+01 19.8601 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis442 8.7955e+02 5.2427e+01 16.7765 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis454 -3.4872e+02 5.2841e+01 -6.5994 9.860e-11 ***
iis455 -4.3222e+02 5.0388e+01 -8.5778 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis456 -5.1392e+02 4.9194e+01 -10.4468 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisCHN.2005 1.5462e+02 2.0614e+01 7.5005 2.624e-13 ***
fesisCHN.2016 4.4811e+02 4.4992e+01 9.9596 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2009 4.1495e+02 1.6909e+01 24.5399 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisIND.2011 -9.7133e+01 2.9612e+01 -3.2802 0.0011042 **
fesisJPN.2007 2.3096e+02 3.3892e+01 6.8146 2.528e-11 ***
fesisKOR.2000 -2.3488e+02 3.2123e+01 -7.3117 9.545e-13 ***
fesisKOR.2006 2.0802e+02 4.6356e+01 4.4873 8.816e-06 ***
fesisUSA.2000 9.4850e+01 2.3492e+01 4.0376 6.179e-05 ***
fesisUSA.2010 5.0869e+02 1.8933e+01 26.8675 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 74.338 1 < 2.2e-16 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 47.417 1 5.738e-12 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 41.84141
R-squared 0.99063
Log-lik.(n=624) -3173.86290 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.05; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:45:02 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 624
Sample: 1 to 624
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp 1.2513e-12 6.7931e-14 18.4197 < 2.2e-16 ***
pop -9.6864e-09 9.4086e-08 -0.1030 0.9180394
idAUT 1.1653e+01 9.9218e+00 1.1745 0.2407393
idBEL -2.1434e+00 9.8965e+00 -0.2166 0.8286164
idBRA -9.4088e+00 1.8698e+01 -0.5032 0.6150245
idCAN 2.7772e+01 9.9096e+00 2.8025 0.0052552 **
idCHE 3.4848e+00 9.9293e+00 0.3510 0.7257590
idCHN 1.2386e+01 1.1711e+02 0.1058 0.9158087
idDEU 5.6647e+01 1.8806e+01 3.0122 0.0027168 **
idDNK -7.0845e+00 9.9599e+00 -0.7113 0.4772065
idESP -3.6316e+00 1.0078e+01 -0.3604 0.7187207
idFIN -4.0598e+00 9.9605e+00 -0.4076 0.6837403
idFRA 7.4684e+01 1.0624e+01 7.0300 6.350e-12 ***
idGBR 3.6177e+01 1.0560e+01 3.4259 0.0006600 ***
idIND -4.8364e+01 1.0238e+02 -0.4724 0.6368282
idISR 3.3132e+00 9.9345e+00 0.3335 0.7388818
idITA 6.1439e+00 1.0450e+01 0.5879 0.5568164
idJPN 2.6223e+02 3.6541e+01 7.1763 2.414e-12 ***
idKOR -8.8699e+02 5.3987e+01 -16.4296 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 8.9510e-01 9.8573e+00 0.0908 0.9276812
idNOR -8.7595e+00 9.9716e+00 -0.8784 0.3800985
idRUS -6.2701e+01 1.6672e+01 -3.7608 0.0001881 ***
idSGP -2.4551e+00 9.9692e+00 -0.2463 0.8055671
idSWE -2.3757e+00 9.9150e+00 -0.2396 0.8107235
idUSA 2.2152e+02 3.0097e+01 7.3603 6.995e-13 ***
time1995 -2.2861e+00 1.0185e+01 -0.2244 0.8224950
time1996 -2.9538e+00 1.0195e+01 -0.2897 0.7721320
time1997 1.0750e-01 1.0209e+01 0.0105 0.9916024
time1998 2.3162e+00 1.0230e+01 0.2264 0.8209692
time1999 -2.9121e+00 1.0145e+01 -0.2870 0.7741910
time2000 1.5066e-01 1.0170e+01 0.0148 0.9881860
time2001 -2.4975e+00 1.0187e+01 -0.2452 0.8064172
time2002 -7.3287e+00 1.0287e+01 -0.7124 0.4765311
time2003 -7.3051e+00 1.0313e+01 -0.7083 0.4790464
time2004 -3.3568e+00 1.0253e+01 -0.3274 0.7435078
time2005 -4.6471e+00 1.0217e+01 -0.4549 0.6494000
time2006 -1.8552e-01 1.0326e+01 -0.0180 0.9856721
time2007 4.1079e+00 1.0404e+01 0.3949 0.6931090
time2008 5.7408e+00 1.0433e+01 0.5503 0.5823689
time2009 -7.3259e+00 1.0525e+01 -0.6961 0.4866838
time2010 5.4491e+00 1.0490e+01 0.5195 0.6036419
time2011 2.0071e+01 1.0323e+01 1.9443 0.0523837 .
time2012 2.9147e+01 1.0339e+01 2.8190 0.0049962 **
time2013 3.2155e+01 1.0337e+01 3.1105 0.0019675 **
time2014 2.1932e+01 1.0358e+01 2.1174 0.0346926 *
time2015 8.3764e+00 1.0383e+01 0.8068 0.4201544
time2016 6.2621e+00 1.0479e+01 0.5976 0.5503801
time2017 2.5237e+01 1.0501e+01 2.4033 0.0165902 *
time2018 2.9984e+01 1.0631e+01 2.8203 0.0049766 **
time2019 2.0563e+01 1.0656e+01 1.9297 0.0541741 .
time2020 4.7198e+01 1.0567e+01 4.4664 9.717e-06 ***
iis179 1.6160e+02 5.1341e+01 3.1476 0.0017382 **
iis180 3.1521e+02 5.1382e+01 6.1346 1.665e-09 ***
iis181 5.0722e+02 5.1393e+01 9.8695 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis182 5.7031e+02 5.1371e+01 11.1019 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis417 -3.2560e+02 3.8562e+01 -8.4435 2.931e-16 ***
iis418 -3.1056e+02 3.8522e+01 -8.0619 4.975e-15 ***
iis419 -2.9042e+02 3.8514e+01 -7.5407 2.026e-13 ***
iis420 -2.7029e+02 3.8521e+01 -7.0167 6.929e-12 ***
iis431 3.0763e+02 4.4531e+01 6.9083 1.403e-11 ***
iis432 9.8674e+02 4.4457e+01 22.1953 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis433 1.4342e+03 4.4465e+01 32.2555 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis434 1.3259e+03 4.4463e+01 29.8196 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis435 9.7398e+02 4.4466e+01 21.9041 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis436 1.0307e+03 4.4464e+01 23.1813 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis437 1.0456e+03 4.4472e+01 23.5119 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis438 1.0699e+03 4.4507e+01 24.0389 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis439 1.4475e+03 4.4521e+01 32.5125 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis440 1.5377e+03 4.4548e+01 34.5179 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis441 1.0504e+03 4.4539e+01 23.5843 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis442 8.7911e+02 4.4495e+01 19.7576 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis450 -9.1882e+01 4.0550e+01 -2.2659 0.0238578 *
iis451 -9.9595e+01 4.0581e+01 -2.4542 0.0144375 *
iis454 -4.3704e+02 4.8337e+01 -9.0415 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis455 -5.0905e+02 4.5515e+01 -11.1843 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis456 -5.8449e+02 4.4113e+01 -13.2499 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis457 -2.6773e+02 4.3751e+01 -6.1194 1.821e-09 ***
iis622 8.2598e+01 3.9250e+01 2.1044 0.0358120 *
iis623 1.2632e+02 3.9252e+01 3.2182 0.0013682 **
fesisCHN.2005 1.5989e+02 1.7503e+01 9.1349 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisCHN.2016 4.5567e+02 3.8188e+01 11.9324 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2000 4.9893e+01 2.0306e+01 2.4571 0.0143243 *
fesisDEU.2009 3.9561e+02 1.6079e+01 24.6034 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisIND.2011 -8.1317e+01 2.5175e+01 -3.2301 0.0013140 **
fesisJPN.2007 2.3562e+02 2.8775e+01 8.1881 1.971e-15 ***
fesisKOR.2000 -1.5719e+02 3.0602e+01 -5.1366 3.930e-07 ***
fesisKOR.2006 2.9412e+02 4.7626e+01 6.1756 1.308e-09 ***
fesisRUS.2010 -5.3423e+01 1.4628e+01 -3.6522 0.0002857 ***
fesisUSA.2000 7.4997e+01 2.0313e+01 3.6920 0.0002454 ***
fesisUSA.2009 3.1273e+02 2.1904e+01 14.2775 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2013 2.5992e+02 2.3477e+01 11.0717 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 68.689 1 < 2.2e-16 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 13.199 1 0.0002801 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 35.50223
R-squared 0.99336
Log-lik.(n=624) -3067.34527 AR 1
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:44:57 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 9.7583e-01 1.0793e-02 90.4095 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp -2.7810e-14 2.9015e-14 -0.9585 0.3382725
pop 5.5066e-08 3.4966e-08 1.5748 0.1159023
idAUT 2.4137e+00 6.1586e+00 0.3919 0.6952746
idBEL 7.7653e-02 6.1520e+00 0.0126 0.9899337
idBRA -1.0302e+01 8.5425e+00 -1.2059 0.2283832
idCAN 2.9796e-01 6.1619e+00 0.0484 0.9614519
idCHE 6.6443e-01 6.1594e+00 0.1079 0.9141382
idCHN -4.7252e+01 4.5247e+01 -1.0443 0.2968214
idDEU 2.4035e+01 7.1024e+00 3.3841 0.0007677 ***
idDNK -1.3603e-01 6.1667e+00 -0.0221 0.9824100
idESP -1.9666e+00 6.1928e+00 -0.3176 0.7509438
idFIN 1.2776e-01 6.1664e+00 0.0207 0.9834785
idFRA 6.3115e+00 6.3611e+00 0.9922 0.3215625
idGBR 2.2298e+00 6.3118e+00 0.3533 0.7240259
idIND -6.0969e+01 4.1343e+01 -1.4747 0.1408850
idISR 1.7515e-01 6.1605e+00 0.0284 0.9773285
idITA -1.9208e+00 6.2766e+00 -0.3060 0.7597062
idJPN 4.7722e+01 1.9281e+01 2.4751 0.0136345 *
idKOR 5.5754e+01 2.9596e+01 1.8838 0.0601399 .
idNLD -6.0776e-01 6.1432e+00 -0.0989 0.9212293
idNOR 1.3336e-01 6.1696e+00 0.0216 0.9827633
idRUS -5.7492e+00 7.5571e+00 -0.7608 0.4471368
idSGP 4.7607e-01 6.1681e+00 0.0772 0.9385076
idSWE 1.3034e+00 6.1565e+00 0.2117 0.8324188
idUSA 2.4245e+01 1.2646e+01 1.9172 0.0557506 .
time1996 -3.2385e+00 6.1904e+00 -0.5232 0.6010906
time1997 -9.7746e-02 6.1873e+00 -0.0158 0.9874017
time1998 -6.0727e+00 6.1904e+00 -0.9810 0.3270459
time1999 -2.0864e+00 6.2012e+00 -0.3364 0.7366711
time2000 -5.8603e+00 6.1957e+00 -0.9459 0.3446526
time2001 -2.5652e+00 6.1984e+00 -0.4138 0.6791555
time2002 -7.1249e+00 6.2008e+00 -1.1490 0.2510638
time2003 -6.0028e+00 6.1892e+00 -0.9699 0.3325554
time2004 3.8883e+00 6.1928e+00 0.6279 0.5303559
time2005 1.0285e+00 6.1935e+00 0.1661 0.8681745
time2006 -4.8808e+00 6.1982e+00 -0.7875 0.4313726
time2007 3.5872e+00 6.2596e+00 0.5731 0.5668384
time2008 -1.0606e+00 6.2433e+00 -0.1699 0.8651683
time2009 1.2557e+01 6.3352e+00 1.9821 0.0479845 *
time2010 9.8997e+00 6.3437e+00 1.5606 0.1192310
time2011 6.0351e+00 6.3016e+00 0.9577 0.3386475
time2012 4.0624e+00 6.3064e+00 0.6442 0.5197466
time2013 -7.0731e+00 6.4500e+00 -1.0966 0.2733152
time2014 -1.5914e+00 6.3442e+00 -0.2508 0.8020364
time2015 -6.9340e+00 6.3544e+00 -1.0912 0.2756775
time2016 5.7612e-01 6.3399e+00 0.0909 0.9276284
time2017 1.5782e+01 6.3344e+00 2.4915 0.0130282 *
time2018 5.4515e+00 6.3641e+00 0.8566 0.3920564
time2019 -9.0680e+00 6.3922e+00 -1.4186 0.1566059
time2020 2.7316e+00 6.5035e+00 0.4200 0.6746474
iis171 1.3445e+02 2.5507e+01 5.2712 1.984e-07 ***
iis412 1.1673e+02 2.4853e+01 4.6967 3.382e-06 ***
iis414 3.6110e+02 2.8371e+01 12.7278 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis415 7.8811e+02 2.7671e+01 28.4811 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis416 5.5457e+02 2.7273e+01 20.3343 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis418 -3.5362e+02 2.5878e+01 -13.6650 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis422 2.8820e+02 3.1628e+01 9.1123 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis424 -5.8205e+02 3.1377e+01 -18.5499 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis425 -2.8130e+02 3.1663e+01 -8.8844 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis439 1.7562e+02 2.6720e+01 6.5728 1.195e-10 ***
iis440 1.9982e+02 2.5370e+01 7.8762 1.958e-14 ***
iis443 1.9693e+02 2.4277e+01 8.1120 3.559e-15 ***
iis444 -2.7675e+02 2.4334e+01 -11.3731 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis445 -2.7188e+02 2.4014e+01 -11.3219 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis450 3.2520e+02 2.4450e+01 13.3004 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis593 1.8586e+02 2.2798e+01 8.1521 2.651e-15 ***
fesisCHN.2016 1.5053e+02 1.5072e+01 9.9870 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.1999 1.4742e+02 2.0307e+01 7.2593 1.413e-12 ***
fesisJPN.2001 -2.3636e+02 2.2276e+01 -10.6104 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2003 1.3322e+02 1.9219e+01 6.9315 1.228e-11 ***
fesisJPN.2008 -1.3174e+02 2.2038e+01 -5.9778 4.185e-09 ***
fesisJPN.2013 1.3261e+02 2.0459e+01 6.4818 2.094e-10 ***
fesisJPN.2017 7.3795e+01 2.6050e+01 2.8328 0.0047915 **
fesisKOR.2009 1.1528e+02 2.2625e+01 5.0952 4.872e-07 ***
fesisUSA.2020 -1.6375e+02 2.3334e+01 -7.0174 7.026e-12 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.0030411 1 0.956
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 16.1228455 1 5.936e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 21.71074
R-squared 0.99754
Log-lik.(n=600) -2660.04737 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:44:53 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 9.9191e-01 1.0136e-02 97.8646 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp -6.0205e-14 2.6171e-14 -2.3005 0.021820 *
pop 1.5033e-07 5.2597e-08 2.8581 0.004433 **
idAUT 3.4816e+00 5.5002e+00 0.6330 0.527012
idBEL 1.1143e+00 5.4822e+00 0.2033 0.839010
idBRA -2.6310e+01 1.0487e+01 -2.5088 0.012421 *
idCAN -1.2779e+00 5.4912e+00 -0.2327 0.816072
idCHE 1.9039e+00 5.5021e+00 0.3460 0.729466
idCHN -1.7035e+02 6.7571e+01 -2.5210 0.012003 *
idDEU 1.9697e+01 6.6715e+00 2.9524 0.003297 **
idDNK 1.4955e+00 5.5170e+00 0.2711 0.786440
idESP -4.0912e+00 5.5854e+00 -0.7325 0.464214
idFIN 1.7103e+00 5.5184e+00 0.3099 0.756737
idFRA 1.1461e+00 5.8912e+00 0.1945 0.845827
idGBR -2.1630e+00 5.8456e+00 -0.3700 0.711521
idIND -1.5665e+02 5.7059e+01 -2.7453 0.006256 **
idISR 1.4499e+00 5.5048e+00 0.2634 0.792357
idITA -5.5523e+00 5.7896e+00 -0.9590 0.338009
idJPN 4.3299e+01 1.7861e+01 2.4242 0.015685 *
idKOR 7.1032e+01 2.6570e+01 2.6734 0.007747 **
idNLD -1.6503e-01 5.4600e+00 -0.0302 0.975899
idNOR 1.8705e+00 5.5228e+00 0.3387 0.734982
idRUS -1.5226e+01 8.6130e+00 -1.7678 0.077685 .
idSGP 2.0897e+00 5.5233e+00 0.3784 0.705325
idSWE 2.5338e+00 5.4914e+00 0.4614 0.644699
idUSA -9.3498e+00 1.5701e+01 -0.5955 0.551788
time1996 -3.9230e+00 5.5227e+00 -0.7103 0.477816
time1997 -9.2391e-01 5.5268e+00 -0.1672 0.867302
time1998 -7.2198e+00 5.5348e+00 -1.3044 0.192671
time1999 -4.8376e+00 5.5830e+00 -0.8665 0.386623
time2000 -5.4874e+00 5.5915e+00 -0.9814 0.326864
time2001 -3.9123e+00 5.5720e+00 -0.7021 0.482910
time2002 -8.5053e+00 5.5855e+00 -1.5227 0.128436
time2003 -6.6612e+00 5.5937e+00 -1.1909 0.234259
time2004 -3.3400e+00 5.6637e+00 -0.5897 0.555633
time2005 -3.3335e+00 5.6574e+00 -0.5892 0.555960
time2006 -6.0016e+00 5.6311e+00 -1.0658 0.287018
time2007 1.7188e+00 5.6967e+00 0.3017 0.762987
time2008 -2.6921e+00 5.7048e+00 -0.4719 0.637192
time2009 1.0714e+01 5.6705e+00 1.8894 0.059394 .
time2010 7.6709e+00 5.6815e+00 1.3501 0.177562
time2011 3.3036e+00 5.6493e+00 0.5848 0.558949
time2012 5.8047e-01 5.6546e+00 0.1027 0.918278
time2013 -3.1364e+00 5.8644e+00 -0.5348 0.592998
time2014 -4.8533e+00 5.7099e+00 -0.8500 0.395729
time2015 -1.0349e+01 5.7276e+00 -1.8068 0.071376 .
time2016 -2.4063e+00 5.7040e+00 -0.4219 0.673296
time2017 1.2214e+01 5.7609e+00 2.1202 0.034468 *
time2018 1.8545e+00 5.7848e+00 0.3206 0.748660
time2019 -1.4791e+01 5.8055e+00 -2.5477 0.011133 *
time2020 2.4556e+00 5.9109e+00 0.4154 0.677993
iis171 2.7464e+02 2.0662e+01 13.2925 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis172 1.4564e+02 2.1180e+01 6.8762 1.782e-11 ***
iis173 1.3490e+02 2.1640e+01 6.2335 9.488e-10 ***
iis174 1.7629e+02 2.2157e+01 7.9563 1.131e-14 ***
iis175 6.3568e+01 2.3100e+01 2.7518 0.006136 **
iis193 -1.4281e+02 2.0451e+01 -6.9827 8.952e-12 ***
iis404 2.7891e+02 2.4310e+01 11.4731 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis405 1.9942e+02 2.4141e+01 8.2606 1.228e-15 ***
iis410 8.1676e+01 2.2745e+01 3.5909 0.000361 ***
iis412 1.3357e+02 2.2801e+01 5.8580 8.352e-09 ***
iis414 3.7209e+02 2.5340e+01 14.6836 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis415 7.9530e+02 2.4640e+01 32.2769 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis416 5.5076e+02 2.4228e+01 22.7322 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis418 -3.6590e+02 2.3045e+01 -15.8772 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis422 2.9460e+02 2.8153e+01 10.4643 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis424 -5.8158e+02 2.7896e+01 -20.8481 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis425 -2.7898e+02 2.8150e+01 -9.9105 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis434 1.5608e+02 2.0697e+01 7.5408 2.118e-13 ***
iis439 1.7688e+02 2.3821e+01 7.4252 4.687e-13 ***
iis440 1.9929e+02 2.2569e+01 8.8301 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis443 1.8534e+02 2.1599e+01 8.5812 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis444 -2.8422e+02 2.1650e+01 -13.1284 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis445 -2.7478e+02 2.1334e+01 -12.8799 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis450 3.2209e+02 2.1762e+01 14.8008 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis593 1.7435e+02 2.0293e+01 8.5915 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis600 -1.7751e+02 2.0814e+01 -8.5284 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisIND.2009 -2.9555e+01 1.3689e+01 -2.1591 0.031300 *
fesisJPN.1999 -9.3839e+01 1.8318e+01 -5.1228 4.260e-07 ***
fesisJPN.2003 1.1599e+02 1.7993e+01 6.4463 2.635e-10 ***
fesisJPN.2008 -1.2848e+02 2.0644e+01 -6.2237 1.006e-09 ***
fesisJPN.2013 1.2903e+02 1.8188e+01 7.0942 4.315e-12 ***
fesisJPN.2017 6.7411e+01 2.3184e+01 2.9076 0.003798 **
fesisKOR.2009 1.3388e+02 2.0467e+01 6.5410 1.474e-10 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.062802 1 0.802120
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 10.664927 1 0.001092 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 19.28095
R-squared 0.99809
Log-lik.(n=600) -2584.83364 Log Count
AR 0
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.01; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:45:03 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 624
Sample: 1 to 624
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
lgdp 1.879204 0.113868 16.5034 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -3.060188 0.502874 -6.0854 2.172e-09 ***
idAUT -0.052712 0.437294 -0.1205 0.9040981
idBEL -0.236272 0.334081 -0.7072 0.4797229
idBRA 3.964868 1.067687 3.7135 0.0002251 ***
idCAN 2.496421 0.236992 10.5338 < 2.2e-16 ***
idCHE -1.096427 0.487476 -2.2492 0.0248929 *
idCHN 9.177279 1.960693 4.6806 3.601e-06 ***
idDEU 5.707170 0.690921 8.2602 1.078e-15 ***
idDNK -4.046092 0.721550 -5.6075 3.245e-08 ***
idESP 2.411341 0.398079 6.0574 2.558e-09 ***
idFIN -0.770178 0.637974 -1.2072 0.2278618
idFRA 4.815960 0.547443 8.7972 < 2.2e-16 ***
idGBR 4.487377 0.539519 8.3174 7.035e-16 ***
idIND 5.087165 1.891889 2.6889 0.0073843 **
idISR -1.630041 0.596684 -2.7318 0.0064996 **
idITA 3.352817 0.512833 6.5378 1.421e-10 ***
idJPN -0.519595 0.884327 -0.5876 0.5570679
idKOR -6.843654 0.711093 -9.6241 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 1.368865 0.163130 8.3913 4.036e-16 ***
idNOR -6.790737 0.785030 -8.6503 < 2.2e-16 ***
idRUS -0.870820 0.922969 -0.9435 0.3458380
idSGP -2.479023 0.768655 -3.2251 0.0013335 **
idSWE -4.180711 0.473309 -8.8329 < 2.2e-16 ***
idUSA 7.626996 1.252666 6.0886 2.132e-09 ***
time1995 0.342227 7.737692 0.0442 0.9647381
time1996 0.430488 7.741174 0.0556 0.9556725
time1997 0.664007 7.745562 0.0857 0.9317141
time1998 0.540363 7.748769 0.0697 0.9444295
time1999 0.683939 7.751623 0.0882 0.9297244
time2000 0.806135 7.754910 0.1040 0.9172455
time2001 0.745070 7.758254 0.0960 0.9235270
time2002 0.616882 7.758346 0.0795 0.9366541
time2003 0.648397 7.762657 0.0835 0.9334621
time2004 0.650297 7.762595 0.0838 0.9332671
time2005 0.797065 7.766477 0.1026 0.9182947
time2006 0.842025 7.770037 0.1084 0.9137429
time2007 0.944306 7.778365 0.1214 0.9034171
time2008 1.022932 7.784730 0.1314 0.8955048
time2009 1.298548 7.788998 0.1667 0.8676547
time2010 1.480492 7.791951 0.1900 0.8493768
time2011 1.608056 7.795095 0.2063 0.8366398
time2012 1.636653 7.799388 0.2098 0.8338668
time2013 1.664436 7.802839 0.2133 0.8311626
time2014 1.618295 7.806265 0.2073 0.8358463
time2015 1.551515 7.809579 0.1987 0.8425953
time2016 1.730577 7.813836 0.2215 0.8248036
time2017 1.794815 7.816754 0.2296 0.8184787
time2018 1.956728 7.819539 0.2502 0.8024980
time2019 1.806122 7.820338 0.2310 0.8174376
time2020 2.021463 7.824401 0.2584 0.7962301
iis58 -1.008226 0.362981 -2.7776 0.0056616 **
iis133 -1.794614 0.351620 -5.1038 4.584e-07 ***
iis158 -1.165880 0.362183 -3.2190 0.0013617 **
iis378 1.410915 0.354836 3.9762 7.931e-05 ***
iis389 -1.211448 0.357292 -3.3906 0.0007471 ***
fesisAUT.2009 0.915361 0.138287 6.6193 8.550e-11 ***
fesisBEL.2005 0.477842 0.145434 3.2856 0.0010820 **
fesisBRA.2010 -1.134441 0.178987 -6.3381 4.830e-10 ***
fesisBRA.2015 0.799015 0.209427 3.8152 0.0001514 ***
fesisDEU.2007 0.610395 0.146023 4.1801 3.387e-05 ***
fesisDNK.1997 -1.265232 0.259960 -4.8670 1.480e-06 ***
fesisDNK.2012 -1.216217 0.219256 -5.5470 4.510e-08 ***
fesisDNK.2015 1.004621 0.243769 4.1212 4.347e-05 ***
fesisFIN.2003 -0.516578 0.149808 -3.4483 0.0006071 ***
fesisISR.2002 -0.620100 0.173456 -3.5750 0.0003809 ***
fesisKOR.2003 0.739430 0.151258 4.8885 1.333e-06 ***
fesisNLD.2008 -0.847228 0.138343 -6.1241 1.731e-09 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -0.675299 0.165971 -4.0688 5.414e-05 ***
fesisRUS.2016 -1.016106 0.193384 -5.2543 2.124e-07 ***
fesisSGP.2004 0.498862 0.162388 3.0720 0.0022307 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 7.4929 1 0.006194 **
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 8.4036 1 0.003745 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.33706
R-squared 0.97222
Log-lik.(n=624) -171.32050 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.05; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:44:59 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 624
Sample: 1 to 624
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
lgdp 1.858504 0.103185 18.0114 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -2.914166 0.458616 -6.3543 4.535e-10 ***
idAUT 0.059468 0.395460 0.1504 0.8805239
idBEL -0.156398 0.302630 -0.5168 0.6055152
idBRA 3.976477 0.964610 4.1224 4.355e-05 ***
idCAN 3.057101 0.262223 11.6584 < 2.2e-16 ***
idCHE -0.968149 0.442577 -2.1875 0.0291428 *
idCHN 8.636832 1.783162 4.8435 1.679e-06 ***
idDEU 5.537788 0.628402 8.8125 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDNK -5.907529 0.694781 -8.5027 < 2.2e-16 ***
idESP 2.174083 0.364964 5.9570 4.700e-09 ***
idFIN -0.659242 0.579114 -1.1384 0.2554857
idFRA 4.661905 0.498388 9.3540 < 2.2e-16 ***
idGBR 4.334145 0.491399 8.8200 < 2.2e-16 ***
idIND 4.579925 1.719171 2.6640 0.0079575 **
idISR -1.406867 0.542666 -2.5925 0.0097923 **
idITA 3.207366 0.467054 6.8672 1.849e-11 ***
idJPN -0.659841 0.795341 -0.8296 0.4071223
idKOR -6.647376 0.641067 -10.3692 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 1.237227 0.152698 8.1024 3.776e-15 ***
idNOR -6.507737 0.727384 -8.9468 < 2.2e-16 ***
idRUS -1.190283 0.835539 -1.4246 0.1548738
idSGP -2.161996 0.699426 -3.0911 0.0020996 **
idSWE -3.865273 0.435800 -8.8694 < 2.2e-16 ***
idUSA 7.289072 1.138541 6.4021 3.393e-10 ***
time1995 -1.597467 7.008682 -0.2279 0.8197915
time1996 -1.544816 7.012841 -0.2203 0.8257354
time1997 -1.229399 7.016444 -0.1752 0.8609765
time1998 -1.415543 7.018800 -0.2017 0.8402457
time1999 -1.262450 7.020559 -0.1798 0.8573615
time2000 -1.180297 7.023363 -0.1681 0.8666061
time2001 -1.130394 7.026866 -0.1609 0.8722594
time2002 -1.254835 7.026924 -0.1786 0.8583399
time2003 -1.163978 7.029828 -0.1656 0.8685533
time2004 -1.213524 7.031727 -0.1726 0.8630491
time2005 -1.078586 7.035532 -0.1533 0.8782160
time2006 -0.971380 7.037949 -0.1380 0.8902770
time2007 -0.870268 7.045530 -0.1235 0.9017420
time2008 -0.799364 7.051300 -0.1134 0.9097851
time2009 -0.496419 7.054988 -0.0704 0.9439305
time2010 -0.385699 7.057661 -0.0546 0.9564383
time2011 -0.258564 7.060474 -0.0366 0.9708008
time2012 -0.234840 7.064233 -0.0332 0.9734930
time2013 -0.224379 7.067666 -0.0317 0.9746856
time2014 -0.223858 7.070743 -0.0317 0.9747553
time2015 -0.367437 7.073781 -0.0519 0.9585934
time2016 -0.231331 7.076853 -0.0327 0.9739354
time2017 -0.057604 7.080064 -0.0081 0.9935115
time2018 0.067128 7.082575 0.0095 0.9924415
time2019 -0.088474 7.083327 -0.0125 0.9900390
time2020 0.138244 7.087304 0.0195 0.9844450
iis58 -0.909915 0.323450 -2.8132 0.0050889 **
iis101 -0.896236 0.351618 -2.5489 0.0110888 *
iis133 -1.776601 0.311441 -5.7044 1.948e-08 ***
iis158 -1.080637 0.320877 -3.3678 0.0008132 ***
iis209 1.838528 0.431165 4.2641 2.379e-05 ***
iis210 2.442385 0.430876 5.6684 2.376e-08 ***
iis264 0.775728 0.325374 2.3841 0.0174732 *
iis378 1.375538 0.313597 4.3863 1.393e-05 ***
iis389 -1.197170 0.316148 -3.7867 0.0001702 ***
iis443 -0.883902 0.323899 -2.7289 0.0065661 **
iis469 0.668206 0.320395 2.0856 0.0374981 *
iis470 0.728680 0.320032 2.2769 0.0231922 *
iis474 0.736093 0.319885 2.3011 0.0217742 *
iis483 -0.716924 0.316947 -2.2620 0.0241060 *
iis500 1.094621 0.319841 3.4224 0.0006690 ***
iis514 -1.134988 0.319176 -3.5560 0.0004105 ***
iis521 0.791982 0.321103 2.4664 0.0139635 *
iis531 0.753240 0.320609 2.3494 0.0191716 *
iis543 -1.010085 0.319764 -3.1588 0.0016748 **
iis544 -1.023059 0.319708 -3.2000 0.0014571 **
iis545 -0.928283 0.320069 -2.9003 0.0038842 **
iis546 -1.223577 0.320095 -3.8225 0.0001479 ***
iis555 -0.722149 0.323123 -2.2349 0.0258421 *
iis577 0.968125 0.322814 2.9990 0.0028365 **
fesisAUT.2009 0.898918 0.122964 7.3104 9.946e-13 ***
fesisBEL.2004 0.430340 0.133183 3.2312 0.0013097 **
fesisBRA.1999 -0.423006 0.180158 -2.3480 0.0192446 *
fesisBRA.2010 -1.045783 0.165053 -6.3360 5.062e-10 ***
fesisBRA.2015 1.461140 0.254877 5.7327 1.665e-08 ***
fesisBRA.2017 -0.729867 0.277950 -2.6259 0.0088935 **
fesisCAN.1998 -0.703915 0.189058 -3.7233 0.0002178 ***
fesisDEU.2007 0.582776 0.130155 4.4776 9.262e-06 ***
fesisDNK.1998 1.432822 0.351837 4.0724 5.368e-05 ***
fesisDNK.2001 -0.750066 0.199404 -3.7615 0.0001878 ***
fesisDNK.2012 -1.118742 0.199274 -5.6141 3.200e-08 ***
fesisDNK.2015 1.035275 0.215400 4.8063 2.008e-06 ***
fesisESP.2013 0.398293 0.131553 3.0276 0.0025855 **
fesisFIN.2003 -0.487959 0.139433 -3.4996 0.0005054 ***
fesisISR.2002 -0.723228 0.155008 -4.6658 3.904e-06 ***
fesisKOR.2004 0.561826 0.135292 4.1527 3.832e-05 ***
fesisNLD.2008 -0.652998 0.133516 -4.8908 1.336e-06 ***
fesisNOR.2006 -0.747176 0.180955 -4.1291 4.234e-05 ***
fesisNOR.2010 0.897794 0.181169 4.9555 9.735e-07 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -0.629629 0.150079 -4.1953 3.197e-05 ***
fesisSGP.2004 0.342617 0.149755 2.2879 0.0225409 *
fesisSWE.2004 -0.327310 0.132828 -2.4642 0.0140515 *
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 4.9186 1 0.02657 *
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 2.6651 1 0.10257
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.29778
R-squared 0.97934
Log-lik.(n=624) -81.00591 AR 1
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:46:18 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.247811 0.035231 7.0340 6.263e-12 ***
lgdp 1.429085 0.129119 11.0680 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -2.070578 0.413133 -5.0119 7.371e-07 ***
idAUT 0.189473 0.355370 0.5332 0.5941398
idBEL 0.266918 0.272304 0.9802 0.3274263
idBRA 2.471250 0.855729 2.8879 0.0040377 **
idCAN 1.738642 0.214103 8.1206 3.307e-15 ***
idCHE -0.498882 0.390894 -1.2763 0.2024262
idCHN 5.939694 1.574737 3.7719 0.0001804 ***
idDEU 3.950764 0.584389 6.7605 3.658e-11 ***
idDNK -2.935098 0.597198 -4.9148 1.189e-06 ***
idESP 1.669425 0.333925 4.9994 7.842e-07 ***
idFIN -0.515613 0.519442 -0.9926 0.3213467
idFRA 3.392904 0.467288 7.2608 1.389e-12 ***
idGBR 3.108963 0.457832 6.7906 3.020e-11 ***
idIND 2.849778 1.500905 1.8987 0.0581490 .
idISR -1.332513 0.427722 -3.1154 0.0019372 **
idITA 2.274092 0.424957 5.3513 1.304e-07 ***
idJPN -0.902339 0.751402 -1.2009 0.2303396
idKOR -4.996961 0.723682 -6.9049 1.450e-11 ***
idNLD 1.086567 0.160888 6.7536 3.823e-11 ***
idNOR -4.771741 0.676067 -7.0581 5.346e-12 ***
idRUS -1.441472 0.726849 -1.9832 0.0478662 *
idSGP -1.225750 0.569317 -2.1530 0.0317704 *
idSWE -2.999638 0.418134 -7.1739 2.485e-12 ***
idUSA 5.079024 1.023932 4.9603 9.510e-07 ***
time1996 -3.952549 6.164329 -0.6412 0.5216735
time1997 -3.691001 6.167159 -0.5985 0.5497682
time1998 -3.951685 6.170071 -0.6405 0.5221519
time1999 -3.839981 6.172308 -0.6221 0.5341252
time2000 -3.739482 6.175265 -0.6056 0.5450689
time2001 -3.715837 6.178637 -0.6014 0.5478317
time2002 -3.918572 6.181717 -0.6339 0.5264231
time2003 -3.796387 6.184058 -0.6139 0.5395470
time2004 -3.822465 6.186749 -0.6178 0.5369430
time2005 -3.711068 6.189678 -0.5996 0.5490588
time2006 -3.616504 6.192989 -0.5840 0.5594920
time2007 -3.572308 6.198915 -0.5763 0.5646722
time2008 -3.562120 6.202644 -0.5743 0.5660162
time2009 -3.330170 6.206342 -0.5366 0.5917874
time2010 -3.192333 6.209093 -0.5141 0.6073707
time2011 -3.105763 6.211820 -0.5000 0.6173004
time2012 -3.115981 6.215173 -0.5014 0.6163337
time2013 -3.083215 6.217969 -0.4959 0.6202030
time2014 -3.179806 6.220929 -0.5111 0.6094626
time2015 -3.160513 6.225218 -0.5077 0.6118795
time2016 -3.027010 6.228047 -0.4860 0.6271489
time2017 -2.935921 6.230644 -0.4712 0.6376882
time2018 -2.852409 6.233002 -0.4576 0.6474069
time2019 -3.043272 6.233264 -0.4882 0.6255894
time2020 -2.809797 6.236494 -0.4505 0.6525056
iis55 -1.230385 0.336798 -3.6532 0.0002849 ***
iis97 -1.422449 0.362522 -3.9238 9.872e-05 ***
iis127 -1.950415 0.337119 -5.7855 1.241e-08 ***
iis133 -1.046210 0.337224 -3.1024 0.0020224 **
iis151 -1.190451 0.346722 -3.4334 0.0006429 ***
iis202 -2.012675 0.371252 -5.4213 9.021e-08 ***
iis206 -1.255490 0.346366 -3.6247 0.0003173 ***
iis363 1.242759 0.336481 3.6934 0.0002444 ***
iis374 -1.305754 0.340544 -3.8343 0.0001411 ***
iis480 1.120769 0.337059 3.3251 0.0009453 ***
iis486 -1.103627 0.336945 -3.2754 0.0011245 **
iis510 1.061516 0.338496 3.1360 0.0018084 **
iis554 1.202777 0.336337 3.5761 0.0003808 ***
fesisAUT.2009 0.723473 0.137203 5.2730 1.962e-07 ***
fesisBRA.2010 -0.915796 0.174857 -5.2374 2.358e-07 ***
fesisBRA.2015 0.907331 0.209156 4.3381 1.723e-05 ***
fesisDEU.2007 0.499349 0.140763 3.5474 0.0004237 ***
fesisDNK.2001 -0.724323 0.196220 -3.6914 0.0002463 ***
fesisDNK.2012 -1.252356 0.256484 -4.8828 1.389e-06 ***
fesisDNK.2014 1.046397 0.264291 3.9593 8.550e-05 ***
fesisNLD.2007 -0.618729 0.137205 -4.5095 8.014e-06 ***
fesisRUS.2015 -0.961291 0.166634 -5.7689 1.362e-08 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.090243 1 0.76387
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 3.157777 1 0.07557 .
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.32235
R-squared 0.97472
Log-lik.(n=600) -135.59693 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:46:17 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.231392 0.033789 6.8481 2.168e-11 ***
lgdp 1.299054 0.118950 10.9210 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -1.810811 0.407381 -4.4450 1.080e-05 ***
idAUT 0.194237 0.360466 0.5388 0.5902277
idBEL 0.262528 0.274916 0.9549 0.3400622
idBRA 1.951195 0.854182 2.2843 0.0227664 *
idCAN 1.632866 0.205084 7.9619 1.116e-14 ***
idCHE -0.414941 0.393428 -1.0547 0.2920735
idCHN 5.295285 1.576718 3.3584 0.0008427 ***
idDEU 3.681781 0.571410 6.4433 2.717e-10 ***
idDNK -2.751216 0.591060 -4.6547 4.146e-06 ***
idESP 1.418343 0.324129 4.3759 1.469e-05 ***
idFIN -0.503279 0.527295 -0.9545 0.3403075
idFRA 3.148514 0.455684 6.9094 1.463e-11 ***
idGBR 2.840972 0.446364 6.3647 4.377e-10 ***
idIND 1.507271 1.508846 0.9990 0.3182916
idISR -0.731411 0.480119 -1.5234 0.1282822
idITA 2.002453 0.416809 4.8042 2.048e-06 ***
idJPN -0.557440 0.751124 -0.7421 0.4583450
idKOR -4.634533 0.687818 -6.7380 4.365e-11 ***
idNLD 0.956204 0.157658 6.0650 2.578e-09 ***
idNOR -4.312106 0.655551 -6.5778 1.189e-10 ***
idRUS -1.521516 0.739834 -2.0566 0.0402384 *
idSGP -1.089855 0.573226 -1.9013 0.0578328 .
idSWE -2.700476 0.400572 -6.7416 4.269e-11 ***
idUSA 4.730938 1.019259 4.6415 4.407e-06 ***
time1996 -4.651757 6.297279 -0.7387 0.4604344
time1997 -4.374986 6.302610 -0.6942 0.4879025
time1998 -4.733277 6.301630 -0.7511 0.4529285
time1999 -4.503352 6.304368 -0.7143 0.4753559
time2000 -4.419718 6.307131 -0.7007 0.4837802
time2001 -4.411186 6.308544 -0.6992 0.4847222
time2002 -4.617305 6.308542 -0.7319 0.4645590
time2003 -4.427433 6.311673 -0.7015 0.4833326
time2004 -4.474402 6.315583 -0.7085 0.4789783
time2005 -4.394747 6.317721 -0.6956 0.4869836
time2006 -4.255633 6.320360 -0.6733 0.5010491
time2007 -4.250112 6.326450 -0.6718 0.5020161
time2008 -4.244272 6.330516 -0.6704 0.5028780
time2009 -3.976087 6.333133 -0.6278 0.5304019
time2010 -3.866240 6.335580 -0.6102 0.5419741
time2011 -3.810451 6.336845 -0.6013 0.5478972
time2012 -3.782192 6.340943 -0.5965 0.5511260
time2013 -3.749334 6.343855 -0.5910 0.5547711
time2014 -3.805321 6.346632 -0.5996 0.5490527
time2015 -3.841328 6.351226 -0.6048 0.5455708
time2016 -3.706396 6.354085 -0.5833 0.5599441
time2017 -3.596983 6.356417 -0.5659 0.5717238
time2018 -3.499706 6.358488 -0.5504 0.5822876
time2019 -3.692000 6.358883 -0.5806 0.5617641
time2020 -3.435931 6.362146 -0.5401 0.5893933
iis9 -0.807391 0.303334 -2.6617 0.0080205 **
iis55 -1.275541 0.302959 -4.2103 3.017e-05 ***
iis58 -0.925738 0.302216 -3.0632 0.0023063 **
iis97 -1.170090 0.343660 -3.4048 0.0007145 ***
iis127 -1.927295 0.303300 -6.3544 4.657e-10 ***
iis128 0.715922 0.309042 2.3166 0.0209232 *
iis133 -1.060686 0.302985 -3.5008 0.0005047 ***
iis151 -1.325190 0.312898 -4.2352 2.711e-05 ***
iis201 0.706678 0.343094 2.0597 0.0399340 *
iis202 -1.844084 0.345722 -5.3340 1.449e-07 ***
iis206 -1.224990 0.310830 -3.9410 9.250e-05 ***
iis236 -0.793859 0.302904 -2.6208 0.0090344 **
iis253 1.063946 0.302888 3.5127 0.0004832 ***
iis363 1.399406 0.304433 4.5968 5.422e-06 ***
iis374 -1.172989 0.306454 -3.8276 0.0001455 ***
iis455 0.641883 0.310729 2.0657 0.0393605 *
iis464 -0.815970 0.307789 -2.6511 0.0082742 **
iis475 -0.639937 0.307604 -2.0804 0.0379902 *
iis480 1.080536 0.303215 3.5636 0.0004003 ***
iis486 -1.164270 0.302968 -3.8429 0.0001370 ***
iis494 -0.933774 0.302320 -3.0887 0.0021204 **
iis507 0.698689 0.304753 2.2926 0.0222765 *
iis510 1.109860 0.304147 3.6491 0.0002904 ***
iis527 -0.865433 0.307997 -2.8099 0.0051473 **
iis541 0.857594 0.303616 2.8246 0.0049200 **
iis554 1.165085 0.301913 3.8590 0.0001285 ***
fesisAUT.2009 0.742346 0.123942 5.9894 3.988e-09 ***
fesisBRA.2010 -0.905629 0.157617 -5.7458 1.579e-08 ***
fesisBRA.2015 1.238073 0.248169 4.9888 8.356e-07 ***
fesisBRA.2017 -0.581861 0.270386 -2.1520 0.0318707 *
fesisDEU.2007 0.531348 0.128000 4.1512 3.879e-05 ***
fesisDNK.2001 -0.573707 0.195640 -2.9325 0.0035147 **
fesisDNK.2012 -1.256824 0.230234 -5.4589 7.505e-08 ***
fesisDNK.2014 1.044198 0.237101 4.4040 1.297e-05 ***
fesisIND.1997 0.982181 0.362726 2.7078 0.0070019 **
fesisIND.1999 -0.942690 0.296316 -3.1814 0.0015554 **
fesisIND.2001 0.818837 0.224189 3.6524 0.0002867 ***
fesisISR.2002 -0.559893 0.154834 -3.6161 0.0003289 ***
fesisKOR.2004 0.480012 0.132874 3.6125 0.0003334 ***
fesisNLD.2007 -0.458001 0.130727 -3.5035 0.0004998 ***
fesisRUS.2015 -0.890726 0.150990 -5.8992 6.673e-09 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.079556 1 0.77790
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 3.108623 1 0.07788 .
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.28914
R-squared 0.98040
Log-lik.(n=600) -60.86115 without IIS
Count
0
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.01; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:47:33 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 624
Sample: 1 to 624
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp 1.9283e-12 6.6070e-14 29.1862 < 2.2e-16 ***
pop -3.2545e-08 1.4100e-07 -0.2308 0.8175503
idAUT 1.2166e+01 1.5007e+01 0.8107 0.4178918
idBEL -1.6139e+00 1.4970e+01 -0.1078 0.9141855
idBRA -6.8313e+00 2.8107e+01 -0.2430 0.8080597
idCAN 2.7899e+01 1.4989e+01 1.8614 0.0632177 .
idCHE 3.8008e+00 1.5018e+01 0.2531 0.8003024
idCHN 2.8423e+01 1.7563e+02 0.1618 0.8715000
idDEU 9.0821e+01 2.0052e+01 4.5293 7.241e-06 ***
idDNK -7.7102e+00 1.5063e+01 -0.5119 0.6089397
idESP -2.7623e+00 1.5237e+01 -0.1813 0.8562101
idFIN -3.5367e+00 1.5065e+01 -0.2348 0.8144836
idFRA 7.5313e+01 1.6051e+01 4.6922 3.405e-06 ***
idGBR 3.6976e+01 1.5955e+01 2.3175 0.0208372 *
idIND -5.8318e+01 1.5379e+02 -0.3792 0.7046736
idISR 3.3856e+00 1.5026e+01 0.2253 0.8218124
idITA 6.8878e+00 1.5791e+01 0.4362 0.6628790
idJPN -3.5328e+02 4.4709e+01 -7.9019 1.473e-14 ***
idKOR -1.3980e+03 5.6489e+01 -24.7491 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 1.3769e+00 1.4911e+01 0.0923 0.9264601
idNOR -9.9981e+00 1.5079e+01 -0.6631 0.5075595
idRUS -1.2863e+02 2.3018e+01 -5.5880 3.595e-08 ***
idSGP -2.0166e+00 1.5078e+01 -0.1337 0.8936527
idSWE -4.0904e+00 1.4994e+01 -0.2728 0.7851005
idUSA 2.1891e+02 4.5259e+01 4.8368 1.710e-06 ***
time1995 -3.8858e-01 1.5243e+01 -0.0255 0.9796714
time1996 -2.3977e+00 1.5260e+01 -0.1571 0.8752076
time1997 1.0686e-03 1.5284e+01 0.0001 0.9999442
time1998 4.3301e+00 1.5314e+01 0.2828 0.7774654
time1999 -4.0498e+00 1.5320e+01 -0.2643 0.7916080
time2000 6.5879e+00 1.5338e+01 0.4295 0.6677088
time2001 2.4995e+00 1.5368e+01 0.1626 0.8708551
time2002 -8.3793e+00 1.5399e+01 -0.5442 0.5865543
time2003 -1.0053e+01 1.5435e+01 -0.6513 0.5151007
time2004 -4.1046e+00 1.5474e+01 -0.2653 0.7909087
time2005 -6.6507e+00 1.5416e+01 -0.4314 0.6663321
time2006 -4.2377e+00 1.5477e+01 -0.2738 0.7843297
time2007 -9.4660e+00 1.5548e+01 -0.6088 0.5428912
time2008 -1.2137e+01 1.5585e+01 -0.7788 0.4364540
time2009 1.3765e+01 1.5641e+01 0.8800 0.3792144
time2010 2.2717e+00 1.5747e+01 0.1443 0.8853453
time2011 1.8995e+01 1.5427e+01 1.2313 0.2187272
time2012 2.2027e+01 1.5459e+01 1.4249 0.1547522
time2013 3.5171e+01 1.5472e+01 2.2733 0.0233899 *
time2014 2.5513e+01 1.5511e+01 1.6449 0.1005618
time2015 1.0752e+01 1.5552e+01 0.6914 0.4896056
time2016 -1.8093e+01 1.5543e+01 -1.1640 0.2449141
time2017 2.1142e+01 1.5588e+01 1.3563 0.1755540
time2018 3.7480e+01 1.5632e+01 2.3976 0.0168303 *
time2019 3.2637e+01 1.5707e+01 2.0778 0.0381812 *
time2020 5.0865e+01 1.5732e+01 3.2331 0.0012967 **
fesisCHN.2005 1.4402e+02 2.6441e+01 5.4468 7.700e-08 ***
fesisCHN.2016 7.4306e+02 3.0749e+01 24.1650 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2009 4.1004e+02 2.1697e+01 18.8988 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisIND.2011 -1.1996e+02 3.7955e+01 -3.1605 0.0016602 **
fesisJPN.1999 2.8442e+02 3.3689e+01 8.4425 2.691e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2007 3.2867e+02 3.7212e+01 8.8324 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2010 8.8513e+02 6.3360e+01 13.9698 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2011 3.9178e+02 6.7203e+01 5.8298 9.395e-09 ***
fesisJPN.2013 -3.8236e+02 5.0089e+01 -7.6337 9.946e-14 ***
fesisJPN.2016 3.3316e+02 4.4816e+01 7.4339 3.991e-13 ***
fesisJPN.2019 -3.9593e+02 5.0088e+01 -7.9047 1.443e-14 ***
fesisKOR.2000 -3.7591e+02 3.7928e+01 -9.9113 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2006 -1.4910e+02 4.3687e+01 -3.4129 0.0006894 ***
fesisUSA.2000 9.7005e+01 3.0150e+01 3.2174 0.0013686 **
fesisUSA.2010 5.0555e+02 2.4300e+01 20.8048 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 68.676 1 < 2.2e-16 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 99.004 1 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 53.70377
R-squared 0.98408
Log-lik.(n=624) -3338.11115 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.05; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:47:32 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 624
Sample: 1 to 624
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp 1.9449e-12 5.5774e-14 34.8706 < 2.2e-16 ***
pop -1.2135e-07 1.1921e-07 -1.0180 0.309143
idAUT 1.1027e+01 1.2643e+01 0.8722 0.383499
idBEL -2.5398e+00 1.2611e+01 -0.2014 0.840462
idBRA 8.1570e+00 2.3739e+01 0.3436 0.731268
idCAN 2.8951e+01 1.2627e+01 2.2928 0.022234 *
idCHE 2.6016e+00 1.2652e+01 0.2056 0.837164
idCHN 1.3894e+02 1.4851e+02 0.9356 0.349890
idDEU 6.2388e+01 2.3954e+01 2.6045 0.009448 **
idDNK -9.1273e+00 1.2690e+01 -0.7193 0.472287
idESP -7.3281e-01 1.2838e+01 -0.0571 0.954501
idFIN -4.9424e+00 1.2692e+01 -0.3894 0.697125
idFRA 7.9074e+01 1.3528e+01 5.8451 8.647e-09 ***
idGBR 4.0575e+01 1.3447e+01 3.0175 0.002666 **
idIND 3.8243e+01 1.3002e+02 0.2941 0.768766
idISR 2.1455e+00 1.2659e+01 0.1695 0.865476
idITA 1.0189e+01 1.3308e+01 0.7657 0.444207
idJPN -3.5093e+02 3.7689e+01 -9.3111 < 2.2e-16 ***
idKOR -1.4076e+03 4.7636e+01 -29.5485 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 9.5229e-01 1.2561e+01 0.0758 0.939596
idNOR -1.1491e+01 1.2703e+01 -0.9046 0.366073
idRUS -8.5832e+01 2.1144e+01 -4.0595 5.627e-05 ***
idSGP -3.4769e+00 1.2703e+01 -0.2737 0.784413
idSWE -5.1958e+00 1.2631e+01 -0.4113 0.680982
idUSA 2.4182e+02 3.8270e+01 6.3187 5.423e-10 ***
time1995 4.9071e-01 1.2868e+01 0.0381 0.969594
time1996 -1.4207e+00 1.2882e+01 -0.1103 0.912221
time1997 1.0865e+00 1.2901e+01 0.0842 0.932916
time1998 5.5887e+00 1.2926e+01 0.4324 0.665638
time1999 -2.7350e+00 1.2928e+01 -0.2116 0.832531
time2000 6.5469e+00 1.2938e+01 0.5060 0.613031
time2001 2.5557e+00 1.2963e+01 0.1972 0.843780
time2002 -8.2477e+00 1.2990e+01 -0.6349 0.525731
time2003 -9.8295e+00 1.3021e+01 -0.7549 0.450618
time2004 -3.8089e+00 1.3054e+01 -0.2918 0.770559
time2005 -6.4674e+00 1.3005e+01 -0.4973 0.619160
time2006 -3.5243e+00 1.3054e+01 -0.2700 0.787275
time2007 -8.8326e+00 1.3114e+01 -0.6735 0.500884
time2008 -1.1413e+01 1.3145e+01 -0.8682 0.385646
time2009 3.0286e+00 1.3184e+01 0.2297 0.818397
time2010 1.6598e+01 1.3323e+01 1.2458 0.213362
time2011 3.2704e+01 1.3048e+01 2.5064 0.012483 *
time2012 3.5820e+01 1.3076e+01 2.7394 0.006354 **
time2013 3.5670e+01 1.3043e+01 2.7348 0.006442 **
time2014 2.6086e+01 1.3076e+01 1.9950 0.046535 *
time2015 1.1394e+01 1.3110e+01 0.8691 0.385163
time2016 2.4848e+00 1.3125e+01 0.1893 0.849917
time2017 2.3121e+01 1.3204e+01 1.7511 0.080484 .
time2018 3.9511e+01 1.3241e+01 2.9839 0.002971 **
time2019 2.4037e+01 1.3290e+01 1.8086 0.071053 .
time2020 4.2380e+01 1.3312e+01 3.1837 0.001536 **
fesisCHN.2005 1.4853e+02 2.2281e+01 6.6665 6.346e-11 ***
fesisCHN.2016 5.9939e+02 3.0811e+01 19.4541 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisCHN.2019 3.7546e+02 4.2246e+01 8.8874 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2000 5.4584e+01 2.5873e+01 2.1097 0.035333 *
fesisDEU.2009 3.8775e+02 2.0480e+01 18.9332 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisIND.2011 -1.0407e+02 3.2022e+01 -3.2499 0.001225 **
fesisJPN.1999 2.8485e+02 2.8404e+01 10.0287 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2007 3.3189e+02 3.1350e+01 10.5867 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2010 8.6771e+02 5.3381e+01 16.2549 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2011 3.9226e+02 5.6612e+01 6.9290 1.181e-11 ***
fesisJPN.2013 -3.5615e+02 4.0051e+01 -8.8924 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2017 4.4774e+02 4.0040e+01 11.1824 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2019 -5.1499e+02 4.6258e+01 -11.1329 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2000 -3.7936e+02 3.1997e+01 -11.8559 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2006 -1.6029e+02 3.6896e+01 -4.3445 1.660e-05 ***
fesisRUS.2010 -7.7925e+01 1.8499e+01 -4.2124 2.949e-05 ***
fesisUSA.2000 8.0040e+01 2.5882e+01 3.0925 0.002085 **
fesisUSA.2009 3.0041e+02 2.7891e+01 10.7707 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2013 2.9459e+02 2.8386e+01 10.3782 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 61.006 1 5.662e-15 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 84.989 1 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 45.24056
R-squared 0.98879
Log-lik.(n=624) -3229.10188 1
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:47:27 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 9.5621e-01 1.2986e-02 73.6356 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp -2.0578e-14 3.6266e-14 -0.5674 0.5706789
pop 5.6166e-08 4.0749e-08 1.3783 0.1686816
idAUT 2.6173e+00 7.1583e+00 0.3656 0.7147852
idBEL 3.6634e-02 7.1505e+00 0.0051 0.9959141
idBRA -1.0662e+01 9.9407e+00 -1.0726 0.2839366
idCAN 8.3045e-01 7.1626e+00 0.1159 0.9077418
idCHE 7.3916e-01 7.1592e+00 0.1032 0.9178070
idCHN -4.6661e+01 5.2702e+01 -0.8854 0.3763557
idDEU 2.9239e+01 8.3034e+00 3.5213 0.0004665 ***
idDNK -2.3609e-01 7.1678e+00 -0.0329 0.9737368
idESP -2.0663e+00 7.1983e+00 -0.2871 0.7741833
idFIN 5.4597e-02 7.1673e+00 0.0076 0.9939250
idFRA 7.6468e+00 7.3979e+00 1.0336 0.3017752
idGBR 2.8332e+00 7.3378e+00 0.3861 0.6995715
idIND -6.2775e+01 4.8120e+01 -1.3046 0.1926079
idISR 2.5966e-01 7.1605e+00 0.0363 0.9710867
idITA -1.8433e+00 7.2962e+00 -0.2526 0.8006475
idJPN 5.5620e+01 2.3052e+01 2.4128 0.0161697 *
idKOR 5.2489e+01 3.6796e+01 1.4265 0.1543166
idNLD -5.8534e-01 7.1403e+00 -0.0820 0.9346958
idNOR 1.4015e-02 7.1713e+00 0.0020 0.9984414
idRUS -6.3936e+00 8.8040e+00 -0.7262 0.4680265
idSGP 4.3364e-01 7.1693e+00 0.0605 0.9517921
idSWE 1.2989e+00 7.1561e+00 0.1815 0.8560381
idUSA 4.1272e+01 1.4798e+01 2.7890 0.0054769 **
time1996 -4.2324e+00 7.1975e+00 -0.5880 0.5567582
time1997 -1.0383e+00 7.1934e+00 -0.1443 0.8852900
time1998 -6.8697e+00 7.1975e+00 -0.9545 0.3402868
time1999 -3.0171e+00 7.2093e+00 -0.4185 0.6757530
time2000 -6.6096e+00 7.2020e+00 -0.9177 0.3591754
time2001 -3.3582e+00 7.2051e+00 -0.4661 0.6413445
time2002 -7.9424e+00 7.2077e+00 -1.1019 0.2709915
time2003 -7.8858e+00 7.1914e+00 -1.0966 0.2733300
time2004 2.0254e+00 7.1956e+00 0.2815 0.7784531
time2005 -6.1903e-01 7.1958e+00 -0.0860 0.9314779
time2006 -6.3790e+00 7.2011e+00 -0.8858 0.3761057
time2007 6.9777e+00 7.2114e+00 0.9676 0.3336893
time2008 -8.4693e-01 7.2839e+00 -0.1163 0.9074787
time2009 1.4346e+01 7.3052e+00 1.9638 0.0500787 .
time2010 1.3299e+01 7.3040e+00 1.8208 0.0691973 .
time2011 1.2720e+00 7.3222e+00 0.1737 0.8621542
time2012 -1.0883e+00 7.3423e+00 -0.1482 0.8822246
time2013 5.2863e+00 7.3629e+00 0.7180 0.4730974
time2014 -9.3945e-01 7.3408e+00 -0.1280 0.8982165
time2015 -6.1887e+00 7.3413e+00 -0.8430 0.3996120
time2016 5.2818e+00 7.2998e+00 0.7236 0.4696528
time2017 1.5131e+01 7.3701e+00 2.0531 0.0405582 *
time2018 5.3625e+00 7.4058e+00 0.7241 0.4693258
time2019 -8.8075e+00 7.4393e+00 -1.1839 0.2369781
time2020 2.5252e+00 7.5621e+00 0.3339 0.7385641
fesisCHN.2016 1.9091e+02 1.5897e+01 12.0096 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.1999 1.5026e+02 2.3608e+01 6.3648 4.242e-10 ***
fesisJPN.2001 -2.3254e+02 2.5900e+01 -8.9787 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2003 1.5627e+02 2.1578e+01 7.2421 1.568e-12 ***
fesisJPN.2008 -1.6500e+02 2.8504e+01 -5.7889 1.215e-08 ***
fesisJPN.2009 3.7307e+02 3.6470e+01 10.2295 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2010 4.3115e+02 3.6613e+01 11.7759 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2011 -2.1131e+02 3.7544e+01 -5.6283 2.955e-08 ***
fesisJPN.2012 -5.3002e+02 3.6908e+01 -14.3607 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2013 -2.5551e+02 3.6483e+01 -7.0037 7.605e-12 ***
fesisJPN.2014 3.5801e+02 3.0011e+01 11.9290 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2017 3.6558e+02 2.9785e+01 12.2742 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2018 -2.8079e+02 3.6783e+01 -7.6336 1.073e-13 ***
fesisJPN.2019 -5.8043e+02 3.6471e+01 -15.9147 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2020 2.9158e+02 3.6986e+01 7.8835 1.831e-14 ***
fesisKOR.2009 2.4155e+02 2.1171e+01 11.4097 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2014 -3.8210e+02 2.3022e+01 -16.5971 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2016 2.6589e+02 2.3084e+01 11.5181 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2020 3.3474e+02 2.8990e+01 11.5470 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2020 -1.6071e+02 2.7108e+01 -5.9285 5.521e-09 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.22851 1 0.6326
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 25.59777 1 4.205e-07 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 25.23452
R-squared 0.99665
Log-lik.(n=600) -2752.79088 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:47:26 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 9.4453e-01 1.5546e-02 60.7560 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 1.0304e-14 3.3512e-14 0.3075 0.758608
pop 1.6237e-07 6.1734e-08 2.6302 0.008784 **
idAUT 4.1616e+00 6.4344e+00 0.6468 0.518059
idBEL 1.1777e+00 6.4124e+00 0.1837 0.854346
idBRA -2.8880e+01 1.2298e+01 -2.3484 0.019224 *
idCAN -1.1527e-01 6.4287e+00 -0.0179 0.985701
idCHE 2.2639e+00 6.4359e+00 0.3518 0.725165
idCHN -1.8263e+02 7.9287e+01 -2.3035 0.021644 *
idDEU 2.5915e+01 8.2415e+00 3.1444 0.001759 **
idDNK 1.3840e+00 6.4537e+00 0.2145 0.830274
idESP -4.5180e+00 6.5342e+00 -0.6914 0.489594
idFIN 1.7566e+00 6.4551e+00 0.2721 0.785628
idFRA 3.9448e+00 6.9280e+00 0.5694 0.569328
idGBR -1.0970e+00 6.8475e+00 -0.1602 0.872781
idIND -1.7247e+02 6.6938e+01 -2.5766 0.010251 *
idISR 1.8179e+00 6.4391e+00 0.2823 0.777809
idITA -5.7213e+00 6.7745e+00 -0.8445 0.398757
idJPN 3.4781e+01 2.1818e+01 1.5942 0.111505
idKOR 2.0286e+01 3.3870e+01 0.5989 0.549484
idNLD -1.6147e-02 6.3862e+00 -0.0025 0.997984
idNOR 1.6714e+00 6.4607e+00 0.2587 0.795968
idRUS -2.1603e+01 1.0106e+01 -2.1376 0.033012 *
idSGP 2.2096e+00 6.4607e+00 0.3420 0.732479
idSWE 2.5233e+00 6.4234e+00 0.3928 0.694606
idUSA 5.7179e+00 1.8399e+01 0.3108 0.756096
time1996 -4.9836e+00 6.4658e+00 -0.7708 0.441200
time1997 -1.9917e+00 6.4695e+00 -0.3079 0.758305
time1998 -7.8585e+00 6.4789e+00 -1.2129 0.225699
time1999 -4.3696e+00 6.5035e+00 -0.6719 0.501947
time2000 -8.1220e+00 6.5038e+00 -1.2488 0.212298
time2001 -5.1211e+00 6.5199e+00 -0.7855 0.432541
time2002 -9.9634e+00 6.5354e+00 -1.5245 0.127982
time2003 -1.0170e+01 6.5383e+00 -1.5555 0.120442
time2004 -4.8129e-01 6.5556e+00 -0.0734 0.941503
time2005 -3.2204e+00 6.5640e+00 -0.4906 0.623902
time2006 -9.1269e+00 6.5803e+00 -1.3870 0.166029
time2007 3.9973e+00 6.6047e+00 0.6052 0.545301
time2008 -3.9999e+00 6.6842e+00 -0.5984 0.549825
time2009 1.0292e+01 6.6006e+00 1.5593 0.119535
time2010 9.3147e+00 6.6199e+00 1.4071 0.159996
time2011 4.5602e+00 6.6425e+00 0.6865 0.492690
time2012 2.1530e+00 6.6751e+00 0.3225 0.747170
time2013 -8.2404e+00 6.7854e+00 -1.2144 0.225134
time2014 -2.9158e+00 6.6470e+00 -0.4387 0.661083
time2015 -8.4386e+00 6.6605e+00 -1.2670 0.205735
time2016 3.0664e+00 6.6189e+00 0.4633 0.643359
time2017 1.2920e+01 6.6800e+00 1.9341 0.053642 .
time2018 3.2803e+00 6.7129e+00 0.4887 0.625292
time2019 -1.0856e+01 6.7521e+00 -1.6078 0.108489
time2020 3.5980e-01 6.8804e+00 0.0523 0.958314
fesisCHN.2016 1.8779e+02 1.6247e+01 11.5583 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisIND.2009 -3.7358e+01 1.6044e+01 -2.3285 0.020268 *
fesisJPN.1999 1.5240e+02 2.1156e+01 7.2038 2.050e-12 ***
fesisJPN.2001 -2.3008e+02 2.3236e+01 -9.9019 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2003 1.5615e+02 1.9286e+01 8.0964 3.987e-15 ***
fesisJPN.2008 -1.6111e+02 2.5667e+01 -6.2770 7.246e-10 ***
fesisJPN.2009 3.7381e+02 3.2622e+01 11.4588 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2010 4.3397e+02 3.2834e+01 13.2170 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2011 -2.1019e+02 3.4416e+01 -6.1072 1.977e-09 ***
fesisJPN.2012 -5.2477e+02 3.3307e+01 -15.7558 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2013 -2.4010e+02 3.2649e+01 -7.3542 7.449e-13 ***
fesisJPN.2014 3.4290e+02 2.7022e+01 12.6896 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2017 3.6582e+02 2.6624e+01 13.7403 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2018 -2.7624e+02 3.3106e+01 -8.3443 6.393e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2019 -5.7921e+02 3.2606e+01 -17.7643 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2020 2.8663e+02 3.3463e+01 8.5655 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2009 2.9720e+02 2.1178e+01 14.0336 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2011 -1.6499e+02 2.4311e+01 -6.7866 3.115e-11 ***
fesisKOR.2013 1.8983e+02 2.8443e+01 6.6740 6.350e-11 ***
fesisKOR.2014 -4.6763e+02 2.8459e+01 -16.4315 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2016 2.6014e+02 2.0728e+01 12.5498 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2020 3.3515e+02 2.5937e+01 12.9214 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2013 1.9360e+02 2.4319e+01 7.9608 1.067e-14 ***
fesisUSA.2014 -1.8120e+02 2.5154e+01 -7.2035 2.053e-12 ***
fesisUSA.2020 -1.5907e+02 2.4964e+01 -6.3720 4.091e-10 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.20172 1 0.6533
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 26.36955 1 2.82e-07 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 22.55170
R-squared 0.99735
Log-lik.(n=600) -2682.84934 Log Count
0
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.01; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:47:33 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 624
Sample: 1 to 624
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
lgdp 1.968895 0.113858 17.2925 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -3.194237 0.519293 -6.1511 1.473e-09 ***
idAUT -0.041275 0.454212 -0.0909 0.9276280
idBEL -0.303132 0.345014 -0.8786 0.3799943
idBRA 4.184222 1.104672 3.7877 0.0001686 ***
idCAN 2.543215 0.244949 10.3827 < 2.2e-16 ***
idCHE -1.273278 0.560586 -2.2713 0.0235088 *
idCHN 9.402183 2.033774 4.6230 4.709e-06 ***
idDEU 5.836508 0.715148 8.1613 2.234e-15 ***
idDNK -4.241388 0.744681 -5.6956 1.996e-08 ***
idESP 2.545040 0.409670 6.2124 1.024e-09 ***
idFIN -0.767712 0.662654 -1.1585 0.2471414
idFRA 4.935691 0.566127 8.7183 < 2.2e-16 ***
idGBR 4.618535 0.557461 8.2849 8.907e-16 ***
idIND 5.280346 1.963013 2.6899 0.0073621 **
idISR -1.731101 0.617802 -2.8020 0.0052555 **
idITA 3.477645 0.529866 6.5633 1.210e-10 ***
idJPN -0.803781 0.915325 -0.8781 0.3802491
idKOR -7.312124 0.721377 -10.1363 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 1.412614 0.168241 8.3964 3.856e-16 ***
idNOR -7.046315 0.808565 -8.7146 < 2.2e-16 ***
idRUS -0.935535 0.959048 -0.9755 0.3297454
idSGP -2.521857 0.798023 -3.1601 0.0016629 **
idSWE -4.370742 0.485584 -9.0010 < 2.2e-16 ***
idUSA 7.770340 1.299390 5.9800 3.999e-09 ***
time1995 0.119480 8.041662 0.0149 0.9881512
time1996 0.157417 8.045563 0.0196 0.9843969
time1997 0.432910 8.049926 0.0538 0.9571312
time1998 0.307062 8.053270 0.0381 0.9695986
time1999 0.447848 8.056249 0.0556 0.9556883
time2000 0.524542 8.059518 0.0651 0.9481309
time2001 0.504537 8.063159 0.0626 0.9501290
time2002 0.370622 8.063436 0.0460 0.9633560
time2003 0.402590 8.067909 0.0499 0.9602199
time2004 0.402487 8.067850 0.0499 0.9602297
time2005 0.542983 8.071874 0.0673 0.9463922
time2006 0.585181 8.075584 0.0725 0.9422596
time2007 0.686734 8.084236 0.0849 0.9323340
time2008 0.824084 8.090043 0.1019 0.9189015
time2009 1.043879 8.095259 0.1289 0.8974444
time2010 1.223264 8.098343 0.1511 0.8799902
time2011 1.349238 8.101617 0.1665 0.8677931
time2012 1.377015 8.106084 0.1699 0.8651710
time2013 1.404196 8.109673 0.1732 0.8625961
time2014 1.357046 8.113237 0.1673 0.8672239
time2015 1.289307 8.116647 0.1588 0.8738470
time2016 1.467273 8.121055 0.1807 0.8566885
time2017 1.529826 8.124094 0.1883 0.8507046
time2018 1.690330 8.126995 0.2080 0.8353134
time2019 1.527311 8.127506 0.1879 0.8510090
time2020 1.797478 8.129783 0.2211 0.8250975
fesisAUT.2009 0.920924 0.142245 6.4742 2.100e-10 ***
fesisBEL.2005 0.576951 0.144862 3.9828 7.719e-05 ***
fesisBRA.2010 -1.137209 0.184030 -6.1795 1.246e-09 ***
fesisBRA.2015 0.806599 0.215340 3.7457 0.0001987 ***
fesisCHE.1997 -1.682395 0.433785 -3.8784 0.0001177 ***
fesisCHE.1998 1.818427 0.362239 5.0200 6.973e-07 ***
fesisDEU.2007 0.602439 0.150294 4.0084 6.948e-05 ***
fesisDNK.1997 -1.277318 0.267494 -4.7751 2.301e-06 ***
fesisDNK.2012 -1.203912 0.225469 -5.3396 1.360e-07 ***
fesisDNK.2015 0.999393 0.250669 3.9869 7.590e-05 ***
fesisFIN.2003 -0.526759 0.154094 -3.4184 0.0006761 ***
fesisISR.2002 -0.509187 0.176941 -2.8777 0.0041598 **
fesisISR.2019 -0.936090 0.270424 -3.4616 0.0005784 ***
fesisKOR.2003 0.706269 0.155208 4.5505 6.580e-06 ***
fesisNLD.2008 -0.850893 0.142301 -5.9795 4.009e-09 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -0.714309 0.170370 -4.1927 3.208e-05 ***
fesisRUS.2016 -1.014869 0.198846 -5.1038 4.580e-07 ***
fesisSGP.2004 0.480915 0.167417 2.8726 0.0042274 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 5.7197 1 0.01678 *
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 3.5632 1 0.05907 .
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.34658
R-squared 0.97053
Log-lik.(n=624) -189.70302 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.05; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:47:31 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 624
Sample: 1 to 624
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
lgdp 1.72646 0.14408 11.9823 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -2.58602 0.53959 -4.7925 2.127e-06 ***
idAUT 0.15500 0.43633 0.3552 0.7225497
idBEL -0.22711 0.33040 -0.6874 0.4921426
idBRA 3.36335 1.11427 3.0184 0.0026597 **
idCAN 2.92798 0.29584 9.8973 < 2.2e-16 ***
idCHE -0.80955 0.55041 -1.4708 0.1419202
idCHN 7.30625 2.06986 3.5298 0.0004510 ***
idDEU 5.16298 0.72203 7.1506 2.794e-12 ***
idDNK -3.30192 0.77530 -4.2589 2.420e-05 ***
idESP 1.88438 0.43709 4.3112 1.927e-05 ***
idFIN -0.40148 0.63949 -0.6278 0.5303831
idFRA 4.34195 0.57782 7.5143 2.361e-13 ***
idGBR 4.00130 0.57371 6.9745 8.925e-12 ***
idIND 3.76970 1.93787 1.9453 0.0522548 .
idISR -1.11770 0.62050 -1.8013 0.0722104 .
idITA 2.89102 0.54529 5.3018 1.669e-07 ***
idJPN -0.47538 0.89096 -0.5336 0.5938614
idKOR -6.16994 0.81573 -7.5637 1.676e-13 ***
idNLD 1.36914 0.16160 8.4724 2.249e-16 ***
idNOR -5.83579 0.87025 -6.7059 5.018e-11 ***
idRUS -1.22575 0.91878 -1.3341 0.1827268
idSGP -1.97234 0.77879 -2.5326 0.0116018 *
idSWE -3.38693 0.53029 -6.3870 3.629e-10 ***
idUSA 6.73158 1.28666 5.2318 2.398e-07 ***
time1995 -3.42798 7.74006 -0.4429 0.6580228
time1996 -3.38735 7.74361 -0.4374 0.6619666
time1997 -3.06984 7.74699 -0.3963 0.6920668
time1998 -3.22140 7.74947 -0.4157 0.6777987
time1999 -3.05709 7.75106 -0.3944 0.6934330
time2000 -2.97269 7.75378 -0.3834 0.7015830
time2001 -2.96301 7.75770 -0.3819 0.7026510
time2002 -3.11134 7.75866 -0.4010 0.6885661
time2003 -3.04695 7.76231 -0.3925 0.6948191
time2004 -3.07521 7.76384 -0.3961 0.6921905
time2005 -2.90670 7.76693 -0.3742 0.7083708
time2006 -2.82425 7.77026 -0.3635 0.7163953
time2007 -2.72135 7.77851 -0.3499 0.7265826
time2008 -2.58534 7.78410 -0.3321 0.7399187
time2009 -2.37602 7.78955 -0.3050 0.7604626
time2010 -2.22834 7.79198 -0.2860 0.7750027
time2011 -2.09977 7.79494 -0.2694 0.7877420
time2012 -2.07686 7.79905 -0.2663 0.7901119
time2013 -2.06617 7.80276 -0.2648 0.7912641
time2014 -2.11243 7.80607 -0.2706 0.7867906
time2015 -2.20535 7.80932 -0.2824 0.7777442
time2016 -2.02757 7.81344 -0.2595 0.7953496
time2017 -1.92261 7.81601 -0.2460 0.8057871
time2018 -1.75981 7.81864 -0.2251 0.8220025
time2019 -1.92068 7.81901 -0.2456 0.8060513
time2020 -1.66338 7.82176 -0.2127 0.8316713
fesisAUT.2009 0.91277 0.13437 6.7932 2.880e-11 ***
fesisBEL.2004 0.54743 0.14013 3.9066 0.0001054 ***
fesisBRA.1999 -0.42124 0.19679 -2.1406 0.0327507 *
fesisBRA.2010 -1.02007 0.18052 -5.6506 2.579e-08 ***
fesisBRA.2015 1.41505 0.27850 5.0810 5.166e-07 ***
fesisBRA.2017 -0.94625 0.28791 -3.2866 0.0010793 **
fesisCAN.1998 -0.70162 0.20641 -3.3991 0.0007255 ***
fesisCHE.1997 -1.72258 0.40724 -4.2299 2.742e-05 ***
fesisCHE.1998 1.77803 0.34081 5.2170 2.588e-07 ***
fesisCHN.2002 0.48187 0.19684 2.4480 0.0146781 *
fesisDEU.2007 0.60894 0.14280 4.2643 2.364e-05 ***
fesisDNK.1997 -2.13271 0.40722 -5.2372 2.333e-07 ***
fesisDNK.1998 1.39481 0.38403 3.6320 0.0003077 ***
fesisDNK.2001 -0.69591 0.21758 -3.1984 0.0014624 **
fesisDNK.2012 -1.11253 0.21758 -5.1132 4.393e-07 ***
fesisDNK.2015 1.00804 0.23521 4.2857 2.154e-05 ***
fesisESP.2013 0.39040 0.14384 2.7142 0.0068547 **
fesisFIN.2003 -0.54555 0.14627 -3.7298 0.0002117 ***
fesisISR.2002 -0.61473 0.16811 -3.6567 0.0002803 ***
fesisISR.2019 -0.96083 0.25420 -3.7798 0.0001743 ***
fesisKOR.2004 0.71982 0.14665 4.9085 1.214e-06 ***
fesisNLD.2008 -0.86400 0.13450 -6.4239 2.897e-10 ***
fesisNOR.2006 -0.83349 0.19507 -4.2727 2.279e-05 ***
fesisNOR.2010 0.77297 0.19553 3.9532 8.726e-05 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -0.63205 0.16705 -3.7835 0.0001718 ***
fesisRUS.2016 -0.98680 0.18674 -5.2843 1.828e-07 ***
fesisSGP.2004 0.43627 0.15856 2.7514 0.0061319 **
fesisSWE.2004 -0.40926 0.14008 -2.9216 0.0036266 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.727956 1 0.1887
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 0.041532 1 0.8385
SE of regression 0.32518
R-squared 0.97452
Log-lik.(n=624) -144.93570 1
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:48:13 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.207660 0.037596 5.5234 5.225e-08 ***
lgdp 1.549031 0.140935 10.9911 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -2.201526 0.491242 -4.4816 9.093e-06 ***
idAUT 0.263385 0.412295 0.6388 0.5232121
idBEL 0.275039 0.310707 0.8852 0.3764502
idBRA 2.626166 1.017407 2.5812 0.0101133 *
idCAN 1.837412 0.245985 7.4696 3.353e-13 ***
idCHE -0.387711 0.572207 -0.6776 0.4983407
idCHN 5.103280 1.927456 2.6477 0.0083470 **
idDEU 4.186103 0.685642 6.1054 1.989e-09 ***
idDNK -2.535574 0.753790 -3.3638 0.0008247 ***
idESP 1.790751 0.393525 4.5505 6.646e-06 ***
idFIN -0.482224 0.607473 -0.7938 0.4276566
idFRA 3.581925 0.548833 6.5264 1.582e-10 ***
idGBR 3.291754 0.538761 6.1099 1.937e-09 ***
idIND 2.912104 1.777265 1.6385 0.1019068
idISR -1.152123 0.535696 -2.1507 0.0319530 *
idITA 2.412815 0.501864 4.8077 1.994e-06 ***
idJPN -1.166867 0.836401 -1.3951 0.1635708
idKOR -5.545549 0.775199 -7.1537 2.836e-12 ***
idNLD 1.200632 0.174047 6.8983 1.511e-11 ***
idNOR -4.936249 0.808135 -6.1082 1.956e-09 ***
idRUS -1.367949 0.858392 -1.5936 0.1116200
idSGP -1.251441 0.670695 -1.8659 0.0626115 .
idSWE -3.166287 0.489636 -6.4666 2.286e-10 ***
idUSA 5.302560 1.206731 4.3942 1.345e-05 ***
time1996 -5.100761 7.199219 -0.7085 0.4789376
time1997 -4.809293 7.202918 -0.6677 0.5046252
time1998 -5.048974 7.206133 -0.7006 0.4838304
time1999 -4.892210 7.208792 -0.6786 0.4976602
time2000 -4.843358 7.211727 -0.6716 0.5021354
time2001 -4.819962 7.215145 -0.6680 0.5044038
time2002 -5.022401 7.218578 -0.6958 0.4868850
time2003 -4.951227 7.221052 -0.6857 0.4932249
time2004 -4.935008 7.223959 -0.6831 0.4948151
time2005 -4.779449 7.227073 -0.6613 0.5086919
time2006 -4.720316 7.230512 -0.6528 0.5141482
time2007 -4.648453 7.238639 -0.6422 0.5210400
time2008 -4.581093 7.242960 -0.6325 0.5273412
time2009 -4.371259 7.245054 -0.6033 0.5465390
time2010 -4.226499 7.247870 -0.5831 0.5600503
time2011 -4.134810 7.250839 -0.5703 0.5687489
time2012 -4.137388 7.254617 -0.5703 0.5687094
time2013 -4.106494 7.257821 -0.5658 0.5717683
time2014 -4.204277 7.261135 -0.5790 0.5628287
time2015 -4.210424 7.264971 -0.5796 0.5624643
time2016 -4.077690 7.268152 -0.5610 0.5750115
time2017 -3.970254 7.270869 -0.5460 0.5852626
time2018 -3.874493 7.273423 -0.5327 0.5944710
time2019 -4.113675 7.275952 -0.5654 0.5720557
time2020 -3.827537 7.277953 -0.5259 0.5991726
fesisAUT.2009 0.727512 0.144169 5.0463 6.209e-07 ***
fesisBRA.2010 -0.997468 0.184418 -5.4087 9.636e-08 ***
fesisBRA.2015 1.276861 0.290486 4.3956 1.336e-05 ***
fesisBRA.2017 -1.725311 0.424268 -4.0666 5.499e-05 ***
fesisBRA.2018 1.170488 0.401809 2.9130 0.0037308 **
fesisCHE.1997 -2.036319 0.489967 -4.1560 3.777e-05 ***
fesisCHE.1998 1.860293 0.354013 5.2549 2.153e-07 ***
fesisCHN.1997 1.085597 0.365638 2.9691 0.0031229 **
fesisDEU.2007 0.482485 0.149087 3.2363 0.0012870 **
fesisDNK.1997 -2.555406 0.490247 -5.2125 2.678e-07 ***
fesisDNK.1998 1.747625 0.403324 4.3331 1.761e-05 ***
fesisDNK.2001 -1.757497 0.399559 -4.3986 1.318e-05 ***
fesisDNK.2002 1.203722 0.363762 3.3091 0.0009998 ***
fesisDNK.2012 -1.301176 0.269447 -4.8291 1.800e-06 ***
fesisDNK.2014 1.071039 0.277480 3.8599 0.0001275 ***
fesisISR.2009 -0.523238 0.153199 -3.4154 0.0006858 ***
fesisNLD.2007 -0.687375 0.144902 -4.7437 2.704e-06 ***
fesisNOR.2006 -1.210570 0.362895 -3.3359 0.0009102 ***
fesisNOR.2007 1.034499 0.359221 2.8798 0.0041403 **
fesisRUS.2007 -0.508767 0.173103 -2.9391 0.0034357 **
fesisRUS.2015 -0.782291 0.190551 -4.1054 4.675e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.2967955 1 0.5859
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 0.0027698 1 0.9580
SE of regression 0.33841
R-squared 0.97209
Log-lik.(n=600) -165.26247 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 11:48:11 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.178259 0.036278 4.9137 1.202e-06 ***
lgdp 1.466636 0.134961 10.8671 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -2.070621 0.484136 -4.2769 2.258e-05 ***
idAUT 0.243235 0.411674 0.5908 0.5548836
idBEL 0.069869 0.333937 0.2092 0.8343530
idBRA 2.359681 1.009156 2.3383 0.0197542 *
idCAN 1.832987 0.238686 7.6795 8.074e-14 ***
idCHE -0.399117 0.557967 -0.7153 0.4747441
idCHN 4.719758 1.908402 2.4731 0.0137139 *
idDEU 4.118986 0.673245 6.1181 1.873e-09 ***
idDNK -2.398374 0.733494 -3.2698 0.0011481 **
idESP 1.645854 0.385382 4.2707 2.320e-05 ***
idFIN -0.893733 0.664007 -1.3460 0.1789035
idFRA 3.523005 0.537818 6.5506 1.389e-10 ***
idGBR 3.206113 0.527957 6.0727 2.442e-09 ***
idIND 1.952215 1.765385 1.1058 0.2693157
idISR -0.859884 0.560373 -1.5345 0.1255228
idITA 2.304568 0.493369 4.6711 3.827e-06 ***
idJPN -0.772591 0.837451 -0.9226 0.3566725
idKOR -5.323466 0.758753 -7.0161 7.203e-12 ***
idNLD 1.162742 0.168485 6.9012 1.518e-11 ***
idNOR -4.730734 0.789705 -5.9905 3.926e-09 ***
idRUS -1.340665 0.861558 -1.5561 0.1202990
idSGP -1.208067 0.668189 -1.8080 0.0711930 .
idSWE -2.985261 0.476226 -6.2686 7.701e-10 ***
idUSA 5.267201 1.195051 4.4075 1.273e-05 ***
time1996 -4.909337 7.228391 -0.6792 0.4973320
time1997 -4.723027 7.231862 -0.6531 0.5139918
time1998 -4.957225 7.234948 -0.6852 0.4935395
time1999 -4.721158 7.238300 -0.6522 0.5145324
time2000 -4.617998 7.241382 -0.6377 0.5239367
time2001 -4.683426 7.243516 -0.6466 0.5181990
time2002 -4.860959 7.245357 -0.6709 0.5025801
time2003 -4.745003 7.248018 -0.6547 0.5129770
time2004 -4.784202 7.251384 -0.6598 0.5096997
time2005 -4.624423 7.254485 -0.6375 0.5241099
time2006 -4.557550 7.257753 -0.6280 0.5303106
time2007 -4.486057 7.265786 -0.6174 0.5372287
time2008 -4.470541 7.269523 -0.6150 0.5388454
time2009 -4.221445 7.272529 -0.5805 0.5618549
time2010 -4.069303 7.275173 -0.5593 0.5761717
time2011 -3.970656 7.277978 -0.5456 0.5855964
time2012 -3.967906 7.281584 -0.5449 0.5860415
time2013 -3.937034 7.284837 -0.5404 0.5891253
time2014 -4.033052 7.288159 -0.5534 0.5802494
time2015 -4.038267 7.292067 -0.5538 0.5799631
time2016 -3.903909 7.295262 -0.5351 0.5927909
time2017 -3.790956 7.297891 -0.5195 0.6036633
time2018 -3.689478 7.300322 -0.5054 0.6135038
time2019 -3.922259 7.302663 -0.5371 0.5914302
time2020 -3.645527 7.304748 -0.4991 0.6179480
fesisAUT.2009 0.775757 0.135814 5.7119 1.889e-08 ***
fesisBEL.2000 -1.086288 0.361647 -3.0037 0.0027964 **
fesisBEL.2001 1.347698 0.332157 4.0574 5.730e-05 ***
fesisBRA.2010 -0.986066 0.172681 -5.7104 1.905e-08 ***
fesisBRA.2015 1.280029 0.271531 4.7141 3.128e-06 ***
fesisBRA.2017 -1.711190 0.396572 -4.3150 1.914e-05 ***
fesisBRA.2018 1.132309 0.375720 3.0137 0.0027077 **
fesisCHE.1997 -1.914616 0.458729 -4.1737 3.516e-05 ***
fesisCHE.1998 2.004857 0.354943 5.6484 2.679e-08 ***
fesisCHE.2003 -1.139596 0.355487 -3.2057 0.0014307 **
fesisCHE.2004 0.946308 0.333541 2.8372 0.0047308 **
fesisCHN.1997 1.269451 0.344452 3.6854 0.0002525 ***
fesisDEU.2007 0.540019 0.141284 3.8222 0.0001484 ***
fesisDNK.1997 -2.427770 0.458999 -5.2893 1.817e-07 ***
fesisDNK.1998 1.640556 0.377549 4.3453 1.676e-05 ***
fesisDNK.2001 -1.708422 0.373685 -4.5718 6.059e-06 ***
fesisDNK.2002 1.172194 0.340178 3.4458 0.0006157 ***
fesisDNK.2012 -1.311373 0.251920 -5.2055 2.798e-07 ***
fesisDNK.2014 1.076700 0.259351 4.1515 3.864e-05 ***
fesisFIN.1997 1.190326 0.397646 2.9934 0.0028909 **
fesisFIN.1999 -0.835998 0.240982 -3.4691 0.0005658 ***
fesisIND.1997 1.004782 0.397338 2.5288 0.0117428 *
fesisIND.1999 -1.024821 0.323737 -3.1656 0.0016391 **
fesisIND.2001 0.861494 0.245084 3.5151 0.0004783 ***
fesisISR.2002 -0.543906 0.192677 -2.8229 0.0049431 **
fesisISR.2008 1.355533 0.349370 3.8799 0.0001180 ***
fesisISR.2009 -1.512469 0.338336 -4.4703 9.609e-06 ***
fesisKOR.2004 0.490809 0.146068 3.3601 0.0008367 ***
fesisNLD.2007 -0.675445 0.135897 -4.9703 9.111e-07 ***
fesisNOR.2006 -1.188902 0.339392 -3.5030 0.0004999 ***
fesisNOR.2007 1.028442 0.335821 3.0625 0.0023097 **
fesisRUS.2007 -0.434608 0.163163 -2.6636 0.0079717 **
fesisRUS.2015 -0.809194 0.178291 -4.5386 7.052e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.52105 1 0.4704
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 0.27098 1 0.6027
SE of regression 0.31629
R-squared 0.97617
Log-lik.(n=600) -118.69831